Shark pattern in the kiwi has setup... Not necessary but a pin bar close would look good today 5670-80 in the Kiwi.
USDNZD trade ideas
NZDUSD H4 ShortThe previous analytics were confirmed. We have gone beyond the level and are fixing behind it. Excellent confirmation of the entry point for selling
Thu 27th Feb 2025 NZD/USD Daily Forex Chart Sell SetupGood morning fellow traders. On my Daily Forex charts using the High Probability & Divergence trading methods from my books, I have identified a new trade setup this morning. As usual, you can read my notes on the chart for my thoughts on this setup. The trade being a NZD/USD Sell. Enjoy the day all. Cheers. Jim
NZD/USD is approaching a significant support zonemarked with a blue area, aligning closely with the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level. This suggests a potential reaction from buyers in this region. If the price holds above this support, we might see a bullish reversal. However, if the level fails, further downside movement could follow. Keep an eye on price action signals around this area to confirm a possible bounce.
Prop acct Trade #59 BBI see a potential buying opportunity at the PEP (Potential Entry Point) I marked.
However, I will wait and only enter a market buy if the price breaks my trend line and there is a shift in the MACD.
President Trump's unsettling reminder | FX ResearchPresident Trump is tightening the screws on trade, reaffirming that tariffs on Canada and Mexico will proceed as planned next week. Financial markets have reacted with stocks selling off, already weighed down by softer US economic data and rising inflation.
The euro has been consolidating recent gains as it awaits developments in the German coalition. Meanwhile, the Australian and New Zealand dollars have held up well despite Trump’s trade stance, supported by China’s liquidity measures and new policies aimed at reviving its property market and promoting rural reforms.
Key events on Tuesday’s calendar include German GDP, UK CBI trade data, Canada manufacturing sales, US Case-Shiller house prices, consumer confidence, Richmond Fed manufacturing, and speeches from the BoE, ECB, and Fed officials.
Exclusive FX research from LMAX Group Market Strategist, Joel Kruger
NZD/USD Trade Setup: Long Position at Key SupportNZD/USD is currently testing trendline support around 0.572, and I’ve entered a long position with a defined risk-reward setup.
🔹 Trade Setup:
✅ Entry: Near 0.572 (Trendline Support)
🎯 Profit Target (Blue Zone): 0.5804 - 0.5814
🛑 Stop-Loss (Yellow Zone): Below 0.567
🔹 Market Outlook:
📊 Bullish Bias – As long as the trendline holds, we could see a push toward the 0.577 - 0.581 resistance area.
⚠️ Risk Management – A break below 0.567 would invalidate the setup, triggering the stop-loss.
I’m watching for bullish confirmation here. Will buyers defend this level, or will we see a breakdown? Let me know your thoughts! 👇
NZD/USD 1H Timeframe SetupEntry conditions :
- DXY shows an FVG being touched on the Daily Timeframe , so I expect the market to move from internal liquidity (FVG) to External liquidity (Swing Point). So DXY is bearish.
- On NZD/USD we can see a trendline liquidity
- Order block created on Asia session , explosive order block creating FVG
Its important to understand the spacing and timing , right now DXY is moving down and the order block on NZD/USD just got touched, when DXY confirms the trend we need to see where the market is near on this pairs and waiting liquidity patterns and good Order blocks.
T/R zonesThis idea is based on transient/recurrent zones
Very high probability (90%+) for the price to hit TP.
Probability was calculated on TF 5min.
NZDUSDRSI indicates Bullish Divergence.
Trendline Break: A break above a significant downtrend line signals a shift in market sentiment from bearish to bullish. This is a key technical signal that buyers are starting to gain control.
BUY NZDUSDNZDUSD buy trade idea. This trade is based on two confirmations. A clear bullish flag has formed and price broke out and retested. Secondly, there seems to be an inverse head and shoulders pattern forming as well
Market Analysis: NZD/USD Holds Strong—Are More Gains Ahead?Market Analysis: NZD/USD Holds Strong—Are More Gains Ahead?
NZD/USD is also rising and could aim for a move above the 0.5800 resistance.
Important Takeaways for NZD/USD Analysis Today
- NZD/USD is consolidating above the 0.5720 support.
- There is a key bullish trend line forming with support at 0.5735 on the hourly chart of NZD/USD at FXOpen.
NZD/USD Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of NZD/USD on FXOpen, the pair also followed AUD/USD. The New Zealand Dollar formed a base above the 0.5675 level and started a decent increase against the US Dollar.
The pair climbed above the 0.5720 resistance. It tested the 0.5775 resistance before there was a pullback. The recent low was formed at 0.5734 and the pair is again rising above the 50-hour simple moving average.
It cleared the 0.5750 resistance and the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 0.5772 swing high to the 0.5734 low. The NZD/USD chart suggests that the RSI is back above 50 signaling a positive bias.
On the upside, the pair is facing resistance near the 76.4% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 0.5772 swing high to the 0.5734 low at 0.5762. The next major resistance is near the 0.5775 level.
A clear move above the 0.5775 level might even push the pair toward the 0.5800 level. Any more gains might clear the path for a move toward the 0.5880 resistance zone in the coming days.
On the downside, there is a support forming near the 0.5750 zone. If there is a downside break below the 0.5750 support, the pair might slide toward 0.5735. There is also a key bullish trend line forming with support at 0.5735. Any more losses could lead NZD/USD in a bearish zone to 0.5695.
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NZDUSD Trade set upFeel free to adjust the levels and risk management strategies to suit your own trading plan.
