Bitcoin is being squeezed. Will it experience a reversal?Hello, guys
Bitcoin has staged an aggressive recovery — but it’s not just any bounce. The move looks to be driven by a classic short squeeze, where extreme bearish sentiment and overcrowded short positions result in a sharp upward spike. This rally has now brought BTC right into a thick wall of resistance, and the next few candles could define the trend for weeks to come.
What’s Happening:
The short squeeze began after BTC reached heavily oversold levels. As price began to bounce, it forced short positions to unwind — fueling a momentum rally. But the rally hasn’t been supported by sustained demand; it’s been largely reactive. That’s where the caution comes in.
BTC is now sitting at a dense confluence of resistance, including
- The descending trendline from the broader channel
- The 0.618 Fibonacci retracement
- The point of control from the recent volume profile
- A major price level around $98,300
Why This Zone Matters:
Rejections from this area in the past have triggered sharp pullbacks. The fact that we haven’t seen immediate rejection yet raises eyebrows — but without strong volume and a decisive breakout, it’s premature to call this a full trend reversal. If the squeeze loses steam here, sellers could pile back in.
The Bullish Case:
If price grinds through this zone and closes above $98,300 with sustained volume, the landscape shifts. That level flips from resistance to support, potentially unlocking another leg higher.
The Bearish Case:
However, if this is just a squeeze without follow-through, expect a rejection to form soon. Watch for signs of slowing momentum, especially lower highs or sell pressure into resistance — classic signals of a local top forming.
Final Thoughts:
This is a make-or-break moment. The current structure is vulnerable to rapid moves in either direction. If BTC can’t hold this push, it may confirm a local high and set the stage for a deeper correction. But if bulls punch through resistance, momentum could snowball.
