BTC/USDT: Long Opportunity After Order Block Breakout #### **Market Context**
- Price has **broken and closed above** the key order block resistance, invalidating sell setups.
- Current structure favors **bullish continuation** with a clean retest of the new demand zone.
#### **Key Levels**
- **Entry Zone**: **104,018.6** (Retest of bullish order block)
- **Stop Loss**: **103,627.7** (Below recent swing low)
- **Targets**:
- **TP1**: 104,809 (Initial liquidity pool)
- **TP2**: 105,179 (Next swing high)
- **Risk/Reward**: **1:3+** (Conservative)
#### **Analysis**
- **Breakout Confirmation**: The previous resistance (order block) has flipped into support.
- **Entry Logic**: Price retraced with a **healthy pullback** (not aggressive selling) into the new demand zone.
- **SL Placement**: Below the recent swing low to avoid false breakdowns.
#### **Trade Execution**
- **Long Entry**: **104,018.6** (Limit order preferred for better fills).
- **Stop Loss**: **103,627.7** (~0.4% risk from entry).
- **Take Profit**:
- **TP1**: 104,809 (Partial close to secure profit).
- **TP2**: 105,179 (Runner position if momentum continues).
#### **Risk Management**
- **Do Not Risk More Than 1-2%** of capital per trade.
- Adjust position size if volatility expands.
#### **Chart Notes**
- **Green Zone**: New demand area (retest entry).
- **Red Line**: Invalidation level (stop loss).
- **Blue Arrows**: Expected price path.
---
### **Why This Setup?**
- **Trend Alignment**: Higher timeframe (HTF) bias remains bullish.
- **Order Block Confirmation**: Old resistance now acts as support.
- **Optimal R/R**: Favorable risk-reward with clear invalidation.
**Next Watch**: If BTC holds above **104K**, next target is **105.5K**.
USDTBTC trade ideas
$BTC go to 142000🪙 Bitcoin Analysis - Daily Timeframe
🚀 Entry Point:
The ideal buy entry is at $96,302, where we have a confluence of the 0.618 Fibonacci level, FVG, and a Breaker Block. This zone could trigger buy orders and potentially push Bitcoin towards the first target at its previous all-time high of $109,000, and ultimately to the final target at $142,650.
🔴 Critical Support:
The current support level is $93,947.
If a daily candle closes below this level, a bearish structure will form, opening the door for further decline to the next support at $85,000.
💡 Trading Signal: ❤️
Buy Limit: $96,302
Stop Loss: $93,347
Take Profit Targets: $109,000 - $142,000
🔵 Risk Management:
Risk only 1% of your capital in this trade.
Adjust margin size so that in case the stop loss is hit, your account loss will not exceed 1%.
This is a Swing Trade setup. Stay disciplined and manage your risk effectively. ✅
BTCUSDTPreferably suitable for scalping and accurate as long as you watch carefully the price action with the drawn areas.
With your likes and comments, you give me enough energy to provide the best analysis on an ongoing basis.
And if you needed any analysis that was not on the page, you can ask me with a comment or a personal message.
Enjoy Trading ;)
Bitcoin (BTC): We Will Re-Test ATHs | Crazy VolatilityCrazy movement is happening in the markets recently, where we are once again seeing markets being driven by news and enthusiastic bullish movement.
As we mentioned yesterday, if we see a break of the liquidity zone near $99K, we will be retesting ATH most likely, and this is our view as of now. FOMO on the markets will lead the price to upper zones where, once back at ATH, we will be looking for MSB.
Of course, if we see strong dominance by buyers near the ATH, then $140K might be the next target, but nothing is confirmed yet; it is just a thought.
Swallow Academy
“+$25K Profit & Still Long – Don’t Chase, Trade Smart”Since the drop to 74K, we've seen an incredibly fast and powerful rally over the past month—and I’m currently sitting on a realized profit of over $25,000 during this move.
One of the most bullish signals in this entire structure is that since the reversal in April, we’ve never seen a proper correction or trend-reversing retracement. As I mentioned in previous updates, this shows exceptional strength and suggests the uptrend remains firmly intact.
In fact, we’re climbing without breaking any key lows—what I like to call a “step-by-step” grind upward. On higher time frames, these look like strong bullish candles, meaning more buyers than sellers, and aggressive market orders pushing price higher. That’s a characteristic of strong trends—remember that.
