BTC definitive shift to bearish order flow
further downward expansion and the targeting of deeper Sellside Liquidity.
USDTBTC trade ideas
BTC USDT ANALAYSISBTC/USDT At Now Previou Resistant But Still Uptrend Untill Not Break Support Trendline So Im Watchin If Break Resistant Level Then Have Fresh Pullback I Will Buy,If Moving Around Support & Resistant Area Im Waiting Im Not Doing Anything,If Break Support Area Then Have Rretest I Will Buy Btc Its Just My Planing Please Comment Me Your Plan. THANK YOU
02/06/25 Weekly OutlookLast weeks high: $110,718.68
Last weeks low: $103,065.74
Midpoint: $106,892.21
As we approach the middle of the year, Bitcoin is back above $100,000 despite pulling back from a new ATH of $112,000. In the month of MAY BlackRocks ETF had record inflows of over $6B propelling prices 11% higher.
Last week we saw as the month closed and with that it's natural to have a window dressing period that usually leads to de-risking slightly. BTC stayed within the previous weeks range and maintains the pattern of:
Chop/consolidation --> expansion to the upside --> chop/consolidation...
However in this case the consolidation week had a much larger range than in the past which is a sign to me that the rally is exhausted for now. It's because of this I feel we may see a weekly low break for the first time in a month and get a more meaningful pullback than we've seen since early April. My target would be around the $97,000 area.
The case for the bulls is still a convincing one despite some red flags. Record ETF inflows continue to pour, M2 money supply continues to grow and a general shift to risk-on assets is clear. However these are longer term factors and just for this weeks outlook the momentum is with the bears briefly.
BTC didn’t dump — it tapped.BTC reached into the 1H FVG and wicked just above the OB at 104,204 — delivering premium liquidity and then reversing.
Most are staring at red candles, but the real story is the reaction zone:
Price tagged the 0.618 level (104,559) with precision and reversed with displacement.
Now what?
We're mid-delivery. If BTC can reclaim 104,800–105,000 (mid OB/FVG confluence), a strong move into 105,865 is likely — potentially sweeping for external liquidity near 106k.
Execution Plan:
Entry: 104,600–104,700 range
SL: 104,200 or beneath 103,752 swing
TP1: 105,365
TP2: 106,000+
Key invalidation: clean break below 104,200 with volume
Bias: Bullish while above 104,200
Why: Fair Value Gap fill + OB + 0.618 convergence + responsive wick
This wasn’t a sell-off.
This was a setup.
BTC short I expect the price to go up during the weekend and tap into the Weekly orderblock I marked up on the chart at from there I would like to go short and take profits at EQ of weekly gap.
TP:99293.2
SL:111957.2
Entry:107676.2
GLHF, do not overleverage!
BTC PATo me it seems that the BTC chart is printing a traditional head and shoulders pattern, which would indicate probable lows at least in the short term.
BTCUSDT reversal is not yet complete -> 95k???Despite yesterday's mini-dump, which initially appeared to be the right shoulder of the head and shoulders breaking out, the immediate retracement means the trading range sits within the range seen in the left shoulder.
We are still inside the incomplete head and shoulders pattern, and a bearish parallel channel.
If the price breaks out to the downside of the channel and the left shoulder range, the target for the retracement would be the same as the distance from the head to the neckline of the H&S pattern (y). This puts it inside the support zone of the 78.6% fib level of the continuation of the swing in the head of the pattern, at ~95k.
If the bulls thought they're through worst of it, the pain may not have even begun yet.
Even breaking out of the parallel channel might not be enough. The only thing that would signal the failure of the head & shoulders pattern is a new ATH, and that would need to happen quickly to save BTC from further falls.
BTCUSDT – Clean short from supply zoneAfter a strong move up, BTC tapped straight into a clear 30m supply zone that previously led to a big drop. Price rejected pretty much instantly with a wick and no follow-through from buyers — that was my trigger to enter short.
I’m looking to play the move back into the demand zone around $103.3k – $103.2k, where we last saw strong buying.
