USDTBTC trade ideas
BTCThe range marked by the formation of a confirmation candle is suitable for entering a short trade.
BTC Analysisfor here no trade zone, short from mentioned zone and keep the sl tight, I would prefer long from the 100k zone, if we get daily closing below the mentioned zone then will long from 92-90k area, target still remains the same 112k-120k
BTC Long Trade Setup IdeaTrade Setup Idea:
- Entry: 103,243.4 - 103,689.2
- Stop Loss (SL): 102,886.8
- Target Levels: 111.9K 116K, 121K, 127K, 131K, 140K
BTC — Choppy Range Until BreakoutPrice is caught between key levels:
• Support: $101.8k (4H demand)
• Resistance: $106.6k–107.1k (4H supply zone)
Current structure suggests range-bound price action with low conviction for directional trades until one of these levels is broken.
Plan:
🔁 Range: $101.8k–$106.6k
• Expect multiple drives and fakeouts
• Ideal zone for scalping only, take profits fast
• Avoid breakout anticipation — let the level break first
🚀 Breakout Scenario:
• Flip of $106.6k opens the path to new ATHs
• Break and hold above → long trigger to $110k+
📉 Breakdown Scenario:
• Loss of $101.8k leads to $100k–$98k zone
• Break below $100k = deeper market flush possible
📌 No big move expected until range resolves. Patience and precision are key.
Most called rejection. I called reaccumulation — mid-trade.This wasn’t luck. It was structure.
BTC tapped directly into the 1H Fair Value Gap at 105,016 — precisely the overlap with 0.382 fib and the volume imbalance from the prior impulse. Price didn’t just react. It delivered confirmation. Fast.
Entry was clean, risk tight — and the invalidation was defined. Below 104,517, I’m out. No emotion. Just system.
I’m now watching the 105,325–105,825 pocket. That’s where the thin volume zone transitions back into resistance — and where trapped shorts begin to feel the heat.
If price breaks and holds above 105,900, expect a swift drive into 106.7–107.0 before further consolidation.
Execution clarity:
✅ Entry: FVG 1H — 105,016
🎯 TP1: 105,825
🔒 Stop: 104,517
🔓 R:R = 2.38, no drawdown, full intent
Most wait for confirmation.
I act at the point of imbalance — not after it’s obvious.
BTC (Post Weekly Close Update)CRYPTOCAP:BTC (Post Weekly Close Update)
We’ve confirmed a weekly SFP and observed a bearish engulfing weekly close, signaling caution at the very least. Whether the price corrects to our target, BOs here, or reaches a new ATH remains uncertain, so we’ll play it level by level. Imo, subtle signs of bullish exhaustion are worth noting.
That said, I don’t expect a collapse to 70K, though anything is possible. I anticipate a drop below the key 100K level, targeting the 18H HOB and weekly FVG around 98K. We could even see a wick into the CME gap, YO, and VRVP support observed at 94K. This move may spark fear, traders anticipating lower, with some calling for a bear market. However, I expect the price to reverse, reclaim key levels, and resume the uptrend.
On LTF/MTF - charts, we’re trading level by level. A range may form, allowing the market to gather liquidity to sustain the trend, especially since we missed liquidity at 72K. As long as the price remains below 107K, scalping makes more sense than swing trading in the short term. A break above 107K could target 110K or a new ATH. However, if the price reaches 107K - around 107800 - I’d consider shorting. A daily close above 107K might trap retail traders into opening longs, only for the price to retrace and head lower (keep this scenario in mind).
VELO data:
Market dynamics are stable. Spot is flat or selling, while perps are driving pric. OI has dropped from dangerous levels, and funding rates remain slightly positive. Overall, nothing significant is occurring, which aligns with the current range-bound market.
BTC - Hedge SetupWe’re currently in a bearish structure, but we've just formed a smaller bullish structure, and the B–C correction within it offered a solid opportunity for short-term long positions.
Once we reach the bullish target zone and the bearish trend reversal area, anyone with overexposed long positions can consider opening a short-term hedge — and move it to break-even once it’s in profit.
New week, new gains!
LFG
Short BTC1. Daily Bias (D1): SELL
D1 in downtrend
RSI weak (under 60)
Price under resistance (111.9)
✅ Bias: SELL confirmed
2. Market Structure (M15)
Price formed LH-LL
Current move = pullback to previous supply
✅ Structure supports short plan
3. Trap / SFP Zone
Expected trap near 107.2
Waiting for confirmation before selling
✅ Trap setup planned
4. Entry & Risk Plan (From Chart)
Entry: ~106,378
Stop Loss (SL): 107,276
Take Profit (TP): 103,399
Reward/Risk (R:R): ≈ 3:1
✅ Logical levels
✅ Good R:R
✅ Entry based on confirmation
Navigating a Projected 2025-28 Bear Cycle & Accumulation RoadmapFellow Traders,
This post outlines a conceptual Bitcoin bear market projection (2025-2028) and a phased accumulation strategy, based on synthesized market cycle data. (Inspired by external analyses).
