Bitcoin (BTC): Seeing Still Buyside Dominance | We Not Done YetBitcoin is still seeing strong buyside dominance, where we are hovering near the area of the ATH, which shows that we are not yet done forming the ATH.
We do not see any signs of weakness yet but we still keep on waiting and looking for it while we form new highs on BTC. Interesting times ahead of us; most alts will see a good run soon!!
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USDTBTC trade ideas
BTC Long / Buy SetupBTC is strongly Bullish towards 120k liquidity level, I'm not seeing any healthy correction before hitting the 120k level. If BTC strongly breaks and closes below 106.9k then chances are high that it will touch the weekly level and again come to 107k level, but this time it will struggle to break the 107k level because it will become bearish fvg, if it holds the 107k level and give any strong reaction from the zone then the next level is 120k. even a wick towards 105k or below doesn't matter, any body closing below the 106.9k (at least 4hrs) will lead short term weakness to the trend.
BTCUSDT Hello everyone!
Today's first signal came from the BTCUSDT pair. After reaching an all-time high of $112,000 yesterday, BTC formed an ABCD pattern and retraced down to the Fibonacci extension level 1.000. In this pattern, a buy trade is typically initiated after the price retraces to the 1.000 level, and the Take Profit is set at the 0.618 Fibonacci level drawn from the B wave to the D wave.
Although I didn’t open this trade based on the ABCD strategy, I noticed the pattern forming and wanted to share it with you purely for educational purposes.
As for the current active trade, here are the detailed parameters:
🔍 Trade Details:
✔️ Timeframe: 15-Minute
✔️ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:1.50
✔️ Trade Direction: Buy
✔️ Entry Price: 110844.19
✔️ Take Profit: 111497.09
✔️ Stop Loss: 110408.00
🔔 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. I'm sharing a trade I'm personally taking based on my own system, strictly for educational and illustrative purposes.
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Today's BTC trading strategy, I hope it will be helpful to youBitcoin has surged rapidly to a high level in the short term. Historical experience shows that such sharp rallies are often unsustainable. Currently, market sentiment is extremely optimistic, with a large number of investors chasing the rally. From a technical indicator perspective, the commonly used Relative Strength Index (RSI) is in overbought territory, and while prices continue to make new highs, the RSI has failed to confirm these highs, forming a bearish divergence. This suggests that although prices are still rising, upward momentum is gradually weakening, and the market may be on the verge of a reversal.
Trading Strategy
- Risk Management:Set a stop loss 500–1,000 points above the entry price to allow for greater price volatility and avoid being prematurely stopped out.
- Profit Targets:
- First Take-Profit: 110,000
- Second Take-Profit (if broken through): 108,000
- Third Take-Profit: 106,000
Today's BTC trading strategy, I hope it will be helpful to you
BTCUSDTsell@111000~111500
SL: 112000
TP1:110000
TP2:108000
TP3:106000
BTC middle term Structural analysis, as I see it, we may have a brief pull back to the 86-79K area before resuming the bullish trend. I see very small risks to go back to the 73K area, of course, it is always a possibility. Everything depends on the FED's monetary policy.
DISCLAIMER.
Trade with caution. Make your own research and plan. I own several cryptocurrencies, including bitcoin. This is not a financial advice, it represents merely an opinion only.
Good luck!
Bitcoin will fall towards 65000$ soon 👀 Take a close look at the charts from 2021 and 2025 — do you notice any similarities?
This pattern is called a fractal — a past market structure that might repeat itself. It’s not my favorite type of analysis, but it does carry some weight since all markets are shaped by past behavior.
👻 Right now, we’re on a new ATH (All-Time High). If history rhymes, we could see a ~15% move above the previous high like in 2021 — and then, a drop.
Curious to see how this scenario plays out 👀
Let your money work for you
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JanmerlCarloBitcoin continues to show strong bullish momentum as it solidifies its position as a leading digital asset in the global financial landscape. With increasing institutional adoption, growing integration into traditional financial products like ETFs, and a tightening supply due to the recent halving event, the fundamentals for Bitcoin are aligning for a potential breakout. On-chain metrics indicate strong accumulation by long-term holders, and broader macroeconomic trends, including inflation concerns and fiat currency debasement, further support the narrative of Bitcoin as a reliable store of value. As regulatory clarity improves and technological infrastructure matures, BTC is well-positioned for sustained upward movement in the coming months.
BTC Re-Accumulation Breakout | Daily Close Confirmed | Phase DBitcoin just confirmed its first daily close above the pennant breakout, reclaiming the previous ATH (~110K) with conviction.
We now have both structural breakout confirmation on the 1D chart and clear Wyckoff Phase D progression on the 4H.
