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BTC Unfolds in Complex Way After Hitting 123KBTC Unfolds in Complex Way After Hitting 123K Bitcoin recently reached a historic all-time high near 123,200, marking a strong bullish run. Over the past two weeks, BTC has been consolidating, showing signs of a potential upward movement. However, today's price action disrupted that bullish setup and introduced bearish momentum. At this moment, two scenarios are possible: 1️⃣ Continued Bullish Momentum: The prevailing trend remains strongly bullish. Selling BTC now is risky, as there's a high chance it could resume its aggressive rise again. False Bearish Breakout: The recent bearish signal may be misleading. BTC may be forming a broader accumulation structure, paving the way for another upward move. 2️⃣ Profit-Taking Phase: This bearish shift might be valid, suggesting that Bitcoin is entering a profit-taking cycle after an extended rally. If this scenario unfolds, a deeper correction may follow, aligning with the current technical pattern. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day
Short
by KlejdiCuni
13
Important Volatility Period: August 2nd - 5th Hello, fellow traders! Follow us for quick updates. Have a great day! ------------------------------------- (BTCUSDT 1M Chart) Let's take a moment to check the trend before the new month begins. There have been two major declines so far, and a third major decline is expected next year. For the reason, please refer to the "3-Year Bull Market, 1-Year Bear Market Pattern" section below. - My target point for 2025 is around the Fibonacci ratio of 2.618 (133889.92). However, if the price surges further, it could touch the Fibonacci range of 3 (151018.77) to 3.14 (157296.36). If it rises above 133K, it's expected that prices will never fall below 43823.59 again. Since the HA-Low indicator hasn't yet been created on the 1M chart, we need to monitor whether it appears when a downtrend begins. Based on the current trend, the HA-Low indicator is expected to form around 73499.86. More details will likely be available once the movement begins. - The basic trading strategy involves buying in the DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low range and selling in the HA-High ~ DOM(60) range. However, if the price rises above the HA-High ~ DOM(60) range, a step-up trend is likely, while if the price falls below the DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low range, a step-down trend is likely. Therefore, the basic trading strategy should be a segmented trading approach. The further away from the HA-High indicator, the more likely it is that the DOM(60) indicator will act as a strong resistance when it forms. Therefore, if the current price and the HA-High indicator are trading far apart, and the DOM(60) indicator forms, it is expected to face significant resistance. - Looking at the current trend formation, the high trend line is drawn correctly, but the low trend line is not. This is because the StochRSI indicator failed to enter the oversold zone. Therefore, the low trend line is marked with a dotted line, not a solid line. Therefore, what we should pay attention to is the high trend line. We need to see if the uptrend can continue along the high trend line. - (1D chart) If we use the trend lines drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts to predict periods of volatility, the periods around August 5th and August 13th are significant periods of volatility. By breaking this down further, the volatility periods are around July 31st, August 2nd-5th, and August 13th. Therefore, trading strategies should be developed based on the assumption that the volatility period extends from July 30th to August 14th. The current price is moving sideways in the 115,854.56-119,177.56 range. This range, the HA-High ~ DOM (60), is a crucial area to consider for support. This will determine whether the price will continue its upward trend by rising above 119,177.56, or whether it will turn downward by falling below 115,854.56. If the price falls below 115854.56, it is expected to meet the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart and reestablish the trend. The HA-High indicator on the 1W chart is forming at 99705.62, and the DOM (60) indicator on the 1W chart is forming at 119086.64. Therefore, when the price declines, it is important to check where the HA-High indicator on the 1W chart forms and determine whether there is support near that point. - The On-Board Value (OBV) indicator