BTC decision time (16th-19th May)Its as simple as this. Fib Time Zone has accurately picked high, low, pause and now comes to a critical juncture. Could we finally be seeing the beginning of a bull run for all crypto assets or will we begin a bear market.
Note time until end is in 460 days from May.
My view
End of May, June, July heavy upside for crypto.
BTC up till $140-145k (may wick to 150k)
July, Aug - The whales party in Europe again and expect a 30-35% drop - potentially back to $100k.
Sept - Dec - Pumpamentals. Everyone is happy. Expect another 30% dump and a final blow out top (the one where you see thousands of posts on Instagram, X etc that they have their lambos.
If my thesis is correct, bull market ends March-June 2026.
USDTBTC trade ideas
Bitcoin Price Action Analysis (short-term)
Current Price Structure: Strength and Consolidation
Bitcoin (BTC) has demonstrated impressive strength, rising from $74,000 to $105,000. This price movement indicates a strong bullish impulse, underpinned by multiple fundamental and technical factors:
Why BTC Rose from $74,000 to $105,000
Institutional Demand: Continued accumulation by major funds and institutional investors has fueled buying pressure.
Positive Market Sentiment: Favorable regulatory news and adoption by major companies have boosted confidence.
Technical Breakouts: The breach of significant resistance levels at $80,000 and $95,000 triggered further buying interest.
Weak Dollar and Global Macro: Inflation concerns and a weaker US dollar made BTC an attractive hedge.
Current Market Structure - Consolidation below Daily Resistance
BTC is currently consolidating below the daily resistance at $105,000 - $107,000, which also marks the current All-Time High (ATH).
Volume has decreased, and price has entered a tight range, indicating market indecision or preparation for the next move.
Price is forming a potential accumulation structure, consistent with the Wyckoff Accumulation Schematic.
Key Scenarios - Breakout vs. Rejection
Bullish Scenario (Preferred):
- BTC breaks and closes above $107,000 on the daily.
- Target: $115,000 - $120,000 (Weekly Resistance).
Bearish Scenario:
- BTC fails to break $107,000 and faces rejection.
- Price may decline to the support zone at $91,000 - $93,000.
Conclusion
Bitcoin’s price action suggests potential for a breakout above $107,000, following Wyckoff logic.
A daily close above this level would confirm strength and target $115,000 - $120,000.
If rejected, a retracement to $91,000 - $93,000 is likely.
Active traders should monitor the $107,000 level and be prepared for volatility.
BTCUSDT-H1-SHORTBTC is approaching a strong resistance zone at $106,000 after a recent uptrend.
The price is near the upper boundary of the green zone ($102,000–$106,000), suggesting overbought conditions.
Bearish signals: declining volume, overbought zone, and resistance at $106,000. Watch for a rejection at this level for confirmation.
We need a short squeezeWe need a short squeeze to fuel a move toward the historical high. Price is holding just below the resistance level, and this is not the first approach. On the daily timeframe, there's a bearish divergence — a short signal.
Possible scenarios:
Price moves down, but holds the support zone at 98K–100K, builds strength, and then breaks out to a new all-time high.
Price moves down, fails to hold the 100K zone, and drops back toward 80K.
Price consolidates tightly around 103K–105K, volatility decreases for a while — the market enters a “kangaroo mode.”
At the moment, I’m leaning toward scenario 1 — we still need to play out the daily divergence, which might take a few days. Buyer strength is still visible. I expect a strong correction only after the all-time high is updated.
No Clear Break Yet – Bounce or Bigger Correction?There haven’t been any major changes in Bitcoin’s directional structure compared to yesterday.
We saw a rebound while successfully holding the local low set during yesterday’s early morning session, and price action has followed the expected path quite well—reaching into the resistance zone and reacting accordingly.
The recent rebound from the $100,700 low may offer enough of a recovery move, but for a sustained continuation to the upside, we now need to see price hold the first support zone between $103,000 and $102,000, and ideally also preserve the second support around $101,500.
However, even if these support zones hold, failure to break previous highs could still result in another downward leg—potentially leading to a break back below $100K. This is an important scenario to keep in mind.
In short, we still need to determine whether this bounce is:
The completion of a correction wave and the start of a new uptrend
or
Just a temporary rebound before a deeper correction unfolds on the higher timeframe.
Even if we see meaningful bullish movement on the lower timeframes, it must also be confirmed across higher timeframes to be reliable. This is not a zone to hold blindly with blind optimism—whether long or short, if you’re in profit after a solid wave, consider partial profit-taking and manage your position proactively.
At the moment, the market remains in a range-bound structure, with neither the highs nor the lows broken decisively. I recommend using today’s update in conjunction with yesterday’s analysis—it will help you better understand the current structure, improve your positioning, and support your trading decisions.
