Lingrid | BTCUSDT Short-Term PULLBACK After Momentum ExhaustionBINANCE:BTCUSDT is showing signs of distribution after failing to break through the $96,400 resistance zone. The structure still respects the upward trendline, but bearish divergence and fading momentum hint at a deeper correction. As long as BTC stays below this resistance, the risk of a pullback to the $91,000 level remains elevated.
📈 Key Levels
Sell trigger: Rejection below $96,400
Buy zone: $91,000
Target: $91,000
Bullish breakout: Only on strong close above $96,400
💡 Risks
Bitcoin is still holding trendline support, so aggressive shorts are risky without confirmation.
If bullish volume picks up near $91,000, price may bounce fast.
Macro catalysts or ETF news can flip sentiment in minutes.
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩💻
USDTBTC trade ideas
Potential Breakout Opportunity for BTC/USDT Potential Breakout Opportunity for BTC/USDT
Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) is showing interesting price action on the 15-minute timeframe. After a period of consolidation, the price appears to be testing a key resistance level around $103,700. We can observe a series of higher lows forming, suggesting increasing bullish pressure. A decisive break above this resistance, confirmed by strong volume, could signal the start of an upward move towards the $104,300-$104,500 area, as indicated by the blue arrow.
Traders might look for entry opportunities on a confirmed breakout above the resistance, with potential stop-loss levels placed below the recent swing lows (e.g., around $103,150) to manage risk. This analysis focuses on short-term price action and potential breakout scenarios. Remember to conduct your own thorough research and consider broader market conditions before making any trading decisions.
Key Observations:
* Resistance Level: $103,700 area acting as a significant hurdle.
* Higher Lows: Suggesting increasing buying interest.
* Potential Target: $104,300 - $104,500 zone if the breakout is successful.
* Risk Management: Important to define stop-loss levels.
This description avoids overly aggressive or promotional language and focuses on technical analysis observations, which is generally well-received on platforms like TradingView.
Update! $BTC range Bound... Consolidation? Breakout? Breakdown? CRYPTOCAP:BTC appears to have formed a range: between approximately between 76800 and 104,300
Current price: 104300
Here are the key observations:
Key resistance zone is around 104300 - Price has tested this level multiple times but failed to close above it decisively.
Clear to say that A break above which will lead to All time highs possibly up to 135k
If #BTC Bitcoin continues to reject this level then expect these layers of support to be tested:
97700 and then 91100
CRYPTOCAP:BTC remains bullish if prices remains above 91100. Further break down will lead to bottom of range 84100 and 76800 (coinciding with 200 EMA )
Trading Implications:
For Longs: Avoid new positions unless there's a breakout with volume above $105,000.
For Shorts: This is a possible scalp opportunity near the top of the range, with a stop slightly above $105,000.
Not financial Advice!
Fibonacci Extensions: Mapping Market Psychology Beyond the TrendHello, traders! 💫
Fibonacci numbers have traveled far from ancient Italian math to modern trading charts. In technical analysis, Fibonacci Extensions aren’t just mystical ratios; they’re a structured way to project potential price targets based on crowd psychology and trend continuation.
But what are they really, and why do so many traders draw those lines with near-religious fervor?
🧠 A Quick Historical Detour
Leonardo Fibonacci introduced the sequence to the West in the 13th century based on patterns he observed in Indian mathematics. The key idea is that each number in the sequence is the sum of the two before it: 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21...
When you divide specific numbers in the sequence, you get ratios that repeat throughout nature — and, intriguingly, financial markets. These include:
0.618 (the “golden ratio”)
1.618
2.618, and so on.
While Fibonacci Retracements look backward to gauge potential pullbacks, Fibonacci Extensions look forward to mapping possible continuation levels after a price move.
📊 Fibonacci Extensions
To use Fibonacci Extensions, you need three points:
The Start of a Trend (Point A)
The End of the Trend or Impulse Move (Point B)
A Retracement Low/High Where Price Bounces or Consolidates (Point C)
This ABC move applies Fibonacci ratios to project levels beyond point B, helping traders visualize where the price might go if the trend continues.
Common Extension Levels Include:
1.272
1.618 (golden ratio)
2.0
2.618
Each level acts as a kind of psychological milestone — not a guarantee, but a place where market participants may take profits, reassess, or react.
🔎 Let’s Take a Real Example: BTC/USDT Weekly
It's not that Fibonacci numbers have magical power. The theory is based on self-fulfilling behavior. When enough traders watch the same levels — and act on them — they can influence real outcomes.
The chart illustrates how Fibonacci retracement levels can be used to understand the depth and structure of a correction during a bullish cycle.
Low (~$4,783) in March 2020 (COVID-19 Сrash)
to the High (~$65,834) in November 2021 (Bull Market Peak)
From there, the price corrected throughout 2022–2023. Let’s look at what happened at each level — and what it tells us on the graph.
🔍 Why This Matters
Your retracement levels aren’t just lines — they mapped the psychology of the market:
Investors Testing Conviction at 0.5
Panic at 0.618
Capitulation Near 0.786 — but Without Full Breakdown
And Finally: A Rebound in 2023, Leading to New Highs in 2025
This kind of structure is textbook Fibonacci behavior — and is part of why retracement levels remain a core part of institutional technical analysis.
⚖️ Final Thought
Fibonacci Extensions are not about telling you where the price will go — they’re about framing where the price might go if the current trend keeps moving. It’s a lens through which to read market psychology, momentum, and expectation. Combined with volume, structure, and broader trend context, they potentially help analysts build a more nuanced market narrative.
And maybe Leonardo Fibonacci would have appreciated that his 800-year-old math is still trying to decode modern human emotion, just on candlestick charts.
BTC/USDT Analysis. Local Scenario Has Changed
Hello everyone! This is CryptoRobotics trader-analyst with your daily market update.
