USDNTG trade ideas
Natural gas approaching trend line support is about to burst :)Price near the trendline on daily time frame seems like support holds , and also my personal custom indicator below(which is the combination of a few standard technical indicators in different time frames, when there is a confluence of green circles forming a vertical line which indicates a long position same as vice versa for short position with red circles) also aligning with price action.
Natural Gas on the Move! Is the Next Big Breakout Coming? 📈 Bullish Analysis: Natural Gas (Spot)
1️⃣ Uptrend Support Holding Firm:
The price is respecting the uptrend support line, which has acted as a strong foundation for bullish momentum. Multiple bounces off this level signal that buyers are stepping in to defend the trend.
2️⃣ Supply Zone in Focus:
The supply zone between 4.4 and 4.48 represents a key resistance area. A break and close above this zone would confirm the continuation of the bullish trend.
3️⃣ RSI Rebound:
The RSI is bouncing off oversold levels and turning upward, indicating renewed bullish momentum. This aligns with the trendline support, suggesting the potential for further upside.
4️⃣ Key Insights:
Natural Gas has formed a clean technical setup, with the trendline support, supply zone, and RSI alignment all pointing toward a bullish reversal.
If the price holds above 3.88 and momentum continues, buyers could push toward the supply zone targets.
🎯 Strategy:
Entry: Current levels near 3.88–3.92.
TP1: 4.00 (First Resistance)
TP2: 4.18 (Midpoint).
TP3: 4.40 (Beginning of Supply Zone).
Natural Gas Swing TradeTitle: Long Natural Gas Based on Bullish Divergence and Weekly Order Block
Trade Setup:
- Asset: Natural Gas
- Timeframes: Daily and Weekly
- Entry: Buy at the close of a bullish candlestick pattern confirming divergence on the daily chart
- Stop-Loss: Below the weekly order block or recent swing low
- Take-Profit: Based on key resistance levels or a 1:3 risk-reward ratio
Analysis:
- Bullish divergence confirmed on the daily timeframe
- Price in a weekly order block, indicating strong support
- Volume supports potential bullish reversal
Trade Plan:
- Enter long position on daily bullish confirmation within the weekly order block
- Set stop-loss below the weekly order block or recent swing low
- Take profit at key resistance levels or using a 1:3 risk-reward ratio
- Risk 1-2% of trading capital
This trade plan aligns with the technical analysis and provides a structured approach to capitalizing on the potential bullish reversal in Natural Gas.
Natural Gas Bullish OpportunityWhy the Bullish Sentiment?
🌬 Cold Weather Incoming: Frigid forecasts are set to spike heating demand, boosting natural gas consumption.
🌍 Global LNG Demand: International markets, particularly Europe and Asia, are tightening the supply, fueling upward pressure.
📉 Lower Storage Levels: US inventories are running below the 5-year average, creating a potential supply crunch.
⚠️ Geopolitical Tensions: Supply concerns in Europe continue to drive bullish sentiment, making natural gas an attractive play.
With all these factors aligning, the stage is set for a potential rally! 📈
Entry: 3.40 USD.
Take Profit Levels:
🎯 Take Profit 1: 3.49 USD
🎯 Take Profit 2: 3.61 USD
🏆 Take Profit 3: 3.81 USD
Stop Loss: Set your safety net at 3.25 USD, just below the support level. 🛡
Where do you think Natural Gas will go?
Natgas Weekly Analysis 14-17 JanArctic Air Outbreak Anticipated for Much of the Central, Eastern, and Southern U.S.
After a brief warm up to end the week, a strong cold front will usher in a dangerously cold Arctic air mass east of the Rockies. Much below normal temperatures are forecast to first arrive in the Northern Plains this weekend and then dive southward and eastward over the following days.
(a) During the January 19-23 period*, most of the Lower 48 will likely experience below normal temperatures. The highest probabilities are in the Central, Eastern, and Southern U.S., with greater than 80% odds over much of those regions.
(b) Hazardous cold temperatures and wind chills are anticipated east of the Rockies. Sub-zero temperatures are possible in the Northern Plains, Great Lakes, Midwest, and interior New England. Well-below freezing temperatures are likely as far south as the Gulf Coast.
While some moderation in temperatures may occur during the middle of next week, the overall pattern is anticipated to remain favorable for additional cold air outbreaks into the Lower 48 to close the month of January. Frozen precipitation is also possible in locations where moisture interacts with the cold air. However, the timing, location, and intensity of any winter storms during Week-2 are uncertain at this time.
