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TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #107👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro! Let’s dive into Bitcoin and key crypto indices. As usual, in this analysis I’ll walk you through the triggers for the New York futures session. ⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe As you can see in the 1-hour timeframe, yesterday the price made another upward move and formed its resistance at the 106586 level and a bottom at 105087. 📈 For a long position, considering the uptrend in higher timeframes such as the daily and weekly, we can enter upon a breakout of 106586. A bounce of the RSI from the 50 level can act as a good confirmation for the position. 📊 Buying volume is currently increasing, but the price is still sitting on the support bottom and hasn’t moved upward yet. If this volume inflow continues, a breakout of 106586 would be a strong confirmation for a long position. 🔽 For a short position, the first trigger is the breakdown of the 105087 bottom. If this level is broken, we can enter a short. The main short trigger is at 103899. 💥 Conditions are currently favorable for a short position, and the current candle has strong bearish momentum. So, if 105087 breaks, a short position would be appropriate. 👑 BTC.D Analysis Let’s look at Bitcoin Dominance. After a pullback to the 64.23 level, the next bearish leg continued to 63.93. If 63.93 breaks, the downtrend is likely to continue and the price could fall to 63.50. ✅ If 63.93 holds, dominance may start moving back up toward 64.67. 📅 Total2 Analysis Now let’s check out Total2. This index is still below the 1.18 level, and breaking this level would confirm a bullish move. ✨ A new bottom has also formed at 1.17. If this level breaks, we can look for a short position. 📅 USDT.D Analysis Now to Tether Dominance. This index has formed a box between 4.64 and 4.70. 🔔 A breakout above 4.70 could initiate a bullish move in dominance, while a breakdown below 4.64 could trigger a bearish move. ❌ Disclaimer ❌ Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel. Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
Long
by tradecitypro
5
BTC: Both Scenarios Explained - Still BearishBTC: Both Scenarios Explained - Still Bearish From our previous analysis, BTC fell by almost 2.7%. Today the price stood again at 106K showing a slight upward momentum, but as we can see, everything disappeared. The price created and corrected ABC with the current data and if this correction has already passed, it should fall further today. Otherwise, it may continue to rise and test 106K again. You may watch the analysis for Further Details! Thank you! Previous analysis:
Short
by KlejdiCuni
8
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #105👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro! Let’s dive into Bitcoin and key crypto indices. As usual, in this analysis, I’ll walk you through the triggers for the New York futures session. ⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe On the 1-hour chart, as you can see, Bitcoin’s correction phase began after the breakdown of the 107010 level. Currently, after pulling back to the 105673 area, it seems ready to begin its next corrective leg. ✔️ One of the reasons Bitcoin has moved downward over the past few days is the escalation of war between Ukraine and Russia. As the conflict intensified, risk assets like Bitcoin dropped while safe-haven assets like gold surged. 🔍 Currently, price action is forming an expanding triangle and is trending downward. It was recently rejected from the triangle’s top and is now sitting on a key support at 103899. 💥 If 103899 breaks, a short position targeting 101750 could be triggered. Selling volume has increased significantly, confirming bearish momentum, so opening a short upon a break of 103899 appears logical. However, keep in mind that the primary market trend remains bullish, and there is a high probability that any short may hit stop-loss. 📈 For a long position, the first trigger would be a breakout above the triangle. In this case, breaking 105673 could justify entry. Key overhead resistances are located at 107010 and 110256. 👑 BTC.D Analysis Looking at Bitcoin dominance, the metric continued its upward move to reach 64.67 and has since been rejected from that level. ⚡️ If the bullish move continues, the breakout above 64.67 would act as a bullish trigger. On the other hand, a breakdown below 64.29 would confirm a bearish shift. 📅 Total2 Analysis Total2 is currently ranging between 1.13 and 1.16. A breakout from either side could serve as a trigger for a directional position. 📊 If 1.13 breaks, a short position could be considered. Conversely, breaking above 1.16 would signal a potential long. 📅 USDT.D Analysis After breaking above 4.70, USDT dominance has been ranging between 4.70 and 4.79. It’s now heading back toward the 4.79 resistance. 🧩 If 4.79 is broken, the next bullish leg in dominance may begin. A drop back below 4.70 would bring the dominance back into its previous range and could lead to further downside toward 4.49. ❌ Disclaimer ❌ Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel. Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