Yesterday, Bitcoin failed to confirm the bullish scenario above $105,000 and instead entered a natural correction. The volume zone at $104,000–$103,000 mentioned yesterday still hasn't shown any clear positioning.
Currently, the local scenario has shifted. On the 1-hour timeframe, we’ve seen a break in the trend structure. The cumulative delta indicates weakness on the buyers’ side, and just above the current price, there is a zone of absorbed market buys.
Main scenario: a decline toward the nearest support at ~$100,000 (absorbing volume), from where we can consider rejoining the global bullish trend.
Sell Zones:
$105,000–$105,700 (absorption of market buys),
$107,000–$109,000 (volume anomalies).
Buy Zones:
~$100,000 (absorbing volume),
$98,000–$97,200 (local support),
$93,000 level,
$91,500–$90,000 (strong buying imbalance),
$88,100–$87,000 (absorption of market sells),
$85,500–$84,000 (accumulated volume),
$82,700–$81,400 (volume zone),
$74,800 level,
$69,000–$60,600 (accumulated volume).
What do you think — which scenario will play out?
Share your thoughts in the comments — it’s always interesting to compare perspectives!
This publication is not financial advice.
BTCUSDT | Short Bias | Smart Money Exit | (May 12, 2025)BTCUSDT | Short Bias | Retail Long Trap & Smart Money Exit | (May 12, 2025)
1️⃣ Short Insight Summary:
Bitcoin is showing signs of a classic retail trap—while spot buying is visible, smart money appears to be exiting. Momentum looks exhausted as retail traders pile in long, setting the stage for a potential downside move.
2️⃣ Trade Parameters:
Bias: Short
Entry: Around $102,700
Stop Loss: Above local high / invalidation zone
TP1: $102,200–$101,391
TP2: $99,296
Final TP: $96,353
Partial Exits: Recommended at each target zone for risk management
3️⃣ Key Notes:
✅ Order flow shows someone actively buying spot BTC at key levels—interesting but likely bait for retail.
❌ Interest in longs is rising while overall interest rates drop—suggesting retail is overexposed.
✅ Money has already started flowing out on the 30-minute chart, which confirms weakening structure.
❌ This setup reflects a typical scenario where professionals exit while late longs get trapped. Supply-demand logic still rules here.
4️⃣ Optional Follow-up Note:
Already locked in profits from earlier longs. Now eyeing short opportunities if price hits the ideal zone and confirms reversal behavior.
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Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research. This content may include enhancements made using AI.
Bitcoin Breaks Out – Is $106K the Next Big Target?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has recently broken higher within an ascending channel, indicating a strong bullish trend. The price continues to respect the channel's structure, forming consistent higher highs and higher lows — a classic sign of trend continuation.
The breakout suggests the potential for a move toward the $106,000 level, provided current support levels hold. Traders are advised to watch for confirmation signals such as bullish candlesticks, bounce from support zones, and increasing volume to consider long positions.
This setup reflects growing momentum and market optimism, positioning Bitcoin for a possible extended rally.
Bitcoin at key zone - Breakout or rejection?MARKETSCOM:BITCOIN is once again at a critical resistance level. A breakout above $109K would confirm a new ATH and likely spark another leg up, but a strong rejection here might signal that the rally was a trap, echoing patterns we’ve seen in past cycles.
My Take: We’re at a make-or-break moment. Confirmation from this level will decide the next big move.
What’s your take—breakout or rejection?
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Happy Trading💰🥳🤗
BTCUSDT:Sharing of the Latest Trading StrategyAll the trading signals this week have resulted in profits!!! Check it!!!👉👉👉
The price of BTCUSDT fluctuates around $100,500. Technically speaking, if it can firmly stand at the level of $100,000, it is expected to challenge the level of $105,000. If it breaks below $98,000, it may trigger a pullback. Pay attention to the support at $100,000 and the strong support at $98,000. In terms of trading operations, one can open a long position with a small position near $100,000.
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TP:103000-105000
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BTC - Ready for a breakout?Hey traders and investors!
On the 10-day chart, an intriguing situation is unfolding.
Sellers tested the Key Candle of the previous accumulation breakout — level 89,256, and the buyer’s initiative resumed.
Then, a manipulation (false breakout) occurred at the 89,256 test level. Volumes reveal the narrative: sellers sold off at high volumes, while buyers absorbed on declining volumes.
Now, a buyer zone has formed below, with the upper boundary at 99,475.
Just a few steps away from the ATH. A pullback is always possible, but for now, there are no signs of weakness (even a pullback to 89,256 wouldn't disrupt the bullish structure).
Now, the main question:
💡 How far up? +30,000?
This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis concept (IA).
Wishing you profitable trades!
Potential Short SetupA rising wedge is forming on the 4H chart, hinting at potential bearish pressure. Adding to the caution, CVD divergence suggests that buying volume isn't fully supporting the price action—possible exhaustion ahead.
⚠ Not Financial Advice ⚠
Trade with caution! If you don't have a proper risk management plan, DO NOT TAKE THE TRADE. Always manage your exposure wisely.
BTC/USDT Analysis – 4H Chart
This chart shows classic bullish continuation through ascending channels and consolidation breakouts:
A solid double-bottom structure was formed in early April
Marked the start of the uptrend
First consolidation box (~$90K–$93K)
Horizontal accumulation (highlighted gray box)
Resulted in a clean breakout and continuation
Rising channel (~$94K–$99K)
Rising Mid-trend consolidation wedge/channel
Price respected both trendlines
Eventually broke out to the upside → Strong momentum candle followed
Current Status (~$103K)
Price has broken above the rising channel
Now forming a new mini flag or consolidation at the top
Momentum is still in favor of the bulls
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