Now, with the historical ATH at $109,000 getting closer, I do not expect an immediate breakout to new highs. Instead, we might see a healthy consolidation—either price-wise or time-wise—around this major supply zone. This is not the time to FOMO in.
The recent surge was fueled by comments from President Trump, and that breakout candle was significant. But sharp moves often bring sharp corrections. If price pulls back to the 96–95K zone and finds support, that could be the base for a new push toward all-time highs.
If you’re not in a position right now:
🚫 Do NOT rush into the market.
We are at a spot where both a breakout and a reversal are possible. Whether you’re using the lower or higher time frame, wait for clear confirmation—a pullback, a base, a proper setup.
Look to long only after strong support is confirmed, or short if price keeps failing to break highs. Either way, keep a tight stop and let your winners run—there’s still opportunity here, but only with proper risk-reward.
I’ll say it again because it’s important:
If you missed this long, it’s okay.
The market will correct—whether sharply or slowly—and your edge is not in chasing, but in being ready. Don’t let impulsive trades erase your capital or your confidence.
Oh, and by the way—I’m still holding my long position.
Bitcoin Approaches Key Resistance: Pullback or Breakout?CRYPTO:BTCUSD
📈 Technical Analysis (description for the post):
On the daily chart of BTC/USDT, we can see that the price is once again approaching the psychological and structural resistance around 108,000 USDT, a level that previously acted as a strong rejection zone. Currently, Bitcoin is trading above the 150-period simple moving average (SMA150), which reinforces a short- to mid-term bullish outlook.
The MACD indicator shows a clear bullish continuation signal, although already in high territory. This could suggest some short-term consolidation before a solid breakout. If BTC manages to break above the 108,000 USDT level with strong volume, it could open the path to all-time highs.
The most relevant support remains near 74,500 USDT, a key level that served as the base of the latest upward move. This structure allows for trading strategies with a favorable risk-reward ratio, especially for swing traders.
📌 This analysis is created using tools similar to those we integrate into our AI systems for traders. If you're interested in automating your strategy or implementing virtual assistants into your trading platform or customer service, learn more at:
BTC Technical Market Update! $110,000?Bitcoin (BTC) Technical Market Update
Over the past several trading sessions, Bitcoin (BTC) has demonstrated a pattern of strength, particularly visible on the 4-hour chart. Price action has consistently respected the Fair Value Gap (FVG) zones on this timeframe, taking support from these areas without breaching any significant downside levels. This repeated behavior indicates a strong underlying bullish sentiment, suggesting that market participants are actively defending key support zones.
Furthermore, Bitcoin recently approached a high-liquidity resistance zone—a level that historically acts as a supply barrier—and not only absorbed the liquidity but also decisively broke through it. This move implies that bullish momentum is firmly in control, and short-term resistance levels are being invalidated one after another. The market structure remains intact, with higher highs and higher lows supporting the current trend.
As of now, BTC has just bounced from a 4H FVG and is trading above that support. However, a short-term pullback remains possible. If such a retracement occurs, it is expected to revisit the next significant 4H FVG support zone, which lies approximately between $98,800 and $97,400. This area could act as a strong accumulation zone for buyers, potentially fueling another bullish wave. In the case of renewed upward momentum from this level, Bitcoin could target the $101,000 to $105,000 range in the short to mid-term.
Market participants are advised to remain cautious and observe price behavior as it unfolds in the coming days. Technical setups are aligning in favor of the bulls, but volatility may increase near key resistance and support levels. Always base your trades and investment decisions on thorough analysis, and keep in mind that no setup guarantees results.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Please ensure you conduct your own independent research and analysis (DYOR) before making any trading or investment decisions.
Trading Strategy and CEX Screen
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please click "Boost" as well.
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CEX(Centralized Exchange): Centralized Exchange
DEX(Decentralized Exchange): Decentralized Exchange
As coin futures trading becomes active, I think they started classifying the coin futures charts of CEX exchanges.
-
Tradingview supports various screeners.
There are several screeners in the menu at the bottom, so check them out.
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As the coin market grows, it is being classified into various themes.
I think this movement means that it is evolving into a form similar to the existing stock market.
If this classification continues to be segmented, it is likely that individual investors will eventually find it increasingly difficult to make profits.
Therefore, in order to adapt to these changes, your investment style, that is, your trading strategy, must be clear.
