NZDUSDOvall direction (buy) .I'm only looking for buys and will wait for the market to come to me not chasing it. note this is an analysis and will be valid by confirmations at main zones
USDNZD trade ideas
EURUSD,GBPUSD,AUDUSD and NZDUSD possible bounce?Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
NZDUSD | BUYJust looking at the structure of NZDUSD we can see that price is not changing bullish based on the pattern, 15min chang, so we may target that buyside liquidity.
NZDUSD | Bearish FlagNZDUSD seems to be in continuation of a bearish trend since it has printed an obvious bearish flag pattern with on divergence on RSI.
NZD/USD Falls Following Failed Attempt to Test November HighNZD/USD carves a series of lower highs and lows following the failed attempt to test the November high (0.6038), and the bearish price action may persist as it continues to fall from a fresh yearly high (0.6032).
A move/close below the 0.5920 (61.8% Fibonacci extension) to 0.5930 (78.6% Fibonacci extension) zone may push NZD/USD toward the monthly low (0.5847), with the next area of interest coming in around 0.5740 (78.6% Fibonacci retracement) to 0.5760 (100% Fibonacci extension).
Nevertheless, NZD/USD may snap the bearish price series should it defend the advance from the monthly low (0.5847), with a breach above the November high (0.6038) bringing 0.6070 (61.8% Fibonacci extension) on the radar.
--- Written by David Song, Senior Strategist at FOREX.com
NZDUSD What Next? SELL!
My dear friends,
My technical analysis for NZDUSD is below:
The market is trading on 0.5966 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 0.5933
Recommended Stop Loss - 0.5989
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
NZDUSD holds near 60c after the RBNZ’s cutNZDUSD has remained in a sideways trend since peaking in late April as trade tension has generally calmed down significantly and traders reevaluated probabilities for monetary policy in the second half of the year. Of the two central banks, the RBNZ seems clearly more dovish than the Fed, which creates potential headwinds for the Kiwi dollar. The normal situation before 2020 of a carry from buying seems likely to remain reversed until early next year at least.
Strong recovery in mid-late April moderated fairly quickly, with somewhat lower volume and volatility for most of May so far. The 20 SMA is a potential dynamic support but not a very strong one; the 50 SMA from Bands might be more reliable as a dynamic support. The influence of fundamentals seems generally negative and 60c looks like a strong static resistance, having been tested three times, so the upside might be limited for NZDUSD for now.
55c would be the obvious medium-term target for sellers as last month’s low, but a new downtrend from here would probably depend on the Fed’s minutes late on 28 May and American second estimate GDP the next day being received broadly positively. Traders are also looking ahead to personal consumption expenditures on Friday 30 May.
This is my personal opinion, not the opinion of Exness. This is not a recommendation to trade.
Market Analysis: NZD/USD Faces Pressure, Dips AgainMarket Analysis: NZD/USD Faces Pressure, Dips Again
NZD/USD is also moving lower and might extend losses below 0.5935.
Important Takeaways for NZD/USD Analysis Today
- NZD/USD declined steadily from the 0.6000 resistance zone.
- There is a major bearish trend line forming with resistance at 0.5960 on the hourly chart of NZD/USD at FXOpen.
NZD/USD Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of NZD/USD on FXOpen, the pair also followed a similar pattern and declined from the 0.6030 zone. The New Zealand Dollar gained bearish momentum against the US Dollar.
The pair settled below the 0.5960 level and the 50-hour simple moving average. Finally, it tested the 0.5930 zone and is currently consolidating.
Immediate resistance on the upside is near the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 0.6031 swing high to the 0.5929 low at 0.5960. There is also a major bearish trend line forming with resistance at 0.5960.
The next resistance is the 0.5985 level or the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 0.6031 swing high to the 0.5929 low. If there is a move above 0.5985, the pair could rise toward 0.6030.
Any more gains might open the doors for a move toward the 0.6080 resistance zone in the coming days. On the downside, immediate support on the NZD/USD chart is near the 0.5930 level.
The next major support is near the 0.5910 zone. If there is a downside break below 0.5880, the pair could extend its decline toward the 0.5850 level. The next key support is near 0.5820.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
New Zealand dollar sharply lower, RBNZ cut expectedThe New Zealand dollar is sharply lower on Tuesday. In the North American session, NZD/USD is trading at 0.5950, down 0.83% on the day. A day earlier, the New Zealand dollar touched a high of 0.6031, its highest level since Oct. 2024.
The Reserve Bank of New Zealand is widely expected to lower rates by a quarter-point to 3.25% on Wednesday. With little doubt about the decision, investors will be focusing on the Reserve Bank's updated forecasts. The markets are looking at another rate cut in July and perhaps one more later in the year, which would lower the cash rate below 3.0%.
