Btcusd upadteThe chart you've provided is a 1-hour (1H) candlestick chart of BTC/USDT (Bitcoin to Tether) on TradingView. Here's an analysis of what the chart suggests:
📊 Technical Overview:
Descending Channel (Bearish Trend):
The chart shows a clear descending channel, marked by two parallel trendlines (upper and lower boundaries).
This indicates that the market has been in a short-term downtrend.
Recent Rebound:
Price recently touched the lower boundary of the channel and showed a sharp bounce upwards, which suggests buying interest at that support level.
This type of bounce can often lead to a correction or potential reversal.
Pattern Suggestion (Annotated Line):
The chart includes a forecasted squiggly line, indicating a possible consolidation near current levels, followed by a breakout above the descending channel.
This suggests a bullish breakout expectation.
Price Levels:
Current price: ~$102,400.
Key support: ~$97,100 and $96,000 (as shown at the bottom).
Next resistance if breakout happens: ~$105,000–$107,000 range, aligning with prior highs in the descending channel.
🧠 Interpretation:
The chart suggests a potential reversal from the bearish trend, with the idea that BTC may break out of the descending channel.
If BTC fails to break out and gets rejected at the upper trendline, we may see another leg down toward the support region.
✅ Actionable Insight:
Bullish Bias: Watch for a confirmed breakout above the upper channel resistance (~$103,000–$104,000). Volume confirmation would strengthen the case.
Bearish Scenario: Rejection at the channel top could lead to a retest of ~$100,000 or lower.
USDTBTC trade ideas
Bitcoin gameplan - What to expect nextWith BTCs most recent move higher and the confirmation of a higher low within the current uptrend (the one that started Jan. 23) we have sufficient indication to assume a short term continuation of the current rally.
As next target I'm looking for 120k. In the very short term we might see a little corrective move (Scenario 2) or just power through the range high of the micro range to chase the set target directly. (Scenario 1) That highly depends on price reaction to the range high price level. (106k)
Either way, BTC looks great at the moment and I'm pretty confident that the bull market is far from over, especially with more inflation on the horizon.
Let me hear your thoughts!
Risky position!In a bullish market, making a bearish trade is more risky.
But after the daily candle closes in the same way, you can open a sell position with a risk of 1%.
Finally, use our team's analysis as a confirmation, and never enter a trade without your own analysis.
I hope you are always profitable and kind.
Will it fall? Yes. The reasons are HERE!Reasons why it will drop:
1. hypurrscan.io
This is an insider — take a closer look.
2. Selling pressure during the first attempt to rise.
3. Selling pressure is still ongoing.
4. Very low liquidity ahead. It's easy to push the price down because the rise happened with almost no consolidation.
5. Whoever is applying pressure needs to accumulate cheaper.
BTC to Stocks....We can see a clear resistance line shown by the bollinger line touch at the upper band and moving its way sideways. Increasing at a decreasing rate. This is the first sign of moving down! Add to this a great stock market rally and BTC holders, mostly profit takers, moving their wins to another pot with real fundamentals. It's going to be a ride! MSTR will likely get hit too. We'll see!
BTC Hourly Setup – Breakout or Rejection Ahead?
🔥 BTC – 1H Chart Watch
📈 Bitcoin is currently trading within an ascending parallel channel on the hourly timeframe.
👀 Momentum remains steady—watch closely for a breakout above the channel or a possible rejection at the top boundary.
This zone could shape the next short-term move—stay tuned!
Market Overview
WHAT HAPPENED?
Last week, we had a true breakdown of the local maximum for bitcoin. We considered the probability of this scenario developing in our daily analysis on TradingView.
The buyer resumed control over the delta, although we had previously noted strong sell pressure within the $98,000–$93,000 range several times, which could trigger a deep correction.
WHAT WILL HAPPEN: OR NOT?
Now the price has reached the target of $105,000, the priority remains for the longs. If BTC gains a foothold above this mark, the volume zone of $104,000–$103,000 may become a key support zone.
Sell Zones:
$107,000–$109,000 (volume anomalies).
Buy Zones:
$104,000–$103,000 (high-volume area),
~$100,000 (absorbing/breakthrough volume),
$98,000–$97,200 (local support),
$93,000 level,
$91,500–$90,000 (strong buying imbalance),
$88,100–$87,000 (absorption of market selling),
$85,500–$84,000 (accumulated volume),
$82,700–$81,400 (volume zone),
$74,800 level,
$69,000–$60,600 (accumulated volume).
IMPORTANT DATES
Macroeconomic events to watch out for:
• Tuesday, May 13, 12:30 (UTC) — publication of the basic US consumer price index for April, as well as in comparison with April 2024;
• Wednesday, May 14, 06:00 (UTC) — German Consumer Price Index for April is published;
• Thursday, May 15, 06:00 (UTC) — publication of UK GDP for March, for the first quarter of 2025, as well as in comparison with the fourth quarter of 2024;
• Thursday, May 15, 12:30 (UTC) — publication of the basic US retail sales index for April, the number of initial applications for US unemployment benefits, the index of manufacturing activity from the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, the US producer price index, the volume of retail sales in the USA for April and May;
• Thursday, May 15, 12:40 (UTC) — Speech by Fed Chairman Jerome Powell;
• Thursday, May 15, 23:50 (UTC) — Japan's GDP for the first quarter of 2025 is published.
*This post is not a financial recommendation. Make decisions based on your own experience.
