NZD/USD – Short-Term Bearish OutlookNZD/USD – Short-Term Bearish Outlook
Price action suggests a potential pullback in the short term.
If momentum holds, I’m eyeing a short position with a target at 0.59760.
💡 Clean setup, tight risk, and solid reward potential.
📉 Watching for confirmation to enter. Follow for more intraday setups!
USDNZD trade ideas
NZD/USD Buy Opportunity at Channel Support (1H)📈 NZD/USD – Bullish Channel Setup (1H Timeframe)
Price action is currently moving within a clearly defined ascending channel. After a period of consolidation, the pair has been making higher highs and higher lows, respecting the structure of this bullish channel.
🔹 Trend Bias: Bullish (short-term) 🔹 Support Zone: Lower boundary of the channel (around 0.6020) 🔹 Resistance Zone: Upper boundary of the channel (around 0.6060) 🔹 Current Price: 0.60288 – sitting right above the channel’s midline and testing support
🔍 Analysis:
Price is respecting the ascending trendline and forming minor pullbacks along the way.
The current candle is testing the lower boundary of the channel, which could act as a potential bounce zone if bullish pressure continues.
If price holds above this trendline support, we could see another leg toward the channel top near 0.6060.
However, a break and close below the channel support could open the door for a deeper pullback toward 0.6000 or even 0.5980.
📌 Watchlist Setup:
Buy scenario: Look for bullish confirmation around 0.6020 – bullish engulfing or strong rejection wicks.
Sell scenario: Wait for a clear break and retest of the lower channel line for possible short entries.
🧠 Bias Caution: Always align this setup with your higher timeframe analysis (e.g., 4H or Daily) and watch for upcoming news events that could impact USD or NZD.
NZDUSD BUYSNZDUSD is expected to buy to complete the crab pattern around 0.61200 psychological level BOUNCING FROM A 1HR FVG(Fair value Gap). we saw an expected rate cut of NZD interest rate at 25 basis point(0.25%) was was a dovish stand by the central bank. with investment sentiment still high on risk-on assets, I expect nzd to bully the green-back which is struggling with low interest rate figures as a result of declining inflation figures nearing its 2024 inflation target of 2% and global trade wars.
NZD/USD Bearish Reversal Setup | AB=CD -Week 7Hey Traders!
I'm currently watching a possible bearish reversal setup forming on the NZD/USD 1H chart based on:
✅ Confluence Factors:
🔹 AB=CD Harmonic Pattern
Price is approaching the D point near the PRZ (Potential Reversal Zone)
AB=CD ratio aligns closely with 1.618 and 0.618 fibs for BC leg
🔹 Bearish RSI Divergence
RSI is showing a higher high while price action is also making a higher high
Classic sign of momentum weakening at the top
📌 Trading Plan:
Wait for price to reach or slightly exceed point D / PRZ zone
Watch for clear lower highs and lower lows on price structure
Confirm entry with bearish divergence and candle confirmation
Enter via Sell Stop below support or structural break
Target: Previous support zones
Stop Loss: Above PRZ/point D
#NZDUSD #HarmonicPatterns #RSIDivergence #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingSetup #ABCDPattern #Forex #TradingView
Potential bearish drop?NZD/USD is reacting off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.6011
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Stop loss: 0.6051
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 0.5950
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
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NZD/USD: Bullish signals build ahead of U.S. data gauntletNZD/USD is holding an established uptrend with bullish momentum building, supported by strengthening RSI and MACD signals. The pair is testing key resistance at .6050—a level that’s capped price repeatedly over the years.
A break and close above would confirm a bullish setup, allowing for longs to be established above the level with a stop just beneath. Initial resistance comes in at .6110, with scope for a move towards .6200 if momentum continues.
Good luck!
DS
NZD/USD BEST PLACE TO SELL FROM|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
NZD-USD uptrend evident from the last 1W green candle makes short trades more risky, but the current set-up targeting 0.587 area still presents a good opportunity for us to sell the pair because the resistance line is nearby and the BB upper band is close which indicates the overbought state of the NZD/USD pair.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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NZDUSD poised to break out after 38 days stuckNZDUSD is forming a key pattern after 38 days of consolidation. Whether it’s an inverse head and shoulders or an ascending triangle, a break above 0.6030 could trigger a big move. Learn how to trade it.
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New Zealand central bank sees less growth, FOMC says it will remThe New Zealand dollar declined as much as 0.67% earlier but has recovered. In the European session, NZDS/USD is trading at 0.5969, up 0.04% on the day.
A day after the Reserve Bank of New Zealand lowered interest rates, Governor Christian Hawkesby testified before a parliamentary committee on Thursday. Hawkesby said the central bank could hold rates in July and that rate decisions would be data-dependent. The Governor said he expected slower global growth would dampen New Zealand's recovery and there was uncertainty around the impact of the US tariffs.
The RBNZ has been aggressive, chopping 225 basis points in the current easing cycle, which has brought the cash rate down to 3.25%, its lowest level in almost three years. At yesterday's meeting, the RBNZ said that the cash rate was currently in a neutral zone, where it neither stimulates nor curbs economic growth.
