DeGRAM | BTCUSD holding $104K📊 Technical Analysis
● BTC again defended the 104 k-104.3 k flip-zone and long-term purple trend-line, printing a fourth higher-low inside the 7-month rising channel.
● Price is coiling in a tight bullish pennant beneath April’s high; a breakout aligns with the channel ceiling and projects toward the 112.5 k supply band.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● CME BTC-futures open-interest hit a record this week, while Glassnode shows exchange reserves at a 6-year low—evidence of both leveraged and spot accumulation supporting upside continuation.
✨ Summary
Higher-low + record OI favour longs: accumulate 104-105 k, objectives 108 k ➜ 112.5 k, risk controlled on a close below 100.6 k.
-------------------
Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
USDTBTC trade ideas
BTCUSDT bullish sentiment I have a nice buy setup on here. The confluences are:- 1) Market Structure-BoS, 2) Liquidity, 3) QM-Orderblock(POI).
Target a minimum of 1:2.5RR. Though from my best understanding so far BTCUSD overall target is probably the previous ATH of $109k+ but personally I’ll target the most recent high created before it’s retracement.
Note: the market is all about probabilities which also makes my analysis a probability.
BTC Long View by Mythic TraderBTC Long View by Mythic Trader. Let's take BTC again close to its ATH. Don't try to decode my trades because you can't. Sorry to say this but its Reality. People are still stucked in SMC and ICT. They don't even klnow that there are some more thing thats exists in the Market. And yes, now dont think that its EWT:)
Bitcoin (BTC): Slowly Heading Towards ALL TIME HIGHBitcoin is still hovering near the ATH area, where a fight between buyers and sellers is taking place but despite that, we still see the urge for the retest of the local ATH and seeing the need for it, we might even see a break of it and bigger liquidity hunting above that area.
So with our short position, we are not going to rush in but wait, as we are going to possibly form new highs and we need to catch that MSB properly!
Swallow Academy
Bitcoin consolidating above $106K on the H4Bitcoin consolidating above $106K on the H4 — pressure is building.
🟢 Bullish Scenario:
Clean break + close above $107K → opens the gate to $109.2K, then $111K
Momentum remains with bulls, and higher lows are intact.
🔴 Bearish Scenario:
Failure to hold $105K = potential revisit of $103.6K (last demand zone)
Below that? Eyes on the 200 EMA near $101.5K
Senate Advances Stablecoin Bill, JPMorgan Backs Bitcoin AccessFundamental approach
- The US Senate has cleared the GENIUS Act, its long-awaited stablecoin framework, after marathon talks. A final vote is expected after the Memorial Day break (26 May).
- JPMorgan Chase CEO Dimon says the bank will soon allow clients to trade bitcoin through third-party custody, adding fresh tailwinds to institutional demand.
- Spot-bitcoin ETFs are on track for a sixth straight week of net inflows, reinforcing the bid beneath prices.
Technical approach:
- Price is probing resistance at 106200 within a well-defined rising channel. The widening spread between both EMAs underscores building bullish momentum.
- A decisive close above 107000 opens the door to 113000.
- On the contrary, a drop through the support at 101400 would lead to a deeper correction to around the following support at 93000.
Analysis by: Dat Tong, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
Bitcoin BTC Bullish Setup: Here’s What I’m Watching Next!Bitcoin (BTC) is looking incredibly strong right now on the higher timeframes 🔥. We’re seeing a clear bullish trend with consistent higher highs and higher lows, which keeps my bias firmly to the upside 🚀...
In this video, I take you through my full multi-timeframe analysis, breaking down:
- The macro bullish structure unfolding on the daily chart 🗓️
- My key levels of interest for a potential pullback entry 🎯
- What I’m watching for on the 4H and 1H charts to confirm continuation setups ⏱️
- My target zones, including recent swing highs and areas of liquidity 📍
If Bitcoin gives us a healthy retrace, I’ll be watching closely for a bullish break of structure to confirm a high-probability buy opportunity 🟢.
⚠️ Reminder: This is not financial advice — always do your own research and manage your risk appropriately. 🛡️💼
$BTC 4H Outlook – Holding the Trendline or Losing Momentum?Bitcoin just saw a strong rejection from the upper resistance zone (highlighted in red), forming a sharp wick after a quick pump.
