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Bitcoin's Weekly MACD & RSI —Back To Basics (Part 1)We looked at Bitcoin on the weekly timeframe and mentioned the rare Michael Saylor 4 weeks green bullish signal. But what about the MACD and RSI? What are these indicators currently saying? Let's dive deep into these two and see what we can find. First, Bitcoin's weekly RSI. 1) Here we have first what is called a hidden bullish divergence. The RSI hit a lower low in March 2025 compared to September 2024, but Bitcoin is currently trading within a strong higher low (March/April 2025 vs September 2024). This is an interesting signal. 2) The same RSI support that was activated in September 2023 and September 2024 worked in March 2025. Once this level was activated—blue dotted line on the chart—the RSI started to move upward. Each time this support is activated Bitcoin goes on a major bullish wave. In September 2023 Bitcoin started a major rise from 20 something toward 70K+. In September 2024 Bitcoin started a major advance from 60 something toward 110K. 3) A triple bottom. Another signal related to this same support level is a triple bottom. It was challenged three times and holds. In 2025, this support zone was pierced briefly and then the RSI started growing. This makes the reversal signal an even stronger one. Bitcoin doubled in 2024 from this RSI support and more than triple in 2023. So this time around we can count on a double minimum but can be a triple or more. If it increases each time, first a double, then a triple and then a quadruple. The next signal is Bitcoin's weekly RSI broken downtrend and bullish reading: 1) The downtrend has been broken on the RSI, pretty simple. Here depicted with blue lines. Needless to say, when the downtrend breaks the RSI moves up. A strong RSI is bullish for Bitcoin and this takes us to #2. 2) The RSI has a strong reading at 59. Bullish is above 50 and there is also a bullish cross, when the RSI moved above the RSI based MA (moving average). The weekly RSI reveals Bitcoin's eternal bullish bias. Over time this indicator becomes overbought but never oversold. Interesting isn't it? It shows that market participants are ready to buy beyond what is reasonable but not willing to sell that much. As it happened back in late September 2024, the RSI doesn't have to move straight up, there are ups and down within a rise, please keep that in mind. The RSI doesn't necessarily reflect what Bitcoin is doing or will do, it only supports a broader bias, trend or cycle, in this case the bullish case. Next comes the MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence). This is pretty interesting as well and the first signal is a higher low in April 2025 vs September 2024, a standard bullish signal: Revealing Bitcoin's eternal bullish bias, the MACD starts to recover without reaching the bearish zone. The bearish zone is when the MACD moves below zero, here the recovery is happening above. The fact that the bullish cross on the MACD, when the MACD line crosses upward the signal line, is not yet in means that this bullish cycle is still early. When the MACD line (blue) starts to curve on the weekly timeframe after making a long-term low, as it is now, the market turns bullish and there is no going back. I will go deeper on the MACD in part 2 of this publication. If you enjoy it and like it boost it to give me feedback. The more feedback, the deeper the next analysis will be. Thanks a lot for reading, your support is truly appreciated. I'll see you next time. Namaste.
Long
by MasterAnanda
4
BTC’s Resistance Rejection and Pullback PotentialBitcoin’s recent upswing encountered strong supply at a major confluence zone, setting the stage for a corrective phase. Below is a purely technical breakdown of the reversal signals and key levels to watch: 1. Confluent Resistance Barrier Trend Channel Upper Boundary: BTC respected the descending channel ceiling drawn since November 2024, stalling gains at this dynamic resistance. Volume Profile Node: The Point of Control for the November–April range coincides exactly with this ceiling, creating a heavy supply node where aggressive selling pressure has materialized. 2. Bearish Shark Harmonic Activation Harmonic Geometry: The completed Shark pattern (0XA–AB–BC–CD) landed precisely at the resistance confluence, triggering a shift from impulsive to corrective price behavior. Fibonacci Alignment: The D-leg retracement aligns with the 0.886 extension of the XA leg, reinforcing the pattern’s invalidation zone and confirming the reversal trigger. 3. Critical Downside Pivot Key Swing Low – $91,648: A close beneath this level on elevated volume would validate the bearish scenario, initiating a cascading stop-run that could drive BTC toward the $86,000 structural support. Stop-Hunt Risk: Traders who entered near recent highs likely have stops clustered just below the swing low; their liquidation would accelerate downside velocity. Risk and Trade Management Entry Zone: Aggressive short entries may be considered on a failure to retake the channel top, with initial targets near the POC support level. Invalidation Point: A sustained reclaim of the channel resistance and POC region would negate the bearish thesis, shifting bias back to neutral or bullish. Summary: Bitcoin’s clear rejection at overlapping resistance and the activation of the bearish Shark harmonic signal a high-probability pullback. Confirmation hinges on the swing-low break; otherwise, watch for a potential re-test of the confluence zone.
