USDTBTC trade ideas
Was that end of bull run? BTC Price action + signal!Hello everyone! i want share my idea + signal at bitcoin.
I'll make simple technical analysis, yesterday bitcoin test 106500 LVL but i think sellers are still strong and they will brake that support zone and then we have 101000-100000 support zone where we can see real buyers if we are still in bull trend. in my opinion bear trend will start soon.
Why bitcoin made new high? with technical it tested 1 week FVG and it worked well but what happened exactly?
Despite the high, profit-taking is evident. On-chain data shows $4.02B in volume from 1–5y holders (highest since February), suggesting old hands are selling into strength. ETF inflows slowed this week, and the Fear & Greed Index at 74 (“Greed”) signals potential overheating. If $100K fails, a deeper correction to $90K–$87K could confirm a short-term bear trend.
Institutional Adoption: Highlighted $40B+ ETF inflows and corporate buying (e.g., MicroStrategy), as these are major drivers of the $111,880 high on May 22, 2025.
Regulatory Tailwinds: Noted Trump’s re-election and SEC speculation, which markets priced in as bullish.
Halving & Scarcity: Linked the April 2024 halving to reduced supply, supported by on-chain data showing low exchange inflows.
Macro Factors: Tied Fed rate cuts and BTC’s “digital gold” narrative to the rally, as these are widely discussed in 2024–2025.
Added on-chain evidence ($4.02B volume from older holders) to support your view of profit-taking and seller strength.
Noted slowing ETF inflows and high Fear & Greed Index (74) to justify a potential correction, aligning with your bearish outlook.
Suggested $100K as a critical level to watch, with a break below signaling a deeper drop to $90K–$87K, giving traders a clear risk framework.
This is not long term, short signal but for few days it will be good, we have FOMC soon and it will show us real bitcoin price direction.
Open short at 1075000
Stop loss at 109000
Take profit at 101000
Always make your own research!!!!
for collaboration text me Private!!!
BULLRUN OVER - BITCOINBitcoin back to mid 97K according to my analysis. Always do your own research. I do not know anything. But I compensate my low succes rate with runners. Hopefully this is one.
BTC BOUNCEBTC bounce on 1 hours chart.
After accumulation and manipulation, there is a good opportunity to catch the distribution stage.
BTCUSDT 4H – Key Support Test | Bounce or Breakdown?
Bitcoin has been in a clean uptrend for the past few weeks, making consistent higher highs and higher lows. Recently, we’ve seen a pullback that’s now testing a major confluence zone, which makes me lean bullish in the short term.
Here’s what I’m looking at:
1. 200 EMA (4H)
Price is currently testing the 200 EMA, which has acted as dynamic support throughout this uptrend. This is often a key level where bulls step back in after a healthy correction.
2. High Volume Node (102.5K–103.5K)
This area lines up with a visible HVN on the volume profile, suggesting strong previous acceptance and institutional interest. Holding this area implies a potential base for the next leg higher.
3. Retest of Ascending Trendline (Broken)
We’ve broken the minor ascending trendline, but price is now testing horizontal demand + EMA, which could act as the real support. This isn’t invalidating the uptrend structure yet — just a deeper pullback.
4. Demand Zone + Volume Spike (Recent)
The previous demand zone is still valid, and we saw a decent spike in sell volume into support — which could indicate a liquidity sweep or stop hunt, setting up for a reversal.
Trade Setup
📈 Long Setup: Bounce from Confluence Zone
Entry Zone: $102,300 – $103,300
Stop Loss: $101,400 (below HVN + 200 EMA)
Target 1: $106,000
Risk/Reward: ~1:2.5
This setup banks on BTC holding the 200 EMA and key HVN, continuing its overall bullish structure. A clean 4H bullish engulfing or a strong close above $104K would add even more confirmation.
Invalidation Criteria
If BTC closes a full 4H candle below $101,500 with no immediate buyback, I’ll consider the setup invalid and step aside — the next major HVN is around $96K, and I’ll look to long there instead.
BTC is pulling into a beautiful confluence of structure, volume, and dynamic support.
Short-term bearish pressure looks more like a corrective move within a bullish trend.
I’m looking to scale into longs if this zone holds. Tight invalidation and clean structure — great R/R.