✅ Key support has held for now, aligning with both the ascending trendline and moving average — historically zones of strong buyer interest (green circles).
⚠️ What’s next?
A 4H candle close above the resistance zone is crucial for bullish continuation.
Failure to close above = potential fakeout and downside pressure.
Eyes on the next reaction — will we see the same buying volume kick in again from support?
📌 Watch closely – confirmation will shape the next move.
BTCUSDT Weekly : Double TOP Hi Guys ,
Friends, you can see that the Bitcoin chart on the weekly time frame is in a very sensitive position near the historical ATH. Two scenarios can be imagine for the move and in the green movement, it can be say that the price can move towards $130,000. However, considering the fundamental factors and also technically, over the past year, Bitcoin has always started its decline from a bearish pattern with a double-top, and the chart has signs of this pattern.
SecondChanceCrypto
⏰ 21/May/26
⛔️DYOR
Always do your research.
If you have any questions, you can write them in the comments below and I will answer them.
And please don't forget to support this idea with your likes and comments.
Bitcoin Retesting ATH with Measured Move Target at 116KBTCUSDT (1D): Bitcoin has broken out from a tightly formed bull flag / pennant within a rising channel. The breakout is confirmed by a daily close above 105,863, reclaiming mid-channel structure and pushing toward the ATH zone near 110K.
Measured move target from the pattern sits at 116,199, which aligns closely with the upper boundary of the trend channel and 0.618 fib extension confluence zone suggesting that any breakout above ATH could run into profit-taking near that region.
Key Levels:
Pennant base: 93,327
Pennant top: 105,863
Breakout trigger: 103,663
TP1: ATH / Upper BB zone ~110,000
TP2: Measured move target / Channel top ~116,199
SL: Below 101,853 or 55 SMA (conservative exit if structure fails)
📈 Volume supports the move
📊 RSI strong at 72.57 but not yet overheated
📌 As long as price holds above 105K, structure remains bullish
BTC SHORT FROM ALL TIME HIGH BTC SHORT FROM ALL TIME HIGH
ENTRY : 110000
PROFIT : 104965.4 ( 4.58% )
STOP : 111098.7 ( 1% )
ALL trading ideas have entry point + stop loss + take profit + Risk level.
hello Traders, here is the full analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions, the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied. Please also refer to the Important Risk Notice linked below.
Disclaimer
Major Resistance For BTC
Bitcoin is currently moving within a channel that is different and more significant for us. Unlike the previous channel that formed above the 91K level (which we had discussed as a support zone), this new channel is forming below a resistance — and that’s a key difference.
Higher timeframe conditions are still stable and healthy. So far, there's no sign of sudden selling pressure that would indicate large-scale profit-taking. On the 4H chart, we’ve seen sharp moves with volume, which could suggest order clearance or partial take-profits. On the weekly chart, momentum and strength are weakening, volume is decreasing, and potential bearish divergence is appearing.
This is a choppy zone on the higher timeframes, so short-term bullish moves in lower timeframes are still justifiable.
Regarding the current channel:
If Bitcoin stabilizes above the channel’s upper boundary, it has the potential to move toward $112K.
As long as BTC remains inside the channel and doesn’t break down from it, a deeper correction is unlikely.
Important note:
This is not the time for aggressive or reckless risk-taking. FOMO is at extreme levels.
The best scenario would be a pullback for Bitcoin and re-entry at lower levels.
The GETTEX:97K zone is still within reach.
BTC Long Outlook – Grand Supercycle Perspective (2025.05.21)Hello everyone,
This is SeoVereign, the operator of the SeoVereign team.
It's been nearly a month since I returned to TradingView and started posting ideas again.
During that time, I’ve frequently shared short-term ideas based on minute charts.
However, since real-time responses are crucial in short timeframes,
there are practical limitations in explaining all the reasoning behind our analysis in detail each time.
But when it comes to larger timeframes like the daily chart,
we have a bit more flexibility.
So I see this as a valuable opportunity to explain our thought process and key reasoning more thoroughly.
Now, let’s get into the Bitcoin daily chart briefing.
Please refer to the following link first.