Short
by The_Alchemist_Trader_
BTC breaks out - Can it sustain the bullish momentum?Over the past week, Bitcoin (BTC) has shown notable strength, forming an ascending triangle pattern, a typically bullish structure that often resolves to the upside. True to form, BTC has now broken out above the triangle's resistance, pushing higher with strong momentum. ------------------------------- Price target ascending triangle This breakout sets a technical price target above $98,000, suggesting there’s still significant upside potential if the pattern plays out fully. However, the rally is now approaching a critical test. ------------------------------- Golden Pocket + POC BTC is currently moving into a zone of strong resistance, both the Golden Pocket Fibonacci retracement level and the Point of Control (POC) from recent months converge in this area. These technical levels often act as magnets for price and can serve as significant barriers, potentially leading to a pullback or consolidation. ------------------------------- Stochastic RSI Adding to the caution, the daily Stochastic RSI remains in overbought territory, where it has lingered for an extended period. While this doesn’t guarantee an immediate reversal, it does suggest that a corrective move could be on the horizon. ------------------------------- Conclusion Still, there's a chance BTC could first push toward the psychologically significant $100K level before any major retracement occurs. Traders should keep a close eye on how BTC behaves around this key resistance area, confirmation or rejection here will likely shape the next major move. ------------------------------- Thanks for your support. - Make sure to follow me so you don't miss out on the next analysis! - Drop a like and leave a comment!
Long
by Youriverse
26
Bitcoin Ascending Broadening Wedge (4H)After a clean breakout above the macro downtrend, BINANCE:BTCUSDT rallied into its supply zone — but price action has since become increasingly volatile, forming a rising broadening wedge (also known as a megaphone pattern). Pattern Insights • The structure is defined by diverging trendlines, with each swing becoming larger and more erratic. • This pattern often signals instability or exhaustion, especially near key resistance. • While it can break either way, broadening wedges in an uptrend frequently resolve to the downside, especially when supply is overhead. Key Levels • Resistance: ~$ 98K-$99.5k supply zone — the upper boundary of the pattern. • Support: ~$93.5k area — prior S/R, potential flip zone. • Reversal: A breakdown below ~$93k could confirm a short-term bearish resolution and open the door to ~$88.5k. • Continuation: A breakout above the upper boundary with volume could trap shorts and ignite a squeeze toward new highs. Until then, BTC remains in a high-volatility structure, best approached with caution or as a range-trading opportunity.
by AliferCrypto
BTCUSDT Showing Mixed SignalsHi there, BTCUSDT has the potential to make a minor correction and pull back up to 100,114.80 and 101,976.57. There are strong mixed signals. The price is trending bullish, but the broader market remains bearish. The 93,346.20 level supports bullish price momentum, but it is confronted by overall bearish market sentiment. Conclusion: BTCUSDT is currently trading on sentiment, presenting a complicated scenario that is best considered neutral. Happy Trading, K. Disclaimer. This is merely a setup that I share; do your own research or speak with a financial advisor. It is not financial advice.
by Khiwe
Bitcoin: Blood in the Streets – Now is the Time!Once again, there’s blood in the streets—and from this point on I start scaling into spot positions again, slowly but deliberately. All of these are spot entries with soft stop-losses—not hard exits, but areas I’ll react to if needed. So why now? For one, we’re sitting right above the 38,2% Fibonacci level for the ending of the wave A. At the same time, we’re about to tap into a daily Fair Value Gap, while trying to hold the range support—two important technical levels lining up on the higher time frame. Below that, we have an untapped VWAP at $65.5K, which could act as a magnet, as it often does. And yeah—if we go under $62K or even $60K, the classic “time to work at McDonald’s” joke comes back. But seriously: in markets like this, you need to stay calm, have some humor, and most of all, know what’s possible. So I’m cautiously watching the S&P 500 closely, which plays a big role in this setup for me. That’s where I stand on BTC right now—careful optimism, grounded in context and reasoning for me.