The trading strategy must be clear on 1. Investment period, 2. Investment size, 3. Trading method and profit realization method.
The above 1-3 must be clear.
You must classify the coin (token) you want to trade by investment period, and determine the investment size according to the investment period.
And, you must proceed with the transaction by determining the trading method and profit realization method accordingly.
-
To create a trading method, you must check whether there is support near the HA-Low and HA-High indicators and create a trading method accordingly.
Basically, when the HA-Low indicator rises, it is a buying period, and when the HA-High indicator is met, it is a selling period.
In most cases, trading occurs in the HA-Low ~ HA-High indicator range as above.
If it is supported by the HA-High indicator and rises, it will show a stepwise upward trend, and if it is resisted by the HA-Low indicator and falls, it will show a stepwise downward trend.
-
If you can trade in decimals like the coin market, you can set a different profit realization method.
Basically, you will sell the number of coins (tokens) you purchased and earn cash profits.
However, if you can trade in decimals, you can increase the number of coins (tokens) by selling the amount of the purchase principal.
In this way, you can increase the number of coins (tokens) corresponding to the profit and earn large profits in the mid- to long-term.
You can decide whether to earn cash profits right now or increase the number of coins (tokens) for the future depending on your investment style.
For example, I think it is a good idea to increase the number of coins (tokens) corresponding to the profit for coins (tokens) that can be held for the long term, such as BTC and ETH.
Therefore, you should think about which coin (token) to hold for the long term and decide on the profit realization method accordingly.
This method can reduce the pressure on funds even if the trading period is long because the investment money is rotated.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful transaction.
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TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #80👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s dive into the Bitcoin analysis and key crypto market indicators. As usual, I’ll review the triggers for the New York futures session.
⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe
Yesterday, price made a bullish move and broke the 97139 zone, but later it turned out to be a fake breakout, and now it’s moving downward.
🔍 It’s likely that this downward move is just a pullback toward the SMA99 zone, and price may bounce back up afterward. If SMA99 breaks, deeper corrections down to 95370 are possible.
✔️ In my view, as long as price stays above the 95370 zone, Bitcoin remains in an uptrend. Only once price drops below this level can we start identifying potential bearish triggers.
📈 For now, we need to wait for more structure to develop before entering any positions. The 97139 level still remains a strong bullish trigger, but it’s best to wait for a reaction to it first so we can pinpoint the exact line, and then enter upon its breakout.
⚡️ Nothing more to add about Bitcoin for now — it’s Saturday, a weekend, and the chances of ranging price action are high.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
Looking at BTC dominance, yesterday it made a slight corrective move and pulled back to 64.77, where it seems to have found support.
📊 The next bullish trigger is the breakout of 64.91. Overall, the trend is still bullish, so if you're considering multi-day or swing positions, Bitcoin remains a better choice than altcoins.
📅 Total2 Analysis
Turning to the Total2 chart, this index was rejected from the 1.05 resistance once again yesterday and failed to hold above it. Until that changes, altcoins likely won’t see any significant upward momentum.
🔑 For downside movement in Total2, the trigger remains a break below 1.03.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
Now to Tether dominance — yesterday, this index finally closed a candle below the 4.99 level, but it was a fakeout, and it moved back above, once again preventing the broader market from turning bullish. This fakeout could inject bearish momentum into the market, potentially leading to deeper corrections.
⭐ For now, the 4.99 level still serves as a strong trigger for a bearish USDT dominance and thus a bullish signal for the market. A break above 5.10, however, would be a solid trigger for USDT dominance to trend higher.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
BTCUSDT:Sharing of the Latest Trading StrategyAll the trading signals today have resulted in profits!!! Check it!!!👉👉👉
Recently, BTCUSDT has been fluctuating around 100,000. Benefiting from the temporary tariff agreement between China and the United States, the market's short - term confidence has been enhanced, and more agreements are expected to be released this week. Bitcoin is still bullish. The upper resistance is seen at 106,000, and the strong lower support is at 100,000. In terms of operation, wait for a pullback to go long.
Trading Strategy:
buy@102000-102500
TP:105000-106000
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Bitcoin vs. Saylor: The Power and Danger of fanatical promotionToday I want to talk about Michael Saylor and his influence on many crypto minds and, to some extent, the movement of Bitcoin’s price.
It’s very important to understand who we’re listening to, who we’re following, and whether this person has hidden motives we don’t see due to lack of information or unwillingness to get it — due to our stubborn desire to see only what confirms our own fantasies and thoughts and serves our expectations.