by tradecitypro
3
Bitcoin & The FED June 2025 (Beyond $200,000 New All-Time High)Before a major bullish event, the market tends to go sideways or into a retrace. Since the event is bullish, prices grow. Preceding the event the market gives out everything that isn't what will happen after the event, like a detox. Now, Bitcoin is a very strange monster, kind of like a virus but in the good sense of the word. It changes, mutates, evolves, upgrades outdated decaying systems. So it isn't likely to crash just because the market is about to turn ultra-bullish. It is the other way around, since everybody already knows, nobody is willing to sell. In reality, everybody is buying like there is no tomorrow. So Bitcoin can go sideways or into retrace until the Fed announces that it is cutting whatever interest, you know these things. So when they do their thing, the market will be ultra-bullish and that's when Bitcoin will produce its bullish continuation. Right now there is a period of consolidation which is being used by the whales as accumulation. Remember when I was saying you will look like a genius for buying below 80K? It is the same situation all over again. When Bitcoin is trading at $150,000 or $200,000, you will look like a genius for buying below $110,000. That's the way it is. So, slightly bearish before the event. There can be a market flush but these are going to be limited because Bitcoins can be lost forever. It is a fight between whales. So if some whales decide to manipulate the market trying to cause some panic, other whales will be happy to buy everything at the lows and prices recover. This means that Bitcoin will be consolidating until the announcement, after the announcement; "We will cut rates certain numbers of points..." Then all heaven will break loose. It will be money-up good news. Do what you do, just be good, know that Bitcoin and Crypto will grow there is no way to stop this wave we are all going up. Those that were hating are going to be hated by their own selves because nobody will know who they are. We are going to be party-rocking like a rockstar because not only Bitcoin but we are going on a global bull market. You can bet on it. And if you do, you will be glad you did and you will be extremely happy with the result. There is no way to stop Bitcoin. There is no way to stop this wave. The entire Cryptocurrency market will do awesome in late 2025. Are you prepared? Thank you for reading. Namaste.
Long
by MasterAnanda
11
Lingrid | BTCUSDT All-Time High Level Retest Long SetupBINANCE:BTCUSDT is holding above the $103,500 support area after a textbook pullback from the higher high at the resistance ceiling. The price is respecting the upward channel and bouncing near the lower boundary, suggesting renewed bullish intent. A reclaim of the $106,000 zone could trigger continuation toward $111,800 within the broader target area. Bulls remain in control while price sustains above the upward trendline. 📈 Key Levels Buy zone: 103,000–104,000 Buy trigger: 106,000 reclaim with volume Target: 111,800 Sell trigger: clean break below 103,000 💡 Risks Weak bullish follow-through above 106k may signal exhaustion A breakdown below the channel support flips bias to bearish Macroeconomic volatility could disrupt the technical setup Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩‍💻
Long
by Lingrid
10
Sell Bitcoin and buy Altcoins!🚨 Controversial Take Ahead – Packed With High-Value Insights 🚨 Let’s dive deep. 👨‍💻 A bit about me: I’ve been riding the tech wave since the beginning: Programmed video games in the 80s and 90s Built VSTi plugins in the early 2000s Started creating websites when Internet Explorer 1.0 launched Sold 3D assets when Unity 2.5 (first PC version) dropped Launched my own blockchain in 2016 Deployed smart contracts on TRON in 2018 I don’t follow trends—I predict them. My instincts are backed by decades of hands-on experience. Now, here’s what I see coming: ⚠️ 1. Sell Your Bitcoins Yes, Bitcoin is obsolete. It’s a technology—not a precious metal—and like all tech, it must evolve or die. Ask yourself: Do you use a Blackberry today? Still flying in 1930s planes? Gaming on an Atari or Commodore 64? Surfing the web with Lycos or Altavista? No? Then why are you betting on a 2009 technology? Most people don’t even understand how Bitcoin works—ask around what SHA256 or RSA means. Crypto is misunderstood, and that’s dangerous. Back in 1998, I created the UPL library, which handled data compression & encryption using all major algorithms—Huffman, LZSS, DES, RSA, etc. I’m not just throwing words around—I’ve built this stuff. Politicians and financial institutions (yes, even Saylor) are 15 years late to Bitcoin. They're missing the truth: BTC’s upgrades failed (Ordinals, Runes, etc). Its value holds due to FOMO from the uninformed, not innovation. One day, your Bitcoins will be as worthless as mp3.com stock. That’s not opinion—that’s technological reality. 