Bitcoin (BTC): Strong Sell-Off During Weekends | Plan A & BBitcoin was bleeding hard during the weekend when the US decided to join the ongoing war, which is now strongly impacting the economic markets.
As tensions are tightening, we are expecting a similar outcome to happen like we had during the beginning of the UA war, where at the start everything dipped hard, and later we had a strong upward rally.
Remember, people need to store their money somewhere safe, and the safest places are buying gold or Crypto.
Swallow Academy
USDTBTC trade ideas
#Bitcoin is approaching a strong demand zone!#Bitcoin is approaching a strong demand zone!
This level has acted as solid support several times in the past.
According to the Fibonacci levels, we’re currently at the 0.5 level, which makes this area even more significant.
In my opinion, we’re likely to see a bounce from here.
However, if the price fails to hold this level, there’s a good chance we’ll retest the $92K zone.
But for that to happen, we need a daily close below $100K.
Until then, we’re still in a safe zone.
I’ll keep you updated as things develop.
If you find my updates helpful, don’t forget to like and follow for more!
DYOR, NFA
Today's BTC trading strategy, I hope it will be helpful to youBitcoin Trading Strategy: Navigating $101,000 Volatility with a Three-Dimensional Model
Current Bitcoin prices oscillating near $101,000 reflect more than just technical support battles—they embody an expectation gap between policy implementation timelines and institutional fund flows. This strategy constructs a "Policy-Funds-Technology" three-dimensional analysis model, using the U.S. *Genius Act* House voting process and Hong Kong's *Stablecoin Ordinance* countdown as policy anchors, institutional behavior differences (e.g., MicroStrategy增持 vs. Grayscale fund flows) as funding validation, and key technical breakouts as entry signals for a dynamically adjusted trading system.
I. Policy Landscape: Dual Catalysts on the Horizon
- **U.S. *Genius Act* Legislative Progress**: The Senate passed the *Genius Act* with a 68:30 supermajority, and Trump has publicly pressed the House to expedite voting, with markets expecting final legislation by mid-late July. The bill requires stablecoin issuers to maintain 100% dollar/T-bill reserves, effectively integrating stablecoins into the "digital dollar" system. This is expected to attract ~$20 billion in institutional capital via compliant channels.
- **Hong Kong *Stablecoin Ordinance* Launch**: Scheduled to take effect on August 1, the ordinance has prompted institutions like Standard Chartered and JD.com to prepare license applications. The introduction of offshore RMB stablecoins will create new liquidity entry points for Bitcoin.
II. Funding Dynamics: Institutional Long-Term Conviction vs. Short-Term Positioning
- **MicroStrategy's Bold Accumulation**: The firm's holdings surpassed 330,000 BTC after a June 22 purchase, with an average cost of $88,627—current prices yield a 14% unrealized gain, demonstrating corporate investors' long-term confidence.
- **Grayscale GBTC Contrast**: $46.3 million flowed out of GBTC in the week ending June 20, reflecting institutional portfolio optimization ahead of policy milestones.
- **Tron USDT Liquidity Base**: With circulation exceeding $70 billion (50% of global USDT) and $80 billion daily transaction volume, Tron's stablecoin provides robust liquidity support for Bitcoin.
III. Technical Confirmation Mechanisms for $101,000
1. Short-Term Support Validation:
- Price forms a "Morning Star" candlestick pattern within $100,000-$101,000, accompanied by 20% higher trading volume than the prior day.
2. Trend Breakout Confirmation:
- RSI rebounds from below 40 to above 50, coinciding with a decisive price突破 (breakout) of the intraday resistance at $102,000.
**Trading Tactics**:
- **Aggressive Entry**: Long positions on confirmed Morning Star patterns, with stop-loss below $100,000 (2% below support).
- **Breakout Follow-through**: Add to positions above $102,000, targeting $105,000 resistance.
- **Risk Control**: Maintain position sizes below 15% of portfolio, with profit-taking triggers set at 3%–5% intervals.
This framework balances policy-driven structural shifts with tactical technical signals, enabling traders to navigate the volatility gap between institutional long-termism and short-term market noise.
Today's BTC trading strategy, I hope it will be helpful to you
BTCUSDT BUY@101000~102000
SL:98000
TP:103000~104000
$BTC - Short-term OutlookCRYPTOCAP:BTC | 4h
We got a solid bounce off 98k
Next key level is 103.5k–104k. A clean reclaim flips short-term bias bullish.
If price gets rejected again, this likely confirms a bearish retest, and likely leading back down to the 94k–92k value area
Price could range for awhile at this level as we challenge the 104k — prior value acting as resistance.
Your Edge Isn’t Just Technical, It’s PersonalMost traders obsess over their strategy: Which indicator? What session? What entry signal?
But very few stop to ask the question that could change everything: “Does this style actually fit who I am?”
