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Bitcoin (BTC): Fight Over Current Zone | Buyers HoldingThe fight keeps going on where both buyers and sellers are showing strong dominance with momentum candles. We are being patient here; we see that buyers still manage to hold the current zone but also we see the attempts by sellers to dump it from here. Nevertheless, all those sell attempts have failed so far, so we might be seeing very volatile movement either to upper zones or lower zones, but we are voting for upward movement as long as buyers maintain dominance in current regions. Swallow Academy
Long
by SwallowAcademy
BTCUSD UPDATE 29 5 2025This chart is a 30-minute candlestick chart for Bitcoin/USDT (BTC/USDT) on Binance, published by Mr_Zakrii. Here's a detailed breakdown: --- Chart Details and Analysis 1. Asset & Timeframe: Asset: Bitcoin (BTC) / Tether (USDT) Exchange: Binance Timeframe: 30-minute candles 2. Current Price: Price at snapshot: ~108,420.51 USDT The price is shown moving upwards toward a resistance area. 3. Key Zones: Resistance Zone (Top Yellow Box): ~108,900 – 108,950 USDT Minor Resistance Zone (Middle Yellow Box): ~108,400 – 108,500 USDT Support Zone (Bottom Yellow Box): ~106,900 – 107,000 USDT 4. Trading Setup (Illustrated by Blue Arrows): A short (sell) position is being suggested: Entry: Around 108,420.51 USDT Stop-loss: ~108,902.64 – 108,953.21 USDT Take-profit: ~106,930.77 USDT The setup aims to capitalize on a reversal from the resistance zone, expecting the price to reject and drop toward the previous support. 5. Risk-Reward Visualization: Red Box: Represents the stop-loss zone (risk) Green Box: Represents the take-profit zone (reward) This indicates a favorable risk-to-reward ratio, assuming price respects resistance. 6. Market Sentiment: The price has recently surged with strong green candles and volume. The chart suggests potential exhaustion or resistance at current levels. 7. Additional Indicators: News/Economic Event Marker (Purple Icon): Indicates a possible upcoming event which could add volatility. Volume: Noticeable increase in buying volume during the upward move, which may suggest momentum, but also a potential blow-off if rejected. --- Conclusion: The chart anticipates a short-term bearish reversal from the 108,400–108,900 resistance area down to the 106,900 support zone. The trade setup is based on price action and zone rejection. It's a technical sell setup, likely based on supply zones and momentum exhaustion. Would you like help evaluating the risk/reward further, or how this setup aligns with broader Bitcoin market trends or news?
Short
by Mr_Zakrii
BTC/USDT 1DAY CHART UPDATE !!BTC/USDT Chart Analysis The price has broken above a key resistance area (~$104,000–$105,000) and is now retesting it as support. The 50-day (red) and 200-day (green) moving averages slope upward, indicating bullish momentum. Price activity consolidates just above the key resistance-to-support area, indicating accumulation ahead of a potential breakout. If the price sustains above $104,000, we could see continuation towards $120,000–$125,000. A break below $104,000 could see the price retest lower support areas near $100,000 or even $97,000–$98,000. Conclusion: Bullish bias above $104,000. If support fails, a bearish move is possible, but momentum is in the bulls’ favor right now. Stay tuned for updates and key levels to watch! Thanks for your support! DYOR. NFA
Long
by CryptoSanders9563
Whale Exposure to Global EconomyThe foreign-exchange (FX) market and the cryptocurrency market both rely on “market makers” and large “suppliers” to provide liquidity and facilitate trading—but the two systems operate on vastly different scales, under different rules, and with very different participant incentives. As crypto’s total capitalization races toward—and potentially beyond—\$5 trillion in the next major bull run, global markets will be increasingly exposed to crypto’s profit-maximizing whales and automated liquidity pools. Unless these structural differences are recognized and addressed, dramatic swings in crypto could spill over into traditional finance. Definition of Roles A market maker is an entity that continuously quotes buy and sell prices, profiting on the spread while absorbing order flow. In FX, these are predominantly regulated bank trading desks (J.P. Morgan, Deutsche Bank, UBS, etc.) that together handle roughly \$7.5 trillion in daily turnover. They operate under capital requirements, central-bank oversight, and risk-management frameworks designed to cap extreme volatility. In crypto, “market makers” include professional trading firms on centralized exchanges (e.g. Jump Trading, Wintermute) and code-driven Automated Market Makers (AMMs) like Uniswap, where any token holder can deposit assets into liquidity pools in return for fees. Unlike banks, AMM suppliers have no regulatory obligation to maintain quotes or hedge risk; they earn yield only when trading volume persists. A supplier (or “liquidity provider”) is any large holder whose stock of currency or tokens affects the supply available for trading. In FX, major commercial and investment banks also act as top suppliers, but they balance client flow management with broader fiduciary and policy considerations. Central banks even step in to smooth markets. In crypto, a tiny fraction of addresses control outsized shares: over 1.86 percent of addresses hold 90 percent of all Bitcoin, and whales with more than 1 million ETH own roughly 32 percent of Ethereum’s supply. These holders—driven by profit and market-timing motives rather than system stability—can on a whim remove or inject vast amounts of liquidity. Comparative Scale and Behavior Liquidity depth: FX’s interbank pool absorbs massive trades with minimal price impact. Crypto spot volume on top exchanges averages around \$60–80 billion per day—just one-one hundredth of FX volume. Many altcoins trade at volumes