Phemex Analysis #82: BTC Breaking the $110,000 All-Time-High!Bitcoin ( PHEMEX:BTCUSDT.P ) has reached a new all-time high, surpassing $111,000, driven by strong institutional inflows, regulatory clarity, and macroeconomic factors. This surge follows our previous analysis , where we anticipated a potential breakout above the $105,000 mark. The current rally is fueled by increased demand from institutional investors, favorable regulatory developments, and concerns over traditional financial markets.
Possible Scenarios
1. Testing $120,000
With momentum on its side, Bitcoin could aim for the next psychological resistance at $120,000. Institutional interest, as evidenced by significant ETF inflows and corporate investments, supports this bullish outlook. Technical indicators, such as the "golden cross" pattern, also suggest continued upward momentum.
Pro Tips:
Monitor trading volume and market sentiment for signs of sustained bullishness.
Set stop-loss orders to protect against sudden reversals.
2. Rejection and Retest of $100,000 Support
After reaching new highs, Bitcoin may experience a pullback to test the $100,000 support level. This consolidation could be a healthy correction before the next leg up.
Pro Tips:
Watch for buying opportunities near the $100,000 support zone.
Be cautious of false breakouts and wait for confirmation before entering new positions.
3. Bearish Reversal Due to U.S. Treasury Bonds News
Rising U.S. Treasury yields and fiscal concerns have led to increased volatility in traditional markets. A significant shift in investor sentiment could trigger a bearish reversal in Bitcoin's price.
Pro Tips:
Stay informed about macroeconomic developments, particularly U.S. fiscal policies and bond market movements.
Long-Term Accumulation: For investors with a longer-term perspective, significant price dips near lower supports—such as $92750, $83000, or even $66810—could represent attractive opportunities to accumulate BTC at discounted valuations.
Conclusion
Bitcoin's recent surge past $110,000 marks a significant milestone, reflecting growing institutional adoption and favorable market conditions. While the bullish trend may continue, traders should remain vigilant and prepared for potential corrections or reversals influenced by macroeconomic factors. Employing sound trading strategies and staying informed will be key to navigating the evolving landscape of Bitcoin's price movements.
Pro Tips:
Armed Your Trading Arsenal with advanced tools like multiple watchlists, basket orders, and real-time strategy adjustments at Phemex. Our USDT-based scaled orders give you precise control over your risk, while iceberg orders provide stealthy execution.
Disclaimer: This is NOT financial or investment advice. Please conduct your own research (DYOR). Phemex is not responsible, directly or indirectly, for any damage or loss incurred or claimed to be caused by or in association with the use of or reliance on any content, goods, or services mentioned in this article.
USDTBTC trade ideas
BTC - Can BTC push past $109k in this rising channel?Bitcoin has been trading within a clearly defined upward channel since the beginning of April. This rising channel is characterized by three touchpoints on both the upper and lower trendlines, indicating a consistent pattern of price movement within these boundaries.
Approaching key resistance
Currently, BTC is approaching a critical resistance level near the $109,000 mark, which coincides with its previous all-time high. This level represents a significant psychological and technical barrier, as it was the peak of the last major bull cycle. The price is now testing this resistance while still remaining within the rising channel. The confluence of the upper channel resistance and the historical all-time high makes this a decisive moment for Bitcoin's price action.
Bullish breakout
A rejection from this resistance zone could lead to a temporary pullback, potentially towards the lower boundary of the rising channel. This would not necessarily signal the end of the bullish trend, but rather a healthy consolidation within the established structure. However, a confirmed breakout above the $109,000 level, especially if supported by strong volume and bullish momentum, would likely signal a significant shift in market dynamics. Such a breakout would validate the strength of the current uptrend and could open the door for new all-time highs. In that scenario, the $109,000 level would likely flip from resistance to support, becoming a crucial area for bulls to defend on any future retests.
Bearish breakout
On the downside, traders should also be aware of the implications of a breakdown below the rising channel. The lower boundary of the channel, currently located around $104,000, is an important technical level to watch. A decisive break below this level could indicate a loss of short-term bullish momentum and may trigger a deeper retracement. In such a case, BTC would likely target the imbalance zone between $97,500 and $100,500, a region where price moved rapidly in the past without establishing strong support or resistance. This zone could serve as a critical area for buyers to step in and attempt to reestablish bullish control, potentially setting the stage for another rally toward the $109,000 resistance and a renewed attempt at a breakout.
Conclusion
In summary, Bitcoin is currently at a pivotal juncture. The upward channel that has guided price action since April remains intact, but BTC is now confronting a major resistance zone at its previous all-time high. Whether price breaks through to new highs or experiences a pullback will depend on the strength of market momentum and the behavior of buyers and sellers at these key levels. Traders and investors should remain vigilant and prepared for both scenarios, as the next move could set the tone for Bitcoin’s trajectory in the coming weeks.
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BTC trading strategy today1. Macroeconomic Factors: Expectations of Federal Reserve Policy Adjustments
Market speculation about the Federal Reserve potentially entering an early rate-cutting cycle has played a pivotal role. If interest rates are reduced, capital becomes "cheaper," prompting investors to seek new investment avenues. Bitcoin, viewed as a high-potential asset for generating returns, has become a focal point for capital inflows. This surge in demand directly drives price appreciation.
