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U.S. Dollar / New Zealand Dollar

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USDNZD trade ideas

Momentum builds in GBP/USD and NZD/USD following tariff delayThe U.S. dollar weakened sharply in recent sessions as President Trump's announcement that the proposed 50% tariffs on EU imports will now be delayed until July 9, giving markets temporary relief. GBP/USD edged toward 1.3600, testing levels last seen three years ago. The RSI sits just under 60, suggesting there’s still room before overbought conditions are reached. Volume has been gradually increasing, potentially reinforcing the strength of the breakout. Risk-on flows also lifted the Australian and New Zealand dollars. NZD/USD has broken above the Ichimoku cloud and rose 0.62% on the day. Price is well above the Tenkan-sen (blue) and Kijun-sen (red), indicating strong upward momentum. However, the pair is pulling back slightly after the sharp breakout, suggesting short-term consolidation.
by BlackBull_Markets
NZDUSD 3MONTHS CHARTNZD/USD Interest Rate Differential, 10-Year Bond Yields, and Carry Trade Analysis (May 25–30, 2025) Current 10-Year Bond Yields New Zealand 10-Year Bond Yield: 4.70% (as of May 21, 2025) . US 10-Year Treasury Yield: 4.54% (as of May 22, 2025) . Interest Rate Differential (IRD) The yield spread between New Zealand and US 10-year bonds is:4.70%(NZD)−4.54%(USD)=+0.16% the 4.70% (NZD)−4.54% (USD)=+0.16% This modest differential slightly favors the New Zealand dollar, creating a limited carry trade opportunity. Carry Trade Advantage Investors can borrow USD at lower US rates and invest in higher-yielding NZD assets, earning the 0.16% yield spread. The strategy is supported by New Zealand’s elevated bond yields despite recent Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) rate cuts. However, the narrow spread reduces potential returns compared to higher-yielding currency pairs. Key Events and Risks (May 25–30, 2025) RBNZ Monetary Policy Meeting (May 27–28): Markets expect a 25 basis point rate cut to 3.50% , which could pressure NZD yields lower and narrow the IRD. Further easing signals may weaken NZD, offsetting carry trade gains. US Economic Data and Fed Policy: US inflation data and Fed Chair Powell’s speeches could influence USD strength. Traders currently price in five Fed rate cuts by year-end , which may limit USD upside. China Trade Dynamics: New Zealand’s trade ties with China (its largest partner) make NZD sensitive to US-China trade tensions. Progress in tariff negotiations could support NZD . Summary Table Metric New Zealand (NZD) United States (USD) 10-Year Bond Yield 4.70% 4.54% Interest Rate Differential +0.16% (NZD over USD) — Carry Trade Appeal Modest, but narrowing — Conclusion The 0.16% yield advantage for NZD over USD provides a limited carry trade opportunity. However, the upcoming RBNZ rate cut (May 27–28) and potential Fed easing could narrow the spread further. NZD/USD remains vulnerable to: RBNZ policy: Further rate cuts may reduce NZD’s yield appeal. US-China trade developments: Escalating tensions could pressure NZD due to its reliance on Chinese trade. While the carry trade offers marginal gains, traders should prioritize risk management amid volatility from central bank decisions and geopolitical risks.
by Shavyfxhub
NZDUSD TEMPORARY SHORTPURELY TECHNICAL Though with projections of growth, NZDUSD has been consolidating and trading between $0.60 and $0.58 for over a month. A sell position would be ideal at $0.60 as corroborated by the yellow line of the TDI indicator trending above 63 on the 1hr timeframe. Additionally, $0.60 appears to be the test limit to verify the appetite of potential buyers and so far, there is little insensitive to keep buying above $0.60. Moreover, the daily timeframe shows consistent rejection of prices above $0.60
Short
by ambitiousjev
Calm Before the Storm for NZDUSD Ahead of RBNZ and US Data?NZDUSD has been forming a descending triangle pattern since 2020. After the wide swings triggered by the COVID-19 shock, price action has gradually contracted. The downside has been limited near 0.55, while the topside has followed a clear descending trendline, currently sitting around 0.62. Following a brief surge in April, NZDUSD has entered a short-term flat trend, with two key support and resistance zones capping volatility, potentially the calm before the storm. The 0.5825–0.5850 zone acts as support, while 0.60–0.6050 serves as resistance. This week, major events including the RBNZ decision, FOMC minutes, U.S. consumer sentiment, PCE, and GDP data could break this low-volatility pattern. A decisive move toward either the upper or lower boundary of the descending triangle may be imminent.
