USDT Dominance (USDT.D) Update. USDT Dominance has been trading in a clear descending channel for months, indicating a long-term bearish trend.
Price is currently testing the upper boundary of the channel, which has acted as strong resistance in previous attempts.
Around 4.40%, there is significant resistance formed by the descending channel's upper trendline.
A rejection here could lead to a continuation of the bearish momentum.
Immediate support lies near 4.00%, aligning with the midpoint of the channel.
If dominance continues to decline, the next major support zone is at 3.60%, with further downside potential to 3.20% and 2.80% if the bearish structure persists.
The green dashed lines suggest potential bearish movements if resistance holds, leading to a continuation toward the lower channel boundary.
Let me know if you’d like further assistance or adjustments!
DYOR. NFA
USDT.D trade ideas
Will USDT.D Rejection Spark an Altcoin Rally?USDT dominance is nearing a key resistance trendline while holding above critical support.
A rejection here could signal increased capital into altcoins, boosting their prices. However, a breakout above the trendline may pressure altcoins further.
Watch closely for the next move!
DYOR, NFA
Crypto Alpha Report - December 27, 2024Friday Alpha Report
2024 12 27
Opening Bell:
As I reflect on this year, and the upcoming year to come, I ask myself the same question many likely are.
“Are we really going to get alt season?”
“Should I really be all-in on alts right now?”
“What if this is the top?”
Specifically with altcoins, I find it’s very helpful to reflect on MARKETCAP, instead of price, as that is the #1 metric IMHO for evaluating how much farther a token can go, and at what levels price taking should occur.
Here are some market caps we reached during the previous bull market:
Cardano (ADA) - FWB:95B (now: $30.8B)
Dogecoin (DOGE) - $88.7B (now: $46.3B)
Solana (SOL) - $77B (now: $94.5B)
Polkadot (DOT) - $56B (now: $10.6B)
Shiba Inu (SHIB) - $41.1B (now: $13.4B)
Terra (LUNA) - GETTEX:41B (now: $307M)
Avalanche (AVAX) - $30B (now: $15.9B)
Cronos (CRO) - $22.7B (now: SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:4B )
Uniswap (UNI) - $22.5B (now: $8.3B)
Chainlink (LINK) - $22B (now: $15.4B)
Polygon (MATIC) - $19.7B (now: SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:4B )
Axie Infinity (AXS) - $10.4B (now: SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:1B )
FTX Token (FTT) - SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:9B (now: $0)
Sandbox (SAND) - $6.8B (now: $1.3B)
These were some of the best-performing coins of the 2020/2021 Bull Market Cycle, with some only reaching their peak market caps in early 2022.
When I look at the current Marketcaps of Crypto today, only the top 11 coins have a market cap over $20B.
Looking back at the 2020/2021 cycle, the top narratives (categories of crypto) were:
Layer 1 Blockchains (Why? Serious need for scaling solutions and cheaper alternatives to ETH)
Layer 1 Blockchains reached market cap highs of $50-90B.
DeFi (Why? Shiny new thing, hype around yield and “safer” way to earn in crypto)
DeFi projects reached market cap highs of $10-20B.
Memecoins (Why? GME/AMC “stick it to the man” movement)
Memecoin projects reached market cap highs of $5-10B with DOGE & SHIB outliers reaching 40-80B.
NFTs & Metaverse (Why? “Mainstream” adoption of digital art/gaming items, hype around metaverse with major brands entering the space)
NFT & Meraverse tokens reached marketcap highs of $5-15B.
Exchange Tokens (Why? Benefits like trading fees/rewards/token burns, increased trading volume during bull market)
Exchange tokens reached marketcap highs of $5-10B.