The Truth Most Don’t Talk About
Trading success is not about copying someone else’s edge. It’s about discovering your own edge, and that begins with self-awareness .
And it hit deep because this is the part of trading psychology we often skip.
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If you’re naturally calm and risk-averse, trying to scalp news spikes will drain you.
If you’re fast-thinking, decisive, and love volatility, swing trading might feel like watching paint dry.
If you thrive on rules and structure, discretionary trading might feel chaotic.
If you're intuitive and adaptive, being forced into mechanical rules may kill your edge.
You’re not underperforming because you lack discipline, you’re likely just misaligned.
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I stopped trying to “be the trader” everyone said I should be. And I started trading like me.
I built a system that fits my mental rhythm.
I gave myself permission to simplify.
I became consistent not because of a new setup, but because I removed internal friction.
Final Thought:
Your best trades don’t just come from the chart. They come from a place of alignment, when your mindset, risk tolerance, and system flow together. So before chasing another strategy, ask yourself: “Is my trading style in tune with my personality?”
BTC Correction's 📉 Significant Bitcoin Correction During Uptrend
After a strong bullish rally, Bitcoin has entered a correction phase, retracing nearly 25% of its recent gains. Interestingly, this correction aligns exactly with the 200-period moving average on the 4-hour chart, marking a potential key support level.
🔍 Is Bitcoin’s Correction Over or Just Beginning?
The overlap with the 200 MA could signal the end of the correction, but if this zone fails to hold, deeper targets between the 35% and 75% retracement levels may come into play.
🛡️ Potential Support Levels for Bitcoin if the Correction Continues:
First support: 102,200 USD – 25% correction
Second support: 93,200 USD – 35% correction
Third support: 84,100 USD – 50% correction
Fourth support: 74,600 USD – 75% correction
Long on Bitcoin. Bullmarket ahead!🚀 Entering a Degen LONG Position
I'm taking a calculated long here, with the 99.5k level acting as a key support zone.
✅ We’ve just swept the previous wick lows, grabbing a significant amount of liquidity that was resting below.
✅ The market has likely completed a clean ABC correction, with a nicely proportioned A = C structure — textbook move.
🧠 From a macro perspective:
The Iran war narrative appears to be fully priced in. At this point, only an extreme escalation (e.g. nuclear) could trigger a deeper selloff.
However, current geopolitical tensions may actually fuel bullish sentiment, as they give the FED more justification to pause or cut rates — a catalyst that could ignite the next impulsive leg of this bull market.
🤞 Fingers crossed — let’s see this rocket lift off.
Bitcoin Technical Analysis | Critical Support Zone in 4H Timefra📉 Bitcoin Technical Analysis | Critical Support Zone in 4H Timeframe
Bitcoin is currently testing a major support zone at $101,126, but bearish pressure remains high.
⚠️ If bulls fail to hold this level and no strong candle closes above it, we could see a further drop toward the $97,769 and $96,475 support zones.
However, if Bitcoin manages to bounce from here and begins a recovery, make sure to watch the descending purple trendline – a key resistance level that could slow down the upside.
🧭 The support and resistance levels drawn on this chart are highly reactive zones — use them to plan your trades and set smart entries and exits.
👉 Follow for more clean and actionable setups on BTC, ETH, and major crypto pairs!
BTC is still bearish (2H)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section
The red zone seems to have had enough orders to reject the price downward. It is expected that the price will drop at least to the green zone below.
There will be some fluctuations along the way.
A daily candle closing above the invalidation level would invalidate this analysis.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
#BTC bearish cup-handle structure, beware of a pullback!📊#BTC bearish cup-handle structure, beware of a pullback!
🧠From a structural perspective, we broke below the neckline, which means a bearish structure is established, so we need to be wary of further declines.
➡️Yesterday's decline was rapid, so we can wait for a rebound to appear and look for shorting opportunities near the blue resistance area or the downward trend line.
➡️Since it is the weekend, the trading volume may be less. If there is no rebound, then we need to wait patiently for a period of sideways consolidation before looking for shorting opportunities.
⚠️Note that the area around 106500 is a support-resistance conversion zone. If it breaks through here and stabilizes, we can remain optimistic.
🤜If you like my analysis, please like 💖 and share 💬 BITGET:BTCUSDT.P
BITCOIN BEARISH SETUPBitcoin (BTC/USDT) – Breakdown from Double Top Confirms Bearish Trend Continuation
The 4-hour chart of BTC/USDT (Binance Perpetual Contracts) presents a textbook double top formation followed by a confirmed breakdown below structural support levels. The bearish trend has already met its first target, and technicals suggest the move could extend lower toward the key demand zone around $96,000.
🔍 Key Technical Highlights:
Double Top Pattern: Clear double top structure formed between $109,000–$110,000, followed by a strong rejection.
Support Break: Price broke down below key support at ~$105,000, triggering a sell-off and validating the bearish reversal.
