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U.S. Dollar / New Zealand Dollar

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USDNZD trade ideas

NU Short prespectiveLooking at NU on the 4 hr, we have a nice rejection with the pinbar taking out sell side liquidity. We can also observe that price retraced back into the resistance zone before the further push to the down side. Friday Market closed with bearish sentiment. As such we have a good amount of Fvg that we can potentially target as an entry. Here we have established the .62% as an entry using the fib retracement to target the previous lows. Now, this trade will be invalid if price fails to stay below the new LH and would make this short invalid. Currently price is testing a resistance as per historical data would present.
Short
by pipzofbd
NZDUSD 1. New Zealand 10-Year Bond Yield As of June 6, 2025, the New Zealand 10-year government bond yield is approximately 4.58% to 4.64%, with a recent slight increase to 4.64% on June 6, 2025. The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) official cash rate stands at 3.25% as of early June 2025, following cuts from 3.50% in May. Bond yields reflect inflation expectations, economic outlook, and monetary policy stance. 2. United States 10-Year Bond Yield 4.5% 3. Interest Rate Differential The 10-year bond yield differential (NZ minus US) is roughly: 4.6%(NZ)−4.5%(US)≈+0.1% This small positive differential indicates New Zealand bonds yield slightly more than US bonds, offering a modest carry advantage for NZD over USD The current Federal Reserve (Fed) policy interest rate target range is 4.25% to 4.50%, a level that has been maintained since December 18, 2024. The Fed has held rates steady through its meetings so far in 2025, including the most recent one in May. The next Fed interest rate decision is scheduled for June 18, 2025, with the announcement expected at 6:00 PM UTC (2:00 PM ET), followed by a press conference by Fed Chair Jerome Powell. The policy rate differential favors the US slightly, with the Fed’s rate around 4.25 TO 4.5%% and RBNZ’s at 3.25%–3.50%, reflecting the recent easing by New Zealand. 4. Carry Trade Advantage The carry trade incentive for NZD/USD is modest due to the small yield differential. Investors borrowing in USD to invest in NZD assets gain a slight positive yield spread from the 10-year bond yields but face currency risk and potential volatility. The carry advantage is limited by RBNZ’s recent rate cuts and the Fed’s relatively higher policy rates. Conclusion The NZD/USD 10-year bond yield differential currently offers a small carry advantage to NZD, but this is tempered by the policy rate differential favoring the USD due to recent RBNZ easing. The carry trade appeal for NZD/USD is therefore limited in June 2025, with currency movements likely influenced more by economic data, risk sentiment, and central bank guidance than pure yield spreads. #NZDUSD
Long
by Shavyfxhub
Bearish drop for Kiwi?The price is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance and could drop from this level to our take profit. Entry: 0.6051 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Stop loss: 0.6078 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Take profit: 0.6007 Why we lik eit: There is an overlap support level that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets
NZD/USD Registers Fresh Yearly HighNZD/USD breaks out of the range bound price action from earlier this week to register a fresh yearly high (0.6080). Still need a close above 0.6070 (61.8% Fibonacci extension) to open up 0.6170 (50% Fibonacci extension), with the next area of interest coming in around 0.6230 (50% Fibonacci extension) to 0.6260 (38.2% Fibonacci extension). At the same time, lack of momentum to close above 0.6070 (61.8% Fibonacci extension) may push NZD/USD back toward the weekly low (0.5961), with a break/close below the 0.5920 (61.8% Fibonacci extension) to 0.5930 (78.6% Fibonacci extension) region bringing the May low (0.5847) on the radar. --- Written by David Song, Senior Strategist at FOREX.com