Natural Gas weekly levels with both buy and sell entriesNatural Gas weekly levels with both buy and sell entries.
We have seen a bullish move on Gas this week closing at the highs of 3.703/
In the coming week it could deliver a brealput and trade at $4.0 level/
Look at the moving averages yjese have crossedd over and are trading with divergence and bullishness.
RSI is looking upwards and in the near term should deliver in the overbought zone.
I have given both buy and sell entries to be treated as scalping entries especially if selling for short term profit.
Worth noteing that the fibonacci levels are nearly exactly lining up with our entries on both buy and sell levels.
As always take caution, trade with approprate lot size use a stop loss.
The opinions above are not finincial advice mearly my own thoughts on what i think natural gas will reach this week/
Natural Gas..First Target 4 Dollers...May Reached to 5 Dollers Natural gas moved as Expected and posted on 4th January.....Volume of 10th January is quite decent on buying side so we can may expect a Gap Up opening on Monday.....As mentioned on 4th January post it can hit first target within 2-3 days....RSI will also break 60 strength range if it will be break away gap up on Monday...
Lets Hope for the Best..!!
Gas panic in Europe: reserves depleting at record paceEurope is facing unprecedented depletion of gas reserves due to cold weather and technical challenges. According to EU gas storage data, storage levels have fallen to 70%, significantly lower than last year’s 86%. Analysts note that this situation is unique in the last seven years.
Adding to the strain, Norway’s Hammerfest plant, which supplies liquefied natural gas (LNG), has halted operations due to compressor issues. This suspension intensifies pressure on the gas market, especially in light of the cessation of Russian gas transit through Ukraine.
The European gas market is set for potential price increases in the coming months. Current storage challenges and reduced supply volumes heighten the likelihood of price hikes, particularly if the cold weather persists. Additionally, the reduction in Russian gas supplies forces the EU to compete more aggressively for LNG on the global market.
Advantages of investing in #GAS in 2025:
Rising energy demand: Increased gas consumption during the winter and limited supply create conditions for sustained price growth. Investing in #GAS could yield high returns during the current energy crisis.
Global LNG competition: Europe and Asia are actively competing for access to LNG. This boosts market liquidity and enhances its appeal to traders and investors.
Inflation hedge: Energy resources, including gas, are a traditional way to protect investments from inflation risks.
Transition to LNG: As part of supply diversification, Europe is increasing the share of LNG in its energy mix, supporting demand for gas futures.
High volatility: Significant price fluctuations present possibilities for short-term profits, particularly amidst geopolitical instability and weather anomalies.
Analysts at FreshForex believe that 2025 is the ideal time to invest in #GAS! Limited reserves, high demand, and volatility create perfect conditions for substantial profits. Don’t miss the chance to capitalize on the year’s leading energy resource!
NatGas - Potential short is in playAs continuation of my Idea I suggest a set up for short continuation based on eliott wave and volume
With the long we we have reached target of 0,5Fibo of short leg so now can start a new short for fill the green candles of yesterday and a probable short continuation.
Possibilty for a Long shall be in case of change of weater or other international news.
NATGAS SHORT SETUP Currently NATGAS is facing the Resistance at the 24EMA on the 4H after breaking the Intermediate Trend line that was the previous up trend.
The market on the Long term remains bullish but currently facing Rejection. We will take a short at this level but be cautious as this market can move up any time.
NATGAS LONGNATGAS remains positive after breaking the 20SMA on the 4H.
With CMO and CMF turning upside we can see money is flowing into the NATGAS markets. With RSI Above 50 and daily and weekly Ichimoku showing us Bullish Bias we will consider taking a Long.
Stay tuned for the correct entry price, and drop a follow if you like the ideas!!
Natural Gas will see half cent the priceIn my analysis, gas price is traveling along the wave E, and now is finishing wave b of a zigzag. And i will soon head down to complete a 5-wave race.
At its peak, Russia enjoyed gas export to Europe, thus leaving The USA a big loser.
She then pushed to retaliate for the lost market and caused the Ukraine war and sold arms equivalent to the amount of the gas deal.
Thus getting back all the money Russia gained out of the gas deal.
Iran-Turkey gas transfer deal is nearing its term soon.
So iran will not make a cheap deal.
If prices drop according to my analysis, Iran wil reduce its gas transport by more than half. And will provide steel, petrochemical industry and cement factories with abundant supply of gas and we will see the economy grow faster.
By then, oil prices will reach to more than 160 dollars a barrel.
I hope the best for Iran.