⸻
1D Chart Highlights:
• Daily Close: 110,993
• Breakout from bullish pennant
• Volume expanding into the breakout
• RSI: 75.38 → strong momentum, not overbought exhaustion
• TP Ladder:
• TP1: 112.8K (Upper BB)
• TP2: 116.2K (Fib 0.618)
• TP3: 118.2K (Fib 0.66 + trailing)
⸻
4H Chart Highlights (Wyckoff Re-Accumulation):
• SPRING → TEST → LPS → SOS
• Structure has shifted into Phase D
• Currently forming a BU→ATH zone retest (textbook Back-Up)
• Volume declining, showing lack of supply
• RSI: 67.60 (bullish territory)
⸻
No Short Hedge Triggered
⸻
Summary:
This is a low-risk consolidation above previous ATH, backed by strong momentum and classic Wyckoff mechanics.
As long as BTC holds above ~110K and volume remains controlled, bullish continuation toward 116–118K remains the base case.
⸻
#Bitcoin #BTCUSDT #Wyckoff #Crypto #Reaccumulation #Breakout #TradingView #TechnicalAnalysis #PhaseD
Next Target: Right Fibonacci Ratio 2.24 (116940.43)
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow" me, you will always get the latest information quickly.
Have a nice day today.
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(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
It was supported near the Fibonacci ratio 2 (106178.85) and rose to renew the new high (ATH).
If this upward trend continues, it is expected to rise near the Fibonacci ratio 2.24 (116940.43).
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If it falls,
1st: 102302.08
2nd: 97226.92
3rd: 89294.25
You need to check which of the 1st and 3rd areas above is supported.
Since the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart is passing near the 1st area, if it falls below this, there is a possibility that it will turn into a short-term downtrend.
The M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart is still rising around 94K, but since the 97226.92 point is the HA-High indicator point on the 1W chart, I think it is likely to continue the upward trend if it receives support around this area.
The 89294.25 point is the HA-Low indicator point on the 1D chart, so if it receives support around this area, it is a good time to buy.
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(30M chart)
If the price continues to rise by renewing the ATH, it is difficult to set support and resistance points.
Therefore, you need to be careful when trading coins (tokens) that are renewing the ATH.
Therefore, I think it is better to trade in a short-term trading (day trading) method, but to leave the number of coins (tokens) corresponding to the profit for the profit realization method.
In other words, when the price rises and then falls by the purchase price, the method is to sell only the purchase amount (+ transaction fee) to leave the coin (token) corresponding to the profit.
When selling, you should not sell the number of coins (tokens), but you should sell only the purchase amount.
You do not necessarily have to sell all of the purchase amount, but if possible, it is better to sell close to the purchase amount.
The reason is that when the price plummets or turns downward, there is a possibility of psychological pressure.
In my chart, the trading strategy is when the HA-Low and HA-High indicators are touched.
If it is supported near the HA-Low indicator, it is the time to buy, and when it meets the HA-High indicator, it is the time to sell.
However, if it is supported near the HA-High indicator, there is a possibility that a stepwise upward trend will continue, so a split selling strategy is necessary.
On the other hand, if it falls after receiving resistance from the HA-Low indicator, it is likely to show a stepwise downtrend, so a split buying strategy is needed.
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When you meet the HA-Low and HA-High indicators, if you check the movement of the OBV indicator, it can help you create a trading strategy.
That is, when the OBV indicator breaks upwards through the Low Line, High Line, and OBV EMA, the price is likely to rise, and if the opposite happens, the price is likely to fall.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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- This is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain more details when the bear market starts.
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Bitcoins LinesPrice is approaching previous highs with strong bullish momentum and no major resistance until the red-marked level around 240,000. Given the breakout structure and Fibonacci confluence, the most likely scenario is continuation toward the 140,000–160,000 range before facing any significant rejection. A stop loss would be prudent just below 91,000, with the initial target set at 139,000, and extended TP zones at 155,000 and 239,000. This trade aligns with a longer-term macro trend.
Bitcoin Intraday Pivot AreaBitCoin Breakthrough our last Pivotal area yesterday where Bullish momentum caught the scene and a new ATH printed.
Currently Bulls are in control where prices are consolidating above our intraday Pivot area between 108912 and 110922 .
Our focus Shifts to furthur gains towards 116858 and 122756.
However a break south could bring 103013 back in focus.
2021 Pattern Fully Repeating: Is Bitcoin’s Second Historic Drop Historical Pattern Repetition and Projection for Bitcoin
While reviewing Bitcoin’s weekly Heikin-Ashi chart, I overlaid the full 2020-2021 move (strong rally → sharp correction → recovery) on the current cycle. The two structures line up almost candle-for-candle.
Key observations:
1. The historical fractal projected a target zone around 112,000 USDT. Bitcoin has now reached that price area and, just like in 2021, is showing the first signs of a pullback.
2. If the fractal continues to play out, the market could print a higher swing high after the current correction, before entering a deeper mid-cycle drawdown.
3. Major support to watch sits near 92 k – 95 k (previous weekly highs) and, lower, around 72 k where the higher-low structure would break.
4. Fundamental drivers are different this time: ETF inflows, the 2024 halving, and macro liquidity conditions. These may stretch or compress the timing, so the pattern is a road-map, not a guarantee.