Well, what are the current narratives poised to erupt in 2025? This is where we enter the realm of speculation, but I would bet the following categories are likely to experience further growth:
AI Agents (current combined MC of $12B, top project MC of $3.5B)
Meme (current combined MC of $105B, top project MC of FWB:46B )
Infrastructure (current combined MC of $45B, top project MC of $13.9B)
DePIN (current combined MC of FWB:32B , top project MC of $3.6B)
Gaming (current combined MC of $24B, top project MC of $2.4B)
Zero Knowledge (current combined MC of GETTEX:13B , top project MC of $2.4B)
Real World Assets (current combined MC of $19B, top project MC of $3.5B)
As you can see, if we see anything like the growth we saw in the 2020/2021 cycle - we are a long ways away from bull market highs, and these sectors have a lot of room to grow. Of course, the challenge as always is conviction. It’s really not timing, for those with a longer time horizon. Often, hyper focusing on the timing just leaves you sidelined. Focus instead on the quality, your conviction, and your targets.
USDT DOMINANCE Update (4H)According to the signs on the Dominance Bitcoin chart, it seems that we have another drop on Dominance Tether, which means market recovery, especially altcoins.
Dominance Tether is expected to have another drop after reaching the Fresh Supply indicated on the chart.
Closing a 4-hour candle above the invalidation level will violate this analysis.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
USDT Dominance Analysis. The dominance is moving within a descending channel, confirming a bearish structure.
Multiple rejections from the upper trendline (marked with arrows) indicate strong resistance around the 4.40% zone.
The highlighted green area near 4.10% acts as a crucial support zone, aligned with the channel's lower boundary.
A breakdown below this zone could lead to a sharp decline toward 4.00% or lower levels.
Moving Averages:
The green moving average (likely 200-period) suggests a broader bearish bias as dominance struggles below it.
The purple moving average (shorter-term) adds to the immediate resistance near 4.30%.
Short-Term Expectation:
The chart suggests a potential pullback or retracement toward the support zone, as the red arrow depicts.
Breaking below the support zone could intensify selling pressure in the crypto market, potentially signaling inflows into altcoins or BTC.
Resistance: 4.30% – 4.40%
Support: 4.10%, followed by 4.00%
USDT dominance appears to be consolidating near key levels, with a likely continuation of its downtrend unless significant bullish momentum emerges. Monitor for a breakdown of the support zone, as it could impact overall market liquidity dynamics.
For updates on other coins or personalized insights, feel free to reach out via DM.
@Peter_CSAdmin
USDT.D Testing Critical Resistance: Breakout or Pullback?USDT.D has recently broken out of a falling wedge pattern, indicating a potential shift in momentum. The price is currently testing a critical resistance zone near 4.30%. A breakout above this level could signal further dominance for USDT, suggesting risk aversion in the crypto market.
If the resistance holds, a pullback toward the 4.20% support zone is likely. However, a confirmed breakout could lead to a continuation of the upward trend, potentially targeting the 4.40% level.
DYOR, NFA
USDT Dominance Update (4H)Before anything else, read the instructions carefully:
We have a strong supply zone on the chart, and if the price hits this supply, a significant rejection is likely to follow.
Considering the manipulative behavior of market makers, it's not out of the question that we see a higher high in this upward wave, with the price reaching the supply zone outlined in this analysis.
According to the multi-chart analysis, Ethereum has not yet reached the flip zone. (You can find the link to this Ethereum analysis in the "Related Publications" section at the bottom of this page.)
Adjust the final steps of your buying strategy within this range.
Let’s see if the Tether dominance reaches this red zone or not.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
#USDT Dominance: Don't FOMO! Here's Why!A rejection on the daily chart has led to a strong performance in altcoins, while BTC is steadily approaching the $100K zone, currently sitting at $98K. A break below the blue EMA, which is being tested now, could result in further continuation.
However, a bounce might mark the end of this Christmas rally.
For those experiencing FOMO, it’s better to hold on and wait. Of course, you’re free to make your own decisions, but in my opinion, patience is the best approach.
I hope you're enjoying the holidays!
Make sure to reduce screen time and spend quality moments with your family and friends.
Stay tuned for more updates!
Do hit that like button if you found my updates helpful in any way.
Thank you
#PEACE
USDT.DOMINANCE UPDATE !The chart shows that USDT dominance is moving within a well-defined descending channel.