Long
by stromm
2
BTC - SHORT TERM DIRECTIONSelling wick on the 12-hour candle confirms strong resistance around the $96K– GETTEX:97K zone. We may see a short-term dip towards $95K–$94K, but it’s really nothing to worry about. While BTC searches for support, altcoins are likely to take advantage of this consolidation phase and rally. I don’t expect BTC’s short-term movement to significantly impact altcoin performance. It would only become a major influence if Bitcoin were showing signs of a long-term bearish trend — which it’s not. No concern here — just keeping you all informed on BTC’s price action, as always.
Short
by Asma7assan
BTC/USDTMACROSENTIMENT Macrosentiment Analysis – BTC/USDT Current Market Structure: Bitcoin appears to have found a strong bottom around the $74,000 level, which historically has acted as a key support zone. This area was anticipated months ago as a likely retest zone in the event of a correction — specifically between $70,000 to $75,000. We are now beginning to see bullish candles forming, signaling renewed momentum. 📈 Upside Targets: If bullish momentum continues and volume sustains, BTC is potentially on track to climb toward the $140,000–$150,000 range as the ultimate macro target. However, several key resistance levels need to be broken first: $88,000 – Major immediate resistance $95,000 – Secondary resistance $100,000 – Psychological and historical milestone; likely to be the toughest barrier It's important to note: ➡️ Without a clear breakout above $88,000, BTC will struggle to approach $95,000 ➡️ Without breaching $95,000, we are unlikely to challenge the $100,000 level 📉 Downside Support Levels: In case of a pullback, the key support levels to monitor are: $85,000 – Currently holding $80,000 $74,000 $70,000 Breaking below any of these levels would signal a weakening structure and could suggest the formation of lower lows and a shift toward a bearish trend. 📌 Summary / My View: BTC remains in an uptrend, with this week’s candle opening green, and the $85,000 support holding firm — both are strong bullish signs. Volume remains the primary driver of continuation. Until we clear $88,000, the upside remains limited. 📍Implication for Altcoins: Since many traders gauge BTC’s momentum to time their altcoin entries: ✅ I have personally entered a few altcoin positions based on current bullish confirmation. The market structure suggests growing strength and increased risk-on behavior.
Long
by Asma7assan
BTC In my personal opinion, wave four has arrived. In my personal analysis, after the ascending channel breaks and returns to the ascending triangle, it can be said with certainty that wave 4 has begun. But where this wave will end cannot be said with certainty, but in the long-term analysis, wave 4 should not enter the ceiling of wave 2. If this happens, the rule of thumb is that the market will be bearish and it can be said with certainty that wave 5 is not in place. Currently, the trend is upward, the first target is 93310. The next target is 90473, which is a key and psychological support, the third target is 88181, which is 50% of the correction. And the target that Bitcoin will most likely not touch is 85887, which is the highest correction. Note: 83588, if Bitcoin falls below this number, wave 5 is no longer in place. This is a completely personal opinion, not a buy or sell offer! Please do not enter into a trade with my analysis. Thank you for sharing your opinions with me.
Short
by arvine
1
Bitcoin Price Action Analysis – Bearish Correction Toward DemandHello Guys! Let's analyze btc! Rising Trendline Break: The bullish structure has broken down as the price failed to hold above the key support region around $96,000–$96,200. Targeted Demand Zone: The highlighted purple box between $94,200 and $94,700 represents a demand zone that has previously shown strong buyer interest. The current structure suggests Bitcoin may revisit this zone for a potential bounce. Bearish Momentum: A large arrow indicates the directional bias toward the downside, aligning with the correction and market sentiment. Fake RSI Divergence: The RSI panel indicates a “Fake Divergence” pattern, which may have misled early bulls. RSI has since dropped and currently hovers in the neutral zone, with no strong bullish signals yet. _____________________________ Conclusion: Unless a strong bounce occurs around current levels, Bitcoin looks poised to correct further toward the $94,200–$94,700 demand zone. Traders should watch for reactionary price action and bullish reversal patterns before considering long entries.