🪙 2. Buy Altcoins Not every altcoin is a winner—but that’s where the real opportunity is. Remember: Nokia and Blackberry ruled before Samsung and Xiaomi. The next Amazon, Google, or Nvidia already exists—and it's trading for pennies. When people laugh at altcoins, that’s the time to buy low. Altcoins like CRYPTOCAP:SOL , CRYPTOCAP:SUI , MIL:UNI could 100x… even 100,000x. Bitcoin might double—and then crash. Smart traders buy when everyone else is mocking. 🌍 3. Consequences of the BTC Collapse This collapse will come at a turning point in global power. Wall Street and U.S. states are heavily exposed to BTC. If it crashes, the Western financial system could implode—a dot-com-level disaster. China, on the other hand, is stable, adaptive, and tech-forward. Crypto without staking, DeFi, NFTs, GameFi, smart contracts? That’s not the future—that’s Bitcoin. Altcoins are the future. Bookmark this post. Re-read it in 10 years. You’ll remember I said it first: Innovation is unstoppable. Enjoy the last Bitcoin pump. Then watch what comes next. DYOR. #CryptoRevolution #AltcoinSeason #BitcoinCollapse #Web3Future #BlockchainInnovation #SellBitcoin #BuyAltcoins #CryptoTruth #DeFi #GameFi #SmartContracts #CryptoShift #UnstoppableInnovation
Short
by CryptoNikkoid
9
Golden Cross vs. Death Cross: What Do They Really Tell Us?Hello, traders! 🤝🏻 It’s hard to scroll through a crypto newsfeed without spotting a headline screaming about a “Golden Cross” forming on Bitcoin or warning of an ominous “Death Cross” approaching. But what do these classic MA signals can really mean? Are they as prophetic as they sound, or is there more nuance to the story? Let’s break it down. 📈 The Basics: What Are Golden and Death Crosses? At their core, both patterns are simple moving average crossovers. They occur when two moving averages — typically the 50-day and the 200-day — cross paths on a chart. Golden Cross: When the 50-day MA crosses above the 200-day MA, signaling a potential shift from a bearish phase to a bullish trend. It's often seen as a sign of renewed strength and a long-term uptrend. Death Cross: When the 50-day MA crosses below the 200-day MA, suggesting a possible transition from bullish to bearish, hinting at extended downside pressure. 📊 Why They Work (and When They Don't) In theory, the idea is simple: The 50-day MA represents shorter-term sentiment, while the 200-day MA captures longer-term momentum. When short-term price action overtakes long-term averages, it’s seen as a bullish signal (golden cross). When it drops below, it’s bearish (death cross). This highlights a key point: moving average crossover signals are inherently delayed. They’re based on historical data, so they can’t predict future price moves in real time. 🔹 October 2020: Golden Cross On the weekly BTC/USDT chart, we can clearly see a Golden Cross forming in October 2020. The 50-week MA (short-term) crossed above the 200-week MA (long-term), marking the start of Bitcoin's explosive rally from around $11,000 to its then all-time high above $60,000 in 2021. This signal aligned with growing institutional interest and the post-halving narrative, reinforcing the bull case. 🔹 June 2021: Death Cross Just months after Bitcoin’s peak, a Death Cross emerged around June 2021, near the $35,000 mark. However, this was more of a lagging signal: by the time it appeared, the sharp pullback from $60K+ had already taken place. Interestingly, the market stabilized not long after, with a recovery above $50K later that year, showing that Death Cross signals aren’t always the end of the story. 🔹 Mid-2022: Another Death Cross In mid-2022, BTC formed another Death Cross during its prolonged bear market. This one aligned better with the broader trend, as price continued to slide towards $15,000, reflecting macro pressures like tightening monetary policies and the collapse of major players in the crypto space. 🔹 Early 2024: Golden Cross Comeback The most recent Golden Cross appeared in early 2024, signaling renewed bullish momentum. This crossover preceded a significant rally, pushing Bitcoin above $100,000 by mid-2025, as seen in your chart. While macro factors (like ETF approvals or regulatory clarity) also played a role, this MA signal coincided with a notable shift in sentiment. ⚙️ Golden Cross ≠ Guaranteed Rally, Death Cross ≠ Doom While these MA crossovers are clean and appealing, they’re not foolproof. Their lagging nature means they often confirm trends rather than predict them. For example, in June 2021, the Death Cross appeared after much of the selling pressure had already played out. Conversely, in October 2020 and early 2024, the Golden Crosses aligned with genuine upward shifts. 🔍 Why Care About These Signals? Because they help us contextualize market sentiment. The golden cross and death cross reflect collective trader psychology — optimism and fear. But to truly understand them, we need to combine them with volume, market structure, and macro narratives. So, are golden crosses and death crosses reliable signals, or just eye-catching headlines? Your chart tells us both stories: sometimes they work, sometimes they mislead. What’s your take? Do you use these MA signals in your trading, or do you prefer other methods? Let’s discuss below!