Entry: $104,606
Stop: $104,846 (above the last high)
Target: $103,269
RRR: Around 3:1
Volume was drying up during the push into the zone — no real momentum behind the move. That’s usually a sign the second leg is weak, and it lined up well with the visual rejection.
If price breaks above and holds above the zone, I’ll be out. Until then, I’m leaning short while we stay below it.
Reasoning:
Clean structure
Weak bullish retrace into supply
Solid RRR
Compression → expansion setup
Let’s see how it plays out. Will update if anything changes.
Reversal?Five waves may have been completed. BTC is bouncing off support while holding the 100k. Let's go!
#BTCUSDT Big Pump Next Hour - Bitcoin, BTCUSD, BTCUSDT 📉 Double Bottom Pattern Forming – Potential Reversal Setup
The current price structure is showing signs of a Double Bottom – a classic bullish reversal pattern. After an extended downtrend, this pattern suggests that the market may be preparing for a trend reversal from this key demand zone.
🔹 Trade Setup
Entry, Targets, and Stop Loss (SL) are marked on the chart.
Entry: Upon breakout confirmation above the neckline.
Stop Loss: Just below the recent swing low to manage downside risk.
Targets: Calculated using the measured move method from the bottom to the neckline .
🔹 Risk & Money Management (Professional Approach)
To maintain consistent profitability and protect capital, strict risk management is essential. For this setup:
🔸 Position Sizing: Based on a fixed % of total capital (typically 1–2% of account equity per trade).
🔸 Risk-to-Reward Ratio: Minimum of 1:2, ideally higher.
🔸 Stop Loss Discipline: No arbitrary changes after entry. SL only adjusted for breakeven or trailing stops once price moves favorably.
🔸 Trade Management: Secure partial profits at key levels, trail stops as structure forms.
🔸 Capital Allocation: Avoid overexposure. Trade fits within overall portfolio strategy.
💬 Let the setup come to you. React, don’t predict.
🔁 Like, comment, or share your thoughts below!
BINANCE:BTCUSDT BITSTAMP:BTCUSD COINBASE:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P INDEX:BTCUSD CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D CRYPTO:BTCUSD BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P BINANCE:BTCUSD
BTC bearish ideaBTC is still moving inside the downward channel and I don't expect it to break above, bitcoin will fall back down to the lower trendline.
BTCUSDT Preparing for one more time jumpThe reversal area has been marked on the chart..
When the price comes to the level we need to see some bullish momentum before we enter into the rocket trade..
THANKS.
DYor
BTC - SetupCalled the potential exact bottom yesterday.
Now, the zone between $103,500 – $104,600 is crucial.
Either we get rejected from there and form a stronger bottom — or we break through and head toward new all-time highs in the near future.
Won’t be posting over the next few days.
If something important happens, I’ll drop a quick update — otherwise, see you in a few days.
LFG. 🚀
Bitcoin Crashes To $81,346.77? Good News & Bad NewsBitcoin is crashing... ? Not really, Bitcoin continues really strong above $100K.
We have good news and bad news.
Bad news. The very ultra-strong, long-term unbreakable support zone is being challenged. This is the $100,000 - $102,000 price range.
God news. It holds. This support zone is being challenged but so far it holds.
So far there is nothing unexpected here we know the market can shake, the market is bound to produce swings. If 100K breaks though this would be a completely different story. If it breaks, Bitcoin continues bullish producing a retrace only to end as a higher low followed by additional growth.
Will support break or hold, is there a way to know?
Bitcoin's retrace after the all-time high so far amounts to -10%. A standard retrace can easily push prices between 0.382 and 0.5 Fib. retracement. Anything lower and this would be a correction rather than a retrace.
Will it break?
It is possible but so far 100K is a very strong support. We have EMA55 here as well as several Fib. levels but if Bitcoin remains below $102,000 then it can definitely break.
