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USDTBTC trade ideas

Bitcoin will fall towards 65000$ soon 👀 Take a close look at the charts from 2021 and 2025 — do you notice any similarities? This pattern is called a fractal — a past market structure that might repeat itself. It’s not my favorite type of analysis, but it does carry some weight since all markets are shaped by past behavior. 👻 Right now, we’re on a new ATH (All-Time High). If history rhymes, we could see a ~15% move above the previous high like in 2021 — and then, a drop. Curious to see how this scenario plays out 👀 Let your money work for you 🔗 Follow for more link in bio
Short
by Maks_investit
JanmerlCarloBitcoin continues to show strong bullish momentum as it solidifies its position as a leading digital asset in the global financial landscape. With increasing institutional adoption, growing integration into traditional financial products like ETFs, and a tightening supply due to the recent halving event, the fundamentals for Bitcoin are aligning for a potential breakout. On-chain metrics indicate strong accumulation by long-term holders, and broader macroeconomic trends, including inflation concerns and fiat currency debasement, further support the narrative of Bitcoin as a reliable store of value. As regulatory clarity improves and technological infrastructure matures, BTC is well-positioned for sustained upward movement in the coming months.
by janmerlcarloportin
1
BTC Re-Accumulation Breakout | Daily Close Confirmed | Phase DBitcoin just confirmed its first daily close above the pennant breakout, reclaiming the previous ATH (~110K) with conviction. We now have both structural breakout confirmation on the 1D chart and clear Wyckoff Phase D progression on the 4H. ⸻ 1D Chart Highlights: • Daily Close: 110,993 • Breakout from bullish pennant • Volume expanding into the breakout • RSI: 75.38 → strong momentum, not overbought exhaustion • TP Ladder: • TP1: 112.8K (Upper BB) • TP2: 116.2K (Fib 0.618) • TP3: 118.2K (Fib 0.66 + trailing) ⸻ 4H Chart Highlights (Wyckoff Re-Accumulation): • SPRING → TEST → LPS → SOS • Structure has shifted into Phase D • Currently forming a BU→ATH zone retest (textbook Back-Up) • Volume declining, showing lack of supply • RSI: 67.60 (bullish territory) ⸻ No Short Hedge Triggered ⸻ Summary: This is a low-risk consolidation above previous ATH, backed by strong momentum and classic Wyckoff mechanics. As long as BTC holds above ~110K and volume remains controlled, bullish continuation toward 116–118K remains the base case. ⸻ #Bitcoin #BTCUSDT #Wyckoff #Crypto #Reaccumulation #Breakout #TradingView #TechnicalAnalysis #PhaseD
Long
by BitcoinMillio18
Next Target: Right Fibonacci Ratio 2.24 (116940.43) Hello, traders. If you "Follow" me, you will always get the latest information quickly. Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- (BTCUSDT 1D chart) It was supported near the Fibonacci ratio 2 (106178.85) and rose to renew the new high (ATH). If this upward trend continues, it is expected to rise near the Fibonacci ratio 2.24 (116940.43). - If it falls, 1st: 102302.08 2nd: 97226.92 3rd: 89294.25 You need to check which of the 1st and 3rd areas above is supported. Since the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart is passing near the 1st area, if it falls below this, there is a possibility that it will turn into a short-term downtrend. The M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart is still rising around 94K, but since the 97226.92 point is the HA-High indicator point on the 1W chart, I think it is likely to continue the upward trend if it receives support around this area. The 89294.25 point is the HA-Low indicator point on the 1D chart, so if it receives support around this area, it is a good time to buy. - (30M chart) If the price continues to rise by renewing the ATH, it is difficult to set support and resistance points. Therefore, you need to be careful when trading coins (tokens) that are renewing the ATH. Therefore, I think it is better to trade in a short-term trading (day trading) method, but to leave the number of coins (tokens) corresponding to the profit for the profit realization method. In other words, when the price rises and then falls by the purchase price, the method is to sell only the purchase amount (+ transaction fee) to leave the coin (token) corresponding to the profit. When selling, you should not