BTC/USDTIf the 1D IFVG acts as a resistance zone and prevents the price from going higher, there could be a downward move to take out the March low, but only under the right conditions for that.
Target 1 = 80933
Target 2 = 79940
Target 3 = 76604
USDTBTC trade ideas
Wearing from the resistance now I expect, my friends, a rise to Wearing from the resistance now I expect, my friends, a rise to the resistance. I expect that if the resistance is broken, the rise will be in the pattern.
BTC-----More around 83300, target 82000 areaTechnical analysis of BTC contract on March 30: Today, the large-cycle daily level closed with a small negative line yesterday, the K-line pattern continued to be negative, the price was below the moving average, the attached indicator golden cross was running with shrinking volume, and the fast and slow lines showed signs of sticking dead cross. From this point of view, the general trend of decline is still very obvious, and what we need to pay attention to in trading is to find a good entry point, keep short-term, and do a good job of risk control. Leave the rest to me! The short-term hourly chart continued the trend of shock correction after the decline in the European session yesterday. The current K-line pattern is continuous positive, and the attached indicator is running with a golden cross. Then it is likely to be corrected first within the term. The resistance position of the MA30 moving average is near the 83,300 area.
Today's BTC short-term contract trading strategy: sell at the 83,300 area, stop loss at the 83,800 area, and target the 82,000 area;
$BTC - Possible Swing Point RetestCRYPTOCAP:BTC | 6h
Something I'm watching for an ABC pattern or if we'll get a pentawave here and a swing point retest back down to the 78k area
Expecting a bounce at the monthly open in confluent with some imbalances or single prints, then we'll see if we can get above or reject at the wpoc 87k
BTCUSDT WEEKLYHello, greetings everyone.
First of all, I would like to thank you for taking the time to review my simple analysis as a newbie hehe.
As you can see, BTCUSDT, on a weekly chart, is still within an uptrend trendline and is around the lower trendline (support).
In conclusion, I am only analyzing the current market condition, with no intention of an entry. Remember, trading carries risks, and the responsibility is yours; do your own analysis.
That's all.
Wednesday - Trade of the dayTrade 1 is a potential scalp long of we break structure on the 10m bullish. I will be watching the 30m block for resistance , if we flip bearish here with confirmation I will try a short but if not, I will hope my long up until the distribution range above.
Unlikely to have a video today or tomorrow. Potentially one on Friday.
BTC Volatility Play: Compression, Fib Confluence & 48% IV OptionBTCUSD | Volatility Compression Meets Macro Catalyst: Options & Technical Thesis
Chart: BTC/USD 1M (BITSTAMP)
Bitcoin is currently consolidating below all-time highs after touching the $95K level. The monthly candle structure shows the first significant pause in momentum, with price now holding around the $82,000–$84,000 range. This area represents a confluence of prior resistance-turned-support, Fib retracement zones, and the VWAP session level (~$84,910).
Technically, the long-term ascending broadening wedge remains intact. MACD is extended but positive, while RSI has cooled to approximately 62. The structure supports the thesis of short-term rebalancing before a potential continuation or breakdown. Volatility compression is evident.
Options Market Context | BTC1! (May 30, 2025 Expiry)
Implied Volatility (IV): 48.1% across strikes
Underlying Spot Price: $82,978
ATM Strike: $84,500
Theta: ~ -52 per leg (high decay environment)
Delta Cluster: Calls around 0.53–0.59, Puts around -0.41 to -0.47
Despite BTC's recent move and upcoming halving-related volatility potential, the options market is pricing in moderate movement, not extreme. This opens the door for straddles, strangles, and gamma-based strategies if volatility expands or price breaks out of range.
Breakeven Analysis: BTC Straddles (May 30, 2025)
The table below illustrates the breakeven zones and required directional moves for various straddle positions, based on total premium (call + put).
Strike Total Premium ($) Upper Breakeven ($) Lower Breakeven ($) % Move Up % Move Down
82,500 13,468 95,968 69,032 15.65% 16.81%
83,000 13,454 96,454 69,546 16.24% 16.19%
84,000 13,488 97,488 70,512 17.45% 15.04%
84,500 13,546 98,046 70,954 18.16% 14.48%
85,000 13,607 98,607 71,393 18.87% 13.97%
Interpretation:
The FWB:83K –$84.5K strikes offer the most balanced convexity. The average breakeven range requires BTC to move approximately 15%–18% in either direction by expiration to achieve profitability.