Bitcoin Overall: Coming down to supportIt appears most likely that BTC will make a larger 3-wave structure to the downside before another move higher--although this is of course not guaranteed. Based on the performance of the short to-date, I would not expect a large move down in price. BTC is very strong at the moment. Caution is warranted on the short side.
BTC 15M APEX ENTRY Confirmed by 1H TrendThis 15-minute Apex Entry aligned with the 1H trend, avoiding fakeouts and confirming direction.
The Tenoris Apex Suite uses real-time support/resistance detection and multi-timeframe logic to identify breakout entries with zero lag.
I use this method to focus only on trades that align across key timeframes.
Not financial advice – just sharing how I trade.
For access, see profile bio.
Btcusd Bitcoin (BTC) price is stabilizing around $103,000 at the time of writing on Friday after rallying nearly 10% this week. The sharp price increase was supported by improved market sentiment as US President Donald Trump announced a trade deal with the United Kingdom (UK), partly easing the tariff-related uncertainty that has weighed on crypto since Trump's inauguration.
Risky assets were the winners this week, with Bitcoin soaring nearly 10%, fueled by the news on Thursday of a trade deal between the US and the UK that was announced by US President Donald Trump and British Prime Minister Keir Starmer.
This trade leaves in place a 10% tariff on goods imported from the UK to the US, while Britain agreed to lower its tariffs to 1.8% from 5.1% and provide greater access to US goods
Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) Technical Analysis – May 13, 2025 | 17:30 UTC🔍 Market Context
Bitcoin continues to exhibit structural bullish behavior, supported by macro-level demand and reduced circulating supply. However, recent momentum indicators signal a possible short-term exhaustion.
📊 Technical Overview (4H Chart)
🔧 Chart Parameters
Timeframe: 4H
Tools Used: Fibonacci Retracement, Volume Profile, Ichimoku Cloud, Pivot Points, RSI, MACD
🔹 Fibonacci Levels
(May 12 Low $101,206 → May 13 High $103,267)
0.236: $102,845
0.382: $102,420
0.5: $102,236
0.618: $102,052
🔹 Pivot Points (Classic)
S3: $101,580
S2: $102,110
S1: $102,650
Pivot: $103,010
R1: $103,550
R2: $103,990
R3: $104,420
🔹 Volume Profile
Weak participation above $103,000, indicating potential resistance and lack of buyer commitment at higher levels.
🔹 Ichimoku Cloud
Price remains above the cloud, maintaining a bullish bias.
Tenkan/Kijun convergence signals possible consolidation in the short term.
📈 Key Price Zones
Support to Watch:
$102,052 (0.618 Fib) – Critical level for bull structure to hold.
$101,206 – Previous swing low; breakdown may trigger broader correction.
Resistance to Watch:
$103,550 (R1) – Major breakout point.
$105,819 – All-time high, if momentum accelerates.
Order Flow: Block buying activity detected between $101,500–$102,000 (potential accumulation)
📉 Summary
Bitcoin is range-bound between $102,000–$103,500 ahead of key macro events.
Breakout Confirmation: Above $103,550 → Targets $105K+
Breakdown Signal: Below $102,000 → Opens path to retest $101,206
⚠️ Always use proper risk management. Backtest every scenario. No guarantees in live markets.
How to use Dynamic Market Structure to track market moves🔍 Idea Overview
This chart demonstrates the effectiveness of the Dynamic Market Structure Indicator in live conditions, capturing key Break of Structure (BoS) and Change of Character (ChoCH) points. Each zone dynamically adapts based on price behavior and helps identify crucial turning points.
📌 Highlights from the Chart
• ✅ Early BoS detection led to accurate identification of the bullish breakout before the major rally starting May 7.
• ✅ Multiple successful ChoCH zones indicated potential reversal areas and pause zones during sideways consolidation.
• ✅ The green (BoS) and red (ChoCH) horizontal zones aligned perfectly with price reaction levels, acting as reliable support/resistance.
• ✅ During the pullback post-high, the indicator caught clear bearish ChoCH before price dropped nearly $2,000, showing high responsiveness.
📊 Summary of Performance
• Rally captured from ~95,000 to ~104,000 with early BoS signals.
• Sideways zones around 103,000–104,000 marked with structural shifts that predicted stalling.
• Post-drop behavior accurately highlighted re-test of ChoCH zones before reversal attempts.
⚙️ Indicator Logic (Brief)
• BoS (Green): Confirms trend continuation when structure breaks in the direction of the trend.
• ChoCH (Red): Signals a potential trend reversal with key level break.
No repainting. Zones are locked once confirmed.
In volatile markets like BTC, accurate detection of structural shifts can define risk and opportunity. This indicator consistently tracked evolving zones and highlighted major inflection points — without lag or overfitting.