within the Low Line ~ High Line channel is showing a downward trend. If the OBV falls below the Low Line, the price is expected to plummet. Therefore, it is necessary to closely monitor the movements of the OBV indicator. The Trend Check indicator is a comprehensive evaluation of the StochRSI, PVT-MACD Oscillator, and On-Board Value (OBV) indicator. The TC (Trend Check) indicator interprets a rise from the 0 point as a buying trend, while a decline indicates a selling trend. In other words, a rise from the 0 point is likely to indicate an uptrend, while a decline is likely to indicate a downtrend. Currently, the TC (Trend Check) indicator is below the 0 point, suggesting a high probability of a downtrend. However, if the TC (Trend Check) indicator touches a high or low, the trend may reverse. In other words, touching a high increases the likelihood of a reversal from an uptrend to a downtrend, while touching a low increases the likelihood of a reversal from a downtrend to an uptrend. When such movements occur, it's important to consider the support and resistance levels formed around the price level to determine a response. In other words, consider the support and resistance levels formed at the current price level. As a significant period of volatility approaches, prepare to transition from box trading to trend trading. - Thank you for reading to the end. I wish you successful trading. -------------------------------------------------- - Here's an explanation of the big picture. (3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern) I'll explain more in detail when the bear market begins. ------------------------------------------------------
by readCrypto
Bitcoin: Expected Cool-Off or Cause for Concern?After rallying more than 25% off the June lows, Bitcoin is finally taking a breather with a much-anticipated pullback. But as expected, the fear meter is spiking, especially across CT. Was this cool-off really a surprise? Not quite. The signs were there: price stalling at upper extremes, responsive sellers stepping in at perceived overextensions, and inefficient zones left behind during sharp impulsive moves. Of course, reading it in real-time is easier said than done. Emotions always complicate execution , but that’s a separate conversation. In this post, let’s break down the current structure in detail —using volume profile, TPO charts, and market structure analysis, to give you a clearer picture of what’s unfolding. We’ll also explore a few scenarios worth watching as the next move shapes up. Let’s dive in! Table of Contents ➺ Volume Profile ➺ TPO ➺ Key Technical Insights ➺ Market Structure ➺ Trade Scenarios and What to Watch ➺ TLDR ⦿ Volume Profile Currently, we’re seeing two key zones of balance : one broad range that held for over 60 days and a tighter 21-day structure that formed at higher levels. These are classic areas of value where buyers and sellers found temporary agreement, establishing balance. The sharp move from ~111,000 to ~122,000 was largely impulsive , with little volume built along the way, suggesting initiative buying in early July. As is often the case with such thin zones, they tend to get revisited once momentum fades. That’s exactly what we’re seeing now. As price dips into this low-volume pocket, the key question is: Will the market accept this zone and begin building value here, or will it reject and bounce back toward higher ground? Looking at the Volume Range Visible Profile (VRVP) since June 7th, the nearby Value Area High (VAH) sits around ~111,000 . If current support doesn’t hold, this becomes the next major volume magnet. That said, there’s also a low-volume node (LVN) just above 111,000 , which could act as a demand pocket and trigger a responsive bounce. In simple terms: – Acceptance into the LVN could lead to new range formation at lower levels – A sharp bounce off ~110,000 might reestablish the prior higher balance, or create a fresh range between the two existing areas The next few sessions will reveal whether the market is hunting for new value or just shaking out weak hands. ⦿ TPO Zooming into the 4H TPO chart, we can clearly see the evolving monthly profiles from May through August. And as is often the case, the market found resistance right where you’d expect: at the extremes. The upper end of July’s profile became a battleground. Buyers attempted multiple pushes above that upper balance, but each effort was consistently faded by responsive sellers , signaling growing exhaustion at the