FOMC minutes: Increasing uncertainly could mean "difficult tradeoffs"
In the FOMC minutes of the May 7 meeting, members expressed concern about the government's fiscal and trade policy. Members said that "uncertainty about the economic outlook had increased further", making it appropriate to remain cautious until these policies became clearer. Members warned that if inflation remained high and growth and employment weakened, the Fed might have to make "difficult tradeoffs".
There was another twist to the Trump tariffs saga as the US Court of International Trade declared the tariffs illegal. The Court ruled that Trump had exceeded his authority by imposing wide-sweeping tariffs against US trading partners. The decision puts a hold on the tariffs, but that may not last long as the US Justice Department has filed an appeal.
NZDUSD - growth ended with a false breakout NZDUSD makes a false breakout of resistance after strong growth in the Asian session. The dollar is correcting a bit before the news at this time, which may give a chance for the currency pair to correct
Scenario: Strong growth of 2.3% is tempered by a false breakout. The price is not ready to continue rising. Consolidation of the price below 0.60200 may intensify the sell-off and trigger a correction to the support at 0.5969 (0.5)
NZD/USD – Bearish Reversal Expected Below 0.5990–0.5977 ResistanThe NZD/USD pair is approaching a key resistance zone at 0.5990–0.5977, which has been tested multiple times and aligns with the upper boundary of a potential corrective structure.
🔹 Elliott Wave Context:
The price action appears to be completing a corrective wave (C) structure, indicating that upside momentum may be limited.
This scenario suggests a potential bearish reversal from the resistance zone.
🔹 Targets & Levels:
Resistance: 0.5990–0.5977
First support target: 0.5885
Next major support: 0.5846
📌 Trading Plan:
Watching for bearish confirmation (rejection candlesticks or reversal pattern) below 0.5990–0.5977
Potential short entries targeting the support levels
A break above 0.5990 would invalidate the bearish setup and suggest continuation to the upside
This chart offers a clear bearish bias while price remains below the resistance zone, supported by Elliott Wave context and previous price action behavior.
Bullish bounce for the Kiwi?The price has bounced off the support level which is a pullback support that lines up with the 71% Fibonacci retracement and could potentially rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.5931
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 71% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.5898
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 0.6017
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
NZDUSD 1D Golden Cross, final bull signal.The NZDUSD pair has been trading within a Channel Up pattern that only broke during the early April sell-off and has found Support near its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) on its recent May consolidation.
As the 1D MACD just formed the 4th Bullish Cross of the year we expect this long with the emerging 1D Golden Cross to be the final buy signal before a long-term correction. Our Target is 0.60900 representing a +4.30% rise, the minimum previous within this pattern.
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NzdUsd Trade IdeaWith NU flipping bullish on higher time frames my priority was to go long on the pair as long as the smaller time frame could give some type of long opportunity to support the higher time frame bias. NU broke and retested a level of resistance with bullish structures in play to support the long idea. If all goes well we could expect price to tap back into the high and potentially end the week creating a new high. I'll be targeting a 1:3rr on this set up. We'll see how it goes.
NZDUSD: Dips as Investors Await RBNZ Decision on May New Zealand Dollar Dips as Investors Await RBNZ Decision on May 28
The New Zealand dollar fell to around $0.6000 on Tuesday, following a volatile Monday session where it briefly reached its highest level in nearly seven months.
Now, all eyes are on the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s upcoming policy announcement on Wednesday.
The central bank is widely expected to cut interest rates for the sixth time in a row, possibly lowering the official cash rate by 25 basis points to 3.25%.
Market participants will also pay close attention to the bank’s latest economic forecasts, looking for clues about how China Trade Tariffs could affect future growth.
Meanwhile, NZDUSD remains below the Daily Pivot Point, signaling a higher likelihood of further declines ahead of the RBNZ rate decision, as seen in the chart.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
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NZDUSD Range Tightens – Breakout Setup BuildingNZDUSD continues to coil within a contracting triangle, forming a symmetrical wedge bounded by lower highs and higher lows. Price is approaching the resistance zone near 0.6028, with visible indecision and rejection wicks, signaling potential for either breakout or rejection.
Key Levels:
Resistance: 0.6028 (structural ceiling, key pivot)
Support: ~0.5800 (ascending support line of wedge)
Breakout Target (Bullish): 0.6150–0.6200
Breakdown Target (Bearish): 0.5650–0.5550
Scenarios to Watch:
🔹 Bearish Rejection
Price rejects off 0.6028 and returns inside range
Watch for momentum drop and move toward wedge base (0.5800)
Clean breakdown opens path toward April lows (~0.5509)
🔹 Bullish Breakout
Break and hold above 0.6028
Confirmation on 4H close + retest
Opens room for bullish extension toward 0.6150+
Outlook:
Price is nearing apex compression, suggesting breakout is imminent.
Bias is neutral until price breaks out of the current wedge structure.
Expect volatility spike around the 0.6028 test.
NZDUSD to form a higher low?NZDUSD - 24h expiry
There is no clear indication that the upward move is coming to an end.
The correction lower is assessed as being complete.
A move through 0.5960 will confirm the bullish momentum.
The measured move target is 0.6000.
Pivot resistance is at 0.6000.
We look to Buy at 0.5940 (stop at 0.5915)
Our profit targets will be 0.5990 and 0.6000
Resistance: 0.5975 / 0.5990 / 0.6000
Support: 0.5940 / 0.5925 / 0.5900
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The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
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