BTCUSDT Key levels for 13/05/2025// The core idea behind this indicator was sparked by a simple but powerful clue:
// 👉 "If you get one level, you get all levels."
// From that point onward, everything—the logic, calculation method, and application—has been developed independently through my own analysis and experience.
// I am not a seller, and no one taught me this system. This method is a result of my own effort and refinement.
///////////////////// Explanation /////////////////////
// This trading system is designed to eliminate blind trades by offering confirmation-based entry and exit points.
///////////////////// Entry/Exit Strategy /////////////////////
// - Use the BLACK line for long trades, and the RED line for short trades, in line with confirmation from your trading plan.
// - Stop Loss:
// - For long trades: below the RED line.
// - For short trades: above the BLACK line.
// - Take Profit:
// - For long trades: target the next RED line above.
// - For short trades: target the next BLACK line below.
///////////////////// Recommended Timeframe /////////////////////
// Use on a 15-minute chart for best results.
///////////////////// Disclaimer /////////////////////
// This setup is shared purely for educational purposes.
// I am not responsible for any gains or losses that may result from its use.
// Always use your own judgment and risk management.
Is Bitcoin 100K the New Normal?We are the SeoVereign Trading Team.
With precision analysis and sharp market insight, we regularly publish Bitcoin and crypto trading ideas based on technical structure and momentum.
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📈 Bitcoin Reclaims the 100K Narrative — A New Bullish Wave in Motion
The Bitcoin market is showing renewed strength, with price action suggesting the early stages of a major bullish continuation. We're currently observing a well-formed Reverse Deep Crab harmonic pattern, indicating a potential short-term pullback driven by late-entry short positions — but more importantly, it's setting the stage for a strong long-side breakout.
As momentum builds, this retracement could offer a prime long entry opportunity before the next leg up.
🎯 Key Upside Targets:
1st Target: 105,180 — Initial resistance zone
2nd Target: 105,780 — Key structural breakout level
3rd Target: 106,277 — Measured move from harmonic projection
From a positioning standpoint, the market still shows signs of short-side overcrowding, which could trigger a short squeeze and further fuel upside momentum.
🧠 Strategy Insight:
We're looking to position long into weakness, aligning with both technical structure and broader market sentiment. Risk-managed entries with staggered take-profit levels are advised to capitalize on potential volatility and breakout acceleration.
🚀 Now is not the time to fade strength — it’s time to ride the trend.
BTC/USDT: Critical Resistance at $106,101–Breakout or Rejection?Hey guys this is the Dark analysis, let's take a look at btcusdt today.🚀
**📌 Key Technical Scenario:**
- **Daily TF**: Strong resistance at **$106,101**.
- Break & close above → Target **$120,000** (next liquidity zone).
- Fake breakout → Short-term bearish reversal expected.
- **1H TF**: Bearish structure dominates, but lacks bullish momentum for recovery.
- **Order Block (OB)**: Bearish liquidity pool at **$103,791.41**.
**🎯 Short-Term Trade Setup (1H):**
- **Entry Trigger**: Engulfing bearish candle or pin bar near **$103,791.41**.
- **Stop Loss**: **$104,700** (above the OB high).
- **Target**: **$101,641.74** (support-to-resistance flip zone).
- **Risk/Reward**: ~1:3 (Adjusted for volatility).
**📊 Confirmation Tools:**
- **RSI (1H)**: Below 50 + downward slope → Bearish momentum.
- **Volume**: Increasing sell volume at OB strengthens the signal.
**⚠️ Risk Management:**
- Position size ≤ 2% of capital.
- Avoid trading if BTC shows sudden bullish recovery above $104,700.
**🔍 Chart Markings:**
1. Red zone: $106,101 (Daily resistance).
2. Purple box: $103,791.41 (1H Order Block).
3. Green line: $101,641.74 (Profit-taking area).
📌 **Final Note:** "Trade what you see, not what you hope!" Always wait for price action confirmation.
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Buy Ops on BTC/tether Perpetual Futures on H4As the current Market structure indicates a bullish price action as price makes Higher Highs and Lows, A visible POI is the Demand zone that broke structure to the upside, and has liquidity sitting pretty around the 95,740 area. Possible entry level at 95,085 with SL at 92,848 just below the current low, and TP at 104,881.... in anticipation to take out the current high of the structure......
Of course, DYOR......
BTCUSDT | Liquidity Grab Before Bullish Continuation?
Price swept the trendline support and tapped into a key demand zone around 101,300 before showing signs of recovery. This looks like a classic liquidity grab and potential bullish continuation setup. Watching for confirmation to go long toward the 105K–107K supply zone. Clean R/R with invalidation below recent low.