top. Eventually, that pressure gave way to an impulsive breakdown, driven by initiative selling. Notably, price didn’t rotate gently back into the previous range, but it sliced straight into a thin zone of prior low participation. Now, the market is sitting at the low-volume region , and the next key battle is shaping up. Additionally, The 108,000 to 110,000 area carries weight as it served as the Value Area High (VAH) for both the May and June profiles. If buyers are going to respond, this is one of the more likely places for them to step in. ⦿ Key Technical Insights ▸ Failed Acceptance Above 21-Day Balance Repeated attempts to hold above the short-term balance were rejected, signaling buyer fatigue and a lack of conviction at higher levels. ▸ Initiative Sellers Took Control Once demand dried up, sellers stepped in aggressively. The thin participation during the recent rally left little structural support, allowing price to drop quickly. ▸ No Value Built Below Yet The zone currently being tested saw minimal trading earlier. If bulls want to reclaim control, they’ll need to build value here and establish a new base. ▸ Prior Balance High as Potential Support Price is now retesting the top of the 60+ day balance area from above, a classic setup where previous resistance can become support. This area also aligns with a known demand shelf. ▸ Deviation Below the 200 MA Cloud Price has slipped below the 200 MA cloud and is nearing a key flip zone. A test of the 110,000 level next week wouldn’t be surprising. That area could serve as a strong support zone where a new accumulation phase begins. ⦿ Market Structure The broader market structure points to a transition in progress. After spending over two months in balance , price broke out to the upside —only to form another short-lived range at higher levels. That, too, gave way to a swift breakdown. This kind of “failed acceptance at higher prices” is often an early signal that the market may revisit prior zones of interest, typically areas where value was last built. All eyes now shift to the 110,000–111,000 zone , the high of the previous 60-day balance. We’re in a classic test-retest phase, where the market is probing for conviction . These moments often set the stage for the next significant move, either continued distribution lower, or the beginning of a re-accumulation phase. ⦿ Scenarios & What to Watch As Bitcoin pulls back into key structural zones, several scenarios are in play. Here's what to monitor in the coming sessions: Scenario 1: Re-Acceptance into 21-Day Balance ▸ If price reclaims and holds above ~116K, we could see a rotation back toward the upper end of the short-term balance near ~120K. ▸ This would suggest the recent breakdown was a failed auction or bear trap, not the start of a broader trend reversal. ▸ Watch for initiative buying above the demand shelf with follow-through volume. Scenario 2: Choppy Mid-Balance Activity ▸ Price remains range-bound between ~110K and ~116K, forming a new short-term balance zone. ▸ Expect slower movement and back-and-forth behavior as the market decides its next direction. ▸ Patience is key here. Watch volume and initiative behavior to gauge strength. Scenario 3: Rejection and Continuation Lower ▸ If price fails to hold above ~110K, there’s potential for a move down to the POC near ~104K, or even deeper toward ~100K (Value Area Low). ▸ These are low-volume zones, which rarely offer strong support unless new value is built. ▸ This would signal a continuation of the current imbalance and potentially mark a structural trend shift. I’m primarily focused on Scenario 1 and 2 , as we appear to be in a late bull phase. A deeper pullback toward 100K increases the risk of a broader trend change, making it less attractive from a risk/reward standpoint. ⦿ TLDR ▸ Buyers failed to hold the top of the 21-day balance. Clear signs of exhaustion. ▸ Price dropped into a prior low-volume zone, which now acts as potential demand. ▸ This area has never been accepted before - either buyers step in, or we go lower. ▸ Reclaiming ~116K could fuel a move back toward 120K+. ▸ Failure to hold ~110K opens the door to 104K, maybe even 100K. What happens next week will likely set the tone for the next major move. Watch how the market responds to acceptance vs rejection zones, and let price action confirm your bias before you act. If you found this analysis helpful, share it with someone who trades Bitcoin. 🥰 What’s your read on the current structure? Let me know in the comments! 📉 ⚠️ Disclaimer As always, this post is purely for educational purposes. I am not a financial advisor, and nothing here should be taken as financial advice. Always consult your financial advisor before making any investment or trading decisions. Or at the very least, consult your cat. 🐱
