USDZAR-SELL strategy 6 hourly chart GANN SQThe pair has tried higher again, and came back quickly after. Over all, it starts feeling moving south, i.e. stochastic negative, GANN is protected around 18.2250 now and gives room for lower area 17.8350.
Strategy SELL @ 18.1650 - 18.1875 and take profit at 17.9450 for now.
USDZAR trade ideas
USD/ZAR's Explosive Journey Will You Miss the Next Big Move?Narrative Overview
USD/ZAR is pushing higher into a critical Wave 5 expansion. The pair is now heading toward significant Fibonacci resistance levels with momentum on its side. Traders should focus on opportunities to position for Wave 5 completion, while watching key invalidation points to manage risk.
Key Levels to Trade the Wave 5 Upside
Immediate Targets for Wave 5:
22.25 (1.618 Fibonacci – Diagonal Wave 5):
This is the primary target for Wave 5 completion. Price is expected to approach this level with strong momentum, providing a key area to secure profits or tighten stops.
24.35 (2.0 Fibonacci – Extended Wave 5):
If bullish momentum is sustained, this is the next high-probability target. However, the likelihood of a deeper correction increases beyond this level.
Support Zones for Continuation:
19.34 (Inducement Wave 3 Resistance):
Price may retest this zone as support if there’s a pullback before the final push into Wave 5. Holding above here confirms strength.
14.40 (Wave 4 Support – 0.382 Fibonacci):
This is a major structural support that must not be broken. As long as price stays above this zone, the bullish structure remains valid.
Bullish Invalidation Levels:
11.35 (0.618 Fibonacci):
If price falls below this level, the Wave 5 structure is invalidated, signaling a potential long-term bearish reversal.
Core Outlook: Trading Wave 5 Upside
Primary Scenario – Bullish Expansion:
Price is expected to continue its advance toward 22.25 and potentially extend to 24.35. Momentum will likely remain strong unless a significant correction breaks key support zones.
Pullback Opportunity:
Any retracement to 19.34 or 14.40 could offer an opportunity to enter long positions for the final Wave 5 push.
Action Plan for Traders
Enter Long Positions:
Look for pullbacks into support levels (19.34 or as deep as 14.40) to build positions for the Wave 5 push.
Target 22.25, with an extended target at 24.35 for an overextension scenario.
Manage Risk:
Place stop losses below 14.40, as a break below this level could invalidate the bullish Wave 5 outlook.
Monitor price action closely near 22.25 for signs of exhaustion or reversal.
Key Themes to Highlight
Wave 5 in Play:
USD/ZAR is completing its final bullish impulse, targeting 22.25–24.35 as a significant area of resistance.
Pullback = Opportunity:
Any corrections to support levels are potential buy zones to ride the final leg of this bullish move.
Risk Management:
Protect positions below 14.40, as this marks the structural foundation for the current bullish trend.
USDZAR Neutral at 18.4Hi there,
This is how the USD/ZAR looks like on the 1-hour chart, having encountered a resistance area at 18.4.
It’s possible that it could push higher, but there are interesting levels that might pull the price lower. The levels of 18.1 and 17.7 are such areas to watch, and there is a possibility that the price may plummet down to 17.3.
Overall, the trend is neutral at the current price, which is near a resistance area.
Happy Trading,
K.
Not trading advice
USDZAR-NEUTRAL BUY 3 hourly chart GANN SQRThe GANN suqare is useful to identify potential movements, and the pair seems established inside a wider range. We have to be careful, as upside potential is there and we already have seen the movements yesterday from highs 18.1800 and low 17.9750 area. I feel GOLD is heavily overbought short-term, and yes, we are aware of the potential Ukrain escalations, but then again, GOLD buyers are accessing it only and its clear market is LONG GOLD and prone to sharp decline.
Strategy BUY @ 18.0350-18.0700 and take profit near 18.3750 for now.
USDZAR-SELL strategy 3 Hourly chart GANN SQThe pair has been kind of ranging, and no defined destination. we are hampered by resistance 18.2375 and on down side 17.9700. Even with GOLD strength the interest rate expectation as dampen the SELLERS.
I feel we may see lower again, but not with conviction, so take heed please.
Strategy SELL @ 18.1500-18.1750 and take profit at 18.0350 for now.
Contracting bearish flagDollar Rand is in a corrective phase which may likely lead to an impulse downward due to the current bullish phase failing to sustain its upward pressure and stability and 18.2000. Alternatively, if price actions fail to fall, followed by stability above 18.2000, the pair may continue rising retesting the 18.3000 barrier.
USDZAR SELLSSelling USDZAR here around 18.11 towards 17.90. Observing the trend line break, price should target recent low and create a fresher low. Our most used reversal pattern, head and shoulders seems to be formed and ready to move. ZAR interest rate decision and USD Initial Jobless Claims tomorrow should fuel the sells.
USDZAR-NEUTRAL BUY strategy 3 hourly chartThe pair has not done much, and a lot has to do with GOLD movement. GOLD is softer slightly, but not extreme. The pairay try little higher, but will be hampered by 18.1800 area is my viewpoint.
