BTC 117K?Hello fellow chart enthusiast 👋
This is an idea that i had inside my head 🧠 :
Daily TF
Move down to 95K
Liquidity-rich Zone sat between 113K - 118K.
Connecting the 2 highest wicks you can see a trend line which is where I believe BTC might go to next.
This would absorb all of the short liquidity from the market and give BTC holders a false sense of confidence
Shortly followed by an aggressive move to the downside 📉
Long term target: Dec 2025 @ $125K (ish)
USDTBTC trade ideas
Wyckoff Distribution Unfolding: UTAD Confirmed, LPSY In ProgressThe 4H BTC/USDT chart presents a textbook Wyckoff Distribution structure nearing completion:
• Buying Climax (BC) defined the supply ceiling
• Secondary Test (ST) confirmed resistance zone
• Upthrust After Distribution (UTAD) swept above 106K, trapping late breakout buyers
• Price is now back at triangle support, potentially forming Last Point of Supply (LPSY)
Technical Snapshot (4H):
• Current Price: 102,540
• Bollinger Bands:
▸ Upper: 105,400
▸ Basis: 103,522
▸ Lower: 101,884
• 55 SMA: 103,642
• RSI: 44.85 (bearish momentum)
• Volume: Red bars rising, above 23.7K MA
What to Watch For:
A confirmed close below the triangle apex and lower Bollinger Band, with RSI below 45 and increased volume, would solidify the LPSY and trigger a likely markdown phase. Until then, the structure remains vulnerable but unconfirmed.
Bearish Targets (if breakdown confirms):
• TP1: 100,678 (horizontal + psychological)
• TP2: 99,595–98,115 (Fib retracement zone)
• TP3: Trail below breakdown with 1% callback logic
Wyckoff Perspective:
This appears to be Phase C, following a clear UTAD. If LPSY forms and support breaks, the market transitions into Phase D with accelerated markdown potential. Holding here may imply range extension or reaccumulation — next 1–2 candles are pivotal.
Breakout or Rejection? What the Daily Opening Range Really TellsEvery single day, the market makes a choice:
Break out — or reject.
That’s why the opening range — defined by the high and low during the first part of the day — acts like a psychological boundary.
When price breaks out of that range, momentum often follows.
When it fails to break, we get fake moves, consolidations, and traps.
At CMA Technologies, our systems start by defining this key range.
Then, we wait. No prediction. Just price confirmation.
✅ True breakouts often initiate the largest directional moves.
❌ False ones usually fade back into noise.
We encourage every strategy builder to test one simple condition:
"What does the price do after crossing outside of its initial daily range?"
The results will surprise you — especially on high-volatility pairs.
📊 If you're curious, our “Daily Open Range Breakout Bot” is available on our profile now.
BTCUSD 19.05.2025 Bitcoin Navigator: BTC Update (May 2025)So the offline tournament is over, I took third place, and I just got back into work mode
In my previous publication ( link ), I outlined possible scenarios for Bitcoin’s price action, leaning towards a correction from around the $98-101k zone down to approximately $88k.
However, the current market situation demonstrates the most optimistic scenario (highlighted in yellow on the chart). At the moment, we're seeing Bitcoin consolidating within a clear range, likely preparing for an upward breakout without a significant correction. This scenario is certainly the most bullish one, yet my inherent skepticism doesn't exclude the possibility of a correction before we reach a new all-time high (ATH).
📌 Key points in the current market situation:
The main question now is not whether we'll achieve a new ATH (as this seems almost inevitable) but rather how we'll get there.
Two scenarios are on the table: a smooth upward trajectory without substantial corrections, or an initial correction followed by a strong breakout.
🔖 Profit Maximization Strategy:
Many traders are shifting their attention towards altcoins, tempted by potentially greater returns. However, it's crucial to remember that higher upside potential also means significantly higher risks (low liquidity, increased manipulation, higher volatility).
I have already chosen the tokens that I am interested in for long time
Also now a new narrative has appeared, Internet Capital Markets (ICM) tokens. If you are interested, write in the comments "interesting ICM"
Best regards EXCAVO
Bitcoin (BTC): First Signs of WeaknessAnother week is here and we are seeing the first signs of weakness in Bitcoin, where we still haven't retested the ATHs area, yet Monday started off with strong sell-side dominance.
We are seeing the need for correction and we are looking more for correctional movement here rather than forming new ATH but before the movement to lower zones, we want to see a proper retest of ATH (last push by buyers). So that's what we are looking for before we are going in with a short position.
Swallow Academy
BTC TRADE IDEAS FOR LONG AND SHORT.BTC is ranging between here and there for now and manipulating shorts and longs. Currently its in a range where I have no interest for long or short. I have marked red area for potential short and green area for potential long where is FVG and ssl+trendline liquidty as well.
Market Overview
WHAT HAPPENED?
Last week, bitcoin failed to gain a foothold above the key $105,000 mark. We observed active protection and absorption of market buys by the seller, as a result of which a sell zone of $105,000–$105,700 was formed. After that, the price went sideways again and remained there until the end of the week.
On Monday, there was a surge of liquidity above the previous high — the price tested the zone of volume anomalies of $107,000–$109,000, from where a sharp reaction from the seller immediately followed.
WHAT WILL HAPPEN: OR NOT?
At the moment, the local scenario is on the side of the "bears". There is a break in the uptrend on the hourly timeframe. There is an active absorption of buys in key sell areas, both in delta and volume.