Strategy Considerations
1. Long Straddle at ATM ($84,500):
Total cost: ~$13,546
Profit potential if BTC > GETTEX:98K or < $70.9K
Ideal for traders anticipating a significant move in either direction
Vega + gamma rich; best for breakout environments
2. Directional Option Play:
Long Call at $85,000 (~$6,538) for a lower-cost breakout bet
Long Put at $82,500 (~$5,713) to lean bearish
Scaled exposure possible for either side, depending on directional bias
3. Advanced Structures (Neutral Thesis):
Short Straddle or Iron Butterfly at $84,500 to harvest premium
High decay potential, but vulnerable to directional expansion
Only suitable if anticipating range-bound behavior near-term
Final Thoughts
Bitcoin is entering a historically volatile phase post-halving with price compressing below all-time highs and implied volatility sitting at moderate levels. This convergence of technical consolidation and underpriced volatility creates a strong environment for defined-risk, high-reward trades.
Whether you favor directional breakouts or volatility-based strategies, the current setup offers clear levels, manageable risk, and strong reward-to-risk symmetry.
Chart source: BTCUSD Monthly (BITSTAMP)
Options source: CME BTC Options (May 30, 2025)
What bears are playing off?They are playing consecutive bear flags if you measure the poles, next bear price is down near 72000 usdt.
Beware of tomorrow GPD and friday CPE.
But BINANCE:BTCUSDT looks more promising than SP:SPX with EMA's. The SP500 index in the bearish side it affected by 50EMA crossed both, 100 and 200 in a bearish sign. We are all looking at 200 bounce back to know price movement.
Bitcoin Overall: Currently hitting important resistance zoneA break above this resistance zone and especially the second higher would show 'the bulls are back in control' so to speak. Still tentatively targeting the lower, very strong support, however, the case to get there will get weaker unless a significant rejection is experienced at this current zone.
Liberation Day, Bitcoin to 73.000,00Today will be the Liberation Day where president Donald Trump will impuse tarrifs to all countries.
Bitcoin today will see the biggest candle of the year im sure to the down side. I see price going lowere than 73k, and after that starting a bounce.
Trade War will begin today with china already baning companies that trade with the US
This is terrible for global liquidity and will make everything more expencive on good, not on assets
BITCOIN - Long Trade Update - Third-of-a-Third Wave Incoming...In this video, I share an update on the developments I've observed since yesterday as we prepare for a move higher in a third-of-a-third wave.
As price movements become smaller and sharper at lower degrees, identifying the correct count becomes more challenging.
That’s why I always consider bearish alternatives and play devil’s advocate. However, at the moment, I don’t see any conflicting signals, so it’s just a matter of waiting for the next upward thrust to begin from here.
BITCOIN Update: What We Can Expect Next???According to current price action we can expect 3 scenarios:
Scenario 1: BTC is currently at it mid range resistance. If it breaks above this resistance then we may probably see price approaching range high and even beyond.
Scenario 2: If it fails to break and rejects, then most probably we can expect reversal from range low demand zone, which aligns with cypher harmonic pattern's PRZ.
Scenario 3: In worst case, we may see BTC dumping upto 74-70K region, and from there we will most probably see trend reversal.
Most crucial level to watch in all scenarios is 95k region, if it breaks successfully above it, then we will see BTC slamming new ATH.
Bullish medium termBINANCE:BTCUSDT.P may go 95K range again after a correction to 78K
DISCLAIMER: This is not a trading advice. Do your own research.
The easy long is72k and 73k
but i dont think it will hold because its that textbook resistance turns into support and its that easy
making millions is not supposed to be easy so i think lower.
so a slightly stronger dip can occur in my honest opinion
i'd look at some previous range stuff.
64k and 67k
i think if this wont hold POC wont hold and we actually test below previous range value area low
for a quick dip of 59k and a fakeout of losing 60k.
so 59k and all these other levels are my goals.
call me crazy but im actually nice here, usually on cycles bitcoin losses 60-90% of its value thats at least 40k to 30k
so im actually bullish calling for 70 to 58k range ofc anything 60k and 59k as a fakeout.
58k that i marked right there is a bad low sweep area
BTCUSDTEntry price: 80580.9
SL: 80390.4
TP: 81139.4
Your reward must be at least 3 times greater than your risk.
As I always mention, your probability is 50%
Bitcoin is getting ready.This is my analysis on Bitcoin. Bitcoin was making lower low ,two lower low is made one more to go once bitcoin makes another lowerlow then we if bitcoin breaks higher high, then we will see Bitcoin moving up.
This is for today have a happy trading life.
