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U.S. Dollar / New Zealand Dollar

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USDNZD trade ideas

Harmonic Pattern on NZD/USD – Is the Reversal Coming?The NZD/USD chart shows the formation of a Harmonic pattern. If confirmed, the price recently touched the D point, suggesting a potential bullish reversal after a significant bearish move from point C. According to the TDGMA indicator, the asset is nearing an oversold region, supporting the idea of a possible short-term recovery. Additionally, point D aligns around the 0.605 level, which has acted as a resistance zone in the past. 1. Buy from Point D (Bullish Reversal) Rationale: The Gartley pattern is one of the most reliable in terms of reversals, especially when point D coincides with strong technical support, as seen here. Moreover, the TDGMA indicator signals oversold conditions, suggesting that the market might be gearing up for a bullish reversal. The risk lies in waiting for confirmation of this reversal. Entry: After confirming a strong bullish candle above point D. Take Profit (TP): 0.6194 Stop Loss (SL): 0.6050 (below point D for added security) The Gartley pattern offers a solid buy opportunity at point D with a high probability of success. The support area and oversold conditions further strengthen the reversal thesis. However, more conservative traders may wait for a test of the resistance before entering. As always, it's essential to monitor price action, particularly on lower time frames, before take position.
Long
by MrVNpt
#NZD/USD 1DAYNZD/USD 1D – Support Turned Resistance On the daily chart of the NZD/USD pair, a significant **support-turned-resistance** pattern has been identified. This is a bearish continuation signal, suggesting that the price is likely to move lower after retesting a previous support level, which is now acting as resistance. #Pattern Overview: -Support Becomes Resistance (SBR): After a breakdown below a key support level, the price has retraced to retest this level. What was once support has now turned into a resistance zone, confirming the bearish outlook. #Forecast: -Sell Signal: The forecast indicates a sell opportunity as the price is expected to reject the newly formed resistance level and resume its downward trend. This type of setup often leads to further declines in the price. ### Trading Strategy: -Entry Point: Enter a sell position when the price fails to break above the resistance level (previous support) and shows signs of rejection (e.g., bearish candlesticks or other technical confirmations). Targets: The initial target for the downside move would be the next significant support level below the current price. Look for price action lows or Fibonacci extensions for potential target areas. Stop Loss: Place a stop-loss above the resistance level to protect against any potential bullish breakout that might invalidate the bearish setup. This pattern indicates a continuation of the bearish trend in NZD/USD, with selling opportunities emerging as the previous support level now acts as a resistance barrier.
Short
by PIPSFIGHTER
NZDUSD Retesting Support Turned Resistance: Short Opportunity? NZDUSD is currently heading back to retest a key previous support level, which may now act as resistance. If this area holds, it could present a great opportunity to hop on a potential short setup. A rejection from this level could lead to further downside, giving us a solid entry point to ride the move lower. Keep an eye on price action and confirm your entry with other indicators to stay on the safe side. What are your thoughts on this setup? Are you considering a short here? Let’s discuss in the comments! #NZDUSD #ForexTrading #PriceAction #ShortSetup #TechnicalAnalysis
Short
by KinkiHuang
RBNZ implements jumbo cut; Kiwi dollar plummeted Following the Fed's lead, the RBNZ also took a big step. The RBNZ took the jumbo step of cutting its benchmark interest rate by 50bps, bringing it down from 5.25% to 4.75%. RBNZ stated that New Zealand's economy is now in excess capacity, and low import prices fuel deflation. They insisted that the committee unanimously confirmed that domestic economic activity is decelerating, as business investment and consumer spending are weakening, and employment conditions are persistently deteriorating. As hopes for the Fed’s additional rate cut diminish, the US dollar is on the rise, while the Kiwi dollar has dropped briefly to 0.6050, matching its lowest since 18th August. NZDUSD advanced to 0.6095 after breaching the ascending channel’s upper bound. If NZDUSD breaches the resistance at 0.6110, the price could gain upward momentum toward 0.6175. Conversely, if NZDUSD fails to hold above the channel’s upper bound and breaks below the support at 0.6050, the price could fall further to 0.5960.