sell the number of coins (tokens), but you should sell only the purchase amount. You do not necessarily have to sell all of the purchase amount, but if possible, it is better to sell close to the purchase amount. The reason is that when the price plummets or turns downward, there is a possibility of psychological pressure. In my chart, the trading strategy is when the HA-Low and HA-High indicators are touched. If it is supported near the HA-Low indicator, it is the time to buy, and when it meets the HA-High indicator, it is the time to sell. However, if it is supported near the HA-High indicator, there is a possibility that a stepwise upward trend will continue, so a split selling strategy is necessary. On the other hand, if it falls after receiving resistance from the HA-Low indicator, it is likely to show a stepwise downtrend, so a split buying strategy is needed. - When you meet the HA-Low and HA-High indicators, if you check the movement of the OBV indicator, it can help you create a trading strategy. That is, when the OBV indicator breaks upwards through the Low Line, High Line, and OBV EMA, the price is likely to rise, and if the opposite happens, the price is likely to fall. - Thank you for reading to the end. I hope you have a successful trade. -------------------------------------------------- - ​​This is an explanation of the big picture. (3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern) I will explain more details when the bear market starts. ------------------------------------------------------
by readCrypto
3
Bitcoins LinesPrice is approaching previous highs with strong bullish momentum and no major resistance until the red-marked level around 240,000. Given the breakout structure and Fibonacci confluence, the most likely scenario is continuation toward the 140,000–160,000 range before facing any significant rejection. A stop loss would be prudent just below 91,000, with the initial target set at 139,000, and extended TP zones at 155,000 and 239,000. This trade aligns with a longer-term macro trend.
Long
by The_Paradoxed_Prophet
2021 Pattern Fully Repeating: Is Bitcoin’s Second Historic Drop Historical Pattern Repetition and Projection for Bitcoin While reviewing Bitcoin’s weekly Heikin-Ashi chart, I overlaid the full 2020-2021 move (strong rally → sharp correction → recovery) on the current cycle. The two structures line up almost candle-for-candle. Key observations: 1. The historical fractal projected a target zone around 112,000 USDT. Bitcoin has now reached that price area and, just like in 2021, is showing the first signs of a pullback. 2. If the fractal continues to play out, the market could print a higher swing high after the current correction, before entering a deeper mid-cycle drawdown. 3. Major support to watch sits near 92 k – 95 k (previous weekly highs) and, lower, around 72 k where the higher-low structure would break. 4. Fundamental drivers are different this time: ETF inflows, the 2024 halving, and macro liquidity conditions. These may stretch or compress the timing, so the pattern is a road-map, not a guarantee. 5. Risk management is essential. I am treating 92 k as the first invalidation level; a weekly close below it would neutralize the bullish fractal and force a reassessment. 6. As always, past performance does not assure future results. Use this analysis as one data point among many, keep stops in place, and size positions responsibly. I will keep updating this thread as new weekly candles confirm or negate the setup. Feel free to share your own charts and let’s compare notes. Good luck and trade safe!
Short
by Captain-MM8
BITCOINBitcoin’s correlation with the US Dollar Index (DXY), bond yields, and bond prices reflects complex and evolving market dynamics as of 2025: Bitcoin and DXY Correlation Bitcoin generally shows a strong inverse correlation with the DXY, with correlation coefficients ranging from about -0.3 to -0.8 over recent years. This means that when the dollar strengthens, Bitcoin tends to weaken, and vice versa. For example, in early 2025, the DXY dropped below 100 for the first time in two years, coinciding with Bitcoin surging over 15%, reflecting increased institutional interest as investors sought alternatives to a weakening dollar. Historical data shows that significant drops in the DXY (2% or more) have often preceded strong Bitcoin rallies, sometimes pushing prices toward new all-time