The next major support below 100K sits at MA200 or $95,000. This is in-between 0.382-0.5 Fib. retracement. This can be used as the higher low zone and re-entry zone. But, Bitcoin is really strong and demand is big, so we have to wait for the weekly close.
Remember, Bitcoin will continue slightly bearish, consolidating, until the Fed decision. After the event, it is very likely to go full blown bullish. The altcoins will grow as well.
Watch the market shake just to recover the next day.
Are you a weak hand or a strong hand?
Do you have a trading plan?
If you do, nothing changes, simply short-term noise.
If you don't have a plan, right now you might be thinking that the world is close to its end. It isn't, Bitcoin will continue to grow, it takes time for the bulls to recharge before the next wave of growth.
Focus on the long-term.
Thanks a lot for your continued support.
Namaste.
Volatility period has begun.
Hello, traders.
Please "Follow" to get the latest information quickly.
Have a nice day today.
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We need to see if the price can hold above OBV Low.
We need to see if the price can hold above OBV High or HA-High.
It is showing a downward trend while failing to rise above OBV Low.
If this continues to decline further, we should check if the HA-Low indicator is newly created.
This volatility period is expected to start around June 6 (June 5-7) and continue until around June 13 (June 12-14).
If the auxiliary indicator OBV falls below the Low Line, there is a possibility of another large decline.
At this time, the key is whether it can receive support and rise near 99705.62.
If not, it is expected to select the trend again when it meets the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart.
The basic trading strategy is to buy at the HA-Low indicator and sell at the HA-High indicator.
If you apply this basic principle, you buy when it rises above 102049.52 and shows support, and sell near 104938.72.
For this basic principle to be applied normally, OBV is rising and the StochRSI indicator is rising.
However, it is better if the StochRSI indicator has not entered the overbought zone if possible.
However, if it is resisted and falls at the HA-Low indicator, it is likely to show a stepwise downtrend, and if it is supported and rises at the HA-High indicator, it is likely to show a stepwise uptrend.
Therefore, when testing support near the HA-Low indicator, if the OBV shows a downward trend and the StochRSI indicator shows a downward trend (if possible, a downward trend in the overbought area), the possibility of a stepwise downtrend increases.
The end of the stepwise uptrend that occurs after meeting the HA-Low or HA-High indicator is a downtrend, and the end of the stepwise downtrend is an uptrend.
Therefore, the trading method should be a fractional trading method.
I think the important thing in spot trading is how much you increase the number of coins (tokens).
Of course, depending on the situation, it may be better to make cash profits.
Since the coin market allows trading in decimal units, it is a useful investment market for increasing the number of coins (tokens).
Therefore, we can increase the number of coins (tokens) corresponding to profits while conducting trading according to the basic trading strategy.
That is, when the price rises by the purchase amount for each purchase price, sell it and leave the number of coins (tokens) corresponding to the profit.
At this time, you should be careful to include the transaction fee in the purchase amount and sell it.
The coins that are good for increasing the number of coins (tokens) corresponding to the profit rather than cash profit are BTC or ETH.
Additionally, BNB is also possible.
I think it is better to obtain cash profit if possible for the rest of the altcoins.
However, if there is a coin (token) that you think you want to increase in the medium to long term, you can increase the number of coins (tokens) corresponding to the profit by increasing the number of coins (tokens).
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful transaction.
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- This is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain more details when the bear market starts.
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Bitcoin 2021 VS 2025We are doing a false breakout of the ATH like we did in 2021. A good strategy to hedge your btc portfolio is to short rn with a leverage of X10 with the SL above the ATH.
BTC dump in a fake wedgeIt looks like BTC is just going to dump in a fake wedge being rejected level by level, until a final waterfall.
Bitcoin Short to 97 K into cpi numbersIn this video I cover the recent drop and what might be a great short on the horizon . With the V shape recovery off the defended 100K level I anticipate that we continue the move up to 107/108K before hitting some resistance and pushing us back into the range leading into the midweek . With cpi news release this could be the catalyst needed to trap the late buyers and drop us into 96K zone .
