USDTBTC trade ideas
BTC SHORT BTC SHORT
ENTRY : 106534.9
PROFIT : 104234.4
STOP : 107221.9
ALL trading ideas have entry point + stop loss + take profit + Risk level.
hello Traders, here is the full analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions, the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied. Please also refer to the Important Risk Notice linked below.
Disclaimer
Market next target 🟢 1. Strong Support Zone Nearby
The region around $103,500–$104,000 has acted as a strong demand zone historically (look left).
BTC might bounce from this level instead of continuing the downtrend.
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🔄 2. Consolidation, Not Breakdown
The price action appears more sideways/choppy than strongly bearish.
Without a clean breakdown candle below key support, this might be accumulation, not distribution.
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📉 3. Bearish Momentum Weakness
Volume on the recent red candles is not significantly increasing.
This implies lack of strong conviction from sellers.
#BTC/USDT#BTC
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is heading for a strong breakout and retest.
We are experiencing a rebound from the lower boundary of the descending channel, which is support at 103141.
We are experiencing a downtrend on the RSI indicator, which is about to break and retest, supporting the upward trend.
We are looking for stability above the 100 moving average.
Entry price: 105268
First target: 106500
Second target: 107405
Third target: 109006
Can Potentially move upwards from here?Bitcoin just created an inducement and it has been hunted. Now the structure is also broken and the inducement is also taken out. The market is in a discount zone, and there's an overlap of a Breaker Block and FVG (Fair Value Gap), which indicates that the market can potentially move upwards from here.
Wait for bullish confirmations here, such as MSS (Market Structure Shift), CISD (Change in Character/Continuation of Internal Structure Dynamics), and failed selling PD Arrays!
Do Your Own Research (DYOR)! This is not financial advice.
bitcoin short.Bitcoin (BTC) tumbled to a low of $101,095 on Friday amid volatility in the market. The effect of the tussle between United States (US) President Donald Trump and Tesla Chief Elon Musk negatively influenced the NASDAQ and Tesla's stock price on Thursday, although both are recovering on Friday. The spat between the two likely influenced the decline in crypto market cap, down 4% in the past 24 hours.
Bitcoin traders have turned fearful today, from neutral on Thursday. The crypto Fear and Greed Index reads 45 on Friday, while on Thursday and last week the values ranged between 57 and 60, implying a neutral sentiment among market participants.
As traders turn cautious and volatility rises, derivatives exchanges recorded a large volume of liquidations.
BTC Daily – Mixed Signals, Patience Required
From the PSAR perspective, BTC remains in a bearish phase. We need to wait for a PSAR flip to green before considering new long entries.
From the second system view, we’re also still in bearish territory. The setup will shift once MLR crosses above the SMA and BB centre. Currently, price is holding the SMA as support and has paused at the BB centre.
Looking at S/R levels, we’ve seen a solid bounce from the 3D + 5D support and are now holding at the weekly support zone.
Let’s see how this unfolds.
Scaling in may be a valid option for those considering long exposure—if risk is managed properly.
Feel free to drop your thoughts in the comments—good or bad, all engagement is appreciated.
Take profits. Manage risk. Stay sharp.
$BTC #Bitcoin is monthly and there is such a situation monthly.There is such a situation in CRYPTOCAP:BTC #Bitcoin weekly and monthly. I hope it doesn't work. If it works, there will be destruction in altcoins. There is no prediction right now. Everyone is expecting targets like 140k 250k. But I was here in the last double top but unfortunately it fell 15k. I hope they make a rally in altcoins before it works and then drop them. YTD. PLEASE TRADE AT YOUR OWN RISK.
Bitcoin Update
Currently bitcoin is on our local support ranging at 100.8k - 102.2k area, Looks our bulls are defending those local supports panda fam but the movement for me is a obvious normal correction 👀
As you can see its a decent reaction bounce between local support + A good volume from buyers base also basic indicator divergence. 🚀
Patiently waiting for next following days if we will print a structure the indicates a next higher high above local support which is possibly first indication for first confirmation reversal for possible next impulse up. 🐂
Crypto market is like a game you will wait to finish the loading screen then the battle begin ! 🔥
BTC Tactical rebound or flush? Decision point at $103700 support__________________________________________________________________________________
Technical Overview – Summary Points
➤ Strong overall momentum across all swing/weekly timeframes, clear advantage to buyers.
➤ Key support at 103,700–104,000 USDT (chart/on-chain confluence, maximum visibility on all timeframes).
➤ Major technical resistance zone at 111,000–112,000 USDT (ATH + HTF pivots).
➤ Volumes normal to moderate, no directional climax or emotional excess in short and mid-term.
➤ Risk On / Risk Off Indicator remains strongly positive, indicating persistent sector outperformance.
➤ Only short-term weakness detected: temporary bearish trend on 2H/1H/30min/15min, typical of a short-term flush within a bullish structural context.
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Strategic Summary
➤ Main bias: Bullish for swing approaches as long as $103,700 holds on closing.
➤ Opportunity: Buy on support on any retest 103,700–104,000 USDT with stop <102,000 USDT.
➤ Partial target: Take profits at 105–106k, then 111–112k.
➤ Risk zones: Confirmed break below 103,700 USDT with high volume = potential flush to 97–98k or even 95–96k.