Let’s turn on our reason and objectivity and face the facts.
Michael Saylor is a well-known figure in the crypto world. He promotes the idea of eternal Bitcoin growth and actively buys it to support his words. When the price drops, he even suggests his readers sell their organs, which, to me, is too much.
Let’s move to the facts — everything is Googleable, and promptable.
Facts:
📈 Hype of 2000
In 2000, he rode the dot-com hype with his company MicroStrategy. MicroStrategy was promoted as a pioneer in business analytics and data management software, and he saw himself solely as a visionary of the new economy.
The boom was sky-high — just read about the dot-com era. Stocks of new tech companies were soaring, and it was enough to say “software” and “I see the future.”
In 1998, MicroStrategy successfully held an IPO. In 2000, at the peak of the dot-com boom, the company’s stock reached an incredible $333 per share in March.
He skillfully used the hype, and here was his 2000 narrative:
Digital transformation: Saylor claimed the world was entering a new era where data would become the main asset of companies, and MicroStrategy — the key tool for processing and analyzing it.
Unlimited growth: In the dot-com era, Saylor pushed the idea that tech companies like MicroStrategy would grow exponentially, ignoring traditional financial constraints.
The future is now: Saylor created the feeling that MicroStrategy wasn’t just following trends but shaping them, offering solutions that would define the future of business.
At the same time, he was building a cult around himself, cultivating the image of a genius entrepreneur.
⚠️ Financial reporting scandal
The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) launched an investigation into MicroStrategy. The company overstated revenues, which led to a stock crash (from $333 to $86 in one day) and a loss of investor trust. The stock kept falling and dropped to $0.4 (–100%!).
The SEC filed charges against Michael Saylor personally (CEO), as well as CFO Mark Lynch and the chief accountant. They were accused of intentionally misrepresenting financials to keep stock prices high.
SEC investigation results:
In December 2000, the SEC concluded the investigation, and MicroStrategy agreed to settle without admitting guilt:
* The company paid a $10M fine.
* Saylor, Lynch, and other executives paid personal fines.
* Saylor agreed to pay $8.28M in “disgorgement” (unjust enrichment) and a $350K fine — a total of about $8.63M.
* MicroStrategy committed to revising its reporting and implementing stricter internal controls.
In addition to the SEC settlement ($11M from leadership, including $8.63M from Saylor), MicroStrategy faced shareholder class-action lawsuits, which were settled for $10M.
No executives were criminally charged, but the company’s and Saylor’s reputations suffered greatly.
In other words, Michael didn’t have any moral hesitation about faking company profits during losses. But investors and journalists started asking questions — and the SEC came knocking.
Let’s call it what it is: Saylor committed fraud, using hype, promising endless growth, and creating a cult around himself as a “financial genius and visionary.”
Michael went quiet, and the media tone shifted quickly — from super-visionary to one of the biggest losers and scammers.
To give him credit, he managed to keep the company alive and kept a low profile until 2020, like a mouse. 20 years — a generation change and a new hype cycle.
And what does a tech visionary do? Of course — jump into the new wave. A chance to restore his image — probably more important to him than money.
🟠 Bitcoin Era, 2020
Before 2020, Saylor was a Bitcoin skeptic. In 2013, he even tweeted that “Bitcoin’s days are numbered” and compared it to gambling.
But in 2020, he changed his position after deeply studying crypto. His mission: to protect capital and restore his image as a prophet — and he decided to buy Bitcoin.
But his own money seemed insufficient, so he turned to borrowing.
Here’s how the scheme works:
1.MicroStrategy issues stocks and bonds
📈 They sell new MSTR shares → get cash.
💵 They issue bonds (debt papers) → investors give them money at interest.
2. They use that money to buy Bitcoin
🟧 All the raised funds go into BTC purchases.
They don’t sell. Just hold. Never lock in profit.
3. If BTC rises → MSTR stock price rises
MSTR becomes a kind of "BTC ETF."
📊 BTC growth = MicroStrategy’s market cap growth.
🔁 Then they repeat the cycle.
Stock price up → issue more shares/bonds → buy more BTC → repeat.
📌 The catch:
They use other people’s money (debt) to buy BTC.
They sell almost nothing.
They bet BTC will grow faster than interest on the debt.
So as long as the price goes up — everything is fine.
