USDNZD trade ideas
NZD_USD POTENTIAL SHORT|
✅NZD_USD is going up to retest
A horizontal resistance of 0.5990
Which makes me locally bearish biased
And I think that we will see a pullback
And a move down from the level
Towards the target below at 0.5947
SHORT🔥
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NZDUSD Will Move Lower! Sell!
Here is our detailed technical review for NZDUSD.
Time Frame: 2h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 0.594.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 0.592 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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NZD/USD SELLERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
NZD/USD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 0.607
Target Level: 0.592
Stop Loss: 0.617
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1D
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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NZDUSD is bullishThe price just tapped into a valid order block.
This suggests a potential long (buy) opportunity.
We may see bullish momentum from this zone.
Watch for confirmation like bullish engulfing or BOS.
Place stop loss just below the order block.
Target the next resistance or liquidity zone.
Wait for entry confirmation on lower timeframes.
NZDUSD H4 I Bearish Reversal Based on the H4 chart, the price is approaching our sell entry level at 0.5965, a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fib retracement.
Our take profit is set at 0.5923, a pullback support.
The stop loss is set at 0.6004, a swing high resistance.
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Losses can exceed deposits.
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Bullish bounce for the Kiwi?The price has bounced off the pivot which acts as a pullback support and could rise to the 61.8% Fibonacci resistance.
Pivot: 0.5899
1st Support: 0.5863
1st Resistance: 0.6000
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
NZDUSD to turnaround?NZDUSD - 24h expiry
The correction lower is assessed as being complete.
We expect a reversal in this move.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels.
A move through 0.5925 will confirm the bullish momentum.
The measured move target is 0.5975.
We look to Buy at 0.5900 (stop at 0.5875)
Our profit targets will be 0.5950 and 0.5975
Resistance: 0.5925 / 0.5950 / 0.5975
Support: 0.5900 / 0.5875 / 0.5850
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
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NZD/USD Ready to Explode? The Smart Money Is Making a MoveBias: Bullish Bounce from Key Demand Zone
NZD/USD is testing a strong confluence zone:
Long-term ascending trendline support
Weekly demand area between 0.5890 and 0.5940
Bullish RSI divergence near oversold conditions
The triple rejection wicks signal strong demand around 0.5900, suggesting a possible reversal toward the 0.6020–0.6050 resistance area.
🧠 COT Insight:
NZD: Non-commercial traders added +669 long contracts and reduced shorts by -102 → net bullish shift
USD: Net short exposure increases; total non-commercial shorts now exceed longs by ~4000 contracts
Implication: institutions are rotating into NZD while trimming USD exposure
📊 Sentiment:
86% of retail traders are long NZD/USD → retail sentiment is heavily skewed
This could delay or limit upside as smart money often moves counter to retail positions
📅 Seasonality (July):
July has historically been a bullish month for NZD/USD across all reference windows (20Y, 15Y, 10Y, 5Y, 2Y)
Average July return consistently positive → adds conviction to bullish thesis
🗺 Outlook:
If the zone at 0.5880–0.5920 holds, price may bounce toward 0.6020–0.6050.
Break below would invalidate structure and expose 0.5850 and then 0.5780.
NZDUSD Excellent buy opportunity on the Channel Up bottom.Last time we looked at the NDUSD pair (May 27, see chart below), we gave a buy signal that in a few days hit our 0.60900 Target:
This time the price is trading exactly at the bottom of a 3-month Channel Up, with the 1D RSI entering its Support Zone. The true Support might be a little lower on the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) and as long as it holds, the trend will remain bullish, but this is the first strong buy signal of the chart.
Our Target is 0.61450, which will be a +4.10% rise, exactly the same as both previous Bullish Legs.
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Trading NZDUSD | Judas Swing Strategy 10/07/2025Last week, we saw a textbook Judas Swing play out on OANDA:NZDUSD and this one checked every single box on our trading checklist. Let’s walk through the trade step by step
After a slow Asian session, NYO brought the kind of liquidity grab we look for. Price swept the low of our Judas swing zone, trapping early sellers and triggering stop hunts classic Judas behavior. As always, our first thought wasn’t to jump in it was to observe.
Once we spotted that liquidity sweep, our next confirmation came quickly: a clean break of structure to the upside. That shift in market sentiment was the green light to start prepping our entry. But, as we’ve learned from experience, patience is a trader’s superpower.
Instead of chasing the move, we waited for price to retrace into our Fair Value Gap (FVG) a key element in our Judas Swing checklist. No FVG touch, no trade. This time, price dipped right into our FVG zone. The moment the candle that entered the FVG closed, we executed with confidence.
Risk: 1%
Reward: 2%
Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2
After executing the trade, there was a minor drawdown nothing major, just about 4 pips. Price never came close to our stop loss. Then came the move we were waiting for. OANDA:NZDUSD moved in our direction, and in an hour and 40 minutes, we hit our full target. A clean +2% gain added to the week’s tally.
This trade is a perfect example of how the Judas Swing strategy thrives especially after false moves into liquidity zones.
It was a clean setup:
- Sweep of liquidity
- Break of structure
- Retrace into FVG
- Controlled risk, solid R:R
If you’re still taking trades without a structured plan, now’s the time to consider building one. Strategies like this don’t just work because of entries they work because of discipline, timing, and consistency. We don’t trade everything. We trade the setups that check every box.
NZDUSDSince March we have been trading NZDUSD inside a chanell and after catching the sells we now look into maximising the buys as well with 0.61775 as our main target before we consider changing biase to bear.
A colure below the channel will invalidate this analysis and will target 0.57646 - 0.55404
July 13, Forex Outlook : This Week’s Blueprint to Profit!Welcome back, traders!
In today’s video, we’ll be conducting a Forex Weekly Outlook, analyzing multiple currency pairs from a top-down perspective—starting from the higher timeframes and working our way down to the lower timeframes.
Currency Pairs:
EURUSD
USDCAD
AUDUSD
EURGBP
EURJPY
GBPCHF
USDCHF
NZDCHF
NZDUSD
EURNZD
Our focus will be on identifying high-probability price action scenarios using clear market structure, institutional order flow, and key confirmation levels. This detailed breakdown is designed to give you a strategic edge and help you navigate this week’s trading opportunities with confidence.
📊 What to Expect in This Video:
1. Higher timeframe trend analysis
2. Key zones of interest and potential setups
3. High-precision confirmations on lower timeframes
4. Institutional insight into where price is likely to go next
Stay tuned, take notes, and be sure to like, comment, and subscribe so you don’t miss future trading insights!
Have a great week ahead, God bless you!
The Architect 🏛️📉
Bullish bounce?The Kiwi (NZD/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 0.5899
1st Support: 0.5863
1st Resistance: 0.6000
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
NZDUSD SHORTMarket structure bearish on HTFs DH
Entry at both Weekly and Daily AOi
Weekly Rejection at AOi
Daily Rejection at AOi
Daily EMA retest
Previous Structure point Daily
Around Psychological Level 0.60000
H4 EMA retest
H4 Candlestick rejection
Rejection from Previous structure
Levels 3.93
Entry 105%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
Bearish continuation?NZD/USD has rejected off the resistance level which is an overlap resistance that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.5967
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.5999
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance that is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 0.5888
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
NZDUSD is Nearing an Important SupportHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring NZDUSD for a buying opportunity around 0.59100 zone, NZDUSD is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.59100 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
NZDUSD: Bullish Continuation & Long Signal
NZDUSD
- Classic bullish setup
- Our team expects bullish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Long NZDUSD
Entry Point - 0.5922
Stop Loss - 0.5884
Take Profit - 0.5995
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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