by ftdsystem
NZD/USD "The Kiwi" Forex Bank Money Heist (Short Term Plan)🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑💰✈️ Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the NZD/USD "The Kiwi" Forex Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry and short entry. 🏆💸Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : "The loot's within reach! Wait for the breakout, then grab your share - whether you're a Bullish thief or a Bearish bandit!" 🏁Buy entry above 0.60300 🏁Sell Entry below 0.58990 📌However, I recommended to place buy stop for bullish side and sell stop for bearish side. Stop Loss 🛑: 🚩Thief SL placed at 0.59000 for Bullish Trade 🚩Thief SL placed at 0.60000 for Bearish Trade Using the 30mins period, the recent / swing low or high level. SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take. Target 🎯: 🏴‍☠️Bullish Robbers TP 0.61500 (or) Escape Before the Target 🏴‍☠️Bearish Robbers TP 0.57500 (or) Escape Before the Target 💰💵💸NZD/USD "The Kiwi" Forex Market Heist Plan is currently experiencing a neutral trend,., driven by several key factors. 📰🗞️Get & Read the Fundamental, Macro Economics, COT Report, Quantitative Analysis, Sentimental Outlook, Intermarket Analysis, Future trend targets with overall score... go ahead to check👉👉👉🔗🔗🌎🌏🗺 📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly. ⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits 💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱‍👤🤗🤩
by Thief_Trader
5 Trading Beliefs That Keep Me Untouchable! Do you check off 5?Everyone talks about edge, but few talk about identity. These are the thoughts I rehearse every day. Not to hype myself up, but to root myself deeper in who I must become. These beliefs don’t just sharpen my trading — they shield my mind from chaos. Welcome to The Part 2 1. Money is not important It’s fuel, not the fire. I don’t chase paper — I chase precision. The second money becomes my reason, fear walks in the door. But when it’s just the byproduct of execution and clarity? That’s when I move with power. > “He who chases the outcome loses the process. He who masters the process controls the outcome.” 2. It’s OK to lose in markets Losses don’t mean I’m off-track — they mean I’m engaged. Some trades are tuition. And I pay them with purpose. Because every great trader I study… bled first, banked later. I lose like a winner — with awareness, not emotion. 3. Mental rehearsal is essential Every night before bed — every morning before I trade — I see it first. I walk through the setup, the entry, the hold, the exit. I rehearse calmness, I rehearse precision. So when the real trade shows up? I don’t react. I recognize. I’ve already been there. 4. Trading is a game Serious results. Serious purpose. But never serious emotion. A game has rules. Patterns. Levels. And like every master of any game — I study, train, and outlast those who play sloppy. > “The market isn’t trying to beat me. It’s just the board I’m learning to dominate.” 5. I’ve already won before I start I walk in as the version of me who’s already achieved the outcome. Not hoping — knowing. I act from the future I’ve already decided is mine. And when I operate from that space? The market bends to meet me there. > These aren’t just beliefs. They’re mental armor. If you’re walking this path to elite performance, I’m not here to motivate you — I’m here to remind you of who you already are. Stay locked in. If you trade, which one of these are you still working on?
Education
by theeOperator90
NZDUSD → A retest of resistance may end in a false breakout.FX:NZDUSD bounces off the upward support line and forms a distribution towards the liquidity zone located above 0.597... Strong resistance lies ahead at 0.5969 - 0.5975 (liquidity pool). If the current movement continues (distribution), the market will exhaust all its potential and the situation may end in a false breakout. There is no trend as such in the market, the price is inside the flat, and thus bearish pressure may resist the upward price movement. Resistance levels: 0.5969, 0.5974 Support levels: 0.5932, 0.5917 Against the backdrop of a falling dollar, the currency pair is likely to continue its growth and may test 0.5969 in the short term, but based on the nature of the movement, we can assume that a downward correction will follow. Best regards, R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
6
Heading into overlap resistance?The Kiwi (NZD/USD) is rising towards the pivot, which is overlap resistance, and could reverse to the 1st support. Pivot: 0.5930 1st Support: 0.5893 1st Resistance: 0.5951 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
Kiwi H4 | Rising into a multi-swing-high resistanceThe Kiwi (NZD/USD) is rising towards a multi-swing-high resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower. Sell entry is at 0.6019 which is a multi-swing-high resistance. Stop loss is at 0.6095 which is a level that sits above the 161.8% Fibonacci extension. Take profit is at 0.5854 which is a swing-low support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by Tradu
NZDUSD Bearish Setup🔍 Market Structure Analysis WSD Zone Rejection (Top): Price tapped a wick-based supply & demand (WSD) zone at the top around 0.59486. That zone also aligns with the previous liquidity grab + mitigation of the OB. Price is now rejecting that area — forming a lower high (LH) inside the zone → classic sign of distribution. Rising Channel Break: Price was rising inside the red ascending channel. Currently showing bearish intent, with multiple internal BOS (breaks of structure). If price closes below the channel, that confirms bearish expansion. Downtrend from Premium Zone: We're clearly in premium pricing, where institutions prefer to offload longs. This area also completes a liquidity sweep of prior highs inside the WSD zone. 🧠 Trade Logic (Sell Setup) 🔺 Entry Zone: Inside or after rejection of WSD at 0.59486. 🛑 Stop Loss: Just above the WSD zone and local high. 🎯 Take Profits: TP1: 0.58669 → Local support + lower WSD zone (reaction zone). TP2: 0.58398 → Previous liquidity pool and external low. 🧾 R:R = Clean 1:4.5+, textbook SMC setup. 📌 Confluences for Bearish Bias ✅ Multiple WSD zones tested with bearish rejection. ✅ Rising channel inside premium is breaking. ✅ Mitigation + BOS on smaller TF. ✅ News candle marked by blue vertical line may act as final volatility spike before continuation. ✅ Price is near VWAP/50% equilibrium → Ideal for smart money to expand to downside. 🧯 Invalidation Conditions ❌ If price closes above 0.59486, we reassess the bias. ❌ A re-entry into the upper WSD with strong bullish volume invalidates the current bearish flow. 🔮 Forecast Summary This is a classic distribution setup with liquidity engineered into a WSD zone, now showing early mitigation and markdown signs. Unless major manipulation occurs, expect price to expand toward the 0.58398 low in the next 24–48 hours.
Short
by Delast2