USDZAR :Market Analysis: Bearish Now, Potentially Bullish at DCurrent Market: Bearish (Downtrend)
The market is currently moving downward from Point C towards Point D, indicating a bearish trend because:
Price movement is consistently heading lower.
A bearish market reflects that sellers are stronger than buyers at this stage.
Point D is located at a critical level, the 127% Fibonacci extension of BC, which is where a potential market reversal (turnaround) is expected.
If the Market Reaches Point D: Bullish (Uptrend)
If the market reverses at Point D, it is expected to shift into a bullish trend:
Reason: The 127% Fibonacci extension level often serves as a zone where sellers lose momentum, and buyers regain control.
An upward move would indicate the market is attempting to reclaim higher levels, such as C or even beyond.
Summary: Expectations for Both Directions
Now: Bearish Trend:
The market is moving downward towards Point D, with sellers currently in control.
If Reversal Happens at Point D: Bullish Trend:
If the price reverses at Point D, the market could shift upward (bullish).
This would mean that buyers have regained control, potentially leading to a steady upward movement.
Overall Insight:
Point D is the key level that will determine the market's direction.
If the price breaks below Point D and continues lower, the bearish trend will persist.
If it reverses at Point D, we can expect the market to turn bullish and move higher
USDZAR trade ideas
USDZAR-USDX SELL strategy 2D chart The USDZAR as well USDX (and USDCAD not shown) all have something in common. they are over extended (ZAR lesser), but the picture paints a thousand words (famous song). The overall direction feels we see lower USD, and even though on a day to day basis one observes tug of wars, the direction is likely lower for USD.
Strategy SELL USDZAR between 18.7500-18.8750 and take profit near 18.4350 for now.
M and W Trading Strategy: Will USDZAR Go Down From Here?The M and W trading strategy has long been a favorite among price action traders, thanks to its simplicity and effectiveness. These patterns represent moments of reversal where market sentiment shifts from bullish to bearish (M) or bearish to bullish (W).
Today, let’s analyze USDZAR using this strategy. Looking at the chart, there’s a potential “M” forming around a key resistance level. This structure, combined with signs of exhaustion in bullish momentum, hints that a downward move may be on the horizon. The neckline of the M pattern—often a critical support level—becomes the area to watch. A clean break below it could confirm the pattern and signal a short opportunity.
However, as always, context matters. Check for confluences such as higher time frame trends, volume spikes, or rejection candles. Pair this with strong risk management by setting stop-loss levels above the resistance zone and planning your target near the next significant support level.
Final Thought:
Do you think the M pattern on USDZAR will play out, or is the market setting us up for a fake-out? Drop your thoughts below! Let’s dive into this setup together.
USDZAR-SELL strategy 12-hourly chartWe are overbought for the pair and we moved little lower. There is also a "M-top" (easier to see on 3-hourly) and neckline about 18.7250 and coincides with GANN support too.
Overall I feel we see 18.4350 in the week(s) to come, or sooner I guess., is my personal opinion only.
Strategy SELL @ 18.6950-18.7550 and take profit near 18.5350.
USDZAR-SELL strategy 12-hourly chart GANN SQThe pair has moved aggressively upwards due to thin holiday trading period, and we reached near 18.8700 area before moving down to 18.6150 and upwards again near 18.7900.
The pair is over extended, and I suspect we will see 18.45-18.5250 again near term.
Strategy SELL @ 18.6750-18.7350 and take profit near 18.5250 for now.
USDZAR lets shortAnd welcome to our last Weekly Rand Review of 2024!
The Rand had a nightmare week after several weeks of gains, what with interest rate cuts and political shake-ups around the globe, coupled with South Africa’s first FDI outflows in four years.
But it wasn't just the Rand that suffered, as global markets crashed mid-week before recovering somewhat
USD/ZAR LONGThis is not really a currency I trade much much everything lines up for a trade to the upside. I have weekly daily and 4h timeframes as bullish and we have pulled back to a pretty well respected daily zone. So on Sunday/Monday I’ll be looking for potential entry opportunities to take it to the next higher high
Falling towards 38.2% Fibonacci support?USD/ZAR is falling towards the pivot and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 17.92031
1st Support: 17.78236
1st Resistance: 18.19084
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Potential drop followed by a long opportunity USDZAR managed to create bullish after finding momentum on a significant support. Currently the bullish move looks to be fading, as price action failed to cement this momentum above 18.220. As the pair develops, the below support barriers will be essential aims were the pair may fall towards and kickstart the upside move. Conversely, if price action fails to fall USDZAR, will continue it's bullish momentum.
Bearish drop?USD/ZAR is rising towards the pivot and could drop to the 1st support which is a pullback support.
Pivot: 18.01025
1st Support: 17.3635
1st Resistance: 18.2794
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
USDZAR BUY IDEA### *USD/ZAR - Liquidity Sweep Sets the Stage for Bullish Momentum Towards R20*
USD/ZAR has recently cleared liquidity at a critical support zone, suggesting the potential for a strong bullish rally. With the market absorbing selling pressure, we are targeting the key psychological level of R20 as the next significant resistance.
*Key Observations:*
- *Liquidity Sweep:* Price action dipped below a key level, likely triggering stop-losses and trapping sellers.
- *Market Structure:* Bullish rejections and increasing momentum indicate a possible continuation upward.
- *Psychological Target:* The R20 level aligns with a significant resistance zone and market sentiment.
*Trade Plan:*
- *Entry:* Buy at as bullish confirmations unfold.
- *Stop Loss:* Below the recent liquidity sweep for managed risk.
- *Take Profit:* Targeting the R20 level, ensuring a favorable risk-reward ratio.
*Risk Management:*
This trade aligns with the broader trend and liquidity dynamics, but proper position sizing and discipline are crucial. Stay vigilant for price action confirming the bullish bias as the pair approaches the R20 target.
Bearish drop?USD/ZAR is rising towards the pivot which has been identified as an overlap resistance and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 17.9006
1st Support: 17.7160
1st Resistance: 18.0045
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.