by FOREXcom
NZD/USD Bearish Reversal Setup | AB=CD -Week 7Hey Traders! I'm currently watching a possible bearish reversal setup forming on the NZD/USD 1H chart based on: ✅ Confluence Factors: 🔹 AB=CD Harmonic Pattern Price is approaching the D point near the PRZ (Potential Reversal Zone) AB=CD ratio aligns closely with 1.618 and 0.618 fibs for BC leg 🔹 Bearish RSI Divergence RSI is showing a higher high while price action is also making a higher high Classic sign of momentum weakening at the top 📌 Trading Plan: Wait for price to reach or slightly exceed point D / PRZ zone Watch for clear lower highs and lower lows on price structure Confirm entry with bearish divergence and candle confirmation Enter via Sell Stop below support or structural break Target: Previous support zones Stop Loss: Above PRZ/point D #NZDUSD #HarmonicPatterns #RSIDivergence #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingSetup #ABCDPattern #Forex #TradingView
Short
by asimafridi
Lingrid | NZDUSD Uptrend Trend Continuation Trade FX:NZDUSD is trending within a clean upward channel, recently bouncing off the trendline near 0.60164. After consolidating in a narrow range, the pair is showing signs of upward continuation toward the 0.60890 resistance zone. A retest of the trendline followed by a bullish reaction could confirm the breakout move. 📈 Key Levels Buy zone: 0.60160–0.60220 Buy trigger: breakout above 0.60400 with momentum Target: 0.60890 Sell trigger: breakdown below 0.60100 💡 Risks False breakout above 0.60400 may trap buyers Close below trendline invalidates bullish structure Range-bound price action may delay breakout follow-through Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩‍💻
Long
by Lingrid
5
NZD/USD: Bullish signals build ahead of U.S. data gauntletNZD/USD is holding an established uptrend with bullish momentum building, supported by strengthening RSI and MACD signals. The pair is testing key resistance at .6050—a level that’s capped price repeatedly over the years. A break and close above would confirm a bullish setup, allowing for longs to be established above the level with a stop just beneath. Initial resistance comes in at .6110, with scope for a move towards .6200 if momentum continues. Good luck! DS
Long
by FOREXcom
NZD/USD Buy Opportunity at Channel Support (1H)📈 NZD/USD – Bullish Channel Setup (1H Timeframe) Price action is currently moving within a clearly defined ascending channel. After a period of consolidation, the pair has been making higher highs and higher lows, respecting the structure of this bullish channel. 🔹 Trend Bias: Bullish (short-term) 🔹 Support Zone: Lower boundary of the channel (around 0.6020) 🔹 Resistance Zone: Upper boundary of the channel (around 0.6060) 🔹 Current Price: 0.60288 – sitting right above the channel’s midline and testing support 🔍 Analysis: Price is respecting the ascending trendline and forming minor pullbacks along the way. The current candle is testing the lower boundary of the channel, which could act as a potential bounce zone if bullish pressure continues. If price holds above this trendline support, we could see another leg toward the channel top near 0.6060. However, a break and close below the channel support could open the door for a deeper pullback toward 0.6000 or even 0.5980. 📌 Watchlist Setup: Buy scenario: Look for bullish confirmation around 0.6020 – bullish engulfing or strong rejection wicks. Sell scenario: Wait for a clear break and retest of the lower channel line for possible short entries. 🧠 Bias Caution: Always align this setup with your higher timeframe analysis (e.g., 4H or Daily) and watch for upcoming news events that could impact USD or NZD.