Education
by WhiteBIT
4
Bitcoin Bullish Bias Becomes Stronger —New All-Time High EasyWith every day that passes and Bitcoin doesn't move below 100K the bullish bias becomes stronger. It is a death sentence for the bears. Bitcoin can't never move lower as long as the $100-$102,000 mega support barrier continues intact. And it hasn't been tested yet. Good afternoon my fellow Cryptocurrency genius, how are you feeling today? The market gives, the market also takes. When looking at Bitcoin with a short-term mindset, everything is possible, it is hard to predict what will happen next but, when we focus on the actual price action, no doubt remains. Let me explain. It doesn't matter if a candle is big or small... It doesn't matter if Michael Saylor and the ETFs are buying or selling Bitcoin, what matters most is resistance and support. Bitcoin's strong long-term mega-support remains intact and that is $102,000. Bitcoin is hyper-bullish above $100,000 and this is obvious. We are near the all-time high and the closer the action happens to resistance, the stronger the market. As Bitcoin moves sideways, consolidation, the altcoins will grow. The altcoins cannot grow if Bitcoin is going to crash and yet the altcoins are starting to recover and some are looking great. I will continue to share more and the more I share the more convinced you will become that the next major move is up. We are set to experience growth long-term. Aim higher, we are now-already in the 2025 bull market. Never short Bitcoin within a bull market. Namaste.
Long
by MasterAnanda
8
BTC Is Replaying a Bullish Fractal >>> Are You Watching?Hello guys! I see a deja vu here! Let’s look at the historical daily chart (Jan–May 2025): What happened? Initial Drop (Yellow Oval): Bitcoin approached a key S&D zone but didn't touch it, triggering a short-lived bounce before dropping again. Second Drop (Red Ovals): This time, price precisely touched the demand zone, triggering a clean bullish reversal. What followed was a strong trend breakout, sustained higher lows, and an eventual surge past prior resistance levels. Current 4H Chart Setup: A Mirror Image? Yellow Highlight: Once again, we saw a bounce that didn't quite touch the key demand zone ($98K–$100K). Red Zone Prediction: If this mirrors the historical move, the price is likely to return and touch this S&D area before launching a bullish leg. Blue Path Projection: A sharp reversal is expected post-touch, aiming toward $111K–$113K as the next key resistance zone. The descending trendline adds confluence ___________________ History Doesn’t Repeat, But It Often Rhymes Based on this fractal analysis, Bitcoin is likely forming the same bullish base seen earlier in 2025. The setup hinges on one key event: a return to the $99K–$100K zone, where demand is likely to step in aggressively. If the pattern repeats, the current market may offer one last high-reward long opportunity before a parabolic rally.
by melikatrader94
6
BTC - Will BTC fill the 4H inbalance at $107.400Bitcoin (BTC) is currently exhibiting a clear downtrend on the 4-hour timeframe. During the most recent downward move, it left behind an imbalance, specifically, a 4-hour Fair Value Gap (FVG), which the price is now retracing toward. This area represents a potential zone of interest for entering a short position, given the prevailing bearish structure. At the same time, BTC is approaching the golden pocket of the Fibonacci retracement, a level often watched by traders for potential reversals. This zone coincides with a former support level that provided multiple bounces in the past, but has now flipped into a potential resistance. The confluence of these factors could add significant selling pressure. It’s important to note that BTC does not necessarily need to reach the imbalance zone to resume its downward movement. However, the presence of that FVG remains a relevant detail to monitor in case price action does continue higher before reversing. Thanks for your support. - Make sure to follow me so you don't miss out on the next analysis! - Drop a like and leave a comment!
