USDNZD trade ideas
NZDUSD: weekly overviewTraders, this is weekly view of the pair.
Our long-term TP is the 0.6300 but for now we have a strong trendline on our way! the only tradable zone for this week is 0.58497.
In case of bullish trades, from 0.60264 level. Please consider the trend line as mid-way TPS.
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The indicated levels are determined based on the most reaction points and the assumption of approximately equal distance between the zones.
Some of these points can also be confirmed by the mathematical intervals of Murray.
You can enter with/without confirmation. IF you want to take confirmation you can use LTF analysis, Spike move confirmation, Trend Strength confirmation and ETC.
SL could be placed below the zone or regarding the LTF swings.
TP is the next zone or the nearest moving S&R, which are median and borders of the drawn channels.
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Role of different zones:
GREEN: Just long trades allowed on them.
RED: Just Short trades allowed on them.
BLUE: both long and short trades allowed on them.
WHITE: No trades allowed on them! just use them as TP points
NZDUSD Trading Opportunity! BUY!
My dear friends,
NZDUSD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 0.5954 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market.
Goal - 0.5969
About Used Indicators:
Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Recovery or Just a Bull Trap? All Eyes on PCE This WeekNZDUSD – Recovery or Just a Bull Trap? All Eyes on PCE This Week
🌐 MACRO & FUNDAMENTAL OVERVIEW
After the FOMC’s decision to keep interest rates unchanged, the US Dollar has shown signs of recovery driven by expectations that core inflation remains persistent — especially ahead of the upcoming US Core PCE Price Index release this Friday.
On the New Zealand side, the Kiwi remains under pressure due to recent weak economic data and negative sentiment from China — its largest trading partner. The RBNZ continues to maintain a neutral stance, offering little support for the currency in the near term.
Market sentiment remains cautious as investors await the PCE data to determine inflation trends and potential Fed policy shifts.
📉 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (H1–H2 TIMEFRAME)
NZDUSD is forming a technical rebound after a strong bearish leg from the 0.60300 region. Current price is trading around the 38.2%–50% Fibonacci retracement zone (0.5964–0.5976), struggling to break above EMA89 and EMA200 resistance.
Overall structure: Bearish bias remains intact with lower highs.
EMA alignment: EMA13, EMA34, and EMA89 are in bearish formation.
Key support zone: 0.5926–0.5940, trendline confluence + consolidation base.
🔑 KEY LEVELS TO WATCH
Resistance:
0.5976 – Fibonacci 0.5 retracement + previous rejection zone
0.5990 – Structural resistance of the week
0.6007 – 78.6% Fib + liquidity sweep potential
Support:
0.5940 – Trendline retest + short-term structure
0.5926 – Key demand zone with previous fake breakout
🎯 TRADE IDEAS
SELL SETUP – Fade the pullback into resistance:
Entry: 0.5976 – 0.5990
Stop Loss: 0.6010
Take Profit: 0.5940 → 0.5926
BUY SCALP – On strong bullish rejection from support:
Entry: 0.5926 – 0.5930
Stop Loss: 0.5900
Take Profit: 0.5960 → 0.5976
Note: Confirm with bullish candlestick and volume spike before entry.
⚠️ STRATEGY OUTLOOK
NZDUSD remains in a corrective phase. This week’s PCE inflation data will be critical. A hotter-than-expected reading could strengthen the USD and push NZDUSD below 0.5926, resuming the medium-term downtrend.
Avoid chasing mid-range price action. Focus on price reactions near the key resistance and support levels.
NZDUSD Wave Analysis – 27 May 2025- NZDUSD reversed from the pivotal resistance level 0.6020
- Likely to fall to support level 0.5900
NZDUSD currency pair recently reversed down from the pivotal resistance level 0.6020 (which has been reversing the price from November).
The downward reversal from the resistance level 0.6020 formed the daily Shooting Star – which stopped the C-wave of the previous ABC corrections (2).
NZDUSD currency pair can be expected to fall to the next support level 0.5900, which has been reversing the price since the middle of May.
NZDUSD is in the Selling DirectionHello Traders
In This Chart NZDUSD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today GBPUSD analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (NZDUSD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on NZDUSD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
NZDUSD higher falls expecting
OANDA:NZDUSD ASCENDING CHANNEL visible, we are have break of same on 23.5, price is start pushing but on first res zone (0.60200), price is start making reverse.
Currently again in ASCENDING CHANNEL expectations for this week are to see break and bearish push.
SUP zone: 0.59800
RES zone: 0.58450, 0.58200
RBNZ rate decision coming upKeep your eyes on the rate cut tomorrow by the RBNZ and on the NZD reaction to all of it. We have an interesting technical set up building on FX_IDC:NZDUSD . Let's dig in...