Let’s admit: his fanaticism, aggressive marketing, and bold statements have helped Bitcoin.
But the main question: will the inevitable market correction wipe out this belief in endless growth?
🔍 His personality
It’s crucial for us as traders and investors to understand who really runs the company or project. The personal traits of leaders are useful information that gives us insight and a behavioral map.
We need to research not only products and financials, but also the psychological types of those making the decisions.
Saylor’s aggressive marketing and loud statements are part of his personality.
He fed off the hype around his persona more than any growing bank balance.
And there’s nothing wrong with that — until you start deceiving people to keep attention on yourself.
For example, in the 2000s, *Forbes* noted that Saylor “sold the dream” of a new economy where traditional profit metrics didn’t matter.
It attracted investors — but didn’t reflect reality. Forbes hinted that his desire to maintain the genius image may have led to accounting manipulation.
Saylor created an "expectations bubble" that burst.
His desire to prove he’s a genius led to a disconnection from reality.
He often talks about himself as a genius and visionary (sounds like a grandiose ego).
He positions himself as the savior of capital through BTC (messiah complex).
He publicly mocks “weak hands” and traditional investors (shows superiority).
He never admits mistakes, even after losing billions (denial and overconfidence).
He repeats his ideas again and again (manic fixation on being right).
His speech is like a manifesto, not a dialogue. He doesn’t converse — he proclaims.
I don’t sense greed in him. I sense emptiness that demands a cult.
He doesn’t live for money — he is obsessed with the idea.
And that’s the problem — there’s no objectivity here. It feels more like revenge after the humiliation and downfall of 20 years ago.
He’s smart — no doubt. But it’s not just intelligence. It’s cold messianism.
Obsession, not passion.
Psychotype: Grand strategist with a humiliation trauma
Trait Behavior
Narcissistic core “I’m special, my vision is above all.”
Obsession with greatness “I must be the truth, not just be right.”
Hyper-rationality “I survive through logic, not feelings.”
Psychological armor “I won’t show weakness. If I break, I disappear.”
Fanatical visionary “My idea is supreme. I don’t need to be humble.”
💸 More facts:
In 2024, Michael paid a FWB:40M fine for tax evasion.
The accusation:
He didn’t pay income tax in D.C., while actively living there — yachts, property, planes, frequent visits.
His tax returns didn’t reflect reality, and the investigation used GPS, Instagram, flight data, banking, and other digital traces.
Saylor didn’t admit guilt but agreed to settle for around $40M.
His personal wealth is mostly in MicroStrategy shares (9.9% or ~$8.74B by end of 2024).
Theoretically, he can sell them — but he must file a report within two days.
Current status:
MicroStrategy owns 555,450 BTC
Average purchase price: ~$68,550
Total purchase cost: ~$38.08B
Unrealized profit: ~$14.7B
And remember — Saylor’s slogan: Forever HODL.
📉 But the key point:
The company’s current debt is $7.24B.
All is good — as long as the price rises.
Analysts estimate BTC would have to fall to ~$20K before MSTR is forced to liquidate.
But if BTC nears the break-even zone, fear might hit shareholders first — triggering stock sell-offs.
If MSTR shares fall — which is likely during a BTC crash — bondholders, especially those with convertible bonds (which make up most of the debt), might demand repayment.
That could force Saylor to sell BTC.
Because in a crypto winter, buyers for MSTR stock or bonds may disappear.
So BTC could fall — not because of actual sales, but from fear of those sales.
This is my main concern with Saylor’s oversized influence on the market.
🐍 A bit of “reptilian” theory
What if BlackRock *planned* to use Saylor’s hands to push Bitcoin and concentrate large amounts in one basket — then take it from him?
Among the main bondholders are big institutions:
* Allianz Global Investors
* Voya Investment Management
* Calamos Investments
* State Street
These bonds are usually unsecured and non-convertible, making them attractive to investors who want Bitcoin exposure without direct ownership.
In case of default, bondholders have priority over the company’s assets — including BTC reserves.
🏛 State Street Corporation
Public company traded on NYSE.
Its biggest shareholders: Vanguard Group and BlackRock .
If so — they could end up holding as much BTC as Satoshi.
BlackRock’s IBIT holds ~500K BTC.
MicroStrategy holds ~500K BTC.
🤔 Questions to reflect on:
* Is industry leader fanaticism good for the development of crypto?
