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Bitcoin/TiqGPT Setup1D Timeframe: The daily chart shows a bullish momentum with recent green candles indicating a strong upward push. The price is currently near the high of the recent range, suggesting potential resistance or profit-taking levels. 4H Timeframe: The 4-hour chart reveals a more detailed view of the bullish momentum. There are signs of a pullback with the latest candle forming a small body, which could indicate a temporary exhaustion in buying pressure. 1H Timeframe: On the hourly chart, the price action shows a sharp decline followed by a recovery, indicating a volatility spike. This could be a reaction to a liquidity grab below prior lows, which is a common institutional maneuver to eliminate stop-loss orders before a directional move. 15M Timeframe: The 15-minute chart displays a recovery phase with the price moving upward steadily, suggesting that the earlier drop was likely a liquidity sweep. 5M Timeframe: This timeframe shows continued upward movement with consistent green candles, supporting the recovery narrative seen in the 15M chart. 1M Timeframe: The 1-minute chart shows a very granular view of the bullish momentum. The consistent upward ticks suggest strong buying interest at these levels, possibly from retail following the institutional cue. INSTITUTIONAL THESIS: Institutions appear to be in a phase of accumulation after a liquidity sweep, as evidenced by the sharp drop and subsequent recovery. The goal seems to be to push the price higher after successfully capturing liquidity below recent lows. LEARNING POINT: "1H Liquidity Sweep followed by a 15M and 5M bullish recovery indicating institutional buying pressure." SIGNAL: BUY SYMBOL: BTC/USDT ENTRY PRICE: $107,800 STOP LOSS: $107,400 TARGET PRICE: $108,600 CONDITION: Buy limit order post-1M confirmation of continued bullish momentum. RATIONALE: The setup aligns with a liquidity sweep followed by a bullish recovery across multiple timeframes, indicating strong buying interest. The entry is set above the current 1M high to ensure momentum continuation, with a stop placed just below the recent 1H low to minimize exposure to another potential liquidity sweep. STRATEGIES USED: Liquidity Sweep Recovery, Multi-Timeframe Bullish Alignment URGENCY: HIGH TIMEFRAME: Short-term CONFIDENCE SCORE: 85% RISK/REWARD RATIO: Calculated as follows: Risk: $107,800 (Entry) - $107,400 (Stop) = $400 Reward: $108,600 (Target) - $107,800 (Entry) = $800 Ratio: 800 / 400 = 2:1
Long
by Mistermoriarty
Skeptic| Cycle Mastery Part 1: HWC, MWC, LWC for Smarter TradingUnderstanding Higher Wave Cycle ( HWC ), Minor Wave Cycle ( MWC ), and Low Wave Cycle ( LWC ) is the key to making informed trading decisions, simplifying when to go long , short , or stay out . This Part 1 masterclass introduces these cycles, their relative nature, and how to align them with your strategy for precise entries and effective risk management . Let’s break it down. 📊 The Three Cycles: HWC, MWC, LWC We trade across three market cycles: HWC (Higher Wave Cycle) : The big-picture trend, like Bitcoin’s yearly uptrend. MWC (Minor Wave Cycle): A medium-term trend, often an uptrend or corrective phase within the HWC. LWC (Low Wave Cycle): The short-term daily trend, which can be range-bound, uptrend, or downtrend. Knowing these cycles helps you decide when to e nter long, short, or avoid trading altogether, ensuring you align with the market’s rhythm. Defining Your Cycles: It’s Relative The main question before diving in: What timeframes are HWC, MWC, and LWC? The answer is relative—it depends on your strategy. Think of it like a temperature scale: 0°C isn’t “no heat” but a reference point (water’s freezing point). Similarly, your cycles are defined by the largest timeframe you analyze: HWC: Your highest timeframe (e.g., Weekly for long-term traders). MWC: The next level down (e.g., Daily). LWC: Your shortest timeframe (e.g., 4-Hour or 1-Hour). Ask yourself: What’s the largest timeframe I check? Set your HWC there, then scale down for MWC and LWC based on your trading style. This relativity ensures your cycles fit your unique approach. While shorter cycles (LWC, MWC) form the HWC, the HWC’s power dominates, influencing smaller cycles. Let’s explore how to trade based on these relationships. Trading Scenarios: When to Act Scenario 1: HWC Uptrend, MWC Range When the HWC is in an uptrend and the MWC is range-bound: Action: Enter a long position on the first MWC wave when the LWC breaks the ceiling of the MWC range (e.g., a box breakout). Why? The HWC’s bullish power supports the move, likely triggering an MWC uptrend. This makes the first wave a strong, low-risk entry. Example: If the LWC (e.g., 4-hour) breaks the MWC range ceiling with a strong candle, you can confidently go long, backed by the HWC uptrend. Scenario 2: HWC Downtrend, MWC Range When the HWC is in a downtrend and the MWC is range-bound: Action: Skip the first MWC wave. If the LWC breaks the MWC range ceiling, avoid going long—the bearish HWC could reject the move, resuming its downtrend. Wait for the Second Wave: Let the MWC return to a range after the first wave. If the LWC breaks the range ceiling again, go long with confidence—the HWC’s