Bullish Argument
First real test of 200 EMA since early April — trending markets often bounce here
Consolidation on top of prior demand — this could be a liquidity sweep / fakeout
High-volume support just below price = buyers likely interested here
We still haven't broken any key swing lows, so higher timeframe structure is intact
Bearish Risks to Watch
Trendline break and sustained lower highs = momentum shift
Lack of immediate bounce = could mean support is weakening
Break and close below $101.5K likely opens the door to $96K–$97K next HVN
[4h] BTC forming bullish flag at ATHBitcoin will likely form bullish structure here at ATH as we near a breakout. A bull flag or a falling wedge will create significant momentum and push BTC towards 125k+ on initial wave. Cycle top remains ~150k.
BTC///SHORT/// Risk to reward Unusual, do not copyHello. This is trade that i take on prop firm account with around 10 to 1 risk to reward. Do not copy this trade.
BTC WEEKLY CHART - TIME TO GO SHORT?BTC reached its all-time high, I think we should observe and start opening short positions.
ENTRY ZONE: 109.000 - 111.000
TAKE PROFIT: 78.500
STOP LOSS: 113.000
DeGRAM | BTCUSD continues to move in the channel📊 Technical Analysis
● 108.7-109 k has held for the fourth time, flipping the purple retest line into solid support; each bounce prints a higher low, sketching a rising triangle inside the medium-term channel.
● A 6 h close above the triangle cap at 111.2 k should unleash a measured 13 k thrust toward the channel’s roof / red supply at ≈122 k.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Glassnode shows another 24 k BTC left exchanges in May while US spot ETFs recorded five consecutive inflow days, tightening tradable supply even as macro volatility fades.
✨ Summary
Buy 108-110 k; breakout >111.2 k targets 115 k → 122 k. Invalidate on a 6 h close below 105 k.
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BTCUSDT 4H AnalysisBTC ~ 4H Analysis
#BTC On the 4H Time frame Bitcoin is retesting this multi support level. Let's see how far this support can hold.
Today's BTC trading strategy, I hope it will be helpful to youSince Bitcoin broke through the $100,000 level on May 8, although it has been consolidating at high levels, this actually represents a shift in power between bulls and bears. During this process, the MACD indicator has formed a "golden cross" – where the 50-day moving average crosses above the 200-day moving average – a strong signal that the market may be entering a new upward trend. Additionally, the current price is near $108,900, with strong support below. As long as the price does not break below this key support level, there is a high probability that it will continue to break upward and challenge higher prices.
Today's BTC trading strategy, I hope it will be helpful to you
BTCUSDT BUY@108000~108500
SL:107000
TP:109500~110000
BTC Showing Signs Of A Pullback In The Next 2 WeeksBTC is showing signs that it is getting ready for a temporary pullback. I suspect a descending triangle or pennant is forming on the 30min charts to signal the reversal and the best price to short will be between 109500-110000. This is confirmed with a daily close below 106300.
Today's BTC trading strategy, I hope it will be helpful to youBitcoin prices often find support from moving averages during pullbacks. When the price retreats to a key moving average (such as the 100-day moving average) and the average effectively supports the price, along with signs of stabilization like K-lines with long lower shadows or trading volume shrinking before expanding again, it presents a good opportunity to add long positions. This indicates that bullish momentum remains strong during the correction, as market participants are unwilling to let the price break below the key support level, making it likely that the upward trend will continue.
From a technical indicator perspective, both the MACD and KDJ indicators have issued potential bullish signals. When the DIF line in the MACD indicator crosses above the DEA line to form a "golden cross," and the histogram turns from green to red while gradually increasing, it strongly signals that bullish momentum is strengthening and prices have upward momentum. Additionally, when the KDJ indicator forms a golden cross at low levels (values below 20), it similarly suggests that prices may soon rebound. These technical indicators mutually confirm each other, providing a technical basis for opening long positions and helping investors better identify turning points in price trends.
Today's BTC trading strategy, I hope it will be helpful to you
BTCUSDT BUY@102000~103000
SL:101000
TP:105000~107000
Do not sell your BTC before 6 DigitsBitcoin continues to trade within the broadening wedge pattern, maintaining a bullish outlook as the market eyes key levels. The immediate challenge lies at the $99,600 zone, which serves as a critical resistance. A breakout above this level would signal a continuation of the uptrend and pave the way for higher targets.