#analytics
CYCLE 4 | Pull back complete!Hi team,
The purpose of this post is to close out our thoughts posted back in December 2024 with the suggestion of a possible 30-40% correction scenario we envisioned BTC might look to complete over the upcoming months, and what we wanted to see the bulls achieve in order for Cycle 4 to move into its final phase. Using this set up we can look towards where BTC may look towards from here.
These steps were outlined in the below two posts:
CYCLE 4 | CME GAP: Bull Cycle Period First Major Pull Back (Dec 20 - 2024)
CYCLE 4 | UPDATE - BTC Possible Next Move into Sell Zone (Feb 14 - 2025)
REVIEWING WHAT HAPPENED
In these posts we suggested
1) BTC will likely pull back and look for opportunities for support
2) We outlined the following levels
* Demand Zone and bottom of our defined Price Channel (92-90K)
* Daily Order Block (OB) (88.5-87.9k)
* CME GAP - down as far as ~77K and suggested a wick on the weekly down to our March 2024 high would not be out of the question
These levels all were taken out with our worst-case forecast achieved. Bulls then successfully preceded to complete the requirements we set out in these posts:
1) Uptrend Channel: No Open / Close weekly candle outside of, push back within and HOLD as support / HOLD and remain inside of our cycle uptrend channel (keep BTCs relationship with this trend line intact).
2) Daily OB: Flip and hold as support (BTC first attempt was rejected, held as resistance and allow a more bullish double bottom to be formed).
3) 20W SMA / 21W EMA: Flip and hold these moving averages
4) Price Channel: Push back inside and hold with a least two weekly candle closes.
WHERE TO FROM HERE
We are now at this point where BTC is now poised to look at a new ATH. BULLs are looking for BTC to finish off this cycle, and the set up aligns perfectly with our 'Sell Zone' box time frame we have put in place to help us navigate this cycle. Our 'MA OSCILLATOR RISK METRIC' (see charts in below posts for updates) has swung back into our RL level of 7 and moving back towards out cycle peak risk levels.
To achieve a 'proper' finishing ATH bulls are looking for in this zone we would want to see BTC start to making aggressive moves from here in Q3 & Q4 of 2025.
The biggest concerns for BULLs and the upcoming case for bears is the weekly bearish divergences BTC has put in place with our prior ATHs this cycle. This is most notable in the RSI shown in this posts original chart. From here there are 3 likely scenarios BTC could take based on rejects of our RSI dark black tend line and in place weekly bearish divergences. These Scenarios are marked 1, 2 and 3.
Scenario 1
BTC moves aggressively out of this price channel to new ATHs. There is a chance Bears could push price into a lower high here or put in a 'SFP' (Swing Failure Pattern) and sweep our prior high.
Scenario 1a
This would play out scenario 1a which bulls would want to see a retest and hold of the 20W SMA / 21W EMA before heading back up to attack high levels. We would expect our RSI moving Advertage to provide support in this level (see point 1a in the RSI chart). Failure to hold would strongly support the suggestion of cycle 5s bear market beginning IMO.
Scenario 2
A HOLD and bounce off the 20W SMA / 21W EMA again would give bears another chance to put bearish divergence with the weekly RSI. Watch for a higher high in price (likely a SFP or sweep of our current ATH) and a lower high closed in our Weekly RSI. This would be a scary scenario for the bulls.
BULLISH SCENARIO | BREAKING THE RSI BEARISH DIVERGENCE DOWN TREND LINE
The most bullish move BTC Bulls could achieve in all the above scenarios is to breaking above the RSI Bearish Divergence Down Trend Line (shown as green up trend arrows in the RSI). This will invalidate current bearish divergences and sent bulls focus on the more speculative upper targets for this cycle.
Hope you have found this post series an interesting watch as I have.
BTCUSD - $100K FINALLY!! WHAT NEXT?MARKET UPDATE
We've finally seen BTC @$100k after the long wait. So what's next on BTC Price Action?
My next Target is $110,000 which was the highest point it got to before the drop. With the current momentum i don't think it'll make a deep retracement before getting that price target.
MARKET PROFILE
I want to see a displacement to the upside earlier in the week(before CPI), with Tuesday's CPI forming the HOW(High of Week) after taking the High @$110k. I'll only be participating on the bullish run to $110k and once my DOL has been met i'll be neutral on BTC and sit on the sideline.
FINAL NOTICE
Patience pays, i'll wait for price to get to my level before executing(if it hasn't traded to my DOL). If price leaves me behind and makes the run to $110k i won't chase price.
What do you think BTC is likely to do next? Share your opinions in the comment guys.
BTCUSDT:Sharing of the Latest Trading StrategyAll the trading signals this week have resulted in profits!!! Check it!!!👉👉👉
The price of BTCUSDT fluctuates around $100,500. Technically speaking, if it can firmly stand at the level of $100,000, it is expected to challenge the level of $105,000. If it breaks below $98,000, it may trigger a pullback. Pay attention to the support at $100,000 and the strong support at $98,000. In terms of trading operations, one can open a long position with a small position near $100,000.
Trading Strategy:
buy@103000-103500
TP:105000-106000
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BTC Bias Update multiple timeframes are expected to act as strong support. Recent sell-side liquidity sweeps indicate potential for upward continuation. The ascending trendline supports the bullish trend, and bullish market structure shifts confirm it. The primary targets are the buyside liquidity pools marked above the current price. Look for long entries on pullbacks to the bullish order block.
BTC TradeditionAs you can see on the chart, the price has entered the cloud, the lag line is below the price and the future cloud is red, so I will watch the price and not enter the order.
Price zones to watch:
- 102k-105k$
- 90k- 92k$
- 70- 73k
These are strategic price zones that need close attention for the next price trend