by johntradingwick
BTCUSDT – Diametric G-Leg Underway?⏱ Timeframe: 4H / 1H 🔍 Method: NeoWave + Smart Money Concepts (SMC) 📍Posted by: CryptoPilot ⸻ 🧠 NeoWave Progression Update As outlined in our previous analysis, we are tracking a potential Contracting Diametric structure (A–G) originating from the March 2025 highs. 🚨 The G-Leg may now be actively unfolding. Here’s what just happened: • Price rejected sharply from the supply zone near 119,000–119,500, exactly where Wave F was expected to end. • After a drop to 115,780 (minor trendline), price bounced, but failed to make a new high, stalling at 118,700, forming a lower high → classic signature of a developing G-Leg. • This G-wave likely aims to break below Wave E low, seeking imbalance fills and structural resets. ⸻ 📊 Smart Money Confluence (SMC / ICT) • 🟥 Bearish Market Structure confirmed via MSS on 1H: Lower Highs + Internal BOS • 🟨 Buy-side Liquidity above 120k was already swept • 🔻 Price failed to reclaim OB block around 119.5k • 🧩 FVGs remain open between 114.5k–113k, acting as magnet zones • 📉 Expectation: Price may now break the ascending minor trendline and accelerate toward the major structure low 📌 Primary Scenario: • Wave G of Diametric in motion • Potential structure: Zigzag or Complex Combination • Expectation: Bearish continuation to break below 113k 📌 Alternative Scenario: • If price closes above 120.5k, diametric structure may be invalidated • Watch for triangle/flat development instead ⸻ ⚠️ Risk Management Note: Price action near 118.7k–119.5k is crucial. Reclaiming that zone with strength changes the bias. Until then, sellers remain in control. 💬 Final Thought: We’re tracking the final stages of a multi-month complex correction. The rejection at supply, combined with SMC signals and NeoWave symmetry, suggests sellers may push price into deeper demand zones soon. ⸻ 📌 Follow CryptoPilot for advanced wave structure updates, market geometry insights, and ICT-style smart money traps. 💬 Share your views or alternate wave counts in the comments!
Short
by CryptoPilot
NeoWave Alert: BTC G-Wave Sets Up a Brutal Drop After $116K PumpAs anticipated in our previous NeoWave analysis, the market appears to be deep within Wave G of a Contracting Diametric structure (A–G), originating from the March 2025 high. ⸻ 🔻 Key Developments: • After rejecting from $119,000–119,500 (Wave F resistance), price dipped to $112,000, breaking below the previous channel’s lower bound, and now appears to be forming a steeper descending channel. • This new channel’s resistance has shifted lower to $116,000, becoming a potential bull trap zone. • The bounce from $112K is likely a liquidity sweep, preparing for one final upside to $116K, followed by aggressive distribution. ⸻ 💡 Trading Thesis: We’re likely seeing a trap-style rally within Wave G, aiming to: • Attract liquidity up to $116K • Induce late longs before initiating a more violent selloff toward $105K or lower ⸻ 🔍 Smart Money Confluence (SMC / ICT) • 🟥 Confirmed bearish structure on 1H (Lower Highs + BOS) • 🟨 Liquidity above $120K already swept during Wave F • 📉 Order blocks around 119.5K rejected • 🔻 Price currently trades above $114K, but trapped inside a sharper descending range • 🧲 Unfilled FVGs between $113K–$110K may serve as magnets ⸻ 🧠 Wave G Structure (Diametric) • Possibly unfolding as a Zigzag or Complex Combination • Channel boundary now capped at $116K • Wave G likely targets a breakdown below Wave E ($113K) and toward $105K ⸻ 📌 Primary Scenario: • Final push to $116K → strong rejection expected • Bearish continuation targeting $110K → $105K 🧯 Invalidations: • Clean breakout & daily close above $120.5K invalidates this diametric structure • Watch for triangle or flat morphing if structure shifts ⸻ ⚠️ Risk Management: • $116K = key distribution zone • Watch closely for rejection and breakdown confirmation • Shorts valid below $114K with tight invalidation above $117K ⸻ 📌 Conclusion: Bitcoin is nearing the climax of a multi-month complex correction. The current setup favors a liquidity trap toward $116K, followed by continuation of Wave G toward major demand zones. Smart money bias remains bearish below $117K. ⸻ 💬 Drop your alternate wave counts or SMC confirmations in the comments!