The price has recently moved closer to the upper boundary of the channel, marked by the orange resistance area around 4.60%.
4.60% (orange area): This resistance has rejected price action several times before, which suggests strong selling pressure.
Any failure to break above this level could result in another downward move.
4.00%–3.80% (green area): This is the crucial support area within the channel. A break below this could push dominance further down, potentially towards 3.60% or lower.
The surge in volume during previous rejections at the upper boundary suggests strong bearish momentum.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your research and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
For updates on other coins or personalized insights, feel free to reach out via DM.
@Peter_CSAdmin
Elliott Wave Analysis & Altcoin Market ImpactElliott Wave Analysis & Altcoin Market Impact 🌐
This analysis isn’t just about the current structure but also hints at the potential effects on the altcoin market:
1️⃣ Bitcoin Dominance Shift:
As the ABC correction unfolds, Bitcoin's price might see temporary weakness. Historically, such corrections often lead to altcoins gaining traction, as capital flows out of Bitcoin and into altcoins.
2️⃣ Altcoin Surge Post-Wave (C):
During Wave (B), altcoins could face short-term pressure as Bitcoin attempts a retracement.
However, during Wave (C), a sharp drop in Bitcoin could ignite a relief rally in altcoins, as traders shift their focus.
3️⃣ Key Levels for Altcoin Traders:
Watch for Bitcoin’s break below the 1.618 extension (near 3.70%). This could act as a trigger for a significant altcoin rally.
Dominance charts and volume spikes will help confirm the momentum shift.
Conclusion:
For altcoin traders, this structure provides an opportunity. Short-term caution is necessary, but a potential altcoin breakout could follow if Bitcoin completes its correction successfully.
Defining the $BTC top with USDT.DWhy is USDT.D so important in defining a CRYPTOCAP:BTC top?
Because, when BTC is in price discovery, there is no previous price action to determine where we might expect a reaction based on price. Therefore, all we really have are fib extensions and speculation if we solely look at past CRYPTOCAP:BTC price. Fear not, USDT.D gives us previous dominance action to evaluate when the BTC price might react. This is because USDT.D is inversely correlated with CRYPTOCAP:BTC price. Evaluating the correlation of USDT.D and CRYPTOCAP:BTC price, I found that in the current cycle, the correlation is approximately a doubling of BTC price for every -3% drop in USDT.D.
IMPORTANT: Everything below is for speculative fun. I will be watching this play out as part of an overall strategy to define a cycle top, but would never think to use it to make any decision in my life, especially if I should do a destination or hometown wedding or what brand of salve to put on my hemorrhoids.
How can we use the USDT.D/ CRYPTOCAP:BTC correlation to help pick a top? Well, we can find demand zones and calculate how far away we are from them. I don't have previous demand zones on the chart, but they have worked in the past to predict a reaction. The demand zones are somewhat subjective, so you can should verify on your own, but there are a few main zones that I see and have marked in yellow. The top of the demand zones, along with the distance from the current USDT.D in parenthesis, are 3.1% (-1%), 2.8% (-1.5%), 1.8% (-2%), and 1.3% (-2.5%). Using these drops in USDT.D, we might see some intermediate tops around $130K, $150K, and $180K.
The cycle top might be around $196K if we get to the lowest demand zone plotted on the chart. Of course, there are more demand zones below that, but I have a hard time seeing USDT.D go below 1.3%.
I added the price path as an extra bit of intrigue. It will likely not play out as I have it drawn, but why post my ideas if I'm not going to climb out on a limb and see if the prediction plays out. That would be a move of a cowardly douche. And although I am a douche, I'm not a coward.
--Da_Prof
Rejections at Key Levels: What USDT.D Means for AltcoinsUSDT.D is showing strong bearish momentum, rejecting multiple times from the descending trendline and resistance near 4.45%. A continuation downward toward the 4.00%-3.85% support zone is likely.
This drop could fuel bullish momentum in altcoins as funds flow back into the market. Watch closely!