This is a post I made on April 18, 2025:
🔗
At the time, I shared the view that the upward wave starting near 75K
had the potential to extend to 88K and even 96K.
However, it was difficult to determine exactly how far the wave would extend at that point.
Now, I want to make one thing very clear.
If someone uses wave theory to say something like
"Bitcoin will definitely go to X price,"
that person is either a scammer or someone who fundamentally misunderstands wave theory.
Elliott Wave Theory can be somewhat useful in anticipating short-term moves,
but it has clear limitations when applied to long-term predictions.
After many years of studying Elliott Wave Theory in depth,
I've come to a simple but important conclusion:
"You cannot predict the distant future with technical analysis alone."
That said, there is one exception:
very short-term movements — the immediate price action right in front of us —
can often be approached with some confidence using technical analysis.
Here’s an example.
If someone bought Bitcoin at 10K and says,
“I’m going to sell at 100K,”
while it hasn’t even broken past 50K,
that’s just reckless optimism.
But if Bitcoin has already approached 100K,
and several bearish signals are starting to emerge and become confirmed,
that’s when we can begin considering short positions.
The key is to make decisions based on the data right now — not based on hopes or assumptions.
That was a long introduction.
Now, let me explain why I believe Bitcoin could break to new all-time highs
and possibly reach as high as 130K.
As I mentioned in the April 18 post,
I believe an Ending Diagonal was completed around the 74K region,
and I anticipated an upward impulse wave to follow.
In my view, the current market structure clearly suggests we are in an uptrend.
Many of you have reached out via private messages asking,
“What kind of wave are we in right now?”
But in this case, that question doesn’t hold much value.
Whether this current move is part of an impulse wave or a corrective structure,
what matters is that the price is going up.
If, for instance, the A-wave has completed — as confirmed by Fibonacci —
then the B-wave would follow, and we can plan accordingly with long positions.
Or, if the ABC correction is already over,
then a new impulse wave could be starting.
Either way, the key takeaway is that we’re likely in an upward phase.
Back to the main point:
A Deep Crab harmonic pattern formed near 74K,
and that zone concluded with an Ending Diagonal,
which is now leading to a bullish reversal.
I've studied harmonic patterns for years,
and in the case of the Deep Crab,
the upper boundary of the Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ)
is typically around the 2.24 Fibonacci extension.
As long as this level is not broken,
the pattern remains valid.
And when a reversal happens near the 1.618 or 1.902 zones,
it’s often a highly reliable bullish signal.
So, what are our targets in this current rally?
🎯 SeoVereign’s Target Strategy
1st Target: 109,000
2nd Target: 118,600
3rd Target: 128,100
Right now, before the market enters a full-scale bullish breakout,
we’re seeing unusually high volatility.
In times like this, staying calm and grounded is more important than ever.
I sincerely wish all of you the best of luck in navigating this volatility,
and may a wave of growth come to your accounts as well.
🍀 I genuinely hope great fortune finds its way to all of you.
See you in the next daily briefing.
Thank you.
— SeoVereign
Short Trade on BTC with Entry / TargetsBTC has formed bearish divergence on the daily chart with the RSI. There is a untapped FVG at the target area that needs to be tapped into before BTC is ready to move higher.
1:3 R/R
Entry : 106,861
Stop Loss: 109,000
Target : 100,455
you can keep a runner to a target of 98,000 if you want to.
Bitcoin is approaching a “Golden Cross”🚀 Bitcoin is approaching a “Golden Cross”
(the 50-day moving average is about to cross above the 200-day)
What does that mean, and what might come next?
📍 What’s happening right now
BTC is squeezed in a $101 K – $107 K range.
The 50-day SMA is racing toward the 200-day SMA; the bullish crossover (the “Golden Cross”) is expected within the week.
On Deribit, more than 60 % of the 30 May option series are $110 K call options.
When traders buy these calls, market-makers hedge by buying spot BTC. The nearer the price gets to $110 K, the more spot BTC they have to buy.
📈 How the market behaved before
The 10-day chart shows the 50-day (blue) and 200-day (orange) SMAs.
In the last three cycles, a bullish Golden Cross appeared 50–90 days after a bearish “Death Cross.” Each time, the cross formed inside a buyer zone (marked with blue rectangles).
In the 2nd and 3rd cycles, price never came back to retest that buyer zone.