This video provides context and theory for this short setup so I encourage you to watch .
Tools used Vwap , volume profile , Fibonacci pulls .
Thanks for watching
Any questions please leave in the comments
Safe trading
Adjustments for Better ReadingsMany traders rely on technical indicators to identify opportunities for profit—that's the whole point of this game. Whether it’s scalping, day trading, swing trading, or shorting the market, most trading decisions are based on indicator readings—be it a single indicator or a combination of several.
But here’s the truth: not all traders truly understand what an indicator is. They don’t grasp its nature—let alone the fact that this nature can be adjusted.
Those who don’t understand how or why an indicator works often find themselves in stressful and uncomfortable situations. It’s no coincidence that we often hear the common phrase: “Only 1% of all traders succeed, while 80% blow their accounts, and the remaining 19% barely break even.”
Why? Because the elite traders understand something most don’t:
Whether an indicator is leading or lagging, it can be customized to behave differently across different timeframes.
These adjustments can be found in the settings section of every indicator.
Let’s take the Relative Strength Index (RSI), which I’ve mentioned in previous ideas. Some of you may have noticed that my RSI plot looks different from yours. That’s because I don’t use the default 14-period RSI, which averages out the last 14 candles.
RSI is naturally lagging by default—but that doesn’t mean it can’t be trusted. In fact, with the right adjustments, that lagging nature can become leading. Learn how to do this. Push yourself. Educate your mind. Master this, and you might just find yourself among the top 1%.
Markets react to signals—signals that are often hidden in plain sight, created by the big players who always leave behind footprints. This is the trader’s true skill: seeing the whole picture.
A good friend once told me: Be a detective.
Now let’s go to the chart.
We clearly see a bearish strength unfolding.
Not only is the 9-period RSI plot trending below the yellow 28-period Weighted Moving Average (WMA), but we also observe a healthy continuation of the downtrend, confirmed by the WMA itself.
Using a 9-period RSI gives faster signals, while the 28 WMA offers smoother confirmations. This combo is applied on the daily timeframe—but every timeframe has its own ideal settings.
Now, when the RSI plot trends above the WMA, this can act as a potential reversal signal or even a confirmation of a trend change, depending on the broader market structure and volume context. It's not just about the crossover—it’s about what follows next. That’s where the detective work begins.
What do we see today?
Looking solely at the daily timeframe, the downtrend seems far from over. But to analyze it professionally, we must wait for the candle of Friday, June 6th, 2025 to close.
Switching to the lower timeframes, we see something interesting—a sort of bullish dominance unfolding during this incomplete trading day. But the real question is: Is it actual dominance?
Let’s break it down:
We have a clearly formed Head & Shoulders pattern.
The bearish Marubozu candle from June 5th made a new lower low (LL).
But—it did not close below the key swing low at 100.718.
Therefore, the Head & Shoulders pattern is not confirmed—it hasn’t broken and closed below that swing level.
So what’s happening in the lower timeframes?
In the 4-hour timeframe, we’re seeing a real-time crossover above the WMA (though the session isn’t closed yet).
In the 1-hour timeframe, the crossover has already occurred.
Now, such a crossover—where the RSI plot moves above the WMA—can often act as an early signal for a reversal, or at the very least, indicate a strong pullback. But don’t take it at face value—context is king. This is why we pair it with other signals like divergence, price action, and volume behavior for confirmation.
Across the 4H, 3H, and 1H timeframes, we’re observing this bullish pullback, yet it’s accompanied by an RSI Hidden Bearish Divergence (see: Macro Noise vs Micro Truth: The Art of Hidden Divergences).
Is this pullback a true reversal?
According to Volume Spread Analysis (VSA) (read: VSA vs BTC: Into a Bearish Scenario or Not?), a new narrative is emerging—but not without contradiction.
Price is climbing, yes.
But bullish volume spikes are declining, supporting our RSI hidden divergence. This volume-price disagreement is a clue.
What will reveal the truth?
Today's closing candle.