I. Projected Bear Market Timeline:
Q4 2025: Euphoria Top (Potential 100k-120k)
Q1 2026: Bear Trigger (SPX correction, BTC < 60k)
Q4 2026: Capitulation (Crash towards $30k, miner selling)
Q2 2027: Extreme Fear & Bottom (Recession, BTC plunge to 18k-25k)
Q4 2027: Accumulation Begins (e.g., MVRV < 0.5)
Q1 2028 onwards: Slow Recovery (Halving anticipation)
II. Phased Accumulation Strategy:
A systematic buying approach across distinct price zones, triggered by on-chain/macro signals:
Early Accumulation (22k - 25k): 20% Allocation.
Triggers like MVRV < 0.85, high VIX.
Core Accumulation (18.5k - 20k): 50% Allocation.
Triggers like Hash Ribbons "Recovery," low funding rates.
Aggressive Accumulation (16.5k - 17.5k): 20% Allocation.
Triggers like Fed cuts, NUPL < -0.75.
Black Swan Buy (14k - 15k): 10% Allocation.
For extreme, unexpected negative events.
(Timelines for these phases roughly span Q4 2026 - Q3 2027)
III. Key Supporting Concepts:
Price Floor Models: Models like MVRV Z-Score (16.8k), Thermo Cap (17.2k), and Realized Price (21k) align with accumulation zones.
Bottom Confirmation: Watch for signals like MVRV < 0.75, aSOPR < 0.85 (est. Q2-Q3 2027).
Diversified Capital: Strategy suggests a broader allocation including BTC Spot (70%), Gold (15%), Cash (10%), and BTC Call Options (5%) for risk management.
Conclusion:
This conceptual framework suggests a long-term, disciplined approach to navigating a potential BTC downturn and subsequent accumulation. Patience, phased entry based on data (not emotion), and risk awareness are paramount.
This is a conceptual model, not financial advice. DYOR.
BTC - Ranges overview (update) Let's have a look at BTC as the new week is slowly settling and starting up.
We've traded back towards our opening week gap (blue box).
We are currently reacting nicely and holding it.
IF we break and get a clean close below it expect us to trade back towards 98K
IF we hold expect us to trade back towards new 100K and new all time highs.
As always...WAIT FOR THE MARKET TO SHOW YOU ITS HAND AND TRADE WITH IT.
Stay safe and never risk more than 1-5% of your capital per trade. The following analysis is merely a price action based analysis and does not constitute financial advice in any form.
BTC/USDTI’ve been outlining this rising wedge pattern for a while now, but here’s the key difference this time: what was previously resistance has now flipped into support. That shift is a critical technical milestone a major test for Bitcoin’s price action.
Now, let’s talk scenarios:
• If this bearish wedge gets invalidated, we’re looking at a target of $163K—a massive breakout that aligns with broader market momentum.
• However, if it fails to hold, we risk breaking down into an M-formation, potentially dropping towards the $80K level.
This week is a decisive inflection point. Watch the previous resistance-now-support line closely. It’s also worth noting that the 4H 200MA aligns almost perfectly with this support level, adding confluence to this critical zone.
Bottom line:
We’re at a pivotal historical moment for Bitcoin, a true make-or-break situation. Stay sharp, stay nimble, and respect your risk management.
$BTCUSD Top SoonI believe CRYPTOCAP:BTC will reach maximum $124–128K—either earlier or, at the latest, by September–October 2025—before shifting into a bear market.
It has already enjoyed a 2.5-year bull run, during which the lower tier of coins, including ETH, failed to meet expectations; this time was different.
When the downturn begins, everything else will plunge to much deeper lower lows.
BTC Elliott wave analysis 5/23/2025For me , I think that the BTC price is on the way to their target price around 128,000-133,000 that we derive from Gann fann resistance.The wave structure suggest us that the impulse that create new high is just the beginning. The invalidate point is the point below wave 2 (around 101,000).
BTC/USDT - Daily Time Frame🧠 BTC/USDT – Daily Market Structure Analysis | Critical Decision Point
Bitcoin is currently sitting at a crucial decision zone around the $105K level, right after breaking its bullish trendline to the downside. This structural break has already formed a Lower Low (LL), raising the possibility of a deeper correction unless bulls step in strongly from the current support zone.
In this analysis, I’ll walk you through both bullish and bearish scenarios, the market structure logic, and why this zone might be the trigger for the next major move in BTC.
🔍 Market Context:
The recent trendline break occurred after a strong upward leg, with buyers showing exhaustion near the $111.7K resistance. Once price broke below the rising trendline, it created a new LL, officially shifting the structure to bearish in the short term. However, that doesn't mean the trend has fully reversed — yet.
✅ Bullish Scenario (Green Path):
For bulls to regain control, price must hold above the $104K key support.
