Why the Mexican Peso Surged Against the USD? On Wednesday, the US dollar decreased in value against other major currencies, including the Mexican peso, by over 1%, due to reports of slower than expected US inflation. This suggests that the Federal Reserve may pause its interest rate hikes. According to data from the US Labor Department, inflation in April decreased to 4.9%, which is the lowest year-over-year increase in two years and lower than market forecasts of 5%. The slower inflation was attributed to slower growth in food prices and a further decrease in energy costs.
However, core inflation remained high at 5.5%, indicating that interest rates may need to stay high for some time to control it. Fed funds futures traders are anticipating a pause before expected rate cuts in September, which might be a little optimistic, as the Fed's target range remains at 5% to 5.25%.
The Mexican peso gained strength to 17.544, its highest value since July 2017, as the difference between US and Mexican monetary policies became more pronounced. The RSI on the USDMXN suggests it is in an extreme oversold condition, so a pullback may be necessary. Resistance levels from 2017 for the pair may no longer be relevant, but the strongest value the peso reached in 2017 was $17.430, while the peak in 2016 was $17.050.
For fundamental context, Banxico increased rates to an all-time high of 11.25% in March, despite a decrease in annual headline inflation that was greater than expected. Mexico's proximity to the US has also made it an attractive location for foreign companies to open factories targeting the American market and diversifying production from China. Additionally, the US economy's robust state has led to a rise in remittances to Mexico from expats.
USDMXN trade ideas
usdmxnLooking at usdmxn here i'm seeing a rejection formed with a Bearish OB on the Daily time frame. with Consolidating in a Triangle formation where price has finally broke and closed below this structure.formation At the same time we are breaking A major support area where we can see price continue to drop to the downside!!
This is for information and demo purposes only! please feel free to comment below and let me know your feed back on this or any one of my trade ideas shared!
Disclaimer - past profits don't guarantee future results, trading is risky and you can loose 100% of your account balance! Risk management is critical when you decide to trade in the forex markets
USD/MXNThe price that moves within a bullish reaction zone seems to have broken down, however it quickly returned to shoot out above the OB, thereby confirming a false breakout or liquidity grab.
The above is usually the prelude to a strong upward movement, so if you are looking for long positions, the correct thing to do would be to look for confirmation in the minor time frames.
I think in principle I would go to look for the 18.2
MXN BUY MXN is a ROLLER coaster of a market and is not one to mess around with but is very fun to trade
Structure right now is lookking long and this is a possible position that could be taken
However MXN likes to move quickly and take people out fast then reverse so its a very risky market that you have to be patient with
USDMXN : Bullish Continuation Priced nicely respected a key level of support on the daily time frame. The pair has experienced a bullish movement since respecting support.
We expect to see a bullish continuation for the pair as price heads towards our initial target for this setup (18.94617).
What are your thoughts ?
Do you agree with my analysis ?
USDMXN : Reached key resistance level, bullish reversal kicked oAs our analysis on Sunday predicted, the price successfully reached the key resistance level and initiated a bullish reversal as well.
We expect the price to make a few adjustments in price before heading straight for our target.
What do you think ?
Do you agree with my analysis ?
USD/MXN - Bullish AB = CD Reversal Pattern - RSI DivergenceUSD/MXN has formed a bullish AB = CD reversal pattern and price is showing RSI divergence at Potential Reversal Zone. Price has also started printing higher highs and higher lows. Will take entry at break of HH and expect continuation of bullish trend.
USDMXN : Possible bullish reversal The pair made an aggressive bearish reversal after 4 false breakouts of a key resistance level (daily timeframe). Now heading towards a major support level, I expect a bearish reversal to be possible.
We'll be looking for opportunities to buy after a retest of the key level of support (17.96227-17.87925). We should see the price moving towards our target 18.94617.
Please share your thoughts, do you agree with my analysis ?
USDMXN Trading Plan - 27/Mar/2023Hello Traders,
Hope you all are doing good!!
I expect USDMXN to go Up after finishing this correction.
Look for your BUY setups.
Please follow me and like if you agree or this idea helps you out in your trading plan.
Disclaimer: This is just an idea. Please do your own analysis before opening a position. Always use SL & proper risk management.
Market can evolve anytime, hence, always do your analysis and learn trade management before following any idea.
USDMXN LONGThe long term outlook on the monthly time frames shows a very strong US Dollar against the Mexican Peso (MXN). The Mexican Peso has strongly recovered against the Dollar since May 2020, this analysis is similar to the weakness of the Dollar against the South African Rand. The price levels have eventually returned to the demand zone at 17-18 price handle
Naturally we adopt smart money approach in our analysis. The institutional order flow show that there is a change of character on the Daily time frame. After the change in character we expect a minor correction to pick buy orders sitting at the 17.9-17.8 levels before resuming the bullish momentum targeting the 20 price handles with potential to go even higher to mitigate the fresh supply sitting at the 23 price handle.
We have a bullish bias with our entries placed at the 17.8-17.9 levels.
[Watch] Mexican Peso 0️⃣0️⃣1️⃣| ¡Viva México! MXNWho loves Tacos al Pastor?
In this video, I want to share with you two technical views I have on this exotic currency; the Mexican peso FX:USDMXN
Remember, my critical fundamental view is based on the $5bn Tesla is about to invest in the new Nuevo Leon, Monterrey Gigafactory.
Above All and All in All: God Bless America...!
J.R. Jaén
Risk Disclaimer:
1️⃣Past Performance is not indicative of any future performance.
2️⃣Trading and Investing are risky. Only trade and invest with resources and capital; you can afford to lose, and it will not change your lifestyle or family situation if you do not make the returns you wanted or if things go wrong and you lose everything.
3️⃣I can and will have a position buying Mexican pesos because I like the country and love Tacos al Pastor.
4️⃣Never go All-In. You do not have to buy with your rent money; you do not have to believe with all your savings because NO one is asking you to do so. This video is a video log, a journal, and a path to share with others 'how to' find a potential investment if the US Dollar weakens.
Possible USDMXN zonesPossible zones to buy or sell. Actually Long as inflation in Mexico decreased, so if USD keeps strong after NFP price will try to retest 19 MXN.
However MXN is strong so there will be rejections there. If Bank of Mexico continues hawkish, price will be bouncing around 18.11 / 18.17. Those prices are still OK to keep going long as 18 will be a strong support again. And 19 resistance, so good zones to keep buying/selling so you can milk in both sides.
So OK for me this weekend (11-03) and maybe next to search generally for Longs, specially if NFP good for USD