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U.S. DOLLAR / NATURAL GASU.S. DOLLAR / NATURAL GASU.S. DOLLAR / NATURAL GAS

U.S. DOLLAR / NATURAL GAS

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USDNTG trade ideas

Natural Gas Further DeclinesTraders are currently reducing natural gas losses, but the outlook for the summer is unimpressive, combined with technical factors, which suggests the possibility of further declines in the future. Natural gas is trading on the weakside of $2.432 (R1), making it new resistance. Overcoming this level will indicate the return of buyers with $2.638 (R2) the next target. A sustained move under $2.432 (R1) will signal the presence of sellers. If this generates enough downside momentum then look for the selling to possibly extend into $2.168 (Pivot), followed by $1.962 (S1) S1 – $1.962 R1 – $2.432 S2 – $1.698 R2 – $2.638 S3 – $1.286 R3 – $2.902 Bearish Weather Continues The current weather patterns are unfavorable for natural gas prices, as systems in the southern US are preventing widespread high temperatures. This bearish weather is expected to continue until hotter patterns arrive, which is projected to be around June 6-10. Although natural gas prices are increasing on Wednesday, it is not being influenced by the weather. During the May 24-30 period, the US will experience active weather systems with showers, thunderstorms, and temperatures ranging from the 60s to 80s, except for hotter conditions in the Southwest deserts and South Texas reaching the 90s. The Great Lakes and Northeast regions will have cooler-than-normal temperatures, with overnight lows dropping into the upper 30s and 40s. This may result in a slight increase in heating demand. Canadian Gas Exports to U.S. Normalize Canadian natural gas exports to the United States have returned to normal levels following disruptions caused by wildfires in Alberta and other western provinces. This has led to a significant drop in U.S. gas futures, as Canada supplies around 8% of the gas consumed or exported by the U.S. In the past weeks, gas flows from Canada averaged 7.2 billion cubic feet per day (bcfd), lower than the year’s average of 8.3 bcfd. However, the amount of gas exported from Canada to the U.S. is expected to remain near a three-week high of 8.1 bcfd. The wildfires had forced Canadian producers to cut exports to a low of 6.4 bcfd. Overall, the return to normal gas flows from Canada has impacted gas prices and market dynamics in the U.S. Supply Dynamics Gas output in the U.S. Lower 48 states reached 101.5 billion cubic feet per day (bcfd) so far in May, surpassing April’s record of 101.4 bcfd. Additionally, gas exports from Canada to the United States were expected to rise to 8.2 bcfd, a near three-week high. Demand Dynamics Despite predictions of slightly increased gas demand in the next two weeks, particularly due to low wind power generation, gas futures still experienced a decline. The proportion of U.S. power generated by wind dropped to 7% compared to the previous week’s high of 17%. This decline in wind power led to an increase in gas consumption for electricity generation, particularly in Texas. In the short term, the outlook for natural gas is bearish. The decrease in wind power generation has resulted in higher gas usage for electricity production, reducing the available supply for storage. Meteorologists project mostly normal weather conditions in the Lower 48 states, except for some colder-than-normal days from May 24-28. Refinitiv forecasts a slight decrease in U.S. gas demand, including exports, from 90.4 bcfd to 89.8 bcfd next week, with revised higher forecasts compared to the previous day’s outlook. These factors contribute to the bearish sentiment in the market.
CAPITALCOM:NATURALGASShort
by DaveBrascoFX
5
XNGUSD ( Natural gas ) Short Term Selling ideaHello Traders In This Chart XNGUSD HOURLY Forex Forecast By World of Forex today XNGUSD analysis 👆 🟢This Chart includes_ (XNGUSD market update) 🟢What is The Next Opportunity on NZDCHF Market 🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit This Video is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts.
FXOPEN:XNGUSDShort
by forexplanet797
