USDNZD trade ideas
Bullish bounce?The Kiwi (NZD/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 127.2% Fibonacci resistance.
Pivot: 0.6036
1st Support: 0.6002
1st Resistance: 0.6093
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NZDUSD โ Correction and liquidity capture ahead of growthFX:NZDUSD , following a sharp decline during the Pacific-Asian session, is testing the support of the upward trend and the liquidity zone...
The dollar is correcting amid escalating tensions in the Middle East. This is a temporary move, and the market may return to its main trend. The currency pair is forming a false breakdown of support
Against the backdrop of an uptrend and a weak dollar, the currency pair is testing support at 0.6000. The reaction is weak at the moment, but there is a chance for growth if the price consolidates above 0.6020. I do not rule out a retest of the liquidity zone at 0.5989 before growth
Support levels: 0.6000, 0.5989
Resistance levels: 0.6068
The inability to continue falling and the formation of a local reversal structure relative to 0.6000 (price consolidation above 0.6020) may support the market. I do not rule out that the market may decline to the liquidity zone of 0.5989 before rising.
Best regards, R. Linda!
Trade Idea: Buy NZD/USD (Short-Term)
**๐ Trade Idea: Buy NZD/USD (Short-Term)**
**Bias:** ๐ผ Mildly Bullish
**Timeframe:** โณ Short-Term (few days to a week)
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### **๐ก Why Buy NZD/USD?**
**๐บ๐ธ U.S. Dollar (USD):**
* **U.S. growth slowing**
โ *๐ Losing steam โ not great for the greenback.*
* **Inflation still above 2%**
โ *๐ฅ Still sticky, but not hot enough to force more hikes.*
* **Fed on pause, no hikes expected**
โ *๐ Neutral stance = no strong push behind the dollar.*
* **Traders are heavily short USD**
โ *๐ Market leaning bearish โ the flow favors downside.*
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**๐ณ๐ฟ New Zealand Dollar (NZD):**
* **Moves with AUD; USD weakness helps**
โ *๐งฒ Riding the Aussieโs coattails and dollar softness.*
* **RBNZ cut to 3.25% but no surprises now**
โ *๐ค Dovish tone is baked in โ no fresh reason to sell.*
* **Inflation stable, no shock data**
โ *โ๏ธ Balanced outlook helps keep NZD supported.*
* **June 23 GDP is the next big test**
โ *๐
Eyes on the date, but no panic until then.*
* **Dairy & China demand still a drag**
โ *๐๐ Known risks โ not new, not spooking the market.*
---
### **๐ Outlook:**
Not a breakout setup, but NZD/USD could **grind higher** if nothing major changes. USD weakness + quiet Kiwi = room to float up short-term.
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**๐ Note:**
> *โItโs not exciting, but itโs working. USD soft, NZD steady โ could drift higher while the market waits for GDP.โ*
NZD/USD BEST PLACE TO SELL FROM|SHORT
NZD/USD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 0.607
Target Level: 0.603
Stop Loss: 0.610
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 3h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
โ
LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEASโ
NZD/USD Pushes Below Opening Range for JuneNZD/USD slipped to a fresh monthly low (0.5959) after struggling to close above 0.6070 (61.8% Fibonacci extension), and a move/close below the 0.5920 (61.8% Fibonacci extension) to 0.5930 (78.6% Fibonacci extension) region may lead to a test of the May low (0.5847).
Next area of interest comes in around 0.5740 (78.6% Fibonacci retracement) to 0.5760 (100% Fibonacci extension), but NZD/USD may attempt to retrace the decline from the monthly high (0.6088) should it defend the advance from the May low (0.5847).
Need a close above 0.6070 (61.8% Fibonacci extension) to bring 0.6170 (50% Fibonacci extension) on the radar, with the next area of interest coming in around 0.6230 (50% Fibonacci extension) to 0.6260 (38.2% Fibonacci extension).
--- Written by David Song, Senior Strategist at FOREX.com
NZDUSD Bearish Bias on the 4H Bearish momentum break of trend line
LL created
Waiting for a pull back to the 50 - 61.8 % fib level
Pros
- we have daily Bearish
- Key Resistance level
- Fresh trend change
Cons
- We still need to wait for pull back to present a good entry.
For Entry,
- Looking for bearish price action e.g
momentum loss, pull back trend line break, bearish engulfing,
lower timeframe change of structure
Bullish AB=CD Hey traders ๐
This is a textbook Bullish AB=CD structure unfolding on NZDUSD.
The market sold off in clean symmetry from A โ B, pulled back into C, and completed the full AB = CD leg at D (0.59590) โ precisely at the 100% โ 127.2% PRZ.