Short
by Youriverse
13
BTC: First Bearish Signs of a Deeper CorrectionBTC: First Bearish Signs of a Deeper Correction All these days, BTC has only been rallying and has a clear bullish structure. Today we can see a complete transformation showing the first signs of a downward correction. It is too early to talk about a downtrend. Yesterday, the pattern transformed from bullish to bearish by falling below 106730, which corresponds to a strong support structure area. Considering that this area was important, it has a chance to continue to 102000 and maybe even lower to 98000. It could be a false bearish breakout to the downside, however, as long as it shows this bearish pattern, we should be careful and take this into consideration. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
Short
by KlejdiCuni
28
Bitcoin Mixed: Below Resistance, Above Support (Altcoins Update)I hope you are having a good Saturday and weekend my dear friend, I have a quick update on Bitcoin and the Altcoins market today. Good news and bad news. Let's start with the good news. The Altcoins are producing a higher low and bullish. This means that we will continue to see growth as expected. The market went through a shakeout, nothing more. On the Bitcoin side, we have the bad news which is not that bad. The action is happening above support (grey dashed line on the chart) but below local resistance. The market just went through a major shakeout. I shall explain. People got greedy and ended up putting too much leverage on their positions, when this happens, the market needs to balance things out because it cannot grow in this way long-term. And thus the shakeout. 1 billion dollars worth of LONGs were liquidated. The good news is that once this process is over, the market can resume with its usual cycle but... The situation is tricky now but I can tell you exactly what will happen. Bitcoin will consolidate before additional growth. While Bitcoin consolidates, the Altcoins will move up. Plan and simple. What happens next with Bitcoin, down or up? As long as Bitcoin trades above $100,000-$102,000 weekly/monthly the chart and market bias is considered ultra-bullish . This means that Bitcoin is ultra-bullish right now. If the action moves and closes weekly below 100K, nothing happens. A simple retrace that ends in a higher low followed by additional growth. The market is bullish now and will continue bullish. The Altcoins are a good buy and this recent flush gives an opportunity for those that missed early prices. Market conditions remain the same. We are bullish and set to grow long-term. We are 100% bullish on Bitcoin and the Altcoins market. Namaste.
Short
by MasterAnanda
13
Correction? Show Me the Correction —Bitcoin Is Going Up!There is no correction and this "double-top" is nothing similar to 2021. First, the wave that led to the April 2021 ath was a major hyper bullish wave starting March 2020. A total of 392 days of bullish action non-stop with 1,615% total growth. From a low of $3,782 to a high of $64,854, Boom! The wave that led to the January 2025 all-time high was not a mega hyper, hyper-bullish bullish wave, instead it came after a long period of consolidation and a flash crash, which means the establishment of a long-term support. It started August 2024 and lasted 168 days total growth 124%. Completely different, so don't tell me that market conditions are the same because they aren't, we are not stupid, actually, we are very smart, right my friends? Long-term followers, readers and supporters! The first high in 2021 happened in April the second in November, 210 days apart. In 2025, we have a top in January and another one in May, 119 days. Very, very different. In 2021 the altcoins rallied, everything rallied and everything was trading at new all-time highs before the bear market. In 2025, nothing has rallied and most of the market was trading at the bottom. So we had an early peak in 2021, we get a late peak in 2025. Since we had a long-term double top in 2021, we get a blow-off top in 2025, late 2025. Do you understand? I am the Master of the charts! Bitcoin is not done; it isn't over. We have an entire bullish wave before the bull market is over. This bullish wave is the fifth wave which is the speculative wave, in this wave anything goes. The market will go crazy. There will be euphoria, passion, craziness, money, growth! The altcoins will be hitting new all-time highs and everybody will go crazy. NFTs, DeFi, DePin, RWA, Memes, POW, Gaming, AI, new, big, small and old, all welcomed, everything will grow. When the pixelated rocks start selling for millions of dollars, that's when the bull market ends. When people start saying "Bitcoin will go to $1,000,000 in this cycle." That's when the top is in. When Bitcoin starts trading at $219,999 and starts to slow down and Ark Invest comes up and says, "Bitcoin is going to $5,000,000 next"; when Michael Saylor starts saying, "I will be buying the top forever..." Get ready because that's the end. It isn't happening, now people are still talking about corrections and doubt, that's not the end of a bull market, that's the transition period between an advance a correction and the next leg up. Just wait and watch. Just watch my friend... Just watch! I assure you, Bitcoin is going up! Namaste.