influence is less likely to disrupt this second wave. Risk Management Tips (if you trade the first wave against the HWC): Reduce Risk: Lower your position size to minimize exposure. Take Profits Early: Close the position or secure most profits (e.g., scale out) once you hit your R/R target, as volatility is high. Wider Stop-Loss: Set a larger stop-loss to account for potential HWC-driven reversals, as stop-loss hunts are common in this scenario. Adjusting Stop-Loss Size Based on Cycles Aligned Cycles (HWC, MWC, LWC in Same Direction): When all three cycles align (e.g., all uptrend), set a tighter stop-loss relative to market conditions. Gradually scale out profits instead of closing the position, as the trend’s strength supports higher R/R (e.g., 5 or 10). HWC Against MWC/LWC: If the HWC opposes the other cycles (e.g., HWC downtrend, MWC/LWC uptrend), use a wider stop-loss. The HWC’s power could reverse the LWC, lowering your win rate if stops are too tight. Expect volatility and plan accordingly. Final Vibe Check This Cycle Mastery Part 1 equips you to time MWC waves with precision, aligning HWC, MWC, and LWC for smarter entries. By mastering when to trade the first or second wave, you’ll avoid traps and maximize your edge. Part 2 will dive deeper with examples—stay tuned! At Skeptic Lab, we trade with no FOMO, no hype, just reason. Protect your capital—stick to 1%–2% risk per trade. Want Part 2 or another topic? Drop it in the comments! If this guide sharpened your game, hit that boost—it fuels my mission! 😊 Stay disciplined, fam! ✌️ 💬 Let’s Talk! How will you time your MWC waves? Share your thoughts in the comments, and let’s crush it together!
Education
by SkepticWise
1
BTC/USD Technical Analysis – Weekly Elliott Wave StructureIn this video, we analyze the weekly chart of Bitcoin ( BYBIT:BTCUSDT ) using Elliott Wave theory. The current structure suggests the beginning of a new bullish impulse (waves 0, 1, and 2) following a clearly completed and technically correct corrective phase. We explore potential impulsive scenarios starting from wave 2, using Fibonacci extensions to project possible targets and identifying key support zones and invalidation levels. This analysis aims to provide a macro perspective based on price action, helpful for traders and investors following BTC from a medium- to long-term technical view. 🛑 Disclaimer: This content is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice. Each user is responsible for their own trading decisions.
Long
by Zky17
BTCUSDT 30min Breakout Retest | Micro Wedge into Macro ConfluencBTC 30m chart shows ascending wedge, followed by a bullish retest of prior resistance (now support ~107.4K). Price now consolidating just under diagonal resistance near 108.8K. EMAs are aligned bullish, volume surged during the breakout, and remains elevated—suggesting further upside potential. 🔄 Higher Timeframe Confluence 4H: Price pressing upper boundary of a rising wedge within a larger symmetrical pattern. Trendline pressure is real—either breakout above $109K or fade to $106.5K–$105K retest. 1D: Third touch on descending trendline from previous swing highs. Momentum building, and candles holding above EMAs. Breakout above $109.2K can trigger a move to $112K–114K (red expansion zone). 1W: Still inside a macro bull flag. Support from the 20 EMA is firm. Weekly close above ~$110K = confirmed flag breakout with target above $120K. ⚠️ Key Levels Immediate Resistance: 108.8K → 109.2K → 110K Support Zones: 107.4K → 106K → 104.5K Bullish Targets: 110.8K → 113.5K → 114.8K Invalidation (Short Bias Trigger): Break below 106K on volume 📌 Idea Summary Micro breakout (30m) leading a potential macro breakout (4H/1D/W). Bulls control short-term trend. Eyes on volume follow-through above $109K. Rejection = potential revisit of 106K. Consolidation under resistance = breakout watch.
by MyTradingJournal6th
BTCUSDT 30min Breakout Retest | Micro Wedge into Macro ConfluencBTC 30m chart shows clean ascending wedge, followed by a bullish retest of prior resistance (now support ~107.4K). Price now consolidating just under diagonal resistance near 108.8K. EMAs are aligned bullish, volume surged during the breakout, and remains elevated—suggesting further upside potential. 🔄 Higher Timeframe Confluence 4H: Price pressing upper boundary of a rising wedge within a larger symmetrical pattern. Trendline pressure is real—either breakout above $109K or fade to $106.5K–$105K retest. 1D: Third touch on descending trendline from previous swing highs. Momentum building, and candles holding above EMAs. Breakout above $109.2K can trigger a move to $112K–114K (red expansion zone). 1W: Still inside a macro bull flag. Support from the 20 EMA is firm. Weekly close above ~$110K = confirmed flag breakout with target above $120K. ⚠️ Key Levels Immediate Resistance: 108.8K → 109.2K → 110K Support Zones: 107.4K → 106K → 104.5K Bullish Targets: 110.8K → 113.5K → 114.8K Invalidation (Short Bias Trigger): Break below 106K on volume 📌 Idea Summary Micro breakout (30m) leading a potential macro breakout (4H/1D/W). Bulls control short-term trend. Eyes on volume follow-through above $109K. Rejection = potential revisit of 106K. Consolidation under resistance = breakout watch.