Long
by CryptoPilot
The Great Trap: How Billionaires Are Winning, and You're Not!The Great Crypto Trap: How Billionaires Are Winning—And You're Not The ETFs, Saylor, and all of Trump's billionaire friends are getting richer—thanks to crypto. Meanwhile, most retail traders are just trying to stay above water. Leverage trades are wiped out, charts feel rigged, and the market makes you feel like you're swimming against a riptide. Why? Because these rich guys have a plan: manipulate you and take your money. That’s how they stay rich. Understanding their strategy is the first step to stop being their exit liquidity. 🧠 The New Battlefield Crypto is no longer a playground for cypherpunks and tech rebels. It’s fully institutional now. We're not just trading against whales—we're fighting the same entities that own the media, control Wall Street, and write the rules. So forget the old ways of thinking. The tables have turned. 🗓 The Sunday Rekt Routine To maximize destruction, they need to avoid friendly fire. So they pump on the weekend when retail is free and optimistic, then dump on Monday to close the CME gap—like clockwork. The playbook: Weekend: Pump. Trap your long. Monday: Dump. “Fill the gap.” Liquidate everyone. Response: Don’t fall for weekend FOMO. Exit Sunday afternoon. Wait until Tuesday to re-enter, once Monday’s high and low are set. Trade smart, not emotional. 📈 Top-of-the-Market FOMO You’ve seen it before. Just before the crash, the media frenzy begins. Influencers say “Don’t miss this pump!” or “99% will miss the next big move!” The ETF gods hint at new inflows. It's a setup. They're not hyping it for your benefit—they're offloading their bags in your face. Just look at the charts: BlackRock bought billions to drive BTC to 121K. Then, in 72 hours, they dumped billions. Saylor? Silent. No new buys. That’s not coincidence—it’s coordination. Response: Check the MACD, RSI, and Stochastic RSI on daily or weekly timeframes. If they're maxed out and the influencers are screaming green—it’s probably too late. When they stop buying, the dump is already planned. 🧰 How to Outsmart Them Watch the MACD for crossovers and divergence. Monitor RSI zones—don’t long into extreme overbought conditions. Use Stoch RSI to anticipate momentum shifts. Rule: When everything is overheated, and FOMO is peaking—step back. Let them dump into each other. You’ll get your entry later, cleaner and cheaper. ⚔️ This Is War Make no mistake: this is a war for your money. They want yours. You want theirs. Only the smart survive. To be continued. DYOR.
Education
by CryptoNikkoid
Bitcoin Tests Major Support at $112,500Bitcoin is currently in a local downtrend, with price now testing a major support zone around $112,500. This level, backed by multiple technical confluences, may serve as the base for a potential reversal if defended on lower timeframes. Price action has been drifting lower over the past sessions, finding its way into a key support zone defined by the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement, the blue upward trendline, and prior structure. The $112,500 region now acts as the immediate level to hold from an intraday perspective. If bulls are able to defend this zone and volume confirms participation, the probability of a rotation higher toward $123,000 increases significantly. Key Technical Points: - Support at $112,500: Aligned with 0.618 Fibonacci, trendline support, and structural pivot - Intraday Confirmation Required: Holding this level on lower timeframes improves the probability of reversal = $123,000 Target in Sight: Technical target for rotation if a bottoming structure forms and holds From a short-term perspective, Bitcoin has clearly shifted into a local downtrend, creating a sequence of lower highs and lower lows. However, the current area around $112,500 presents a strong confluence of support that could interrupt this trend. This zone includes the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement from the most recent swing move, a respected upward trendline (blue), and a previous structural pivot. Together, these elements increase the probability of a bounce—provided price can stabilize. At this stage, price may still trade sideways and consolidate within this region to form a bottoming structure before any meaningful move higher. For traders, this means confirmation is key. Watching for multiple intraday candle closes above the support zone, paired with an increase in bullish volume, would suggest that demand is building. Only then would the setup favor an entry targeting the local highs. The upside technical target from this area remains at $123,000, representing the recent swing high and a clear resistance level. A reclaim and rotation to this level would validate the support zone and reintroduce the bullish bias in the short term. Until that occurs, however, price could continue to consolidate, especially if volume remains low or indecisive. The overall structure still leans constructive, as long as $112,500 holds. A breakdown below this level would weaken the short-term setup and potentially open the door to deeper downside probing. But for now, the region remains a high-probability bounce zone on lower timeframes. What to Expect in the Coming Price Action Bitcoin is testing critical intraday support at $112,500. If this level holds with volume confirmation and intraday structure aligns, a rotation toward $123,000 is likely. However, price may continue consolidating at this level before a clear direction forms.