If BTC can form a Higher Low (HL) in this area and break back above $111.7K, it would confirm a bullish re-accumulation structure.
In that case, a long setup would be valid upon confirmation, with a Target Price (TP) at $129,984, which is a major liquidity level from the previous macro range.
This scenario aligns with continuation of the overall macro uptrend, and could be fueled by fresh momentum entering the market.
❌ Bearish Scenario (Red Path):
Failure to hold $104K support and a confirmed bearish break could lead to continuation of the short-term downtrend.
In this case, a Short position becomes valid upon break and retest, targeting the $94,317 support zone, which aligns with previous demand and potential Fibonacci retracement clusters.
This scenario suggests deeper correction or possible start of a broader consolidation phase before the next major leg up.
📌 Key Technical Levels:
Resistance: $111,707
Support: $104,022
Bullish TP: $129,984
Bearish TP: $94,317
🔑 What to Watch For:
Price action around $104K: Will bulls defend it, or will it flip to resistance?
Structure formation: Look for either a clean HL + Break, or another LL to determine direction.
Volume confirmation on breakouts is critical — don’t enter without it.
📢 Follow me for more institutional-level market structure breakdowns, trade setups, and real-time BTC updates.
This is not just a prediction — it’s a probability-based roadmap that puts structure first and emotion last.
Let the chart speak.
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On the RisePrice of the support level on the daily time frame creating an inverse head and shoulder pattern on the 1H let's get ready
BTC - Mega Scalps to Victory! - Buy from 103.4KMega scalps means mega money hahhaha but i feel this is the ideal scenario to short first buy second or buy on the point stated!!! Although if it breaks the green box its invalidated!
Bitcoin is nearing a critical breakout zone at $86,000Bitcoin is nearing a critical breakout zone at $86,000.
If this level breaks with strong momentum, we could see a rapid bullish continuation toward the major resistance area around $105,000. The ascending channel remains intact, and aggressive buying near support points to a strong upside setup.
From a fundamental view, Bitcoin is gaining strength as global uncertainty rises. The latest escalation of trade tariffs has disrupted traditional markets, pushing more investors toward alternative assets like Bitcoin. Historically, Bitcoin has performed strongly during times of economic instability.
Tightening monetary policies worldwide are fueling recession fears, making Bitcoin even more attractive as a hedge — the new "digital gold." With institutional interest growing, Bitcoin is well-positioned for a significant capital inflow.
Stay ready — the next big move is close! 🚀
BTCUSDT.P | Multi Timeframe AnalyseHello to my dear friends.
Everything is told in the video.
Enjoy the trading fam.
btcusd 1hThe chart you provided is a 1-hour BTC/USDT (Bitcoin to Tether) chart from Binance, and it includes technical analysis annotations suggesting a potential breakout scenario. Here's a breakdown of what the chart shows:
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Trend Analysis
Descending Triangle/Wedge: The chart shows a downtrend marked by two descending trend lines:
A steep upper black trendline indicating lower highs.
A parallel lower green trendline showing lower lows — forming a falling wedge pattern.
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Key Annotations
Red Arrows (Upper Trendline Rejections): Indicate multiple failed attempts to break above the descending resistance line.
Green Arrows (Support Bounces): Indicate support at the lower wedge boundary.
Orange Circles: Highlight key pivot zones or failed breakouts.
Projected Move:
Pink Arrow Up: A potential bullish breakout above the wedge.
Blue Arrow Down: A potential bearish continuation if it fails to break the resistance and drops below support.
Red Zigzag: Suggests indecision or consolidation before the next big move.
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Current Price
The current price is $104,691.75, near the upper boundary of the wedge.
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Interpretation
This chart suggests a critical decision point:
A breakout above the black resistance line (around $105,000-$106,000) could trigger a bullish rally.
A rejection or breakdown from current levels could resume the bearish trend toward $102,000 or lower.
---
Conclusion
Watch for:
1. Volume spikes — to confirm a real breakout.
2. Candle closings above or below trendlines.
3. Retests of breakout/breakdown points for confirmation.
Would you like help identifying potential entry/exit levels or setting stop-loss and take-profit points based on this setup?
BTC HTD Demand zones for longBTH HTF Demand Zone are marked,
when price hit these levels you can take long if you want,
trading is risky, Do-your-own-research, Follow risk management
BTC is in an extreme demand zoneBTC is now at the Extreme Demand Zone on the M15 timeframe and is forming an ICT Drive Pattern. We are currently waiting for a bullish CHoCH (Change of Character) or MSS (Market Structure Shift) to confirm a bullish trend. The decline from 111,968.0 to 102,992.0 represents a pullback following the Daily Break of Structure (BOS), where the market is also hunting the final long positions, contributing to a correction. We are waiting for confirmation before opening a long position. On the other hand, when the price created a bearish CHoCH/MSS at 110,218.4 and then pulls back to that level again, I should open a short position.