The RBNZ has been dealing with a weak domestic economy and a deteriorating outlook for the global economy due to US President Trump's erratic tariff policy. The RBNZ would like to continue trimming rates and restore consumer and business confidence.
New Zealand's inflation was higher than expected in the first quarter at 2.5%, up from 2.2% in Q4 2024. This is within the Bank's inflation target of 1%-3% and means that inflation levels won't prevent the Bank from lowering rates on Wednesday.
US durable goods orders plunges, consumer confidence surges
In the US, Durable Goods Orders declined by 6.3% m/m in April, after a 7.5% gain in March, which was the fastest pace of growth since July 2020. The soft reading managed to beat the market estimate of -7.8%. The Conference Board Consumer Confidence index, which has fallen steadily this year, surged to 98.0 in May, up from 86.0 in April and blowing past the market estimate of 87.0.
We'll hear from more Federal Reserve members on Wednesday, which could provide some insights into the Fed's rate path. The Fed has adopted a wait-and-see stance and is widely expected to hold rates for a fourth straight time at the next meeting on June 18.
NZD/USD has pushed below support at 0.5978 and is testing 0.5955. Below, there is support at 0.5928
There is resistance at 0.6005 and 0.6028
Qml Advanced liquidity....Same structure at the bottom is being generated again on the opposite side to push the price to the down side .
NZDUSD short ideanzdusd short idea price retested high zone resistance and rejected Im expecting price fall back to fib 0.50 or 0.61 level at least taking short
Atlas - End-Of-The-Week Review - June 6th 2025Atlas - End-Of-The-Week Review - June 6th 2025
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Noble.Mike.Jamison
# NZDUSD H1 SUPPLY # NZDUSD H1 MSS in LTF with Valid Conformation our entry
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KGB PRIYABRAT BEHERA
ICT & Advance Mapping SMC Trader
Atlas - Mid-Week Review of a few Assets - June 4th 2025Atlas - Mid-Week Review of a few Assets - June 4th 2025
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Noble.Mike.Jamison
Looking for short on NZDUSDFormation of the fake out & failing to close above the R-Structure indicates weakness
Corrective wave structure is confirmed
Overall looks like a good trade
Trade at your own risk management rules
NZDUSD Wave Analysis – 3 June 2025
- NZDUSD reversed from the resistance zone
- Likely to fall to support level 0.5900
NZDUSD currency pair recently reversed down from the resistance zone between the resistance level 0.6030 (which has been reversing the price from November), the upper daily Bollinger Band and the 61.8% Fibonacci correction of the downward impulse from September.
The downward reversal from this resistance zone stopped the C-wave of the previous ABC correction (2).
Given the strength of the resistance level of 0.6030 and the bearish divergence on the daily Stochastic, the NZDUSD currency pair can be expected to fall to the next support level of 0.5900.
Waiting for a Short-Term Pullback Before the Next Bullish Leg? NZDUSD – Waiting for a Short-Term Pullback Before the Next Bullish Leg?
As global markets await the upcoming U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report later this week, NZDUSD is showing early signs of short-term weakness following a strong bullish rally from the 0.5905 low. While the broader structure remains bullish, a corrective move may be necessary to shake out weak hands and reload liquidity before a renewed surge.
🌐 Macro & Fundamental Outlook:
New Zealand: Recent economic releases from New Zealand have been lackluster, yet the RBNZ's hawkish policy stance (high interest rates) continues to support the Kiwi. However, pressure from China – New Zealand’s top trading partner – remains a drag.
United States: The U.S. Dollar remains under pressure due to rising expectations that the Fed will start cutting rates by Q3 2025, despite some hawkish tones from FOMC officials. This week’s NFP report will be a decisive factor.
Market Sentiment: After a ~150-pip rally, traders are beginning to take profits. The correction could offer a golden re-entry opportunity.
📊 Technical Analysis:
Trend Bias: The market structure is still in an uptrend, maintaining Higher Highs and Higher Lows.
Fibonacci Retracement: Price is currently pulling back toward the 0.5 – 0.618 Fibo zone (0.5992 – 0.5978), aligning with the H1 89 & 200 EMAs.
EMA Structure (13 – 34 – 89 – 200): Still bullish but currently signaling a short-term pullback.