๐ง Pattern Breakdown:
AB = CD completion at 0.59590
Reversal began from confluence zone with clear reaction
PRZ defined from 0.59788 to 0.59574
Target 1 โ 0.60202 โ 0.60368
Target 2 โ 0.60683 โ 0.60849 (extension to full symmetry cycle)
We now monitor for continuation and use structure to manage the trade.
Momentum shifting bullish โ trade the setup, not your opinion.
โ C. Dela | #TradeChartPatternsLikeThePros.
NZD/USD โ Potential Bullish Reversal Setup- Wk9The NZD/USD pair is showing strong signs of a potential reversal. The price has entered the Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ) as indicated by the AB=CD harmonic pattern. A clear bullish divergence has also been spotted on the chart, adding further confirmation to the setup.
To strengthen the bias, a falling wedgeโa classic bullish reversal patternโhas formed. With all technical indicators aligning, we anticipate a bullish reversal in the coming sessions.
๐น Pair: NZD/USD
๐น Trend: Bearish (but preparing for reversal)
๐น Pattern: Falling Wedge
๐น Harmonic Pattern: AB=CD
๐น Divergence: Bullish
๐น Entry: Buy Stop at 0.59917
๐น Stop Loss: 0.59549
๐น Take Profit 1: 0.60285
๐น Take Profit 2: 0.60653
๐น Lot Size: 0.14
๐น Risk/Reward: 1:1 and 1:2
๐น Risk: $200
๐น Potential Reward: $300
๐ #NZDUSD #ForexSignals #HarmonicPatterns #ABCDPattern #BullishDivergence #FallingWedge #TechnicalAnalysis #ForexSetup #ReversalTrade #PriceActionTrading #SmartMoney #1HChart #FXTrading #RiskReward
Is This the Next Big Heist? Thief Trader Eyes NZD/USD Long SetupThief Traderโs NZD/USD Heist Plan โ Long Setup in Play!
๐ **Hello Global Wealth Warriors!**
Hello, Bonjour, Ciao, Salut, Guten Tag, Ola!
๐ข **Fellow Profit Pirates & Market Mavericks**, itโs time to set sail again! Get ready to loot the forex seas with our latest **Thief Trader Strategy** targeting the **NZD/USD (The Kiwi)** pair.
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๐ **Trade Overview**
๐ฅ Setup: Long Entry Plan โ Executing our cunning blueprint with Thief Trading's sharp technical & fundamental intel**.
๐ฏ Target: 0.62300 (or exit just before for safety).
โ ๏ธ Danger Zone: Watch for traps at the RED Zone Level โ signs of overbought conditions, consolidation, trend flips & bearish setups.
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๐ข **Entry Signal** โ *The Heist Begins!*
๐ **Primary Entry**:
> Breakout above **MA Line (0.60300)** = Bullish move โ *Place a Buy Stop above ATR Line*
๐ **Pullback Option**:
> *Buy Limit* at recent swing low/high on **15 or 30-min TF**.
๐ **Pro Tip**:
Set an **Alert** on your chart to catch the breakout live. Timing is everything!
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๐ **Stop Loss โ The Getaway Plan**
๐ **SL Recommendation**:
> Recent swing low on the **4H chart (0.59400)** for day/swing trades.
> ๐ฏ Customize your SL based on risk, lot size, and total orders.
---
๐ **Scalpers vs. Swingers**
๐ **Scalpers**: Focus ONLY on long-side plays.
๐ฐ Got deep pockets? Dive in.
๐ Otherwise, swing traders โ this is your golden moment. Trail your SL to protect profits.
๐ **Market Pulse** โ Momentum Watch
๐ Kiwi is navigating a **MA Resistance Zone**, but bullish bias remains due to:
* **Fundamentals**
* **Macro Insights**
* **COT Reports**
* **Sentiment & Intermarket Trends**
* **Quant Analysis + Overall Score**
๐ Check the linkks for detailed breakdown.
๐ฐ **News Warning!**
โ ๏ธ Major releases ahead?
* Pause entries.
* Protect trades with **trailing SLs**.
---
๐จ **Join the Next Heist with Thief Trading!**
๐ฅ Smash that **Boost** or **Like** to join our profit squad.
With **Thief Trader Style**, we dominate the markets DAILY.
Your support fuels our mission. โค๏ธ๐ผ
---
๐ธ Stay ready for the next move, money-makers.
๐ฏ Eyes on the chart โ timing is profit.
New Zealand GDP expected to contract, New Zealand dollar recoverThe New Zealand dollar has posted gains on Wednesday. In the North American session, NZD/USD is trading at 0.6042, up 0.45% on the day. The New Zealand dollar sustained sharp losses a day earlier, declining 0.75%.
The New Zealand economy is in recession and the markets are bracing for a contraction in first-quarter GDP of 0.8%. The economy declined in Q4 2024 by 1.1%.