Long
by MasterAnanda
6
Bitcoin's Roadmap: Price Structure, Fair Value & Market RhythmSince bottoming on November 21, 2022, Bitcoin has embarked on a remarkable bull run, rising +623.5% over 927 days and reaching a new all-time high (ATH) of ~112K. When compared to the previous bull cycle, spanning 1061 days and producing a +2086% gain, this current rally shows signs of diminishing returns, a typical behaviour of maturing markets. Traders now face a critical question: has Bitcoin peaked for this cycle, or is another surge toward ~120K+ possible? Historical Echoes: Elliott Wave Comparison The 2018–2021 bull market formed a five-wave Elliott structure. That cycle ended with a -77.5% correction. The current cycle similarly traces out a completed five-wave advance from the $15.5K low, suggesting we may now be in a corrective phase. Current hypothesis: Bitcoin is in Wave B of an ABC correction, with Wave C potentially targeting $64K–$70K. Harmonic Confirmation: Cypher Sigma Pattern A refined harmonic formation, I call it the Cypher Sigma Harmonic Pattern (CSHP) and it has proven highly effective in volatile assets like Bitcoin. It differs from the classic Cypher by: BC projection: 1.07–1.136 of XA (vs. 1.272–1.414) CD retracement: 0.786–0.886 of XC BD extension: 1.272–1.618 of BC (not present in traditional Cypher but often targets 1.272-2.0) In 2022, this pattern predicted the bottom near $16K. Currently, another Cypher Sigma is potentially forming, pointing to a possible correction to ~$64K. This target aligns with historical level (the 2021 ATH zone) and represents a possible -40% pullback. Multi-Layered Technical Confluence Pitchfork Resistance: Bitcoin rejected the upper resistance (Fib 1.0–1.136 zone) Pitchfork Golden Pocket Support: ~$64K matches the golden pocket and high-liquidity area Fibonacci Circles: Rejection precisely at the 1.618–1.65 circle arc (~$112K) Speed Fan 0.618: Key structural support intersects projected retracement zone Previous 2021 ATH Together, these tools strongly support the hypothesis of a macro top forming. Fair Value Trend Model (FVTM) – New Indicator As part of ongoing research into Bitcoin’s long-term valuation, I developed the Fair Value Trend Model—a logarithmic regression-based indicator tailored for Bitcoin. Here is an example on the monthly timeframe. Key Features: Computes a log-log regression: ln(Price) vs ln(Days since inception) Yields a power-law growth curve: F(t) = C · ^b Includes dynamic channel bands at user-defined percentage offsets Projects the trend forward in time with linear extrapolation I have just freshly published this indicator for free on TradingView. Visit my profile, add it to your chart, and explore how Bitcoin consistently revisits its fair value in bear markets before launching new macro waves. Use Cases: Identify overextensions above the fair value channel Spot mean-reversion setups near the lower channel band Gauge long-term trend continuation via slope and forecast The indicator is best used on daily, weekly and monthly charts, and it supports both all-time and rolling-window modes. Educational Insight: The Fair Value Trend Model isn’t just a tool! It's a lens to view the long-term rhythm of the Bitcoin market. By understanding where the fair value lies, you gain the clarity to separate short-term volatility from long-term opportunity. Every great trader starts with a desire to understand. If you're learning, experimenting, and observing patiently—you’re on the right path. Let this model be your guide through the noise. Trust the math, respect the cycles, and never stop refining your edge. Study day and swing trading, improve your technical and psychological skills, and wait patiently for high-probability trade setups, whether short-, medium-, or long-term. Being patient is key. Psychological Insight: Mastery Over Impulse The greatest returns favour the patient. Traders who ignored the noise in 2022 and accumulated around $16K were rewarded exponentially. As Bitcoin potentially enters a correction, the same principle applies: monitor, learn, and prepare—not panic. Top-tier traders execute based on structure, not emotion. This cycle will reward those who: -> Study multi-timeframe confluences Outlook: Bearish Retracement, Bullish Opportunity While a push to $120K+ is possible, the confluence of Elliott Wave, harmonic patterns, and macro tools suggest a potential 40% retracement into ~$64K by end of 2025/early 2026. This aligns with historical patterns and may offer a great buying opportunity. This cycle isn’t about catching the exact top—it’s about navigating it intelligently. Use tools that reflect structural value, not just reactive price action. Combine the Fair Value Trend Model with other tools to gain clarity. Most importantly: remain curious, remain disciplined. Happy trading. Thanks for reading =) stay sharp, stay patient, and keep evolving 🚀 _________________________________ If you found this helpful, leave a like and comment below! Got requests for the next technical analysis? Let me know.