Long
by The_Alchemist_Trader_
Is the #BTC pullback over?📊 Is the #BTC pullback over? 🧠From a structural perspective, a bearish structure has formed on both the 1-hour and 4-hour charts, so we should be wary of the risk of a further pullback. ➡️Resistance is the area formed by the two necklines (114675-115729). Support is primarily the overlap between the yellow and green areas (110000-111688). If we can establish a bullish structure on the 1-hour chart here, we still have a chance of continuing the bullish trend. 🤜If you like my analysis, please like 💖 and share 💬 BITGET:BTCUSDT.P
Short
by wolf_king888
Bitcoin Technical Analysis – Bullish Flag- Symmetrical Triangle📊 Bitcoin Technical Analysis – Bullish Flag or Symmetrical Triangle? 📅 Analysis Date: July 29, 2025 As shown in the chart, Bitcoin appears to be forming a bullish flag or symmetrical triangle pattern—often seen after strong upward moves. 🔹 Bullish Scenario: If the price breaks above the triangle, the first target is around $122,480, followed by a potential second target near $129,500, based on the length of the flagpole. 🔹 Bearish Scenario: If the triangle breaks to the downside, the first support to watch is $115,230. 🧭 These key levels act as critical zones of supply and demand, so be sure to keep them on your chart! 🔥 Follow me for real-time setups, clear signals, and expert technical analysis!
by SepidehArjmand
BTC 4H – Support Tapped 2x After Breakout, Will Bulls Step In?Bitcoin is retesting a major demand zone that launched the last breakout. After a sharp impulse move, price has ranged tightly and just tapped this support area for the second time. A clear double bottom attempt is forming, but failure to hold $115K could open the door to deeper downside. Bulls want to see a quick reclaim of $117K to confirm structure still holds. Clean levels. Clear reaction zones. Let’s see who takes control.
by Quant_Trading_Pro
Still Losing After Backtesting? This Fixed It.Let’s get straight to it. If you’ve gone through the "nerd arc" and the "backtesting arc" but still aren’t profitable... What’s the fix? In this short write-up, I’ll walk you through 3 brutal truths that made me finally see green. Is it hard? UH—Damn right. But let’s go 👇 1. Market Understanding This isn’t something you "learn" from a course. It’s something that clicks after dozens of stop losses and live trades. Here are a few ways I got more comfortable with it: 1. Don’t fear opening trades or hitting stop loss. Each trade gives you data. More trades = more experience = better market feel. What’s the requirement? Capital and risk management. Without that, you won’t even survive long enough to "get" it. 2. Journaling every single trade. Write everything: your thoughts, screenshots, feelings — before and after. Too lazy to do it? Left trading. Simple. 3. Be the detective. Read the chart like a story. No, seriously. Think of Bitcoin as a character with real moods. Every candle tells you something. That 5% pump? Buyers pushing up. Then bears smacked it down — candle closed red. Now price is bleeding again. Why? 🔍 Be the detective. 4. Analyze the market every day — even without trading. The more you observe, the more you see. Structures. Patterns. Behavior. Easy? Nah. It takes discipline — like posting one story text to Insta for 1,000 days straight. Still wanna try? 2. Personal Trading Plan Remember how I said "don’t fear opening trades"? Well — after you’ve opened a bunch, you can start tailoring your own trading plan based on you. This isn’t a PDF you can steal off Google. Only after seeing how you behave in trades, you’ll know what rules make sense. Maybe: "I don’t trade when