MARKETSCOM:NZDUSD
Let us know what you think in the comments below.
Thank you.
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NZD/USD 4 Hr. Real-Time Bias!1). Place Fib tool wherever it works, as theses will be key levels of Buy/Sell entries! 2). Strike a trendline off of whatever works best! 3). Establish a 5-wave/ABC sequence that seems to work! 4). Remember, wave 1 defines directional bias of price action! 5). Wave 5 slightly broke above a previous high, therefore the upward bias is likely still intact! 6). It's all the same price action principles on any timeframe any Instrument! 7). Practice...It's actually quite simple!
Momentum builds in GBP/USD and NZD/USD following tariff delayThe U.S. dollar weakened sharply in recent sessions as President Trump's announcement that the proposed 50% tariffs on EU imports will now be delayed until July 9, giving markets temporary relief.
GBP/USD edged toward 1.3600, testing levels last seen three years ago. The RSI sits just under 60, suggesting there’s still room before overbought conditions are reached. Volume has been gradually increasing, potentially reinforcing the strength of the breakout.
Risk-on flows also lifted the Australian and New Zealand dollars. NZD/USD has broken above the Ichimoku cloud and rose 0.62% on the day. Price is well above the Tenkan-sen (blue) and Kijun-sen (red), indicating strong upward momentum. However, the pair is pulling back slightly after the sharp breakout, suggesting short-term consolidation.
NZDUSD 3MONTHS CHARTNZD/USD Interest Rate Differential, 10-Year Bond Yields, and Carry Trade Analysis (May 25–30, 2025)
Current 10-Year Bond Yields
New Zealand 10-Year Bond Yield: 4.70% (as of May 21, 2025) .
US 10-Year Treasury Yield: 4.54% (as of May 22, 2025) .
Interest Rate Differential (IRD)
The yield spread between New Zealand and US 10-year bonds is:4.70%(NZD)−4.54%(USD)=+0.16%
the 4.70% (NZD)−4.54% (USD)=+0.16%
This modest differential slightly favors the New Zealand dollar, creating a limited carry trade opportunity.
Carry Trade Advantage
Investors can borrow USD at lower US rates and invest in higher-yielding NZD assets, earning the 0.16% yield spread.
The strategy is supported by New Zealand’s elevated bond yields despite recent Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) rate cuts. However, the narrow spread reduces potential returns compared to higher-yielding currency pairs.
Key Events and Risks (May 25–30, 2025)
RBNZ Monetary Policy Meeting (May 27–28):
Markets expect a 25 basis point rate cut to 3.50% , which could pressure NZD yields lower and narrow the IRD.
Further easing signals may weaken NZD, offsetting carry trade gains.
US Economic Data and Fed Policy:
US inflation data and Fed Chair Powell’s speeches could influence USD strength. Traders currently price in five Fed rate cuts by year-end , which may limit USD upside.
China Trade Dynamics:
New Zealand’s trade ties with China (its largest partner) make NZD sensitive to US-China trade tensions. Progress in tariff negotiations could support NZD .
Summary Table
Metric New Zealand (NZD) United States (USD)
10-Year Bond Yield 4.70% 4.54%
Interest Rate Differential +0.16% (NZD over USD) —
Carry Trade Appeal Modest, but narrowing —
Conclusion
The 0.16% yield advantage for NZD over USD provides a limited carry trade opportunity. However, the upcoming RBNZ rate cut (May 27–28) and potential Fed easing could narrow the spread further. NZD/USD remains vulnerable to:
RBNZ policy: Further rate cuts may reduce NZD’s yield appeal.
US-China trade developments: Escalating tensions could pressure NZD due to its reliance on Chinese trade.
While the carry trade offers marginal gains, traders should prioritize risk management amid volatility from central bank decisions and geopolitical risks.
NZDUSD TEMPORARY SHORTPURELY TECHNICAL
Though with projections of growth, NZDUSD has been consolidating and trading between $0.60 and $0.58 for over a month. A sell position would be ideal at $0.60 as corroborated by the yellow line of the TDI indicator trending above 63 on the 1hr timeframe. Additionally, $0.60 appears to be the test limit to verify the appetite of potential buyers and so far, there is little insensitive to keep buying above $0.60. Moreover, the daily timeframe shows consistent rejection of prices above $0.60
Calm Before the Storm for NZDUSD Ahead of RBNZ and US Data?NZDUSD has been forming a descending triangle pattern since 2020. After the wide swings triggered by the COVID-19 shock, price action has gradually contracted. The downside has been limited near 0.55, while the topside has followed a clear descending trendline, currently sitting around 0.62.