When returning to the $105,700 level, it’s worth considering entering a short position if there is a repeat reaction from the seller, with a goal of reducing to $100,000. In the future, we’ll monitor the price behavior in the buyer's zones.
Sell Zones:
~$105,700 (point of strongest absorption of market buys),
$107,000–$109,000 (volume anomalies).
Buy Zones:
~$100,000 (initiative buying volumes),
$98,000–$97,200 (local support),
$93,000 level,
$91,500–$90,000 (strong buy-side imbalance),
$88,100–$87,000 (absorption of market sells),
$85,500–$84,000 (accumulated volumes),
$82,700–$81,400 (high-volume area),
$74,800 level,
$69,000–$60,600 (accumulated volumes).
IMPORTANT DATES
The following macroeconomic events are expected this week:
• Tuesday, May 20, 04:30 (UTC) — announcement of the Australian interest rate decision for May;
• Wednesday, May 21, 06:00 (UTC) — publication of the UK consumer price index for April;
• Thursday, May 22, 12:30 (UTC) — publication of the number of initial applications for unemployment benefits in the United States;
• Thursday, May 22, 13:45 (UTC) — publication of business activity indices in the manufacturing and services sectors of the United States for May;
• Thursday, May 22, 14:00 (UTC) — publication of sales results on the secondary housing market in the USA for April;
• Friday, May 23, 06:00 (UTC) — publication of German GDP for the first quarter of 2025;
• Friday, May 23, 14:00 (UTC) — publication of new home sales results in the United States for April.
*This post is not a financial recommendation. Make decisions based on your own experience.
#analytics
BTCUSDT - fractal from ATH I think this is a classic pattern now, and we are repeating the situation in the same price range that we had half a year ago when the ATX was forming. That is, we will not update the high or will do it a little bit, and after that we will go to the zone of 93 thousand plus minus and from there will be a significant reversal to 102 thousand, after that it is difficult to predict what will happen next. Either strongly down or strongly up, until then we can safely work on the fractal and after that I will give an update of the idea.
19/05/25 Weekly OutlookLast weeks high: $105,46
Last weeks low: $100,751.75
Midpoint: $103,372.10
In my weekly outlook post from last week I mentioned how there was a clear pattern of consolidation with a tight range for a week with a week of expansion that followed, and that if the pattern were to continue we would see BTC consolidate around the weekly high. The theory was proven correct on this occasion with a tight range between weekly high and the 0.75 line, as theorized with only momentary dips below the 0.75 line. Now if the pattern were to continue this week would be expansion week, but for me this time it's slightly different as BTC approaches ATH there is a massive level of resistance just above this weeks weekly high. We've seen an initial early attempt to breakout above weekly high and that attempt has so far failed quite aggressively, which leads me to believe there will be volatility this week as both bulls and bears contest this very important area of the chart.
For the bulls maintaining momentum and breaking into price discovery with acceptance above $109,000 would be incredibly, the headlines will read new ATH, FOMO kicks in and retail follows etc, we know the drill. For the bears the objective is to hold the line and reject weekly high ($106,000) at all costs and print a strong SFP and unfortunately this does seem viable with $97,000 being the target area IMO. RSI on the daily is around the overbought level, combined with key resistance level a pullback would make sense.
For me this week I want to see how ETH and other major alts react to any pullback, do they get bought up with purpose? Is the structure strong to maintain this move or is this a HTF lower high? An interesting week coming up I'm sure.
Good luck this week!
BTCUSD | SHORT | Distribution Likely Complete | (May 19, 2025)BTCUSD | SHORT | Distribution Likely Complete – Sellers in Control | (May 19, 2025)
1️⃣ Insight Summary:
BTC looks like it has finished a distribution phase. Volume and price structure suggest sellers are in control. Unless there's a structural change, bounces look like good short opportunities.
2️⃣ Trade Parameters:
Bias: Short
Entry Zone: Watching for short setups around the 96–97 zone
Stop Loss: Tight SL above 97 (managing actively)
TP1/TP2: Managing through partial exits
Partial Exits: Already took first profit earlier, which allowed stop loss to be moved to breakeven
3️⃣ Key Notes:
✅ Liquidity grab seems complete — the previous stop zone got swept, but I avoided the loss by locking in early profit.
✅ No bullish structure reclaim yet — if that changes, I’ll reassess the setup.
❌ Still treating bounces as sell opportunities until structure shifts.
💡 Active risk management in play — trade will be adjusted as price evolves.
4️⃣ Follow-up Note:
Let me know if you'd like live updates on this BTC short or want a trade journal template to track your entries and exits.
Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible.
Disclaimer: This is not a financial advise. Always conduct your own research. This content may include enhancements made using AI.
HolderStat┆BTCUSD channel grind toward 110 kCRYPTOCAP:BTC price has stair-stepped out of March’s strong consolidation triangle and is now travelling inside a neat rising channel. Each mini flag has resolved higher, with the latest squeeze holding the mid-line near 102 k. As long as that trend-line underbelly and the diagonal support from April lows remain intact, bulls retain control and can probe the 108-110 k supply zone highlighted on the chart. Only a daily close back inside the lower rail would threaten the current bullish momentum.
#BTC/USDT#BTC
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is heading for a strong breakout and retest.
We are experiencing a rebound from the lower boundary of the descending channel, which is support at 103200.
We are experiencing a downtrend on the RSI indicator, which is about to break and retest, supporting the upward trend.
We are looking for stability above the 100 moving average.
Entry price: 103708
First target: 104152
Second target: 104900
Third target: 105900