I’m emotionally off." "This setup gave me the best results over 100 trades." Just don’t copy-paste someone else’s rules. Make a flexible structure, then let the details emerge from the market and your own experience. Now — Take a deep breath. When was the last time you enjoyed your coffee? More than a day ago? Go make one now. Might not get to taste it tomorrow. Not everything in life is trading :) 3. Psychology Ah, the final boss. Still my weakest area, honestly. But here are a few real things that helped: Tip 1: WRITE. Just write whatever you feel. Telegram saved messages? Notebook? Or if you're like me (🧠nerd), Notion. Do it for 60 days straight — then feed that journal to ChatGPT and analyze yourself. Takes time, but the patterns you'll see are... magical. Tip 2: Money & Risk Management. When you know your stop loss means only -0.25% of your capital… why should you panic? For me: I place the SL, set a TP alert, and leave the screen. No emotions, no fear. Why? Because when capital is protected, so is my psychology. Truth is, trading emotions aren’t just during the trade — they live in your head all day. When your mental energy’s drained? You’ll miss A+ setups. Fall for BS ones. Lose focus. It’s complicated. Because humans are complicated. Our brains are the most tangled system known. And somehow, out of all that noise, consciousness emerges. A miracle. So don’t expect to always feel calm. Just aim to get better. That’s it. Thanks for sticking around. These are just my thoughts, from one tired trader to another 🧠 I’m no expert—just sharing what’s worked (and what hasn’t). If it helped, a boost would mean a lot. 🚫 Don’t FOMO ✅ Manage your capital Until tomorrow — Peace out. ✌️
Education
by SkepticLab
$BTC Daily Timeframe Update! #Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) is still moving sideways, consolidating in a tight range between ~$117,400 and $120,100, just below recent local highs. The market is showing clear signs of compression, and the BBWP (Bandwidth Width Percentile) is flashing a deep blue near 0%, which signals extremely low volatility. Historically, this kind of BBWP reading comes before big price moves. However, the direction is still uncertain as BTC trades between key resistance and minor support. Key Levels to Watch: Resistance: ~$120,100 Support: ~$117,400 BBWP: ~0% tight volatility coil If BTC breaks above $120K, it could lead to strong upside continuation. But if it drops below $117.4K, we might see a deeper correction. 📌 Tip: Wait for volume and BBWP expansion to confirm the next move. The spring is tightly wound, a big breakout is likely coming soon. DYOR, NFA
Long
by CRYPTOMOJO_TA
#BTCUSDT – Healthy Correction, Not the End!Bitcoin is currently experiencing a healthy pullback after an impressive run, testing the neckline of the Inverse Head & Shoulders breakout on the 1D timeframe. 🔹 Current Market View: BTC is retesting the neckline of the IHS pattern, which now acts as a strong support zone. Price is holding near $113K–$115K, which is crucial for maintaining bullish momentum. This dip is a healthy correction, flushing out over-leveraged positions and preparing for the next leg up. 🔹 Key Levels: Support Zone: $113,000 – $115,000 Immediate Resistance: $120,000 – $122,500 Breakout Target: $165,000+ on the next bullish wave 🔹 Market Sentiment: Holding above the neckline keeps the bullish structure intact. If the support holds, we can expect continuation to new highs once buying pressure returns. A daily close below $112K would signal caution and delay the next rally. 💡 Tip: Don’t panic on these red candles. Healthy corrections are part of a sustainable uptrend.