Entry Levels:
• First entry at 0.57
• Second entry at 0.568
• Third entry at 5.562
Profit Targets:
• First profit target at 0.58
• Second profit target at 0.588
• Third profit target at 0.595 or above
Trade Rationale:
This setup is designed to capture a potential move in NZD/USD by entering at multiple levels. The entries allow for a scaling-in approach, while the profit targets provide clear exit points as the market advances. Always ensure that your stop-loss levels are in place to manage risk effectively.
Disclaimer:
Trading involves significant risk, and you may lose all of your capital. This trade idea is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be taken as financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consider your own financial situation before trading.
Nzdusd updateLast week's analysis saw a perfect entry with our trade running right into profits.
Looking at weekly time frame we can see price broke support to create equal lows before its retracement back. Inline with our counter trend trade back to resistance.
As said in last week's analysis we had a supply zone to watch out for which price has reacted to. We can now watch trend line and support for continuation.
In line with the next retracement level after the break of structure.
These areas Fibonacci support and trend line are going to be a very important watch this week. As the equal lows have provided a point for a liquidity to be sweep. Also there's also a ascending triangle to watch for a break out.
Bullish Currently on the Daily time frame we are bullish, small pullback on lower timeframe to continue upside pullback creating structure just waiting for a break of the structure/trendline retest still waiting for price to setup.
NZD/USD Long Trade Setup (Next Week)
📌 Market Overview & Analysis
• The NZD/USD pair has recently tested a key support level around 0.5550 and showed signs of bullish rejection, suggesting a potential reversal.
• Price is currently trading around 0.5740-0.5750, which aligns with the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement level from the recent downtrend.
• A break above this level could confirm a move towards the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level (~0.5880) as the first target (TP1).
• If momentum continues and market conditions support further upside, we will hold for TP2, which will depend on price action and momentum near the 0.618 Fibonacci level (~0.6056).
📊 Trade Plan
📍 Entry:
• Long Position: Enter between 0.5730–0.5750, confirming bullish momentum with a break and close above 0.5747 (0.236 Fib level) on the 4H or daily timeframe.
🎯 Target Prices (Take Profit - TP):
• TP1: 0.5880 (0.382 Fibonacci retracement level)
• TP2: 0.6056 (0.618 Fibonacci retracement level, conditional on momentum)
📉 Stop-Loss (SL):
• Below recent low at 0.5600, keeping a risk-reward ratio of at least 1:2.
📈 Trade Management & Exit Strategy:
1. If price reaches TP1 (0.5880):
• Secure partial profits.
• Move stop-loss to breakeven for remaining position.
2. If bullish momentum continues:
• Hold towards TP2 (0.6056).
• Monitor price action at resistance levels.
3. If market shows signs of rejection at 0.5880:
• Consider exiting the full position.
📌 Market Conditions to Watch:
• DXY (US Dollar Index): Weakness in the USD could further support NZD/USD upside.
• Fundamental Events: Keep an eye on RBNZ and Fed statements, employment data, and CPI reports.
• Momentum Confirmation: Ensure price is holding above 0.5747 before entering.
📝 Summary:
• Trade Direction: Long
• Entry: 0.5730–0.5750
• SL: Below 0.5600
• TP1: 0.5880 (0.382 Fib)
• TP2: 0.6056 (0.618 Fib, if momentum sustains)
• Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:2 or better
• Key Confirmation: Bullish breakout & momentum
NZD/USD likely needs a deeper correction toward .5725 or so...The tape reading is Bearish on a 30 min. chart! Hitting resistance while Banks are selling, and Net Volume is dropping etc. Retail candles are also Bearish, since they're not able to break recent highs...
NZDUSD: Short Trading Opportunity
NZDUSD
- Classic bearish pattern
- Our team expects retracement
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Sell NZDUSD
Entry - 0.5755
Stop - 0.5789
Take - 0.5693
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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NZDUSD long positionreally beautiful setup on NZDUSD, no further explaniation needed
i will eat my shoe if this one will fail
NZDUSD Ready for a Bullish MoveHello Traders
In This Chart NZDUSD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today GBPUSD analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (NZDUSD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on NZDUSD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
NZDUSD Cup Pattern: Bullish Breakout Targeting 0.60NZDUSD is currently trading at 0.57 and forming a classic cup pattern, signaling a potential bullish continuation toward the 0.60 target. The cup pattern is a well-known technical formation that typically indicates a period of accumulation, followed by a breakout to the upside. If the price breaks above the resistance level at the cup’s rim, it could trigger strong buying momentum, pushing NZDUSD higher.
From a technical standpoint, the cup pattern suggests that the market has undergone a correction and is now regaining strength. A confirmed breakout above the neckline would validate the bullish setup, with 0.60 as the next major resistance level. Traders should watch for increasing volume and bullish candlestick confirmations to strengthen the breakout scenario.
Fundamentally, the New Zealand dollar’s movement depends on risk sentiment, US economic data, and Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) policies. If the US dollar weakens due to expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts or softer economic data, NZDUSD could gain additional upside momentum. Additionally, any hawkish signals from the RBNZ regarding inflation and interest rates could further support the bullish outlook.
In summary, NZDUSD is forming a bullish cup pattern, with a potential breakout targeting 0.60. A strong breakout above the resistance could accelerate the bullish move, supported by both technical patterns and fundamental factors. Traders should monitor global risk sentiment, US dollar trends, and RBNZ statements to confirm the momentum shift.
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Bearish reversal off pullback resistance?The Kiwi (NZD/USD) is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 0.5781
1st Support: 0.5743
1st Resistance: 0.5809
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