USDNZD trade ideas
NZDUSD Wave Analysis – 14 February 2025
- NZDUSD broke the resistance zone
- Likely to rise to resistance level 0.5800
NZDUSD currency pair recently broke the resistance zone between the key resistance level 0.5700 (which stopped the earlier waves iv, 2 and ii), the resistance trendline of the daily down channel from November and the 38.2% Fibonacci correction of the downward impulse from December.
The breakout of this resistance zone stopped the previous minor impulse wave iii of the higher order impulse wave 1 from last October.
NZDUSD currency pair can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 0.5800 (former monthly low from November).
NZDUSD Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring NZDUSD for a selling opportunity around 0.57400 zone, NZDUSD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.57400 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
NZDUSD Will Collapse! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
NZDUSD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 0.5708 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
My Stop Loss - 0.5737
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 0.5653
About Used Indicators:
The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Watch NZDUSD and AUDUSD because of RBNZ & RBA next weekThe RBA and the RBNZ are expected to deliver rate decisions next week, so there might be an slight opportunity for the bulls to capture a move higher, before those Banks deliver. Also, the current weakness in DXY could give a small helping hand for the bulls. That said, the positivity might be short-lived, as both Banks are expected to announce cuts, with the RBNZ potentially going for the bigger 50 bps cut.
Let's see what happens.
MARKETSCOM:AUDUSD
MARKETSCOM:NZDUSD
FX_IDC:AUDUSD
FX_IDC:NZDUSD
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NZDUSD Strong Bullish BreakoutNZD/USD has broken a key resistance level on the H1 timeframe, confirming strong bullish momentum. This breakout signals a shift in market sentiment, with buyers taking control and pushing the price higher. If the momentum continues, we could see further upside movement.
📌 Trade Details:
✅ Entry: 0.56860
🔹 Support Level/Stop Loss: 0.56180
🎯 Target 1: 0.57540
🎯 Target 2: 0.58100
As long as the price holds above the support level, the bullish trend remains intact. Traders should watch for confirmation and follow proper risk and money management to maximize gains while protecting capital. Stay disciplined and trade wisely!
NZDUSD Technical and Fundamental AnalysisNZDUSD Technical and Fundamental Analysis
Technical analysis:
Price tested a very strong resistance zone near 0.5665. Every time it was tested the price move down. The odds are that it can move down more today from this zone to 0.5625 ; 0.5607 and 0.5585
Fundamental analysis:
President Trump continues to threat all countries with tariffs.
U.S. President Donald Trump said he would impose reciprocal tariffs as soon as Wednesday evening , February 13th, on every country that charges duties on U.S. imports, in a move that ratchets up fears of a widening global trade war and threatens to accelerate U.S. inflation.
This could support the USD strength and can push NZDUSD down even more.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
NZDUSD Bullish Flag developing? The NZDUSD currency pair sentiment appears neutral, supported by the longer-term sideways consolidation trading range. The recent price action appears to be an oversold bullish flag pattern, however, it needs to be taken in consideration as a part of the longer-term sideways consolidation. This could be indicative of intraday Bulls and Bears fight for dominance.
The key trading level is at 0.5600, the current swing low range from 12th February 2025. A continuation of the selling pressure below the 05625 level and a daily close below the 0.5600 support level could target additional downside support at 0.5550 followed by the 0.5517 and 0.5500 levels over the longer timeframe.
Alternatively, an oversold rally from the current levels and a confirmed breakout above 0.5700 resistance and a daily close above that level would negate the bearish outlook opening the way for a further rally and a retest of 05735 resistance followed by 0.5760 levels.
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NZDUSDShort Fundamental Analysis – NZD/USD
1. Context
• Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ)
• Suggests it is near the end of its hiking cycle, with inflation moderately above target but appearing more contained.
• The NZ economy is heavily influenced by dairy exports and overall Asian demand (particularly from China).
• Federal Reserve (Fed)
• Maintains a hawkish stance with high interest rates, backed by strong US economic indicators (GDP ~+2.6%, unemployment ~3.7%).
• The resulting yield differential typically bolsters the USD against lower-yielding currencies like the NZD.
2. Possible Direction
• Bias: Slightly bearish on NZD/USD, given the Fed’s more restrictive policy and uncertainties around global demand for New Zealand’s key exports.
• Alternate Scenario:
• If commodity prices (especially dairy) recover strongly or if Chinese demand rebounds, the NZD may see improved support.
• A dovish pivot by the Fed—should US data soften—could also favor a short-term NZD/USD uptick.
3. Factors to Watch This Week
1. RBNZ Communications
• Policy statements and economic forecasts that might signal a continuation or shift in rate strategy.
2. Commodity Market Developments
• Dairy and agricultural export data can significantly affect the NZD.
3. US Economic Indicators
• Inflation, jobs, and consumer spending data often dictate the Fed’s stance, influencing USD strength.
4. Overall Conclusion
• NZD remains sensitive to external demand and RBNZ’s largely neutral outlook, potentially limiting upward moves.
• USD retains broader support on higher interest rates and resilient economic performance.
• In the near term, NZD/USD could stay pressured unless global commodity demand strengthens or the Fed unexpectedly turns dovish.
Disclaimer
This analysis is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute trading advice. Financial markets can be volatile and carry substantial risk. Always consider your risk tolerance and consult official sources before making any trading decisions.
How To Short Sell Using This 3 Step SystemIn my last post, i showed you how to use
candle stick patterns
to find a good entry
Now when you ae screening for
these stocks,or forex pairs
you ned to be very careful with the tools
you decide to use for this skill.
Look at this chart.
You will notice that the
RSI level is in a trading range
on this CAPITALCOM:NZDUSD
the price action is just above the
sell stop order
now this move will take you about 30 days
in order for it to be a profit for you
also there is a large amount
of risk so don't use more than x10 Margin on this
one
Also, keep about 30% liquid if you are
trading future contacts.
The good thing is you can also
see the rocket booster strategy
This is where the following
3 steps are happening
1-The price is below the 50 EMA
2-The price is below the 200 EMA
3-The price has to gap down within 30 days
Forex trading is a bit slow but
it will give some profit with the right
risk management strategy
-
Rocket boost this content to learn more
-
Disclaimer: Trading is risky please learn risk management
and profit-taking strategies
Also, feel free to use a simulation trading account.
NZDUSD: High CPI and Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring NZDUSD for a selling opportunity around 0.56400 zone, NZDUSD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.56400 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
NZDUSD preparing massive rebound on the 5-year Support Zone.The NZDUSD pair rebounded last week exactly at the top of the 5-year Support Zone. This is the 3rd time in total and first since October 10 2022.
As you can see, both previous times that this Support Zone was touched, the price reacted with an immediate rebound and skyrocketed to the long-term Resistance Zone (0.65150 - 0.65850). Also on both those bottoms, the 1W RSI broke below the 30.00 oversold barrier and rebounded.
This time, we have the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) to consider as the first long-term Resistance, so our Target is just below a potential extension of it at 0.6200.
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Kiwi H1 | Falling towards overlap support at 50% FiboThe Kiwi (NZD/USD) is falling towards an overlap support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 0.5628 which is an overlap support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level.
Stop loss is at 0.5590 which is a level that lies underneath a confluence of Fibonacci levels i.e. the 50.0% retracement and the 161.8% extension.
Take profit is at 0.5687 which is a multi-swing-high resistance.
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