Long
by CoreCrypto1
Market - BTC - ETH Analysis 💎 Market - BTC - ETH Analysis💎 🟠 Current Market Status: ⚠️ / Low Risk-Reward ❗️ / Avoid Overtrading 🚫 🔷 BTC/USDT (Multi-Timeframe Analysis) • Weekly (HWC): Last week’s red candle tapped into a buyer zone. A balance or sideways movement is likely this week. • Daily (MWC): Minor retracement in a downtrend. No clear bullish reversal yet. • 4H (LWC): Still in a downtrend. For a bullish reversal, we need a Higher Low (HL) followed by a break of the previous High. • 1H: Breakout above level 116 would signal a short-term trend reversal. Breaking the upper channel confirms bullish continuation in the lower timeframe. ✅ Strategy Outlook: • HWC: Bullish • MWC: Bullish • LWC: Bearish → We're not shorting based on LWC unless it turns bullish or MWC flips bearish. 🕒 Conclusion: Stay on the sidelines until the structure shifts clearly. 🔶 BTC Dominance (BTC.D) • Currently rejected in the 4H chart, but not yet a confirmed bearish structure. 🧭 Two setups to watch before rotating into altcoins: 1. Clear lower highs and lower lows in 1H and 4H 2. Box formation and breakdown in lower timeframes 🚨 Key Level: A break below 60.40 may trigger sharp altcoin rallies. 🌐 TOTAL / TOTAL2 / TOTAL3 • All three charts share a similar structure. • 1H TOTAL: Break of 4.72 confirms a V-pattern and may trigger upside momentum. • TOTAL2: Watch 1.42 as a critical level. → Until then: No action – Wait for breakout confirmation. 💵 USDT Dominance (USDT.D) • Ideally should not retrace beyond 4.64 – if it forms a top here, that’s a bullish sign for the market. • Level 4.44 is less relevant for now. • Failure to reclaim 4.53 increases the importance of 4.64. • If it starts dropping, enter before a breakdown of 4.13 to stay ahead of bearish pressure. 🟠 ETH/BTC • Consolidating in a 4H box. • Break of 0.03278 is a trigger for long ETH exposure — ideally hold post-breakout. • Wait for SMA7 on the Daily to turn upward for stronger confirmation. • Break of 0.03288 on ETH/BTC likely aligns with $3850–$4000 breakout on ETH/USDT. → Position should be taken before this breakout to catch the move early. 📌 Final Note: We are in a low momentum, low R/R environment. Only trade confirmed breakouts and structural shifts. Avoid overtrading, keep risk exposure limited, and rely on higher-timeframe confluences for clearer direction.
Long
by trade-pro-mind
Bullish Flag Forming on BTCUSDT – Is the Next Big Move Coming?🧠 Complete and Insightful Technical Analysis: The 12H BTCUSDT chart is currently showcasing a textbook Bullish Flag pattern, a powerful continuation structure that often precedes major upward moves. --- 🏗️ Pattern Breakdown: Bullish Flag 1. Flagpole: The sharp breakout from around $107,000 to $123,000 marks the impulsive rally — this is the flagpole, created by strong bullish momentum. Represents the "lift-off" phase where buyers dominate the market. 2. Flag (Consolidation Phase): After the strong rally, price consolidates inside a downward-sloping parallel channel, forming the flag. This pullback is healthy, characterized by declining volume, a key feature of the Bullish Flag. Indicates temporary profit-taking before continuation. 3. Confirmation: A breakout above the flag's upper boundary (around $123,000 – $124,000) with strong volume would confirm the pattern. Breakout traders often use this as a high-probability entry. --- 📈 Bullish Scenario (High Probability): If BTC breaks above the flag structure: 🎯 Measured Move Target (Based on Flagpole Height): $123,000 + ($123,000 - $107,000) = $139,000 🚀 Potential for further upside if macro conditions and sentiment support the move, possibly reaching $135,000+ in the medium term. Confirmation Required: A strong candle close above $123,500 with volume spike. --- 📉 Bearish Scenario (If Breakdown Occurs): If BTC breaks down below the flag (~$117,000): Retracement likely toward previous breakout zones at $112,000 – $109,000 Such a breakdown could turn the current structure into a fakeout or bear trap However, this zone may present a strong re-entry opportunity for long-term bulls. --- 📚 Educational Insight for Traders: Bullish Flags often appear during strong uptrends, acting as a pause before the next leg up. A healthy pattern shows shrinking volume during the flag and rising volume at breakout. Traders should monitor key horizontal resistance and volume behavior for confirmation. --- 🧭 Conclusion: BTCUSDT is at a critical technical juncture. The formation of a clean Bullish Flag suggests the potential for a major continuation rally. Confirmation through a breakout is key — this is the time to prepare, not react. #BTCUSDT #Bitcoin #BullishFlag #BTCBreakout #CryptoTechnicalAnalysis #CryptoTrading #PriceAction #BTCAnalysis #BitcoinPattern #CryptoEducation #BTCFlag #ContinuationPattern
Long
by CryptoNuclear