NATURAL GAS Possible Long analysisThe NATURAL GAS trend is bearish for the last couple of months. The market placed a 1.9625 low on 22-Feb-2023. In a 4Hour time frame market reject the resistance area ( $2.54-2.61 ) as mentioned in the price chart and continued the bearish move. Now price is traded near the Support area ( $2.31-2.24 ). Volume indicates bears lose momentum. Price respect the Trendline in the past two times and now again near to test. Price also traded above the 200 MA ( moving average ) which indicates a bullish trend. So initiate long positions after closing above the Support area and also the trendline. On the other side, Short selling is favorable near the resistance area as mentioned above in the price chart after confirmation by a bearish price action structure. Support and Resistance levels for day trading ; Pivot Point Level: PP 2.3776 Support Levels: S1 2.3137, S2 2.2684, S3 2.2045 Resistance Levels: R1 2.4229, R2 2.4868, R3 2.5321
FX:NGASLong
by alirazaibit
Natural Gas Possible Path (Updated)I had originally published a BUY trade idea which I am still in but currently running at a loss. However, I did fail to notice the current wave patterns at that point which now offers some sense as to why the trade has gone against the hopeful BUY direction. I do believe the current leg down is a mini ABC correction phase and I am hopeful for a move up next week. I do think that this BUY trade is for the very long term (months) and may well be a bit rocky, but the price GAP in December 2022 will eventually act as magnet and bring this commodity back off the bottom.
NLong
by nelsyboy
Can XNGUSD short squeeze?XNGUSD on the weekly chart showing two years of price action with weekly candles shows the rise in 2021 into spring 2022 then printing a head and shoulders pattern and the reversal to deep into the support/demand zone. The volume profile shows the majority of the trading during this time period to have been between $3.75 and $ 8.50. It would seem likely that there are a sizeable amount of short sellers holding positions with unrealized profits of 50% to as much as 300%. This past week had the best buying volume in six months and provides bulls with optimism If natural gas can gain some momentum and put in green candles with a decent price range for a couple of weeks in a row, the combination of new buyers with new interest and short sellers liquidating and buying to cover their unrealized gains might ignite a bit of a rally for natural gas. I will keep natural gas on watch. I will keep in mind that a breakout without a corresponding volume the response could be a fakeout. A stop loss would be $1.95 below the support zone while the final target would be $4.75 below the POC line. Interval take profits would be 10% of the forex lots every time the price rises by $0.50 for risk management and good profit taking while underway.
FXOPEN:XNGUSDLong
by AwesomeAvani
gas longLife is full of opportunities, challenges, and moments of wonder. Every day, you have the chance to learn something new, meet someone interesting, or make a positive difference in the world. Embrace these opportunities and don't be afraid to take risks, even if they scare you. Remember that every failure is an opportunity to learn and grow, and every success is a chance to celebrate and inspire others. Believe in yourself and your abilities, and never give up on your dreams. You have the power to make a difference in your life and the lives of those around you. So go out there, be brave, and make your mark on the world!
NShort
by naorhalfon
XNGUSD Bull Pennant Pattern Short then LongXNG has had a big week with a big bullish momentum move into a symmetrical triangle and then a breakout into a bull flag pattern to finish out the trading week. A Bollinger Band squeeze as the symmetrical triangle was underway preceded the breakout. PRice crossed the POC line of the volume profile where trading volume , liquidity and volatility all are the highest Equities and equity funds like BOIL, KOLD, UNG, UNL, LNG had corresponding moves. The Luxalgo ECHO indicator, a predictive AI tool, suggests that from here XNGUSD will retrace 5% or so perhaps targeting the mid/basis line of the Bollinger Bands and then resume its upward trend. the retracement would be 50% of the uptrend which started the morning of 5/18 which was a 10% move. The indicator is predicting the uptrend resumption for 5/22. By extension, equity instruments that mirror natural gas prices presumably will have similar moves. I conclude that my profits achieved in BOIL options after the big move should be prtially taken off the table to buy some KOLD calls or BOIL puts instead to hedge for the prediction of the algorithm tool.
FXOPEN:XNGUSDShort
by AwesomeAvani