BTC/USDT Daily Update – by Lord MEDZMarch 29, 2025
(Not financial advice)
Price was rejected from GB47 ($86,935) — a Mitigation Block. Internal liquidity (ITL) has been swept. Now price is moving toward external targets.
Current Outlook:
GB29 ($76,157) – This is a Liquidity Void, but it’s also the end of a Goldbach pathway. That means we could see a short-term reaction or pause here. It’s not expected to hold long-term unless momentum shifts, but it’s still a key level to watch.
GB11 ($65,660) – If GB29 fails to hold, GB11 becomes the next logical target. It’s a strong Order Block with added confluence from the 1 Standard Deviation (SDVT) level and Fibonacci projection.
Summary:
Bias: Still bearish
Watching for possible reaction at GB29
GB11 is the key support if GB29 gives way
Reclaiming GB47 would flip the bias
Market overview
WHAT HAPPENED?
Last week, we were unable to update the local high of $88,800, after which we broke the uptrend and went down.
As we mentioned earlier in the daily analysis on TradingView, of the support zones at the moment, only the accumulated volume zone of $84,400-$82,900 and technical levels can be noted. Therefore, the main priority for this week is to reduce to a minimum of $76,700.
WHAT WILL HAPPEN: OR NOT?
The only buyer's zone couldn't resist. The seller's pushing volumes appeared just above it, which will now act as a resistance zone when the price returns.
Long is contraindicated. Consider buys only when approaching the local minimum and testing the buyer's zone of $77,000-$73,000, or with abnormal market activity and a breakdown of the maximum of $88,800.
Sell Zones:
$84,000–$85,300 (pushing volumes)
$86,000–$87,200 (absorption of buyer's market aggression)
$95,000–$96,700 (accumulated volumes)
$97,500–$98,400 (pushing volumes)
$107,000–$109,000 (volume anomalies)
Buy Zone:
$77,000–$73,000 (volume anomalies, pushing volumes)
IMPORTANT DATES
This week we’re following these macroeconomic events:
• Monday, March 31, 12:00 (UTC) — publication of the German consumer price index;
• Tuesday, April 1, 03:30 (UTC) — announcement of the Australian interest rate decision;
• Tuesday, April 1, 09:00 (UTC) — publication of the consumer price index in the Eurozone compared to March 2024;
• Tuesday, April 1, 13:45 (UTC) — publication of the index of business activity in the US manufacturing sector for March;
• Tuesday, April 1, 14:00 (UTC) — publication of the number of open vacancies in the US labor market for February;
• Wednesday, April 2, 12:15 (UTC) — publication of changes in the number of people employed in the US non-agricultural sector in March;
• Thursday, April 3, 12:30 (UTC) — publication of the number of initial applications for US unemployment benefits;
• Thursday, April 3, 13:45 (UTC) — publication of the index of business activity in the US services sector for March;
• Thursday, April 3, 14:00 (UTC) — publication of the US non-manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index for March;
• Friday, April 4, 12:30 (UTC) — publication of the average hourly wage, changes in the number of people employed in the non-agricultural sector and the unemployment rate in the United States for March;
• Friday, April 4, 15:25 (UTC) — speech by Fed Chairman Jerome Powell.
*This post is not a financial recommendation. Make decisions based on your own experience.
#analytics
Bitcoin will move upward after correction!Hello, traders
In corrective patterns, Wave 2 can sometimes include large expanded waves.
Here’s a simplified example of a potential Zig-Zag trade.
The critical support level is at the start of the move at $79,962, while key support lies at the 0.786 retracement level at $81,635 if we break above $84,630.
The target for Wave (C) is $90,547, aligning with the length of Wave (A).
Bitcoin has a bear flagPrice target : 69017 dollar
Don't forget to push the like button. Thank you !!!
BTC Daily Chart Update: Potential Fair Value Gaps and Key LevelsHey traders! 👋
Taking a look at the daily chart of BTC, we can see two significant Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) still waiting to be filled. 🧐
1️⃣ The First FVG is located at a crucial level right around the Golden Pocket. This is a strong support zone that could be a game-changer. If BTC manages to fill this gap and rebound on the support, the next question is: What happens next? 🤔
2️⃣ The Second FVG is just above the 0.786 Fibonacci level, which could provide additional support or resistance depending on how price reacts.
So, what do you think? Will BTC fill these gaps and push higher, or are we going to see a rejection at these key levels? 🚀
Let me know your thoughts and join the conversation in the comments below! 🔥 Don't forget to follow for more updates and trading insights.
Happy trading, everyone! 💰📈