➤ Catalysts: Quiet macro calendar until NFP (06/06) & FOMC (mid-June) — increased monitoring as these events approach.
➤ Action plan: Tactical intervention on support pullback, reduce exposure before major events.
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Multi-Timeframe Analysis
1D/1W : Major structure fully bullish. No underlying reversal, stable volume, solid momentum. Risk On / Risk Off Indicator fully “On Risk”, no behavioral excess.
12H/6H: Sector momentum and volumes validate all swing-long entries on dips. Key supports 103,700–104,000 USDT consistently defended across timeframes.
4H/2H: Bullish bias maintained, healthy structure. Slight intraday weakness: 2H softens, moderately high volumes without extremes.
1H/30m/15m: Short-term bearish bias across all LTF — profit taking impact, typical technical flush on support. Bearish signals do NOT invalidate HTF bullish trend, but require tactical vigilance.
Risk Summary: A fast drop below 103,700 USDT with volume would validate a flash liquidation scenario to 97–98k. Pullback in mature bull phase, strongly defended at the key support: timing for “mean reversion” on volume reaction, else wait for lower setups.
Risk On / Risk Off Indicator: Still “On Risk”, strong tech/growth sector momentum on daily/swing.
ISPD: No behavioral excess, neutral/median histogram across timeframes.
Volumes: Normal/moderate, no exhaustion spike nor major selling.
On-chain: Mature distribution, LTH profit-taking; key supports at $103,700, $97,100, $95,600.
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Strategic Synthesis & Bias
Market in mature bullish consolidation, HTF structure robust as long as 103,700 USDT holds.
Active opportunity window until NFP & FOMC: prioritize swing/mean-revert setups.
Required stop for any trade: strictly below $102,000.
Smart monitoring of volumes & sentiment: confirmed support break + volume = wait for lower rebound.
No excessive panic or exuberance signals: strong RR if re-entering the main range.
Actively manage exposure approaching macro events.
Operational summary:
• Buy at 103,700–104,000 USDT, stop <102,000.
• Partial profits at 105–106k, final offload at 111–112k.
• Reduce exposure ahead of NFP/FOMC.
• If break of 103,700 USDT: stop and wait for $97–98k or $95–96k.
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Why Do Trendlines, Chart Patterns Only Work Probabilistically?Why Do Resistance, Support, Trendlines, Fibonacci, and Chart Patterns Only Work Probabilistically?
(Meaning they are sometimes accurate, sometimes not)
In an uptrend, we follow the strategy of "buying at the bottom, selling at the top." But in a downtrend, what strategy should guide us? It’s the opposite: "shorting at the top and closing the short at the bottom." The approach is not much different from spot trading. We still use tools to identify tops and bottoms to execute our shorting plan and close positions.
For BTC on the D1 timeframe, the trend remains bearish. According to my system, BTCUSDT formed a peak on D1 on May 27 and May 28, with two "has peak D1" signals. This suggests that if we follow a short strategy, we would take profits at the D1 bottom.
In terms of price, we could wait around the $100k level to observe price action for profit-taking. Alternatively, using a bottom-detection system, we would close the position when a "has bottom" signal appears, regardless of whether the price hits $100k. It depends on the real-time market dynamics at that moment. The price might drop further to $95k or $93k, or it may not even reach $100k. Fixing a specific price level—whether it’s a resistance, support, trendline, or Fibonacci level—may not fully capture the overall real-time market context.
This is why sometimes the price hits the exact fixed zone, but other times it overshoots, undershoots, or a larger timeframe intervenes and breaks these fixed zones. That’s because price zones, trendlines, resistance, support, and Fibonacci levels are based on historical context.
In real-time, we are dealing with the present, which is vastly different from historical context. For example, differences in political leadership, monetary policies, wars, geopolitics, or capital inflows can all create disparities. This is why trendlines, resistance, support, Fibonacci levels, and chart patterns are not always accurate in the present or only work probabilistically.
Stay sharp, brothers!
BTC/USDT Analysis – Continued Rotation
Hello everyone! This is a daily market analysis from a CryptoRobotics trader-analyst.
Yesterday, after testing the local resistance at $105,400, Bitcoin shifted to a downward movement — but not for long. Selling pressure was very weak, and the initiative was quickly taken over by buyers. However, after a second test of that same level, selling resumed again, indicating that sellers currently hold the upper hand.
Main expectation: a test of the local low at $103,000, from where a return into the sideways range and a potential retest of the upper sell zone is likely.
Sell Zone:
$107,000–$109,800 (accumulated volume)
Buy Zones:
Around $100,000 (aggressive buying volumes)
$98,000–$97,200 (local support)
$93,000 level
$91,500–$90,000 (strong buying imbalance)
This publication is not financial advice.
BTC 12H – Slightly Different Picture
The 12H chart tells a slightly different story.
From the PSAR point of view, price has tapped it twice, but that’s not enough for confirmation.
From the system perspective, price is trading above the BB center, with both MLR and SMA also above it—this could justify small scaling.
From the S/R view, price is currently testing weekly resistance and the dotted line marking the daily close. That’s a strong reason to apply proper risk management.
Let’s see how this unfolds.
Scaling in may be a valid option for those considering long exposure—if risk is managed properly.
Feel free to drop your thoughts in the comments—good or bad, all engagement is appreciated.
Take profits. Manage risk. Stay sharp.