measured in single-digit millions, where a single whale order can move prices by double-digit percentages. Volatility and risk: FX volatility is largely driven by macroeconomic data and policy decisions. Crypto volatility is often directly caused by whale transactions: large accumulations off-exchange tighten supply; sudden sell-offs flood order books and trigger crashes. Traders routinely monitor whale wallet movements as a gauge of impending price swings. Market-making obligations: FX banks must quote two-way prices under regulatory frameworks. Crypto AMMs have no quote obligations; liquidity can vanish if token prices diverge from incentives, and CEX market-maker programs can be switched off if profitability erodes. Growing Crypto Caps and Global Exposure Over the past bull cycle, crypto’s total market capitalization surged from roughly \$1 trillion after the 2022 crash to more than \$3 trillion by late 2024. In a mature next bull rally—driven by factors like retail adoption, institutional investment via U.S. ETFs, and on-chain growth—analysts project total cap could reach \$5–10 trillion, perhaps even higher if adoption hits one billion users by 2030. In November 2024 alone, U.S. Bitcoin ETFs saw over \$3.5 billion of net inflows in a single week, signaling growing institutional interest. As crypto cap grows, profits accrue to whales who then have two options: reinvest in more crypto or deploy capital into traditional assets—equities, bonds, real estate, venture capital. When profit-maximizing whales move funds back into mainstream markets, they become new large suppliers in those markets. Their behavior—driven by short-term returns and unregulated by banking rules—can introduce episodes of excessive risk-taking, sudden mass reallocations, and cross-market contagion. A 30 percent price rally in crypto could translate into tens or hundreds of billions of dollars of buying power flowing into stocks or commodities, inflating asset bubbles. Conversely, a swift whale-led crypto sell-off could generate forced deleveraging in other markets. Risks and Recommendations 1. Opacity of supply: Unlike regulated banks, crypto whales and AMM pools operate pseudonymously. Policy makers should require greater transparency around large-wallet activity, potentially via on-chain reporting thresholds. 2. Market-making standards: Exchanges and AMM platforms could adopt minimum commitment obligations—analogous to FX banks’ two-way quoting—ensuring liquidity does not collapse when whale incentives shift. 3. Surveillance and circuit breakers: Crypto venues should implement robust guardrails—time-outs, price bands, and anomaly detection—to prevent cascading liquidations by large holders. 4. Cross-market safeguards: As crypto intersects with ETFs, pension funds, and corporate treasuries, regulators must recognize the systemic linkages and prepare macroprudential policies to mitigate spillovers. Conclusion Crypto markets will never mirror the deep, regulated interbank systems of FX. But as total crypto capitalization approaches and exceeds several trillion dollars, its profit-seeking whales stand poised to exert outsized influence not only on token prices but on the broader global economy. Recognizing the unique behaviors and incentives of crypto market makers and suppliers—and enacting tailored transparency, liquidity, and supervision measures—will be essential to contain the risk that tomorrow’s crypto bull run could unleash today’s market crisis.
Long
by mertenes3
How to Use the Sentiment Cycle Indicator to Detect Trend ShiftsHow to Use the Sentiment Cycle Indicator to Detect Trend Shifts in BTC Chart: BTC/USDT (1D) Tool Used: Sentiment Cycle Indicator Type: Educational – How to interpret sentiment shifts and time corrections. ⸻ 🟢 What the Indicator Does: The Sentiment Cycle Indicator is designed to help identify emotional cycles in price movements by mapping bullish (green) and bearish (red) sentiment zones directly on the chart background. It highlights sentiment clusters using a combination of volume behavior, price structure, and trend alignment , helping traders anticipate trend continuation or possible exhaustion. ⸻ ✅ Recent Performance: 📈 In the most recent BTC rally (from ~60,000 to 110,000+ USDT), • The indicator captured the uptrend early, turning the background consistently green starting mid-October 2024. • Multiple Buy signals (green arrows) confirmed trend conviction. • Even during minor pullbacks, green sentiment persisted — signaling strength. 📉 Now, the green sentiment zone has faded, and red zones are reappearing, indicating a potential sentiment shift: • This transition may be an early warning of correction or distribution phase. • Several Sell signals (red arrows) have recently fired as well, validating the shift. ⸻ 🔍 Current Interpretation: • Bullish sentiment has weakened — background color has turned neutral-to-red. • Sentiment exhaustion is likely, and this could mark the start of a distribution or corrective phase. • The absence of new buy signals despite recent price highs further supports this view. 📌 What to watch next: • If red zones deepen and persist → correction is likely. • If green zones reappear quickly with renewed Buy signals → resumption of uptrend is possible. ⸻ 📚 How-To Use the Indicator: 1. Watch the background color: • Green → Accumulation or markup. • Red → Distribution or markdown. 2. Buy/Sell Markers: • Use arrows as confirmation — not standalone signals. • Best results when aligned with sentiment zone and price structure. 3. Volatility Filter: • Sideways zones (mixed bands) indicate indecision — avoid overtrading here. ⸻ 🧠 Final Thoughts: The Sentiment Cycle Indicator isn’t just about price – it’s about the emotion behind price. As BTC shows signs of sentiment fading, this could be a pivotal time to re-evaluate bullish bias and prepare for a cooling phase or even deeper correction. Let the market’s mood guide your strategy.