2. Institutional Investor Activity: Continuous Inflows into Bitcoin ETFs
Institutional participation has been a critical catalyst. Major financial institutions like BlackRock have expanded their exposure to Bitcoin through ETFs and other investment vehicles, creating a strong market signal of confidence. This institutional validation has not only reinforced Bitcoin’s credibility but also attracted retail and institutional capital alike, amplifying upward price momentum.
BTC trading strategy today:
BTCUSDT BUY@105000~106000
SL:103000
TP:111000~112000
BTC | Testing ATH — Breakout or Trap?Daily close just under ATH at 109,609
We had only 1H confirmation above ATH, with the first 4H close above ATH likely in 30 minutes. The breakout volume is well above average (Volume MA: 172.89k), but daily candle still below resistance.
This could be:
• A Sign of Strength (SOS) transitioning into Phase E markup,
• Or a premature breakout without higher timeframe validation.
⸻
Breakout Validation Checklist:
1. 1H Close Above ATH (~110k) ✅
▸ Initial signal confirmed, but not sufficient alone.
2. 4H Close Above ATH (Pending ~30 mins)
▸ Must close above 110k, with no strong upper wick.
▸ Confirms intermediate-term strength.
3. Daily Close ≥ 110k
▸ Still missing. Required for macro breakout confirmation.
▸ Watch for candle body, not just wick.
4. Throwback & Support Hold at 109.6–110k
▸ Ideally after 4H confirmation, a retest and bounce = textbook
SOS → BU → Markup pattern.
5. Invalidation Risks:
▸ Daily close <109k with high volume
▸ RSI divergence on 4H
▸ Rejection from 114k–116k Fib cluster
▸ Large bearish engulfing below ATH
⸻
Wyckoff Context:
We’re likely in Re-Accumulation Phase D, testing the breakout.
No signs of UTAD or distribution — but low conviction breakouts at ATH are known trap zones.
⸻
What’s Next?
If 4H + Daily confirm, momentum may push toward:
• TP1: 114,449 (Fib 0.618)
• TP2: 116,199 (Measured move)
• TP3: 118,237 (Upper Fib extension)
⸻
Follow for real-time BTC setups based on structure, RSI, and volume — no hopium.
Like & share if this helps clarify the levels you’re watching.
BTCUSDT | Chasing in Euphoria? Here’s the Smarter MoveI’ve watched BTC explode during rallies like this, and trust me, finding low-timeframe entries in euphoria is a trap for most. The move looks unstoppable… until it isn't.
Right now, I’m only considering a 1R risk from the green box support . No more. No less. The risk is calculated, not emotional.
If you’re thinking of jumping in recklessly, don’t.
I’ll be watching the 1-minute timeframe closely for a clean upward break before doing anything. No confirmation, no trade.
Reminder:
“I will not insist on my short idea. If the levels suddenly break upwards and do not give a downward break in the low time frame, I will not evaluate it. If they break upwards with volume and give a retest, I will look long.”
Most people don’t know how to think like this. That’s why they lose.
You’re here to win, and I’m here to guide you.
📌I keep my charts clean and simple because I believe clarity leads to better decisions.
📌My approach is built on years of experience and a solid track record. I don’t claim to know it all but I’m confident in my ability to spot high-probability setups.
📌If you would like to learn how to use the heatmap, cumulative volume delta and volume footprint techniques that I use below to determine very accurate demand regions, you can send me a private message. I help anyone who wants it completely free of charge.
🔑I have a long list of my proven technique below:
🎯 ZENUSDT.P: Patience & Profitability | %230 Reaction from the Sniper Entry
🐶 DOGEUSDT.P: Next Move
🎨 RENDERUSDT.P: Opportunity of the Month
💎 ETHUSDT.P: Where to Retrace
🟢 BNBUSDT.P: Potential Surge
📊 BTC Dominance: Reaction Zone
🌊 WAVESUSDT.P: Demand Zone Potential
🟣 UNIUSDT.P: Long-Term Trade
🔵 XRPUSDT.P: Entry Zones
🔗 LINKUSDT.P: Follow The River
📈 BTCUSDT.P: Two Key Demand Zones
🟩 POLUSDT: Bullish Momentum
🌟 PENDLEUSDT.P: Where Opportunity Meets Precision
🔥 BTCUSDT.P: Liquidation of Highly Leveraged Longs
🌊 SOLUSDT.P: SOL's Dip - Your Opportunity
🐸 1000PEPEUSDT.P: Prime Bounce Zone Unlocked
🚀 ETHUSDT.P: Set to Explode - Don't Miss This Game Changer
🤖 IQUSDT: Smart Plan
⚡️ PONDUSDT: A Trade Not Taken Is Better Than a Losing One
💼 STMXUSDT: 2 Buying Areas
🐢 TURBOUSDT: Buy Zones and Buyer Presence
🌍 ICPUSDT.P: Massive Upside Potential | Check the Trade Update For Seeing Results
🟠 IDEXUSDT: Spot Buy Area | %26 Profit if You Trade with MSB
📌 USUALUSDT: Buyers Are Active + %70 Profit in Total
🌟 FORTHUSDT: Sniper Entry +%26 Reaction
🐳 QKCUSDT: Sniper Entry +%57 Reaction
📊 BTC.D: Retest of Key Area Highly Likely
📊 XNOUSDT %80 Reaction with a Simple Blue Box!