Short
by SiDec
4
Bitcoin Correction or Trap? Watch This Support Zone CloselyExclusive #Bitcoin Update I got lots of DMs, people are asking: Do you think the bull trend is finished, or is it just a correction and pullback? Guys, first stop panicking. This is exactly what the shark wants you to do. Don’t let them shake you out. Let’s get to the chart: My previous chart got invalidated, and the current situation is that CRYPTOCAP:BTC is defending strongly around the $104.8K to $104.3K support zone. According to the FIB level, we’re currently at the 0.383 level. This area has previously served as strong resistance, so it can now function as effective support. If bulls manage to bounce from this area and push above $107K, we could trigger a sharp move toward the $112K–$113K liquidation zone, where we have almost $12B in short liquidations acting as a strong magnet! Let's talk about the worst-case scenario, in case we break down below this supportive area, then we have 200 EMA and a strong support around $101.4k to $101.8k. I’ll keep you posted as things unfold. If you find my updates helpful, don’t forget to like and follow for more! #Bitcoin2025 CRYPTOCAP:BTC BITSTAMP:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Long
by CRYPTOMOJO_TA
2
Bitcoin 4H Analysis – Potential Breakdown Alert Bitcoin is forming a classic Head & Shoulders pattern on the 4H chart — a sign of potential bearish reversal. Price is currently testing the neckline support zone around $106,800. 🔴 A breakdown below this level could trigger a move toward the next support zones: 📉 Target 1: $103,557 📉 Target 2: $102,261 ⚠️ Keep an eye on how BTC reacts around the neckline. A confirmed breakdown with strong volume may lead to short-term downside.
Long
by VIPROSE
6
DeGRAM | BTCUSD held the $100k level📊 Technical Analysis ● Bounce from 99.8-100 k confluence (violet trend-line + former wedge top + horizontal demand) confirms the zone as fresh support. ● Price coils in a tight pennant under 106 k; 1.618 target of the pattern meets the rising-channel roof and red supply at 111-112 k, while RSI prints higher lows, flagging hidden bullish momentum. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● CME futures basis widened above 10 % annualised as softer US claims cooled dollar bids, boosting carry appetite; meanwhile, on-chain reserves keep shrinking, hinting at supply squeeze. ✨ Summary Buy 100-103 k; pennant break >106 k aims 111 k → 115 k. Bull view void on an H16 close below 99 k. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
Long
by DeGRAM
5
earish trand analysis Read The ChaptianSMC trading point update Technical analysis of (BTC/USDT) based on the 4-hour timeframe. Here’s a detailed breakdown of the analysis and the idea behind it: --- Key Components of the Analysis: 1. Resistance Zone (FVG - Fair Value Gap): The yellow zone marked as “fvg resistance level” indicates an area where price previously dropped quickly, suggesting inefficiency or imbalance in the market. Price is approaching this zone again, which acts as a strong resistance. 2. Trendline & Lower Highs: A descending trendline (with red arrows) shows consistent lower highs, indicating ongoing bearish pressure. Each rejection from the trendline reinforces sellers’ dominance. 3. CHOCH (Change of Character): The label “choch” signifies a market structure break, where bullish structure turned bearish. This marks the transition to a downtrend. 4. EMA 200 (Exponential Moving Average): The EMA (currently around 102,753) acts as dynamic support. Price is currently trading above it, but a rejection from the resistance may push it below. 5. Target Zone: A yellow box near 100,817.99 is labeled “target point”, indicating a possible short-term bearish target if price gets rejected at resistance. 6. RSI (Relative Strength Index): RSI is around 47.11, slightly below neutral (50), suggesting bearish momentum could be building. No clear oversold or overbought conditions yet. --- Trade Idea Summary: Bias: Bearish Scenario: If price reaches the resistance zone (~106,800–107,500) and fails to break above, a sell-off is expected. First target: 100,800–101,000 zone Price may also dip below EMA 200 confirming bearish strength. Confirmation: Rejection candle or bearish engulfing pattern near resistance. RSI staying below 50 and starting to dip. Invalidation: Clean breakout and close above the resistance zone and trendline (~108,000+). Mr SMC Trading point --- Conclusion: This chart sets up a high-probability short trade around the resistance area, leveraging both structural and momentum indicators. It suggests waiting for confirmation of rejection before entering, targeting the previous support and imbalance zone below. Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