5. Risk management is essential. I am treating 92 k as the first invalidation level; a weekly close below it would neutralize the bullish fractal and force a reassessment.
6. As always, past performance does not assure future results. Use this analysis as one data point among many, keep stops in place, and size positions responsibly.
I will keep updating this thread as new weekly candles confirm or negate the setup. Feel free to share your own charts and let’s compare notes.
Good luck and trade safe!
BITCOINBitcoin’s correlation with the US Dollar Index (DXY), bond yields, and bond prices reflects complex and evolving market dynamics as of 2025:
Bitcoin and DXY Correlation
Bitcoin generally shows a strong inverse correlation with the DXY, with correlation coefficients ranging from about -0.3 to -0.8 over recent years. This means that when the dollar strengthens, Bitcoin tends to weaken, and vice versa.
For example, in early 2025, the DXY dropped below 100 for the first time in two years, coinciding with Bitcoin surging over 15%, reflecting increased institutional interest as investors sought alternatives to a weakening dollar.
Historical data shows that significant drops in the DXY (2% or more) have often preceded strong Bitcoin rallies, sometimes pushing prices toward new all-time highs.
However, short-term deviations can occur, such as periods when Bitcoin and the dollar both rise or fall due to unique events or speculative factors.
Bitcoin and Bond Yields Correlation
Bitcoin’s relationship with US Treasury bond yields (especially the 10-year yield) is more nuanced. Rising yields often indicate tighter monetary policy and higher opportunity costs for holding risk assets like Bitcoin, which can pressure its price.
Yet, during inflationary periods or geopolitical uncertainty, Bitcoin has sometimes risen alongside bond yields as investors seek inflation hedges and portfolio diversification.
The correlation is less stable than with the DXY, influenced by broader macroeconomic conditions and investor sentiment.
Bitcoin and Bond Prices Correlation
Since bond prices move inversely to yields, Bitcoin’s correlation with bond prices is also mixed. Falling bond prices (rising yields) can coincide with Bitcoin weakness due to tighter monetary conditions.
However, in times of economic stress or monetary instability, Bitcoin may decouple from bonds, acting as a digital safe haven even when bond prices fall.
Summary Table
Asset Pair Typical Correlation with Bitcoin Notes
Bitcoin vs. DXY Negative (-0.3 to -0.8) Strong inverse relationship; dollar strength pressures Bitcoin
Bitcoin vs. Bond Yields Mixed/Negative Rising yields often bearish, but can coincide with Bitcoin rallies during inflation fears
Bitcoin vs. Bond Prices Mixed Inverse of yields; correlation depends on macro context
Economic and Market Implications
A weakening dollar and rising inflation often drive investors toward Bitcoin as a hedge, fueling price rallies.
Monetary policy tightening and rising bond yields increase the opportunity cost of holding Bitcoin, potentially dampening demand.
During geopolitical tensions or systemic risks, Bitcoin may act as a digital safe haven, sometimes moving independently of traditional assets.
Growing institutional adoption strengthens Bitcoin’s role as a reserve asset, influencing its correlation dynamics with DXY and bonds.
Conclusion
Bitcoin’s price movements are closely tied to the US dollar’s strength and bond market dynamics but with nuanced behavior depending on macroeconomic conditions. The inverse correlation with the DXY remains the most consistent relationship, while correlations with bond yields and prices vary with inflation expectations, monetary policy, and investor sentiment. This complexity positions Bitcoin as a unique and increasingly important asset in the global financial ecosystem.
#BITCOIN #DOLLAR #DXY #FX
$BTC Breaks Out $155K Target in SightBitcoin has officially broken out above the key $105K resistance zone, confirming a strong bullish structure on the 1-day chart.
The price now exceeds the previous supply area, which has flipped into solid support.
As long as BTC stays above this level, momentum remains bullish with a clear path toward the next major target at $ 155 K.
This breakout marks a strong continuation of the uptrend, and traders should keep a close eye on any retest of the $105K zone for potential long
opportunities.
DYRO, NFA
Bitcoin Price Growing 110K Next Target BTCUSDT – 4H Chart Analysis
Bitcoin appears to be ranging slightly on the 4H chart, likely consolidating after a previous move Recent price action is forming a familiar bullish structure – potentially a breakout + retest scenario If price retests previous resistance as support and shows a strong bullish reaction (e.g., engulfing candles, volume spike), it could confirm buy-side strength.
Next major resistance level you've identified is 110,300 USDT – likely a significant psychological or technical level.
You can see more details in the chart Ps Support with like and comments I will be Glad
BTC - Monday Range (hidden setup)Many traders know about the Monday range play:
- wait for Monday high and low to establish
- wait for a sweep of either side, play towards the other side
What many don't know, is that a sweep can fail, which implies there is another play:
- if Monday range breaks to either side
- then if price pulls back into the range, we play towards the side that just broke, not the other side of the range
As with all setups, this is just probabilities. There is no guarantee of trend continuation, but it is more likely to play out vs the other side of the range, after a clean break.