A weak GDP report would put pressure on the Reserve Bank of New Zealand to reduce interest rates at the next meeting on July 9. The Reserve Bank has been aggressive and lowered rates for a sixth straight time in May to 3.25%, for a total of 225 basis points.
Is the resilient US consumer showing cracks?
US retail sales slumped in May, falling 0.9% m/m. This was well below the revised -0.1% reading in April and worse than the market estimate of -0.7%. Annually, retail sales fell to 3.3%, down sharply from a revised 5.0%.
The monthly retail sales is particularly concerning because it marked a second straight decline. The pre-tariff spike in consumer spending has fizzled as the tariffs have taken effect. Consumers are wary that the tariffs will boost inflation and dampen consumer spending power and concerns about hiring have risen, prompting consumers to batten down the hatches in anticipation of tougher times ahead.
If additional key US data heads lower, this will increase pressure on the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates. The markets have priced in a hold at Wednesday's meeting at practically 100%, with little chance of a rate cut before September.
NZD/USD is testing resistance at 0.6035. Above, there is resistance at 0.6060
0.5990 and 0.5965 and providing support
NZDUSD BUY SETUP โ GLOBAL HORNS ๐ณ๐ฟ NZDUSD BUY SETUP โ GLOBAL HORNS
๐ Timeframe: 1H
๐ Direction: BUY
๐ Entry: 0.6012 (active)
๐ฏ Target: 0.6033
๐ Context:
Price swept the lows and tapped into a prior structural zone. Iโm positioned for a short-term rebound into the 0.6033 area, where liquidity likely sits from previous consolidations.
๐ As always, I manage these trades based on price action and time โ not using traditional stops.
#GlobalHorns #NZDUSD #ForexTrade
NZDUSD - Expecting Bearish Continuation In The Short TermH1 - Clean bearish trend with the price creating series of lower highs, lower lows.
No opposite signs.
Expecting further continuation lower until the two Fibonacci resistance zones hold.
If you enjoy this idea, donโt forget to LIKE ๐, FOLLOW โ
, SHARE ๐, and COMMENT โ! Drop your thoughts and charts below to keep the discussion going. Your support helps keep this content free and reach more people! ๐
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NZDUSD SELL OFF (Counter-Trend Setup)(Daily) - Price hit Key resistance level at (0.60308 - 0.59985) and consolidated at the level attempting to breakout but failing and forming double top in 4H.
(4H) - Price formed double top at the Key resistance level (0.60308 - 0.59985) which is reversal pattern, neckline of the DT at (0.60031).
(4H) - Bearish market structure at the level price forming new lower high and lower low at (0.60578 - 0.60535)
(4H) - Rising trendline connecting low of the price at (0.58522 - 0.59556).
Entry ;
-We have 2 entry models;
1.Aggressive Entry at the Double top after the close of the bearish Engulfing Candle SL above double top at 0.60808
2.Conservative Entry wait for the break of the rising trendline to signal trend change from an uptrend to downtrend then execute.
Possible reversal on Nzd/UsdNZD/USD is currently trading around 0.6030, and there are indications of a potential reversal. Let's break down the key points :
- Current Price: NZD/USD is trading at 0.6027, with a 0.2% increase in the last 24 hours.
- Ascending Channel: The pair is testing the lower boundary of an ascending channel near 0.6020, which could signal a bearish bias if broken.
- Relative Strength Index (RSI): The 14-day RSI remains above 50, suggesting a bullish bias is still in play.
- Resistance Levels: Initial resistance is at the nine-day EMA of 0.6028, followed by the eight-month high of 0.6081.
- *Support Levels*: A break below 0.6020 could lead to a decline toward the 50-day EMA at 0.5941.
Maybe bullish:
- Overlap Support: The pivot point at 0.5989 acts as an overlap support, which could lead to a bounce to the 1st resistance at 0.6060.
- Buying Opportunity: Traders are monitoring NZD/USD for a buying opportunity around the 0.60000 zone, citing a testing of the upward trend and liquidity zone.
Keep in mind that technical analysis is only part of investment reference, and market volatility can be unpredictable. It's essential to consider multiple factors, including economic news and geopolitical events, when making trading decisions .
NZDUSD to continue in the upward move?NZDUSD - 24h expiry
There is no clear indication that the upward move is coming to an end.
Although we remain bullish overall, a correction is possible with plenty of room to move lower without impacting the trend higher.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels.
A move through 0.6085 will confirm the bullish momentum.
The measured move target is 0.6125.
We look to Buy at 0.6050 (stop at 0.6025)
Our profit targets will be 0.6100 and 0.6125
Resistance: 0.6085 / 0.6100 / 0.6125
Support: 0.6060 / 0.6050 / 0.6025
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
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NZDUSD Potential UpsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring NZDUSD for a buying opportunity around 0.60000 zone, NZDUSD is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.600000 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.