Short
by SMC-Trading-Point
5
Bitcoin - Will we go back to $99k?Bitcoin is showing its first real signs of weakness after an extended bullish run. The current price action around $106,700 suggests a loss of momentum, with price hovering just above a key daily low that could act as a pivot point. If this low gets taken out, it would likely mark a short-term shift in sentiment from bullish to bearish, opening the door for a deeper retracement toward key inefficiency zones that remain unfilled. Consolidation and Liquidity Structure After the sharp breakout in early May, price rallied aggressively with minimal pullbacks, leaving behind several imbalance zones that now act as downside magnets. The previous range high around $99,000, which acted as a strong resistance level earlier this year, has not yet been properly retested. This area aligns with a large daily imbalance, making it a highly probable target in the event of a breakdown. Currently, price is consolidating just above this previous resistance-turned-support zone, and pressure is building. Bearish Breakdown Potential If the current daily low breaks, it would likely trigger a flush into the $99,000 to $95,000 range, where we find that unfilled imbalance waiting to be closed. A break and acceptance below the $99,000 level could suggest deeper trouble for the bulls. In that case, the next major downside target sits around $92,000, where an even larger inefficiency from earlier in the year remains open. This level also coincides with a significant accumulation zone that could provide the next strong base of support if the market continues correcting. Bullish Recovery Conditions On the flip side, if Bitcoin holds this low and finds demand stepping in at current levels, we could see a local bottom form. A recovery and push back toward $108,000 or even a reattempt of the $112,000 highs would be back on the table. But for this bullish case to stay alive, the current daily low must hold. A sweep and reclaim could trap late sellers and fuel a quick reversal. However, right now, the pressure is clearly leaning to the downside unless buyers show strong intent soon. Imbalance Zones and Key Price Areas The most critical area to watch is the $99,000 level. It’s the confluence of an old resistance, an unfilled imbalance, and psychological round number support. If price tags this zone, we’ll need to monitor reaction closely. Weakness below $99,000 opens the door to $92,000, which is where the next higher timeframe imbalance sits. If we start accepting below $92,000, that would confirm a much more extended corrective phase is underway. Price Target and Expectations The primary expectation is a move into the $99,000 imbalance zone, assuming we get a clean daily low break. A bounce there would offer the first chance for a bullish reaction, but if sellers dominate, $92,000 becomes the secondary and more extreme downside target. A reclaim of $108,000 would invalidate this short-term bearish thesis and shift the focus back toward the highs. Conclusion All eyes are on the daily low. A clean break below it would change the tone of this market and likely initiate a short-term bearish cycle, targeting inefficiencies left behind during the rally. $99,000 is the key zone to watch first. If it holds, bulls may step back in. If not, $92,000 becomes the next target in line. For now, caution is warranted as the risk of deeper downside continues to grow. ___________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀
Short
by TehThomas
48
Bitcoin in a clear bearish movementBitcoin in a clear bearish movement BTC created a clear bearish movement yesterday following our previous swing trade setup. The price spend some time below the red zone near 106700 and yesterday suddenly the bearish wave started and already reached the first target. The price could take a pause today near to 103500 - 104000 but it should continue to drop further as shown in the chart with targets 97800 and 94000 You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️ Previous analysis:
Short
by KlejdiCuni
1