Following a brief surge in April, NZDUSD has entered a short-term flat trend, with two key support and resistance zones capping volatility, potentially the calm before the storm. The 0.5825–0.5850 zone acts as support, while 0.60–0.6050 serves as resistance.
This week, major events including the RBNZ decision, FOMC minutes, U.S. consumer sentiment, PCE, and GDP data could break this low-volatility pattern. A decisive move toward either the upper or lower boundary of the descending triangle may be imminent.
NZD/USD "The Kiwi" Forex Bank Money Heist (Short Term Plan)🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
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Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the NZD/USD "The Kiwi" Forex Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry and short entry. 🏆💸Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 :
"The loot's within reach! Wait for the breakout, then grab your share - whether you're a Bullish thief or a Bearish bandit!"
🏁Buy entry above 0.60300
🏁Sell Entry below 0.58990
📌However, I recommended to place buy stop for bullish side and sell stop for bearish side.
Stop Loss 🛑:
🚩Thief SL placed at 0.59000 for Bullish Trade
🚩Thief SL placed at 0.60000 for Bearish Trade
Using the 30mins period, the recent / swing low or high level.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯:
🏴☠️Bullish Robbers TP 0.61500 (or) Escape Before the Target
🏴☠️Bearish Robbers TP 0.57500 (or) Escape Before the Target
💰💵💸NZD/USD "The Kiwi" Forex Market Heist Plan is currently experiencing a neutral trend,., driven by several key factors.
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📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
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5 Trading Beliefs That Keep Me Untouchable! Do you check off 5?Everyone talks about edge, but few talk about identity.
These are the thoughts I rehearse every day.
Not to hype myself up, but to root myself deeper in who I must become.
These beliefs don’t just sharpen my trading — they shield my mind from chaos.
Welcome to The Part 2
1. Money is not important
It’s fuel, not the fire.
I don’t chase paper — I chase precision.
The second money becomes my reason, fear walks in the door.
But when it’s just the byproduct of execution and clarity?
That’s when I move with power.
> “He who chases the outcome loses the process. He who masters the process controls the outcome.”
2. It’s OK to lose in markets
Losses don’t mean I’m off-track — they mean I’m engaged.
Some trades are tuition.
And I pay them with purpose.
Because every great trader I study… bled first, banked later.
I lose like a winner — with awareness, not emotion.
3. Mental rehearsal is essential
Every night before bed — every morning before I trade —
I see it first.
I walk through the setup, the entry, the hold, the exit.
I rehearse calmness, I rehearse precision.
So when the real trade shows up?
I don’t react.
I recognize.
I’ve already been there.
4. Trading is a game
Serious results. Serious purpose.
But never serious emotion.
A game has rules. Patterns. Levels.
And like every master of any game —
I study, train, and outlast those who play sloppy.
> “The market isn’t trying to beat me. It’s just the board I’m learning to dominate.”
5. I’ve already won before I start
I walk in as the version of me who’s already achieved the outcome.
Not hoping — knowing.
I act from the future I’ve already decided is mine.
And when I operate from that space?
The market bends to meet me there.
> These aren’t just beliefs.
They’re mental armor.
If you’re walking this path to elite performance,
I’m not here to motivate you —
I’m here to remind you of who you already are.
Stay locked in.
If you trade, which one of these are you still working on?
NZDUSD: Weak Market & Bearish Forecast
It is essential that we apply multitimeframe technical analysis and there is no better example of why that is the case than the current NZDUSD chart which, if analyzed properly, clearly points in the downward direction.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
NZDUSD → A retest of resistance may end in a false breakout.FX:NZDUSD bounces off the upward support line and forms a distribution towards the liquidity zone located above 0.597...
Strong resistance lies ahead at 0.5969 - 0.5975 (liquidity pool). If the current movement continues (distribution), the market will exhaust all its potential and the situation may end in a false breakout. There is no trend as such in the market, the price is inside the flat, and thus bearish pressure may resist the upward price movement.
Resistance levels: 0.5969, 0.5974
Support levels: 0.5932, 0.5917
Against the backdrop of a falling dollar, the currency pair is likely to continue its growth and may test 0.5969 in the short term, but based on the nature of the movement, we can assume that a downward correction will follow.
Best regards, R. Linda!
Heading into overlap resistance?The Kiwi (NZD/USD) is rising towards the pivot, which is overlap resistance, and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 0.5930
1st Support: 0.5893
1st Resistance: 0.5951
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Kiwi H4 | Rising into a multi-swing-high resistanceThe Kiwi (NZD/USD) is rising towards a multi-swing-high resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 0.6019 which is a multi-swing-high resistance.
Stop loss is at 0.6095 which is a level that sits above the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit is at 0.5854 which is a swing-low support.
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