If price action (PA) creates a higher high (HH) but RSI creates a lower high (LH) → Bearish Divergence
If RSI makes a HH but PA creates a LH → Hidden Bearish Divergence
And for those of you who truly understand market structure:
The 100.718 level was a buy opportunity to secure profits.
If you caught that—congratulations. You’ve done your homework.
Now, you can sit back, relaxed, and wait for the next signal.
The market is a breathing organism. If you’re in sync with it—you’ll feel it.
And for those who believe there’s more to learn—but are struggling to find answers—there’s no shame in asking questions.
Till next time, take care—and trade wisely.
P.S. RSI plot, WMA, candlestick patterns, and Volume Spread Analysis (VSA)—when combined and used properly—can become a powerful toolset. For those willing to go deeper, they’re more than enough.
Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) - Price Testing 26EMA and 12EMA - Daily ChartBitcoin (BTCUSDT) price is currently testing the 26EMA and 12EMA price levels on the Daily chart.
Bitcoin price has been in a medium-term uptrend since April and May 2025.
However, a short-term downtrend pullback has occurred and the price recently bounced up from the 26EMA zone ($104,000).
A morning star candle price pattern printed above the 26 EMA support line.
Large buyer volume could confirm the price candle pattern and Bitcoin price could rally up above 12EMA resistance ($106,000).
If price continues to reject and fall below $106,000 the downtrend would likely continue into June 2025.
Breaking news and stock market correlations could affect the price of Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies.
Tariff news and trade deals are supposed to occur throughout June and July 2025.
BTC Under Major Resistance HereBitcoin has shown strength towards playing out these ideas, as unrealistic as it may seem.
The interactions at specific levels have shown these trendlines to be valid.
I see two scenarios if BTC holds below its resistance at 104,550 to 105,000
104,600 to 35,000
35,000 retrace to 75,000
75,000 to 7,000
Alternatively:
104,600 to 20,000
Up from 20,000
While these seem like macro projections, per my previous posts and explanations - it’s possible to see this occur in a very small period of time. IE flash crash, stop hunt, etc.
Happy trading.
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #104👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s dive into Bitcoin and key crypto indices. As usual, in this analysis I’ll walk you through the triggers for the New York futures session.
⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe
On the 1-hour chart, as you can see, Bitcoin was once again rejected from the 110128 level yesterday and is now hovering near 108237.
✔️ At the moment, price hasn’t yet touched the 108237 support. If it manages to stay above this level without breaking below, the chances of retesting 110128—and even breaking above it—increase.
🔍 If 108237 is broken, a short position could be considered. However, keep in mind that this setup goes against the current uptrend. As mentioned in previous analyses, the 106192–107010 range is a major support zone, and as long as price remains above it, the trend remains bullish.
📉 The main short trigger would be a break below this key support. If that occurs, it could introduce strong bearish momentum. An RSI break below 38.57 would serve as a momentum confirmation.
✨ During this pullback from 110128, market volume has been decreasing, which indicates the strength of the ongoing uptrend.
💥 If 110128 is broken, and considering the strong trend, a long position could be initiated. An RSI break above 50 would provide additional confirmation. The primary long trigger remains a break above 111747.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
Bitcoin Dominance continued to fall yesterday, reaching as low as 63.87. It has shown a slight bounce from that level and is currently in a mild upward correction.
⭐ If a lower high forms below 64.18, the chances of breaking below 63.87 increase. However, if the correction goes beyond 64.18, the probability of resuming the uptrend will grow.
📅 Total2 Analysis
Yesterday, Total2 was rejected from 1.24 and corrected down to 1.21. If price bounces from here and heads back toward 1.24, the chances of breaking that resistance will rise.
📊 If 1.21 fails to hold, a deeper correction toward 1.18 could follow.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
USDT Dominance is forming a lower high compared to 4.56. If this plays out and 4.49 is broken, it would confirm a bearish move.
⚡️ On the other hand, if 4.56 is broken to the upside, the move could extend toward 4.62.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