by MyTradingJournal6th
BTC Breakdown Stp Bearish triangle Sell below $60.5k target 58k$Chart Overview: Asset: BTC/USDT (Bitcoin) Chart Type: Candlestick Timeframe: Likely intraday (short-term, possibly 15m or 1h) Indicators/Tools Used: Trendlines Support/Resistance levels Pattern formation (possible descending triangle) --- Technical Analysis: 🔻 Bearish Bias (Sell Signal): Pattern: A descending triangle pattern is visible—typically a bearish continuation pattern. Lower Highs: Indicates selling pressure increasing over time. Flat Support Zone: Around $60,500–$60,600. Price is testing this zone repeatedly. Breakdown Likely: If price breaks and closes below this support, a sharp drop can be expected. --- 📉 Put Direction: Sell BTC Entry (Sell): On break below $60,500 Target 1: $59,200 (near previous consolidation zone) Target 2: $58,000 (measured move from triangle) Stop Loss: $61,000 (above descending trendline) --- ✅ Summary: BTC is under pressure below resistance and forming lower highs. If it breaks $60,500 support, a downward continuation is expected. Strategy: Sell on breakdown, target $58,000 short-term.
Short
by Olivia_Magnam44
Bitcoin's Growth Potential Intact Despite Short-Term UncertainyBitcoin has rallied to $108k after sweeping liquidity below $98k, driven by easing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. The cryptocurrency's fundamentals and structural trends suggest room for growth, but it appears to have exhausted its momentum, entering a consolidation or accumulation phase. Technically, the 4-hour chart is limited, but a potential correction to $104k-$103k could occur before further growth. For now, traders can focus on short-term buys and sells in the $106k-$108k range, awaiting clearer direction.
by KINGSLIGHTFX
BTC - A New Oregon Trail or Fool's Gold?The ranch hand (chart) reckons Bitcoin hit a big wave‑3 peak, then swung into a corrective wave‑4 saddle. Now it's circling the watering hole, teetering around a key resistance near $110k—the cowboy‑critical line in the sand. If that line holds strong, expect another surge—an “inverse wave‑4, strong 5” push higher toward $115–120k. But if it buckles, a darker scenario’s afoot: a red‑inked, five‑wave drop galloping down toward $85k. Bottom line: keep your hat on—$110k is the frontier. Break above that, and the herd’s heading north; if not, saddle up for a ride downhill. BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by cowboycharts
Bitcoin Controlled consolidation above 106,480 Technical Overview – Summary Points ➤ BTC trades in the 1st quartile of its yearly range (100k – 111k). ➤ Stacked resistance zone: 108,239 to 110,603 USDT → potential seller exhaustion. ➤ Key support at 106,480; defensive cluster 102,626–99,581. ➤ Risk On / Risk Off Indicator = Strong Buy; ISPD Divergence = Neutral. ➤ Normal volume, but lack of fresh capital → sustainability of rally questionable. __________________________________________________________________________________ Strategic Summary ➤ HTF trend bullish above 106,480; breakout > 108,239 targets 109,950 / 110,600. ➤ Buy swing pullbacks on 106,480 or 104,600. Invalidation < 102,626 = drop to 99k. ➤ Tactical short scalps around 108,250–109,000. ➤ Core PCE = major catalyst (June 27). ➤ Watch spot volumes, funding, and Risk On / Risk Off signals. __________________________________________________________________________________ Multi-Timeframe Analysis ➤ 1D : bullish bias > 106,480; danger < 102,626. ➤ 12H : bullish consolidation; confirmed breakout > 108,239. ➤ 6H : compression; buy dips 106,480 / 104,600. ➤ 4H : lateral-bullish; key support = 104,600. ➤ 2H : neutral-bullish; triggers = 107,800 / 106,000. ➤ 1H : bull flag; micro-divergence, prefer long > 106,950. ➤ 30 min : tight triangle; breakout at 107,200 / 106,650 = signal. ➤ 15 min : bearish < 106,950, expected bounce on 106,480. __________________________________________________________________________________ Macro, News & On-Chain Analysis ➤ Macro backdrop: “Higher for longer” stance continues, no FOMC imminent. ➤ Core PCE June 27: upside surprise (2.7% YoY vs 2.6% expected) – USD supported, potential headwind for risk assets. ➤ Pacific Region: ongoing tensions in Taiwan Strait and South China Sea: - Increased military activity: air incursions, naval maneuvers. - High risk of escalation flagged by defense analysts & social feeds. - Risk sentiment: volatile – sudden events could trigger risk-off. ➤ On-chain: Range 100–110k; weak spot volume; cautious leverage; no major sell-side imbalance. __________________________________________________________________________________ Conclusion ➤ BTC maintains a controlled bullish bias > 106,480. ➤ Swing buy zones = 106,480 & 104,600; targets 109,950 / 110,600. ➤ Main risk: break < 102,626 = sell-off toward 99k. ➤ Monitor Core PCE and geopolitical risk in the Pacific region. __________________________________________________________________________________
by Ox_kali