USDNZD trade ideas
NZDUSD LONG (SWING)This is fundamentally driven by the weakening US Dollar. Technically, the market is trading at around a support level (21 EMA) and has just broken above the iR. The PA is pointing upwards movement into the key levels above;
1. 0.575 psych level
2. Feb. Trading high
3. Purple foundation zone (lines up with 200 daily EMA)
NZD/USD BEARS ARE STRONG HERE|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
The BB upper band is nearby so NZD-USD is in the overbought territory. Thus, despite the uptrend on the 1W timeframe I think that we will see a bearish reaction from the resistance line above and a move down towards the target at around 0.556.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Kiwi H1 | Potential bullish bounceThe Kiwi (NZD/USD) is falling towards a swing-low support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 0.5707 which is a swing-low support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 0.5682 which is a level that lies underneath a swing-low support and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 0.5752 which is a swing-high resistance.
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NZDUSD will continuing to grow after the correctionNZDUSD is BULLISH on daily timeframe and after the correction will continue to grow, moreover the RSI is overbought
NZDUSD Short/Sell IdeaNZDUSD appears to be retracing to the downside. Although the US dollar has been underperforming of late, I do believe NZDUSD has more room to drop especially given the economic uncertainties we're currently facing against the backdrop of Donald Trump's tariff wars.
NZDUSD ShortPrice on the LTF has takeout 2 key demand zones and this is a sign of a change of direction giving us the bearish sentiment.
Sell NZDUSDNzdusd perfect sell setup, making clear low levels
if we sell these level we can make good profit.
$NZDUSD Trade Idea that clicked inSerie Of Higher high On 30Min, 1hour and 4 hour timeframes
Break Of Structure (BOS) of the Trendline.
I waited for my confirmation trend continuation candle on the lower time frame (30min)
I put 2 trendlines on the body of the first blue candle
Since I see that the price CLOSE higher than the trendline of the Higher Body Length, I went Long with a StopLoss at the yellow trendline (4 Hour Trendline)
Take Profit at Fibonacci Extension -127% (100pips)
That was my first confirmation, I took a second trade at my second confirmation
When the price retraced to Fib Retracement 38.6%, I adjusted SL but when I saw that it didn't break 50% but just tested it, I put another Long position. Small stop loss hunt institutions.
it was another confirmation of the uptrend (while adjusting the SL to 78.6%)
Finally, my last confirmation was my Moving averages (Blue over red signal uptrend)
I could have added other indicators but , my trade idea was already in motion with strong confirmations already
3 positions, 1 trade, 267 pips
100 pips
81 pips
86 pips
SL was 15 pips in the red so, very low downside for big upside . Opaah !
1 day and 1 hour of holding.
Kiwi D1 | Heading into swing-high resistanceThe Kiwi (NZD/USD) is rising towards a swing-high resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 0.5761 which is a swing-high resistance.
Stop loss is at 0.5838 which is a level that sits above the 127.2% Fibonacci extension level and a pullback resistance.
Take profit is at 0.5653 which is an overlap support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
NZD/USD’s Expanding Triangle Upside: Targeting 0.5728 & 0.5767
NZD/USD appears to be rebounding from the lower boundary of an expanding triangle, indicating a potential bullish continuation. A sustained push above the 0.5650 “reverse level” could drive the pair toward Expect Level 1 (0.5728) and, if momentum persists, Expect Level 2 (0.5767). As long as price holds above the failed-support zone and maintains its upward structure, buyers are likely to keep control, aiming for these key Fibonacci-based targets.
Back to 0.50?The next important NZD/USD data to watch will be published tomorrow when the US publishes its initial jobless claims. Is expected to show that a forecast from 242 k to 222k, which can be positive for the dollar index.
The Fed will, therefore, maintain its hawkish view if these numbers are correct since they will signal that prices remain significantly high.
There are other inflationary risks ahead. Donald Trump has pledged to impose new and bigger tariffs from top countries. On top of this, he is deporting millions of undocumented migrants, many who work in industries like construction and agriculture.
All these factors explain why US bond yields have rocketed to the highest level in two years, with the 30-year moving to 5%.
On the other hand, the RBNZ has continued to cut interest rates, and analysts expect the trend to continue in the coming months. It slashed them from last year’s high of 5.50% to the current 4.25%. As such, the local currency has fallen as the divergence between the Fed and the RBNZ continues.
Technically, we broke a converging triangle last December, with can lead us to further decline, possibly to the monthly bullish order block at 0.49690. This will complete wave y of superior Y.
NZD/USD For Bullishwait for entry point as pull-back and then go long
general trend is down
current phase is pull-back
have fun :)
NZDUSD ShortThere is a divergence within the PVG area. Following a Change of Character (CoCH) in the previous H4 time frame, and with the MA50 positioned below the MA200, this indicates an ongoing downtrend correction. Consequently, I have decided to take a short position.
NZDUSD H4 Long UpdateRemember, successful trading relies on proper risk management and a disciplined approach. Use stop-losses to safeguard your assets and carefully plan each trade. Analysis is the key to making informed decisions. Stay updated and continue refining your strategies!
NZDUSD SHortWhat is our market structure? Well done, bearish, now an ascending channel has been created that has broken the bottom twice and the price has been directed upwards; now, however, the trend strength is not good and I think the price will fall.