by inkicho_exness
NZDUSD H4 | Bearish Drop Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price has just reacted off our sell entry at 0.6107, which is a pullback resistance. Our take profit will be at 0.6038, a pullback support level close to the 127.2% Fibo extension The stop loss will be placed at 0.6176, which is a pullback resistance level. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 62% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider.You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 59% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by FXCM
Bearish drop?NZD/USD is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit. Entry: 0.6127 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 0.6172 Why we like it: There is an overlap resistance level that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit: 0.6053 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets
1
The Kiwi has a strong bearish momentum, could it fall further?The price is rising towards the pivot which acts as a pullback resistance and could fall to the the 1st support level which is a pullback support. Pivot: 0.6127 1st Support: 0.6051 1st Resistance: 0.6174 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
3
KiwiDollar Still Not Yet Bullish?Hello Traders, Cheers to Thursday! As of right now, the NZDUSD is still not strong compared to the dollar. Even though the candle broke the daily trendline, the market's selling momentum caused it to reverse down very fast. There is also a negative divergence in the indicator (MACD). Will the price touch $0.5900 once more as the low or will it keep moving higher? Our overall plan for this trade for time being is shorting before gaining. What's your thought? Share down below.
Short
by ERUDITE_88
1
New Zealand dollar sinks after RBNZ cuts by 50 bpsThe New Zealand dollar is sharply lower on Wednesday. NZD/USD is trading at 0.6079 in the European session, down 0.96% on the day. The Reserve Bank of New Zealand lowered the cash rate by 50 basis points on Wednesday to 4.75%. The RBNZ cut rates by 25-bps in August, the first rate cut in over four years. The jumbo rate cut had been priced in by the markets but the dramatic move has sent the New Zealand dollar sharply lower. The rate statement noted that inflation was within the target range and was “converging on the 2% midpoint”. This is a remarkable turnaround by the central bank, which only a few months ago was warning that inflation was too high and could force the Bank to raise rates. The RBNZ had projected that initial rate cut would not occur before mid-2025 but has moved up the timetable in dramatic fashion. The decision to cut rates by 50 bps is not surprising, given that inflation has been falling and GDP contracted in the second quarter. New Zealand releases the quarterly inflation report next week and if inflation is within expectations, it could set up another rate cut at the November meeting. The RBNZ would like to continue trimming rates but the sharp decline of the New Zealand dollar is a concern. The New Zealand dollar has plunged 4.25% in October and has slipped to a seven-week low. Today’s oversized cut sent the kiwi sharply lower and further cuts will add downward pressure on the currency. NZD/USD has pushed below several support levels and is testing support at 0.6079. Below, there is a monthly support level at 0.5995 There is resistance at 0.6131 and 0.6153
by OANDA
NZDUSD: Broke under both MAs. Strong sell signalNZDUSD is highly bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 36.216, MACD = -0.001, ADX = 38.839) as it smashed through both the 1D MA50 and the 1D MA200. The long term structure is a Rectangle (R1 and S1 Zone) and the current pattern that is emerging is almost identical with the previous bearish waves towards the S1 Zone. It is possible to see a medium term reboudn back to the 1D MA50 but on the long term we are bearish (TP = 0.58600). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Short
by InvestingScope
1
NZD/USD: US Dollar Strength Bolstered by FOMC Minutes US Dollar Strength Bolstered by FOMC Minutes NZDUSD Breaks Key Resistance Zone Fundamental Analysis: The release of the FOMC minutes today and the upcoming US CPI data on Thursday are reinforcing USD strength. Additionally, the market is anticipating a 25 basis point rate hike by the Federal Reserve at the next meeting. Two weeks ago, Chair Powell reiterated: We have made good progress toward restoring price stability without painful rise in unemployment. Labor conditions are solid, labor market roughly in balance. The Fed is not in a hurry to cut rates quickly, will be guided by data Technical Analysis: Recently, NZDUSD broke down from a strong daily structure area near 0.6110. This was a significant key zone, and the price has been moving downward without pausing. The next support zone is near 0.6000, and a move below this area could push NZDUSD to new lows around 0.5930 You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
Short
by KlejdiCuni
4