Right now, the buyer zone is already in place, the Golden Cross is only about $300 away, and 50 days have passed since the last Death Cross. Some traders seem to be buying early, betting on a break to a new all-time high (ATH).
Wishing you profitable trades!
#BTC/USDT Highest Daily Close! What it Means? $117k on cards?Bitcoin Daily Update – Bulls Take the Lead
Bitcoin just recorded its highest daily close in history at $106,849.99 (Binance), surpassing the previous record of $106,143.82 set on January 21st. While the difference is minor in percentage terms, it's still a meaningful win for the bulls.
The next key level to watch is $113k to $117k, based on the Fibonacci extension target.
For confirmation, we need another solid daily candle close above the current range. The $106K resistance has already been broken, and BTC is holding above it, indicating strong bullish momentum.
To avoid getting trapped in a fakeout, consider adding the 14 EMA to your chart. As long as BTC holds above this EMA, the uptrend is likely to continue.
Once BTC's show is over, Altcoins will likely follow suit.
INVALIDATION OF THIS CHART: A close below $102k in confluence with 14EMA in Daily.
I hope this update gives you actionable insight. If it did, feel free to follow and like. Let me know your thoughts or questions in the comments, I read every one.
Thank you
#PEACE
Market next move 1. Weak Momentum Into Resistance
The candles near resistance are small-bodied and lack strong bullish volume.
Disruption: This signals buying exhaustion. Price could consolidate or reverse sharply, especially if buyers fail to defend this level.
---
2. Resistance Zone Saturation
The resistance zone (highlighted in red) has already been tested multiple times.
Disruption: This could either lead to a breakout or—more likely in a weak volume context—a liquidity trap and reversal, as market makers use the expectation of a breakout to trap long positions.
---
3. Potential Double Top Pattern
Look closely at the two peaks around the resistance zone. They resemble a developing double top.
Disruption: If price fails to break out convincingly and starts dropping, this double top may trigger a fall back to $105,000 or even lower.
---
4. Bearish Divergence Possibility
While not shown on this chart, in cases like this, it's common for momentum indicators (like RSI or MACD) to show bearish divergence.
Disruption: Even if price hits slightly higher highs, a divergence could signal that momentum is fading and a deeper pullback is incoming.
---
5. High Sell Volume on the Spike (May 19)
That long wick candle with high volume around May 19 suggests strong seller interest above $107K.
Disruption: Buyers could struggle again in this zone, especially if that volume spike was from whales distributing.
$BTC is replaying its 2023 range breakoutFresh impulse off accumulation, no deep retraces, now chopping in $102k–110k—potential mini‐alt season ahead, but watch for a quick top without a stronger buyer base.
Context & Observations
Echoes of 2023: range exit → retest support → rapid run to new highs
No meaningful pullbacks = multiple FVG gaps across TFs
Trading window $102k–110k may fuel alts (“mini party”)
Run without base = risk of fast local exhaustion
Plan & Levels
– Primary: let BTC consolidate in $102k–110k; rotate gains into alts
– On break >$110k + acceleration: take profits, watch for overheat
– On deep pullback to $74k–75k: build fresh base, resume trend
Key Triggers
• Volume hold & build in $102k–110k → alt rotation
• Clean break + thrust >$110k → profit‐lock, tighten stops
• Return to $74k–75k → textbook base‐formation zone
BTC needs a deeper retrace to form a broader buying base before the next leg. Until then, play the range and watch alts for outperformance. 🚀
Spinning top candle - live example (potentially)🕯️ Spinning Top candle – What It Means!?
A spinning top has:
1. Small body (open ≈ close)
2. Long upper and lower wicks
What it shows? It shows indecision between buyers and sellers after a previous move.
Ok, so what we can learn from it?
📉 We can learn how to Trade a Spinning Top candle!
THIS IS A SHORT SETUP (if confirmation follows)
Confirmation candle: A bearish candle that closes below the spinning top’s low ($106,407)
Entry: ~$106,350–106,400 (after breakdown)
Stop Loss: Above the high of the spinning top: $107,350
Take Profit: $103,800 (deeper pullback near EMAs)
Probability: 65/35 bearish if next candle confirms rejection.
Enough theory, see yourself!