📊 BELUSDT Amazing %120 Reaction!
📊 Simple Red Box, Extraordinary Results
I stopped adding to the list because it's kinda tiring to add 5-10 charts in every move but you can check my profile and see that it goes on..
BTCUSDT.P | 110kHello everyone, this is The Dark Analysis, let's have a look at BTCUSDT.P together.
I suggested you open a long position on BTCUSDT.P after 1m breakout.
you can see the result on the picture above.
NEW ENTRY
If you have missed this opportunity, you can open a buy position on BTC at this area:
5m-15m Order Block at 107428.7-106936.8
- SL :106887.8
- TP : Previous high
CONDITIONS
-The price most reach this zone with weak momentum.
-There must be a dogi or engulf candle after touching that very zone.
Don't be shy and feel free to tell me your ideas in comments.
Analysis of BTC price prediction for 2025 to 2026Hello sexy friends, I hoping that you are very good and be successful in this market today.
Based on the released data bullrun not happened yet and market still collecting the liquidity for a big movement, don't worry this year will finishing very nice by a great momentum....I want to all of we can give a nice profit from the market.
This analysis based on pitchfan tools that BTC can gets to high levels consist of 3 tp that I think :
Tp1 : 108,000$ that reached successfully
Tp2: 160,000$ common soon...
To3: after correction will happening
Be patient 🙏 and wait
All Tim be successful.
Kiss 👄 😘 all of you.
Bitcoin to touch the 236 next?4H timeframe
Bitcoin near-touched the ATH and currently we are yet to break above this level. Candle closes above the ATH could send BTC into price discovery however for now we should assume that it could be resistance.
Liquidity Zone @ 100,500
We could see a reaction to the 236 which is sat directly below the liquidity.
Microphone pattern formed during recent p.a.
I do think that if BTC is unable to succeed the previous ATH then we could see bearish price movement.
Going Short on BitcoinBINANCE:BTCUSDT
Bitcoin has moved up strongly in the last 5 weeks in a 5-wave up move, which is very bullish long term. However, after a 5-wave move, there is usually a 3-wave corrective move to the opposite direction. The most common target will be the Golden Pocket, which is between the 61.8% Fibonacci Retracement and the 78.6% Fibonacci Retracement. Which would be between $86,500 USDT and $81,200 USDT. This move will probably take several weeks, probably between 2 and 4 weeks, before it resumes to the upside.
Another point to consider is that the RSI indicator has reached overbought levels, above the 70 level. I would like to see it near oversold levels, 30 level, before considering going long.
I hope you find this interesting.
Good luck to you
BTC going to the moon.... but when?BTC is showing signs of bearish divergence on many of the timeframes, but the bulls don't care. However, traders need to. Signs of divergence can eventually get follow-through, but not without a proper market structure. At the PA, divergences can be invalidated and disregarded. This would result in the trend being our friend.
Full TA: Link in the BIO
Bitcoin Potential UpsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring BTC/USDT for a buying opportunity around 102,000 zone, Bitcoin is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 102,000 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
BTC – Fresh ATH Hit but Breakout Still Unconfirmed🚨 CRYPTOCAP:BTC – New ATH + Structure Watch
📈 Bitcoin just tapped a new All-Time High, breaking above the ascending channel on the 4H timeframe — but quickly retraced back below the breakout level ⚠️
🕒 4H Chart: Daily close will be critical — it may confirm a true breakout or reveal a fakeout.
📆 3D Chart: Still waiting on a strong candle close to confirm a breakout from the broader macro structure.
👀 Momentum is high, but confirmation is key — stay sharp with multiple timeframes in focus!
BTCUSDTmy entry on this trade idea is taken from a point of interest below an inducement (X).. I extended my stoploss area to cover for the whole swing as price can target the liquidity there before going as I anticipate.. just a trade idea, not financial advise
Entry; $103458.1
Take Profit; $108523.3
Stop Loss; $101839.3
#BTC and ALTCOINS Urgent Update! Don't panic!!MARKET UPDATE
CRYPTOCAP:BTC – Despite some negative news from the US around treasury yields, the chart still looks strong.
As long as we hold $103,817, there's no reason to panic.
A 4H close below that level would be concerning, but for now, it still points toward another ATH.
Not trading aggressively right now, just watching.
Even if BTC pumps, CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D is likely to rise, which could hit alts first and offer better entry zones. And in case it dumps, you know what happen,s alts will dump more.
Tried a few entries earlier today, but got stopped out. Staying patient for now.
Picked up some LSE:TAO on this dip (spot).
DYOR. NFA.
Do show your support with your likes if this idea helped you in any way. It helps to keep the posts regular and on time.
Thank you
#PEACE