by kelly_wise
NZDUSD – Long Bias LiveNZDUSD – Long Bias Live 🟢 Entered long at market open 🎯 Target: 0.60305 ⏳ Plan to hold ~3-5 days (usually much soon) Price has been grinding lower into support near 0.5980–0.5990. After basing, I’m playing for a rally up to 0.60305 (red line). I’m already in this long—if you’d like to join, be prepared to hold through the next few sessions. 📝 Not financial advice—trade responsibly! 💡 All setups can be replayed on TradingView for confirmation. #NZDUSD #Forex #SwingTrade #TradingView #MarketAnalysis
Long
by GlobalHorns
NZD/USD BEST PLACE TO SELL FROM|SHORT Hello, Friends! NZD-USD uptrend evident from the last 1W green candle makes short trades more risky, but the current set-up targeting 0.587 area still presents a good opportunity for us to sell the pair because the resistance line is nearby and the BB upper band is close which indicates the overbought state of the NZD/USD pair. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Short
by EliteTradingSignals
1
NZDUSD: Your Trading Plan For Today Explained 🇳🇿🇺🇸 NZDUSD is currently consolidating on a strong intraday/daily support. To buy the pair with a confirmation, I suggest to focus on a double bottom pattern on a 4H time frame. Its neckline breakout and a 4H candle close above 0.6015 will provide a reliable bullish confirmation. Goal will be 0.6035. Alternatively, if the price sets a new lower low on a 4H, this setup will become invalid. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by VasilyTrader
3
NZDUSD to find buyers around trend line support?NZDUSD - 24h expiry Price action looks to be forming a bottom. The primary trend remains bullish. This is positive for sentiment and the uptrend has potential to return. We look for a temporary move lower. Further upside is expected although we prefer to buy into dips close to the 0.5975 level. We look to Buy at 0.5975 (stop at 0.5940) Our profit targets will be 0.6074 and 0.6220 Resistance: 0.6006 / 0.6080 / 0.6220 Support: 0.5955 / 0.5850 / 0.5775 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Long
by OANDA
NZDUSD Wave Analysis – 3 June 2025 - NZDUSD reversed from the resistance zone - Likely to fall to support level 0.5900 NZDUSD currency pair recently reversed down from the resistance zone between the resistance level 0.6030 (which has been reversing the price from November), the upper daily Bollinger Band and the 61.8% Fibonacci correction of the downward impulse from September. The downward reversal from this resistance zone stopped the C-wave of the previous ABC correction (2). Given the strength of the resistance level of 0.6030 and the bearish divergence on the daily Stochastic, the NZDUSD currency pair can be expected to fall to the next support level of 0.5900.
Short
by FxProGlobal
Potential bearish drop?NZD/USD is reacting off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance and could drop from this level to our take profit. Entry: 0.6011 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Stop loss: 0.6051 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Take profit: 0.5950 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets
Waiting for a Short-Term Pullback Before the Next Bullish Leg? NZDUSD – Waiting for a Short-Term Pullback Before the Next Bullish Leg? As global markets await the upcoming U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report later this week, NZDUSD is showing early signs of short-term weakness following a strong bullish rally from the 0.5905 low. While the broader structure remains bullish, a corrective move may be necessary to shake out weak hands and reload liquidity before a renewed surge. 🌐 Macro & Fundamental Outlook: New Zealand: Recent economic releases from New Zealand have been lackluster, yet the RBNZ's hawkish policy stance (high interest rates) continues to support the Kiwi. However, pressure from China – New Zealand’s top trading partner – remains a drag. United States: The U.S. Dollar remains under pressure due to rising expectations that the Fed will start cutting rates by Q3 2025, despite some hawkish tones from FOMC officials. This week’s NFP report will be a decisive factor. Market Sentiment: After a ~150-pip rally, traders are beginning to take profits. The correction could offer a golden re-entry opportunity. 📊 Technical Analysis: Trend Bias: The market structure is still in an uptrend, maintaining Higher Highs and Higher Lows. Fibonacci Retracement: Price is currently pulling back toward the 0.5 – 0.618 Fibo zone (0.5992 – 0.5978), aligning with the H1 89 & 200 EMAs. EMA Structure (13 – 34 – 89 – 200): Still bullish but currently signaling a short-term pullback. 🔑 Key Price Zones: Resistance Levels: 0.6014 – 0.6052 Support Levels: 0.5973 – 0.5951 – 0.5932 🧭 Trade Plan 📌 Buy Setup (trend continuation): BUY ZONE: 0.5951 – 0.5932 SL: 0.5900 TP: 0.5978 → 0.6014 → 0.6052 📌 Expecting a bullish bounce off the 61.8% Fibo + EMA 200 confluence ahead of NFP. 📌 Sell Setup (short-term countertrend scalp): SELL ZONE: 0.6014 – 0.6025 SL: 0.6060 TP: 0.5978 → 0.5951 📌 Anticipating a reaction at a key resistance zone – ideal for intraday scalpers. ⚠️ Risk Management Notes: Stay cautious ahead of high-impact U.S. data (ADP, Jobless Claims, NFP). Favor buying the dip in line with the higher-timeframe trend. Maintain discipline with tight SLs (30–35 pips max per setup).
Short
by MMFlowTrading