NZDUSD BUY4 hour Change of character with possibility of moving further up to make 4 hour right shoulder
NZDUSD SHORTNZDUSD Short Idea | Rising Channel Rejection
• Price has reached the upper resistance of the rising channel and is showing signs of rejection.
• Bearish price action is forming, indicating a potential downside move
NZD/USD Sell Setup – Cup & Handle Pattern Confirmed**📉 NZD/USD Sell Setup – Cup & Handle Pattern Confirmed! 🚀**
NZD/USD is showing a **Cup & Handle pattern**, with **EMA50 confirming a strong sell signal**. This setup suggests potential downside movement.
### **🔹 Trade Details:**
✅ **Sell Entry:** **0.56050**
✅ **Stop Loss:** **0.56650** (60 pips above entry)
### **📊 Take Profit Levels:**
- **TP1:** **0.55650** (40 pips down)
- **TP2:** **0.55250** (80 pips down)
- **TP3:** **0.54850** (120 pips down – final target)
### **📌 Trade Strategy:**
- **EMA50 confirms the bearish trend** – strong sell confirmation.
- **Proper risk management is key** – use stop loss to protect capital.
- **Monitor price action** – if momentum stays strong, TP2 and TP3 could be reached.
🚨 **Trade Setup is Active! Follow your risk management plan and execute wisely!** 📉🔥
NZD/USD Analysis & Probability AssessmentTimeframes Analyzed:
15-Minute (M15)
30-Minute (M30)
1-Hour (H1)
4-Hour (H4)
Daily (D1)
📊 Market Structure Update
✅ Bearish Trend Dominance: The overall structure remains bearish, with multiple Breaks of Structure (BOS) confirming the downtrend.
✅ Current Price Zone (~0.5600 - 0.5620): Price is testing the discount zone, which is a key demand area.
✅ Liquidity Grab Potential: A previous weak low has been taken, indicating possible price reaction.
✅ Premium Zone (~0.5730 - 0.5780): The strongest resistance, where sellers will likely dominate.
🔹 Probability for Trade Setups
1️⃣ Bullish Setup (Higher Probability - 70%)
Entry Zone: 0.5550 - 0.5580 (Discount Zone)
Stop Loss (SL): Below 0.5530
Take Profit (TP): 0.5650 - 0.5670
Probability: 70%
Reasoning:
The discount zone is holding, meaning buyers are stepping in.
RSI recovering from oversold levels.
MACD crossover approaching bullish momentum.
Liquidity sweep of weak lows, increasing reversal chances.
📌 Confirmation Needed:
Bullish candlestick pattern (Engulfing, Hammer, Morning Star)
Volume increase on bullish breakout
RSI moving above 40
2️⃣ Bearish Setup (Lower Probability - 50%)
Entry Zone: 0.5650 - 0.5670 (Resistance Zone)
Stop Loss (SL): Above 0.5700
Take Profit (TP): 0.5580
Probability: 50%
Reasoning:
The overall trend is bearish, but price is at discount demand zone, meaning a reversal is possible.
RSI is still low, signaling price exhaustion.
If price rejects 0.5650 - 0.5670, it could resume downward.
📌 Confirmation Needed:
Bearish candlestick pattern (Engulfing, Shooting Star, Evening Star)
RSI staying below 60
Volume declining near resistance zone
🎯 Final Probability Breakdown
Bullish Trade (Buying at 0.5550 - 0.5580) ➝ 70% Probability
Bearish Trade (Selling at 0.5650 - 0.5670) ➝ 50% Probability
📌 Best Trade for Now: BUY from 0.5550 - 0.5580, as price is reacting to the discount zone and showing bullish signs.
NZDUSDThe NZD/USD pair is showing strong bullish momentum, and we are targeting the 70% Fibonacci retracement level. The recent price action indicates a potential upward movement, supported by positive market sentiment and technical indicators. As the pair approaches the 70% Fib level, we anticipate further buying interest, which could drive the price higher. Traders should keep an eye on key resistance levels and manage their risk accordingly. This setup presents a promising opportunity for those looking to capitalize on the bullish trend.
NZDUSD capped by resistance at 0.5690The NZD/USD currency pair remains in a bearish trend, supported by the longer-term prevailing downtrend. However, recent intraday price action suggests sideways consolidation, indicating a potential buildup before the next significant move.
Bearish Scenario:
The key level to watch is 0.5690, aligning with the previous consolidation zone.
A potential oversold rally toward 0.5690, followed by a bearish rejection, could reaffirm the downtrend.
If sellers regain control, downside targets include 0.5580, followed by 0.5560, with 0.5530 acting as a key longer-term support.
Bullish Scenario:
A confirmed breakout above 0.5690 on a daily close would challenge the bearish outlook.
This could trigger further upside momentum, leading to a test of 0.5716, followed by 0.5770 if bullish pressure strengthens.
A sustained move above 0.5770 could indicate a broader trend shift.
Conclusion:
The overall sentiment remains bearish, but short-term consolidation suggests a possible test of 0.5690 before the next directional move. A bearish rejection at this level would reinforce the downtrend, while a breakout above 0.5690 would open the door for further upside. Traders should monitor price action closely at this key resistance zone for confirmation.
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LONG ON NZD/USDNZD/USD is giving nice uptrend structure from the higher TF.
Currently it has pulled back to a key support area and is looking good for a rise.
Dollar (DXY) is overall bearish and currently falling. (This has a inverse correlation with XXX/USD pairs)
I will be buying NZD/USD to the next resistance level / previous high for about 150-200 pips.