* What is Michael Saylor really doing? Avenging the past? Or truly in love with the technology?
* What risks does a whale with media influence and fanaticism and pockets full of Bitcoin and debt pose to the market?
Waiting for your thoughts in the comments, dear traders! Hugs! 🤗
BITCOIN short setup ALL trading ideas have entry point + stop loss + take profit + Risk level.
hello Traders, here is the full analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions, the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied. Please also refer to the Important Risk Notice linked below.
Disclaimer
HelenP. I Bitcoin may continue to grow inside upward channelHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. After bouncing from the lower boundary of the ascending channel and reacting strongly from the support zone near 92000, the price continues to respect the bullish structure. This level, which also aligns with the dynamic trend line, has acted as a powerful area of interest for buyers. Every touch to the trend line has resulted in a reversal to the upside, and this time may be no different. Previously, we saw a clear upward impulse that formed the base of the current trend channel. Then the market entered a consolidation with smaller pullbacks and held the 93000 zone with confidence. The recent retracement toward the trend line and support area is forming a higher low, which confirms buyer strength and sets the stage for another bullish leg. Given the strong support zone, the presence of an upward channel, and the steady bullish structure, I expect BTC to resume its upward move. My current goal is 99000 points. All elements signal bullish continuation. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
BTC - Golden Pocket & Strong FVG Resistance for a Short SetupThe current 15-minute chart of BTCUSDT reveals a textbook bearish setup forming as price retraces into a well-defined supply zone. This analysis focuses on structural breakdowns, liquidity engineering, and key Fibonacci confluences that may lead to a short-term reversal within intraday price action.
Overview of Market Structure:
BTCUSDT has been in a clear intraday downtrend with consistent lower highs and lower lows being formed. The recent price action reflects a temporary consolidation phase following the creation of a new swing low. This minor pullback appears to be corrective in nature, moving upward toward a previously established zone of inefficiency.
At the center of this setup is a well-marked bearish fair value gap (FVG), highlighted with a blue shaded rectangle, where institutional selling is expected to have previously occurred. This FVG formed after a strong displacement candle, suggesting unmitigated sell-side imbalance left in the market.
Retracement Zone and Fibonacci Confluence:
As price retraces upward, it enters the equilibrium region of the recent bearish impulse, with notable confluences around the 0.618 and 0.65 Fibonacci retracement levels. These retracement levels are critical markers where smart money algorithms often execute continuation plays during trending phases.
Both the 0.618 and 0.65 levels fall within the center of the FVG zone, further strengthening the case for this being a valid supply area. These levels are plotted with horizontal lines on the chart and serve as ideal zones to monitor for signs of rejection or bearish order flow resumption.
The 0.786 retracement, marked just above the upper boundary of the FVG, acts as a final extremity level. This level often coincides with liquidity pools where stop hunts are engineered before the actual move begins. Its proximity to a recent swing high makes it an area of interest for potential liquidity grabs prior to a deeper move down.
Projected Price Path and Liquidity Targets:
The projected blue path illustrates an expected liquidity sweep into the FVG zone, followed by a sharp rejection. This aligns with the idea of engineered liquidity collection before continuation in the original trend direction. The move anticipates price reaching back into the area of prior support, targeting unmitigated demand near recent lows.
Of particular interest is the area around the 0.28 Fibonacci extension level, which acts as a probable magnet for price in the event of a successful rejection. The chart structure suggests that once the short-term retracement completes, there is room for a new impulse leg lower.
Internal Structure Observation:
The current lower timeframe structure shows rising momentum toward the FVG. However, this upward push lacks aggressive bullish volume and appears corrective rather than impulsive. This suggests that buyers are likely exhausting themselves as price nears the supply zone.
Additionally, the structure within this move is developing lower-timeframe liquidity pools (equal highs and tight consolidation), which could act as inducement for a sweep before the potential reversal occurs.
Conclusion:
This chart offers a well-structured short setup based on supply zone rejection, Fibonacci confluence, and a bearish market structure. The fair value gap zone between the 0.618 and 0.65 retracement levels is key, and price action within this area will be crucial in determining the next directional leg. If bearish confirmation such as an engulfing pattern or break of market structure occurs within or after tapping this zone, it would validate the bearish outlook for a short-term continuation to the downside.
This setup is ideal for intraday traders focused on precision-based entries rooted in institutional order flow principles.