🔑 Key Price Zones:
Resistance Levels: 0.6014 – 0.6052
Support Levels: 0.5973 – 0.5951 – 0.5932
🧭 Trade Plan
📌 Buy Setup (trend continuation):
BUY ZONE: 0.5951 – 0.5932
SL: 0.5900
TP: 0.5978 → 0.6014 → 0.6052
📌 Expecting a bullish bounce off the 61.8% Fibo + EMA 200 confluence ahead of NFP.
📌 Sell Setup (short-term countertrend scalp):
SELL ZONE: 0.6014 – 0.6025
SL: 0.6060
TP: 0.5978 → 0.5951
📌 Anticipating a reaction at a key resistance zone – ideal for intraday scalpers.
⚠️ Risk Management Notes:
Stay cautious ahead of high-impact U.S. data (ADP, Jobless Claims, NFP).
Favor buying the dip in line with the higher-timeframe trend.
Maintain discipline with tight SLs (30–35 pips max per setup).
Trade closed hit target! NZDUSD 4Hr. Wave 5 .604333 days ago
1). Price has very likely completed wave C @ .5950! 2). Risk Assets are strong today on US$ weakness! 3). BANKS ARE BUYING! 4). Volume is increasing... 5). Trendline intersecting with target fib. level 72.8%.
NZDUSD 4Hr. Wave 5 North Likely in progress towards .60751). Price has very likely completed wave C @ .5950! 2). Risk Assets are strong today on US$ strength! 3). BANKS ARE BUYING! 4). Volume is increasing... 5). Trendline intersecting with target fib. level 72.8%. 6).US $ WEAKNESS AT THE MOMENT IS ALSO ADDING TO THE ANTICIPATED RISK ASSET UPWARD SCENARIO!
US Dollar May Face a Major Downtrend — NZDUSD Full Case Study
One-sentence key takeaway:
"The coming dollar downtrend is unfolding—NZDUSD has already taken off! Catch the structural breakout; the next station may witness a major dollar reversal."
1. Key Breakout Trigger — May 13
Signal time: 2025-05-13 22:01
Trigger price: 0.58932
Insight: Multi-timeframe signal confluence on NZDUSD, 0.58932 marks a major bullish breakout.
Strategy: As long as price holds above 0.59, stay bullish and ride the trend from the start.
《NZD（纽元）大级别上涨启动点（05月13日）》
2. First Follow-up — May 20
Price remained above 0.59; signal confirmed
Conclusion: Signal fully respected, trend intact, stay long and patient.
《NZD（纽元）大级别上涨启动点 —— 跟踪篇(1)（05月20日）》
3. Temporary Resistance — May 26
Current price: 0.60206
Non-USD pairs facing resistance, some consolidation appearing.
Strategy: Any pullback is not a concern; watch the structure, the main trend is unchanged.
《NZD（纽元）大级别上涨启动点 —— 跟踪篇(2)（非美遇到阻力）（05月26日）》
4. Second Breakout — May 28
Current price: 0.59691
Non-USD currencies re-ignite; strong inflow and bullish momentum.
Strategy: Buy dips in line with the trend, bullish bias unchanged.
《https://cn.tradingview.com/chart/idea/hDlgFQsc/》
5. Latest Update — June 2
Current price: 0.6005
Dollar Index: 98.965, down 0.48% today
NZDUSD and other non-USD pairs remain strong, Dollar Index keeps weakening.
Conclusion: The major dollar downtrend is clearly in play; non-USD bullish momentum remains dominant.
My Bias
Strongly bearish on USD; looking to buy NZDUSD and other non-USD pairs on dips
As long as 0.59 holds, the main trend stands
Every correction is a new chance to get on the next leg up
"Only big signals. Only key inflection points—miss one, and you could miss an entire cycle of wealth!"
NZDUSD SHORTNZDUSD could possible short to complete a C leg of a possible expanded flat or running flat correction before the big buy
NZD/USD Setup – Smart Money Demand Zone ReactionPrice has been respecting a well-defined demand zone with multiple rejections and clear signs of accumulation. We're now seeing strong bullish intent building up, especially with the current weakness in the U.S. Dollar (DXY).
This trade idea is structured around:
🔹 A clean liquidity sweep below recent lows
🔹 Strong reaction from institutional demand
🔹 Favorable RRR and market structure support
🔹 Aligns with broader macro sentiment
Momentum is shifting — and this looks like the beginning of an expansion leg to the upside.
#nzdusd #forextrading #smartmoneyconcepts #priceaction #liquidityzone #supplyanddemand #forexsetup #tradingview #telegramsignals #forexcommunity
adm:I would like to apologize especially to EuroMotif, for breaking a rule and I am sure that this will not happen again. I am responding through the post because unfortunately the SMS does not arrive. I thank you in advance for the opportunity.
