TradeCityPro | USDT Dominance Key Levels & Market Impact👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro!
In this analysis, I will break down USDT.D, one of the most critical indicators in crypto, which reflects the amount of money held in Tether dominance.
🔑 The higher the dominance, the more altcoins are being sold and converted into USDT. Conversely, when dominance decreases, USDT is being sold and converted into other cryptocurrencies. As a result, this chart usually moves inversely to Total2 and other crypto assets—when USDT dominance rises, Total2 typically declines, and vice versa.
📅 Weekly Timeframe
In the weekly timeframe, we observe an uptrend that followed an ascending trendline. However, after getting rejected at the 8.68 resistance, the trendline was broken, initiating a bearish leg that closely followed a descending curved trendline, reacting strongly to it. After reaching 3.87, the price made a deep pullback to the previous ascending trendline. Given the PRZ formed by the confluence of the trendlines, the 6.20 resistance, and the SMA99, the next bearish leg began.
🔍 Currently, the price has once again reacted to 3.87 and pulled back to the curved trendline. If this zone holds as resistance, the probability of 3.87 breaking on the next test increases significantly, potentially triggering the next bearish leg. This leg could extend down to 2.61, although considering the current liquidity in USDT, such a deep drop seems unlikely but remains technically possible.
🔼 If the curved trendline is broken and the trigger activates at 4.61, the price may form a consolidation box between 3.87 and 6.20. Upon breaking 4.61, we could see a movement toward the top of the range. The SMA99 has been a strong dynamic resistance, with multiple price reactions to it, so it could play a key role if USDT dominance increases.
📅 Daily Timeframe
In this timeframe, we see an accumulation box forming between 3.87 and 4.36, which was broken a few days ago. If the price stabilizes above 4.36, a move toward 4.99 is likely, with the ultimate target at 6.20, as mentioned in the weekly timeframe.
📉 If the price re-enters the accumulation box and this breakout turns out to be a fake move, strong bearish momentum could enter the market, significantly increasing the probability of a 3.87 breakdown.
✨ There are no other notable points in the daily chart—this timeframe has provided clear triggers. Now, let’s move on to the 4-hour timeframe for futures trade triggers.
⌛️ 4-Hour Timeframe
In this timeframe, we can see the recent price movements in more detail. As shown, the price has formed a key resistance at 4.60, which could be a decisive level. If this area is broken, it will confirm the accumulation box breakout, increasing the likelihood of a move toward 4.99.
✔️ On the other hand, if the price drops below 4.44 and re-enters the accumulation box, the entire upward move will be invalidated. In that case, breaking 4.23 could trigger further declines, leading to a test of the bottom of the accumulation range.
📝 Final Thoughts
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
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