Bearish Retest: After the breakdown, price retested the broken trendline (highlighted with a red zone) and failed to reclaim the range.
First Target Hit: Price achieved the first projected support zone at around $101,000.
Next Target: Based on measured move projection and previous structure, the next downside target lies near the $96,000 mark.
📉 Outlook:
The structure remains bearish as long as BTC trades below the broken support-turned-resistance zone (~$105,000). Momentum favors continued downside toward the next key zone unless a significant bullish reversal signal emerges.
$BTC Bounce Targeting $112K?CRYPTOCAP:BTC is trading within a descending channel and has just bounced off the lower support level near $101,400.
If this rebound holds, we could see a push toward $107,000–$ 112,000.
However, it remains in a downtrend, so any upside may face resistance unless the channel breaks with strong volume.
Bitcoin and the descending channel it consistently followsAccording to the UTC+3 time zone, there is a Bitcoin channel between the 23:00 and 03:00 candles on May 21, which uses the width of the channel (the yellow channel). If we copy the same channel and place it at the upper wick of the 15:00 candle on May 27, we get the green channel. Similarly, by copying the yellow channel and aligning it with the lower wick of the 03:00 candle on May 22, which is one of the first two white candles at the start of the channel, we get the orange channel. The blue channel, on the other hand, is my prediction. In addition, not only the 0 and 1 points (solid line) of the channels but also the 0.5 (short line), 0.25, and 0.75 (dotted lines) levels act as support and resistance.
btc chipping down de road This is de rasshole fractal—the fractal from the future, the one whispered through the blockchain by quantum echoes of bull runs past, the one that knows, that sees, that is. It bends time, folds sentiment, loops liquidity through dimensions you haven’t even leveraged yet. It doesn’t care about your indicators, your trendlines, your cousin’s TA on Reddit—it just exists, pulsing with the inevitable. You can squint at it, laugh at it, ignore it—but it’s already printed, already fulfilled, already written in the candlesticks of destiny. Don’t try to understand it. Just feel it. Because the fractal knows: the price is going up. Did you buy the dip, or are you still refreshing?
$BTC correction: targets 101k, 97.5k, 94k, 87kThe hype is peaking — institutions, banks, Wall Street, and even governments are buying Bitcoin.
Yet despite the frenzy, BTC has been rejected three times around the $110K level and appears to be heading into another correction.
Bitcoin maximalists are pushing a strong FOMO narrative to attract retail investors, but several factors are pushing back:
- Psychological barrier: At these price levels, retail investors are hesitant. Owning just a "fraction" of a Bitcoin doesn’t appeal to the average person.
- Geopolitical tension: The conflict with Iran is serious. This isn’t a small, isolated country — Iran is a millennia-old civilization with global alliances. This situation won't resolve quickly or easily like Libya, Syria, or Iraq.
- Oil price surge: Escalating tensions could disrupt the Strait of Hormuz, a critical route for global oil. Western sanctions on Russia already strain supply — if Iran joins, where will Europe get its energy? U.S. supply won’t be enough. Expect a spike in inflation.
- Recession risks: Persistent inflation could drive a recession in the second half of the year.
- Trade wars & tariffs: No resolution, just chaos.
- Ukraine-Russia war: Still unresolved. Still draining global stability.
In short, the world is burning — and this is terrible for markets.
Bitcoin maximalists — some even selling company shares to buy more BTC — may soon face the harsh reality: Bitcoin needs a deeper flush before it can rally again. Retail won’t return until altseason clears the way and resets sentiment.
In a cycle dominated by propaganda, institutional manipulation, and global unrest, predictions are fragile. The only guide left: the chart.
Technically, we’re in correction mode again. Comparing with past cycles, potential pullback targets are:
$101K, $97.5K, $94K, $87K
There’s massive support at $74K, but it's unlikely we revisit it soon.
Stay cautious. DYOR.
#Bitcoin #CryptoMarket #BTCUpdate #Geopolitics #Altseason #CryptoCorrection #MacroView #CryptoFOMO #RiskAssets #DYOR
BTCUSDTHello traders. Wishing each of you a great weekend ahead!
Even though it's the weekend, I’ve spotted a sell opportunity on the BTCUSDT pair and decided to share it with you. However, we should also keep in mind that weekend markets tend to have lower volume. That said, I will still proceed with this trade based on my own risk parameters and trading strategy.
🔍 Trade Details
✔️ Timeframe: 30-Minute
✔️ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:2
✔️ Trade Direction: Sell
✔️ Entry Price: 103815.32
✔️ Take Profit: 102640.12
✔️ Stop Loss: 104402.06
🕒 If the trade does not continue with strong momentum, I will keep the position open only until 23:00 today. Otherwise, I will close it either in profit or at a loss depending on the price action.
🔔 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. I’m simply sharing a trade I’ve taken based on my personal trading system, strictly for educational and illustrative purposes.
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