Short
by melikatrader94
24
The worst-case scenario for Bitcoin📉 Potential Dip to $70,000 in 2026 Some analysts suggest that Bitcoin could experience a correction to around $70,000 in 2026. This potential downturn may be influenced by: Market Cycles: Bitcoin's price has historically followed cyclical patterns, with periods of rapid growth followed by corrections. Regulatory Changes: Shifts in global regulatory stances toward cryptocurrencies could impact investor sentiment and market dynamics. Macroeconomic Factors: Economic events, such as changes in interest rates or geopolitical tensions, could influence risk appetite among investors. It's important to note that while a dip to $70,000 is within the realm of possibility, other forecasts for 2026 are more optimistic. For instance, CoinCodex projects Bitcoin trading between $94,836 and $160,074 in 2026, with an average price of $119,743 . 🚀 Surge to Over $130,000 in 2027 Looking ahead to 2027, several factors could contribute to a significant increase in Bitcoin's price: Institutional Adoption: Growing interest from institutional investors could drive demand. Technological Advancements: Improvements in blockchain technology and scalability solutions may enhance Bitcoin's utility. Global Economic Conditions: In times of economic uncertainty, Bitcoin is often viewed as a hedge against inflation. Analysts have provided various projections for 2027: Binance forecasts a price range between $140,491 and $216,738, with an average of $170,100 . Bittime estimates an average price of $138,000, with potential highs up to $150,000
Short
by MiguelFTCurado
1
BTC Pulls Back Below POC — Short-Term Trend Still in ControlAfter rejecting from dynamic resistance, BTC is back under the point of control (POC). The short-term trend remains bearish, and bulls need to reclaim key levels to shift the tone. Overview: Bitcoin has slid back into the local range after failing to hold above a key resistance area. This rejection lined up with a bearish harmonic pattern and a swing failure at recent highs, leading to a clean pullback. We’re now seeing price consolidate around the point of control (POC) from the move that started April 23rd — a level that’s been pivotal for both buyers and sellers. Key Technical Insights: Dynamic Resistance Holding Strong: Lower highs continue to form under this key trendline — bulls have yet to break structure. POC Acting as Resistance: BTC is currently holding below the volume node — further rejection here increases the chance of range continuation. Short-Term Trend Dominates: Lower highs and lower lows have formed a clean downtrend on lower timeframes. Without a shift, this could start spilling into higher timeframe momentum. Market Context: The lower-timeframe structure has held steady for over a week, and the failure to form a higher low is keeping downside pressure intact. Volume is concentrated at the POC, suggesting the market is at a decision point — resolve above it, or rotate toward the lower range. Right now, the structure leans bearish until price breaks above the dynamic resistance or prints a higher low. What to Watch Next: If BTC continues to reject from the POC and dynamic resistance, expect further pressure to the downside and possible tests of range support. Reclaiming the POC would be the first signal of potential recovery — but until then, the short-term trend favors caution.
Short
by The_Alchemist_Trader_
2
BTC/USDT Analysis: Is the Long Trend in Question? Hello everyone! This is a daily update from a CryptoRobotics trader-analyst. Last week, posts were not published every weekday due to holidays — but we’re back now. Yesterday, Bitcoin reached a support zone. Signs of defense were observed, but so far, there has been no meaningful recovery. In the current buy zone, the power balance remains even: on one hand, market buyers failed to resume the uptrend, but on the other, we noticed absorption of sell orders according to delta analysis. At the moment, the buyer appears weak, so entering long positions is not advisable. The main scenario remains bearish. In addition to the two scenarios described yesterday, a third one has emerged — a short entry from the current price. Sell Zones: $96,100–$96,600 (local volume area) Level $98,000 $107,000–$109,000 (volume anomalies) Buy Zones: $95,000–$93,400 (accumulated volumes) $91,500–$90,000 (strong buying imbalance) $88,100–$87,000 (absorption of market selling) $85,500–$84,000 (accumulated volumes) $82,700–$81,400 (volume area) Level $74,800 $69,000–$60,600 (accumulated volumes) What scenario do you think is most likely? Share your thoughts in the comments — it’s always interesting to compare perspectives! This publication is not financial advice.
Short
by Crypto_robotics