highs. However, short-term deviations can occur, such as periods when Bitcoin and the dollar both rise or fall due to unique events or speculative factors. Bitcoin and Bond Yields Correlation Bitcoin’s relationship with US Treasury bond yields (especially the 10-year yield) is more nuanced. Rising yields often indicate tighter monetary policy and higher opportunity costs for holding risk assets like Bitcoin, which can pressure its price. Yet, during inflationary periods or geopolitical uncertainty, Bitcoin has sometimes risen alongside bond yields as investors seek inflation hedges and portfolio diversification. The correlation is less stable than with the DXY, influenced by broader macroeconomic conditions and investor sentiment. Bitcoin and Bond Prices Correlation Since bond prices move inversely to yields, Bitcoin’s correlation with bond prices is also mixed. Falling bond prices (rising yields) can coincide with Bitcoin weakness due to tighter monetary conditions. However, in times of economic stress or monetary instability, Bitcoin may decouple from bonds, acting as a digital safe haven even when bond prices fall. Summary Table Asset Pair Typical Correlation with Bitcoin Notes Bitcoin vs. DXY Negative (-0.3 to -0.8) Strong inverse relationship; dollar strength pressures Bitcoin Bitcoin vs. Bond Yields Mixed/Negative Rising yields often bearish, but can coincide with Bitcoin rallies during inflation fears Bitcoin vs. Bond Prices Mixed Inverse of yields; correlation depends on macro context Economic and Market Implications A weakening dollar and rising inflation often drive investors toward Bitcoin as a hedge, fueling price rallies. Monetary policy tightening and rising bond yields increase the opportunity cost of holding Bitcoin, potentially dampening demand. During geopolitical tensions or systemic risks, Bitcoin may act as a digital safe haven, sometimes moving independently of traditional assets. Growing institutional adoption strengthens Bitcoin’s role as a reserve asset, influencing its correlation dynamics with DXY and bonds. Conclusion Bitcoin’s price movements are closely tied to the US dollar’s strength and bond market dynamics but with nuanced behavior depending on macroeconomic conditions. The inverse correlation with the DXY remains the most consistent relationship, while correlations with bond yields and prices vary with inflation expectations, monetary policy, and investor sentiment. This complexity positions Bitcoin as a unique and increasingly important asset in the global financial ecosystem. #BITCOIN #DOLLAR #DXY #FX
by Shavyfxhub
$BTC Breaks Out $155K Target in SightBitcoin has officially broken out above the key $105K resistance zone, confirming a strong bullish structure on the 1-day chart. The price now exceeds the previous supply area, which has flipped into solid support. As long as BTC stays above this level, momentum remains bullish with a clear path toward the next major target at $ 155 K. This breakout marks a strong continuation of the uptrend, and traders should keep a close eye on any retest of the $105K zone for potential long opportunities. DYRO, NFA
Long
by stanleycrypto_1
Bitcoin Price Growing 110K Next Target BTCUSDT – 4H Chart Analysis Bitcoin appears to be ranging slightly on the 4H chart, likely consolidating after a previous move Recent price action is forming a familiar bullish structure – potentially a breakout + retest scenario If price retests previous resistance as support and shows a strong bullish reaction (e.g., engulfing candles, volume spike), it could confirm buy-side strength. Next major resistance level you've identified is 110,300 USDT – likely a significant psychological or technical level. You can see more details in the chart Ps Support with like and comments I will be Glad
Long
by MrMartin_11
BTC - Monday Range (hidden setup)Many traders know about the Monday range play: - wait for Monday high and low to establish - wait for a sweep of either side, play towards the other side What many don't know, is that a sweep can fail, which implies there is another play: - if Monday range breaks to either side - then if price pulls back into the range, we play towards the side that just broke, not the other side of the range As with all setups, this is just probabilities. There is no guarantee of trend continuation, but it is more likely to play out vs the other side of the range, after a clean break.