The plan remains to re-accumulate within the current range, using the resistance zone as a focal point for breakout confirmation. Upon successfully clearing $99,600, Bitcoin is poised to rally toward the $115,000–$117,000 zone, marking the next major bullish target. This setup aligns with broader market expectations, signaling significant upside potential.
As always, market conditions should be monitored closely for any changes in structure or sentiment. Let us know your thoughts on this view and how you’re approaching the current Bitcoin landscape.
BTC/USDT Analysis: Expecting a Move Toward the Upper Boundary
Hello everyone! This is your trader-analyst from CryptoRobotics with the daily market update.
Yesterday, Bitcoin tested the $107,500 level, resulting in a false breakout before returning to the consolidation range. Each attempt to push the price lower was met with a sharp increase in trading volume, followed by buyers quickly taking control—a trend also visible in the absorption of sell orders via delta.
The current scenario remains unchanged. We anticipate a resumption of buying activity after a retest of the $106,600 level.
Buy Zones:
$106,600 (on a false breakout),
$103,200–$102,000 (absorption of market sell orders),
~$100,000 (pushing volumes),
$98,000–$97,200 (local support),
$93,000,
$91,500–$90,000 (strong buy-side imbalance).
This post is not financial advice.
BTC Scalp Long / Buy SetupWait for the entry first, BTC must sweep the liquidation levels below side first then it should start pumping towards the tp, if it takes 2nd tp first then trade is not valid, if it takes first tp and then come back at entry level trade is still valid. if 4hr candle closing below the Bullish OB then close the position otherwise wick doesn't matter.
bitcoinBitcoin (BTC) Correlation with DXY, Bond Yields, and Interest Rates
1. Bitcoin vs. Dollar Index (DXY)
Inverse Correlation: Bitcoin and DXY typically move in opposite directions. A stronger dollar (DXY↑) reduces demand for risk assets like BTC, while a weaker dollar (DXY↓) boosts BTC as a hedge against fiat depreciation.
DXY↑: Investors flock to USD safety, pressuring BTC.
DXY↓: Capital rotates into BTC as a risk-on asset or inflation hedge.
2. Bitcoin vs. Bond Yields
Evolving Relationship:
Historical Inverse Link: Rising 10-year Treasury yields often pressured BTC (e.g., 2022 Fed hikes).
Recent Decoupling: In 2025, BTC and 10-year yields hit a record-low correlation (-0.8), signaling BTC’s independence from traditional bonds.
Key Drivers:
Inflation Hedge: BTC gains appeal as bonds struggle with rising yields (e.g., 30-year yields at 5.07% in May 2025).
Portfolio Diversification: Investors increasingly treat BTC as “digital gold,” reducing bond allocations.
3. Bitcoin vs. Interest Rates
Fed Policy Impact:
Rate Hikes: Strengthen USD (DXY↑) and bond yields, pressuring BTC
Rate Cuts: Weaken USD and lower yields, boosting BTC’s appeal
Real Yields Matter: BTC thrives when real yields (nominal yield - inflation) fall, as seen during stagflationary environments.
Summary Table
Correlation Relationship Key Drivers
BTC ⇄ DXY Inverse (DXY↑ → BTC↓) Risk sentiment, USD strength as safe haven
BTC ⇄ Bond Yields Increasingly negative (2025) Inflation hedging, portfolio diversification
BTC ⇄ Interest Rates Indirect via DXY and yields Fed policy, real yield dynamics
Critical Trends in 2025
BTC-DXY Decoupling: BTC’s rally to $105,268 and hit 111k amid DXY volatility shows growing independence.
Bond Market Shift: Investors rotate from Treasuries to BTC amid fiscal deficits and inflation.
Fed Policy Pivot: Expected rate cuts could weaken DXY and bolster BTC’s bullish case.
Conclusion
BTC-Yields: Negative correlation strengthens BTC’s role as a bond alternative in inflationary regimes.
Macro Strategy: Use DXY and bond yields as leading indicators for BTC’s risk-on/risk-off cycles.
Trade Implications:
A DXY drop below 98.4 could signal BTC bullish momentum.
Rising bond yields may temporarily pressure BTC but reinforce its long-term hedge appeal.