by TradeTechanalysis
Is the momentum in Bitcoin EXHAUSTED? Or not yet?In recent days, Bitcoin has been actively updating its ATH almost daily. Everyone is already predicting $150,000 by the end of the month. 🔥 But is everything really so rosy? Let's take a closer look! During the powerful growth over the past month, two gaps have formed below us. The first is at $97,368–102,867. The second is at $85,158–93,232. And as we know, in 99% of cases, gaps close sooner or later. 📊 Technical: Liquidity zones - as we know, the price moves from liquidity to liquidity, which pushes it in one direction or another. Right now, there is practically no liquidity above us; it is all concentrated below. Only a move to $99,000 can now liquidate more than a billion dollars in longs. I think short sellers' stops are much higher, at $120,000 and above. There is no point in placing them here when there is still no confirmation of a trend reversal. ⚙️ Metrics and indicators: Volume - as I say in every review - is not a new growth impulse. It is a technical rebound. It has been moving at reduced volumes all along, which have only continued to decline. MACD - has already given a bearish crossover , but this is certainly not the best indicator on such a TF. However, in combination with other indicators, it can predict a trend reversal at the right time. DSRZ - shows the volume of interest at certain levels, and now we see that the first block of interest is concentrated in the $106,000–104,000 zone. These are the first support levels, from which I will expect the first rebound if the correction continues. Liquidation Levels - as I said, all liquidity is now concentrated at the bottom. Bitcoin is very overheated and it's time to cool it down. Many think that it will be overheated when, as in the previous cycle, funding will be 0.2 and above. But this is a different cycle, a different time, different traders, and different rules. This has already been proven more than once in this cycle. 📌 Conclusion: I have said many times that we should not expect much from this momentum and that it is purely a technical rebound. And if something does not push us sharply upward now to bring in retail, we can definitely not expect it before the fall. Summer is coming, investors and traders will close their positions and go on vacation. The market will be quiet. So, personally, I am leaning back in my chair, expecting a price of at least $85,000, and watching what happens next. 🥃
Short
by Crypto_Inside_trading
1
Accumulate waiting for the next new ATH, BTC 💎 Update Plan BTC (May 26) Notable news about BTC: Bitcoin (BTC) is trading above $109,000 as of Monday, staging a solid rebound after Friday’s sharp pullback. The recovery has been largely driven by renewed optimism following US President Donald Trump’s decision to postpone the implementation of a 50% tariff on European Union imports. This move helped calm market jitters and reignited investor appetite for risk assets, including digital currencies. Institutional interest in Bitcoin also appears to be gaining momentum, with the latest data showing the strongest weekly inflows since late April—an encouraging sign that confidence in the asset remains resilient despite recent volatility. Trump’s tariff delay spurs BTC bounce In a post on his Truth Social platform, President Trump announced an extension of the EU tariff deadline to July 9, backing away from the previously scheduled June 1 hike. This announcement came just days after he criticized the lack of progress in negotiations with Brussels, which had rattled markets and led to a 3.9% drop in BTC on Friday. The policy reversal helped restore calm and provided a tailwind for Bitcoin’s upward move to start the week. Technical analysis angle The question that investors most interested now is when BTC will have 120k? Congratulations to the investors. BTC goes on our analysis. Although the price is sideways, we still earn 3000 prices from this coin. Note that the 113k region can be an important price area for adjustment before 120k and even higher 🔥BTC 4H is currently in the adjustment phase, this time will cause a lot of traders, Future - Margin to lose money, this rhythm will last long At this time, whether new or old, should spend more time to practice, load more knowledge about the PTKT, as well as find knowledge posts at the channel ..., to strengthen the solid foundation, as well as avoid losing money at this time offline ==> Comments for trend reference. Wishing investors successfully trading
Long
by Nova-Scalper
1