by Tealstreet
1
BTC hits ATH – But this hidden signal could ruin the rally!Bitcoin (BTC) has been in a steady and impressive uptrend over the past two months, with nearly seven consecutive weekly green candles forming on the chart. This sustained bullish momentum signals strong buying pressure and growing confidence among market participants. Such a consistent rally is rare and often indicates a broader shift in sentiment, suggesting that Bitcoin may be entering a new phase in its market cycle. Price discovery Recently, BTC broke through its previous all-time high (ATH) of 110K on the lower timeframes, a significant technical development. This breakout means BTC is now trading in price discovery territory, where there is no historical resistance to guide price action. While this opens the door for further gains, traders should remain cautious. Upcoming daily and weekly candle closes will be critical in determining whether this breakout is sustainable. For the move to be confirmed, Bitcoin needs to close multiple weekly candles above the previous ATH. If instead, the price falls back below the ATH on either this weekly close or the next, it could introduce downward pressure and potentially signal a failed breakout. As we navigate this pivotal moment, it's crucial not to get swept up in the euphoria. While the price action is undoubtedly bullish, certain technical indicators warrant close monitoring to avoid complacency. In particular, the weekly Stochastic RSI and the weekly RSI are now at levels that deserve attention. Stochastic RSI The weekly Stochastic RSI is entering overbought territory, even before this week’s candle has closed. This suggests strong bullish momentum is currently driving the market. However, history shows that when the Stochastic RSI enters the overbought zone, it often marks areas where it was wise to take partial profits. If the blue and orange lines on the Stochastic RSI begin to cross back below the 80 level, it could indicate a weakening of momentum and the possibility of a short-term correction. That scenario becomes more likely if Bitcoin fails to continue making higher highs in the weeks ahead. Relative Strenght Index (RSI) Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is approaching a critical resistance trendline. In previous market highs, we’ve seen the RSI top out at 89, followed by a high of 80 despite new highs in BTC’s price, a classic case of bearish divergence. If Bitcoin fails to push significantly higher in the coming weeks and the RSI does not break above the 80 level, we could be looking at a potential triple bearish divergence. This would be a strong warning signal that momentum is waning, and it could lead to a broader correction. For this reason, it is crucial that Bitcoin continues to push upward with conviction. The RSI must break through its historical trendline and post a new high above 80 in order to invalidate the threat of bearish divergence. Should the market fail to do so and instead roll over, we may experience increased volatility and downside pressure as we move into the summer months. Conclusion In conclusion, while Bitcoin is exhibiting powerful bullish behavior and appears poised for further gains, the sustainability of this rally hinges on continued momentum and strong technical follow-through. Specifically, Bitcoin must maintain closes above its previous all-time high, avoid a bearish cross on the Stochastic RSI, and see the RSI break above its recent highs to neutralize the threat of bearish divergence. If these conditions are not met and momentum fades, the market may face a period of consolidation or correction in the near term. Staying vigilant and objectively monitoring these indicators will be essential for navigating what comes next. Thanks for your support. - Make sure to follow me so you don't miss out on the next analysis! - Drop a like and leave a comment!
by Youriverse
29
$BTC 1M: Bullish Crossover With Bear Div Risk CRYPTOCAP:BTC monthly looking bullish for now but not in the clear yet. Price pushing above previous highs, monthly candle strong. RSI made a bullish crossover even though there's still a bear div in play. Sitting at 75, above 70, and the momentum picking back up. Stoch RSI also crossed up from the bottom, K > D, early bullish momentum returning. That said, the bearish divergence isn't invalidated yet, RSI still hasn’t taken out previous highs while price did. Classic setup for a trap if this stalls. If this monthly candle closes strong (above 111k), the divergence starts getting weaker. Otherwise, it could just be a liquidity grab before a pullback.
by classical91
1
Bitcoin is expected to rise in a volatile upward trend.The Bitcoin market has demonstrated extremely eye-catching performance, with prices strongly breaking through key resistance levels and hitting new all-time highs. It has successfully surged past the $110,000 threshold, and Bitcoin's total market capitalization has exceeded $2.1 trillion, rising to the fifth position in the global asset market capitalization ranking, trailing only gold, Microsoft, NVIDIA, and Apple. Since May, Bitcoin has accumulated a nearly 16% gain, with a year-to-date (YTD) increase of approximately 17%, significantly outperforming U.S. equities and gold. Most analysts believe that if Bitcoin can effectively breach the $109,000 resistance level, it is expected to test the $120,000-$150,000 range within this year. Institutions such as JPMorgan Chase and Standard Chartered Bank have provided target price forecasts of $120,000-$150,000, primarily based on factors including the current upward trend of Bitcoin, capital inflows, and market sentiment. In the market, there are no absolutes, and neither upward nor downward trends are set in stone. Therefore, the ability to judge the balance between market gains and losses is your key to success. Let money become our loyal servant.
Long
by Ashbur