#btc #bitcoin #crypto
BtcusdtThis is the estimated place to come but time will show us what will happen if the bull continues its target should come
Bitcoin Technical Analysis – Quick Summary Date: May 30, 2025 Daily TF
Potential new Higher Low (HL) forming.
Confirmed only by forming a new HH on the dailly TF, which means we’ll have to break the ATH.
Break below 102,038 and we make a LL structure shift to bearish, which will mean likely more downside.
4H TF
Currently in a bearish structure.
Break above 108,900 = bullish shift, potential move toward a new ATH.
1H TF
Reclaiming 106,300 breaks the recent LH (CHOCH), triggering potential short-term bullish momentum.
Demand Zone (102,000–103,700)
Key area for a possible bounce and to form a new HL on the dailly TF.
Break below this zone and below the HL at 102,038 = possible strong bearish continuation.
Key Scenarios
Bullish:
1. Reclaim 106,300 → Break 108,900 → Push toward ATH.
2. Drop into demand zone → form a new LH on the dailly → Push toward ATH.
Bearish:
Drop into demand zone → Break 102,038 → Further downside.
115k next?If BTC is able to reclaim 107k, the current breakdown may turn out to be a fakeout, and we could be looking at 115k.
Today's BTC trading strategy, I hope it will be helpful to youBitcoin is currently within a recent price volatility range, and while the overall trend remains unclear, combined with news from the Bitcoin Conference, there are multiple factors conducive to going long. From a policy perspective, the Bitcoin Conference revealed that some countries may shift their regulatory attitudes toward cryptocurrencies. If subsequent countries announce the relaxation of Bitcoin regulations and allow more legitimate investment channels, this will directly stimulate market capital inflows. It is akin to opening a floodgate for capital, as a large number of investors will pour into the market to buy Bitcoin due to policy tailwinds, driving prices higher.
In terms of market confidence, if experts and institutions at the conference unanimously express optimistic expectations for Bitcoin, believing it has significant upside potential, this will greatly ignite market enthusiasm for long positions. When market participants are confident in the future, they are more willing to buy and hold Bitcoin, further supporting price increases. From a technical standpoint, if the conference announces a major breakthrough in Bitcoin's technology—such as a substantial increase in transaction speed or a significant reduction in transaction costs—Bitcoin's practicality and attractiveness will be greatly enhanced. The improvement in its intrinsic value will also be reflected in its price, attracting more capital to go long.
Today's BTC trading strategy, I hope it will be helpful to you
BTCUSDT BUY@107000~108000
SL:105000
TP:109500~110000
Bitcoin 6X Lev. Full PREMIUM Trade-Numbers —2nd Entry (PP: 540%)I will explain my thinking as usual so you can make an informed decision.
I believe Bitcoin will make a new advance. When there is a move that leads to the challenge of resistance or support, there is always a stop, a retrace or pullback before additional action. Bitcoin here stopped at 95,000, which is the first resistance from our previous trade-signal and did produce a retrace but it was extremely small. This is a bullish signal.
The fact that the action remains at resistance and this resistance continues to be challenged, is also a bullish signal. The more this resistance gets challenged the weaker it becomes.
Now, a 2nd entry is riskier than the first one of course because the action is more advanced but not everybody can enter perfectly at bottom prices nor at the same time.
We manage risk through capital allocation and relatively low leverage, which is actually pretty high.
See the full numbers and you will see that risk is low.
The stop goes below the low 13-Jan. 2025. The lowest after the final advance happened at $91,688 on 24-April. This is a relatively safe chart setup.
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LONG BTCUSDT
Leverage: 6X
1) $96,000
2) $93,000
3) $90,000
Targets:
1) $104,250
2) $120,000
3) $131,400
4) $143,300
5) $165,000
6) $181,000
Stop-loss:
Close weekly below $86,000
Potential profits: 540%
Capital allocation: 5%
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I think timing is good on this one. The next move can happen within days because consolidation has been happening already for an entire week without much change in price, clearly a continuation pattern. Volume being low at this point is also a signal of consolidation.
The fact that there is no volume indicates that the true bullish action is yet to start.
Bears not being present indicates that growth will happen long-term as the bearish cycle (the previous correction) is over.
I wishing you great luck and profits.
The market always offers a second chance, always.
Namaste.