One could try to BUY carefully with tight stop.
Strategy BUY @ 18.0150-18.0450 and take profit @ 18.1750 for now.
Potential bullish rise?USD/ZAR has reacted off the pivot which has been identified as an overlap support and could potentially rise to the 1st resistance level which acts as a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 17.9840
1st Support: 17.8118
1st Resistance: 18.3280
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USDZAR-NEUTRAL BUY strategyThe pair had quite some decline inline with GOLD strength. I feel short term we may have some pause on it and perhaps we move slightly higher again. I prefer to monitor till further direction is clear.
For those that wishes:
Strategy BUY @ 17.9150-17.9500 but with tight SL. Profit order maximum near 18.1150.
USDZAR-SELL strategy 12 hourly The pair has been moving between 18.1400 - 18.3990 and the battle is ongoing. The key GOLD movement, and with the belief that GOLD will correct, the same applies for this pair. technically we should see recovery lower and test 18.0300 GANN support. I feel that we may see touching 17.9350 at some point in time.
Strategy SELL @ 18.2350-18.2750 when seen, or adjust to your view point. Profit order place at 18.0350 or wait for 17.9150 - 17.9350 area. The 18.0300 touching will attrack a bounce first before breaking down I feel.
USDZAR-SELL strategy 12 Hourly Heikin AshiThe pair has seen highs near 18.4000 and today we declined towards 18.1500 area. The 12-hourly chart seems negative for the pair, and I feel based on the indicators, we will see a correction back towards 17.90s lows.
Strategy SELL @ 18.1850-18.2350 and take profit near 17.9750 for now
USD/ZAR buying opportunityThe USD/ZAR has recently broken out of a long-term descending channel, showing strong bullish momentum. We’re now targeting the 18.60 - 19.00 range as potential levels for profit-taking if the uptrend continues.
With a stop-loss set below recent lows, this setup gives us a favorable risk-to-reward ratio. Keep an eye on this pair, as further USD strength could propel it even higher.
USDZAR-SELL strategy 9-hourly chartConsidering the USDX and also the shape of the pair's pattern, likely we are dealing with a "false bull flag" pattern. This usually is a bearish pattern, and with patience we will see the pair around 17.8750 again.
Yesterday's idea worked well, as long one took profits. The markets are USD bullish, and GOLD has been under severe attack as well, being liquidated, as I feel was logically based on the overbought status of the weekly chart.
Strategy SELL @ 18.2650-18.3000 and take profit near 18.0450 for now.
USDZAR BULLISHWassup Traders!
See my analysis on USDZAR
1. Weekly Chart
Price made a strong breakout of a bearish weekly trendline and on its way to the enxt weekly bearish trendline
2. Daily Chart
After breakout we need to go down to lower time frames to look for trade opportunity since the bias is bullish
3. 1H Chart
Price made a ABC correction after breaking the long bearish trendline and therefore we enter by trades targeting level 18.54000 area and SL just below point C(17.98000 area) of the correction
USD/ZAR choose your bets - Up or Down? Sadly I say up to R20 :( USD/ZAR has remained in a symmetrical triangle since January 2023.
This is a consolidation period of neither winning between the buyers and the sellers.
But we are now approaching the apex 3/4s. And a breakout is imminent.
NOw if we look at the pattern, it has a bullish flag pole which is favourable for the bulls to take the USD up to R20.00 against the ZAR.
I hope we broken down below the support which will take it to R16.00. And I hope I am wrong that it will be going to R20,00.
But unfortunately, I can't be biased and it looks like the next target above the resistance will be R20.00.
USDZAR-SELL strategy 6-hourly Overall the USD is overvalued right now, and corrections will happen short-term is my believe. This is not to say we should be prudent and use proper disciplines, and markets always are erratic, and when wrong we should re-access the market levels and conditions.
The pair had a strong run up for for good reasons, but it is overbought since we touched 18.00 area, and we even climbed strongly near 18.1800. Depending to the trading strategy, we cam carefully build up shorts with low leverage to manage the storm. I feel we have a high stochastic, and overbought RSI and high up into the BB as well.
Strategy SELL @ 18.1100-18.1600 or better, and take profit near 17.7850 for now. The lower end Ichimoku is 17.6500 area (where breakout happened).
USDZAR moving up fast & breaking out with USD strength
I mentioned in a publication today during the Asia session about how I see the continuation of the US-Dollar to continue to power and move through 106 soon like a knife through melting butter.
This is a big reclaim its making on the Poland currency. I bought in recently as it crossed the 200EMA on the daily.
The weekly chart price is powering up a double-top. It will break through this level, USD is gaining so much momentum and it looks to remain that way for the foreseeable future in my opinion.
Gold under so much pressure despite still in a bull-run, lower prices to ensue this week for Gold. Cryptocurrency and the USD$ to power on.
DYOR. These are solely my opinions. I formulate these ideas from charts and price history. I pick a direction. Last Friday I publicly announced here on TV that Gold and Silver would slide in a bigger way this week. It's happening and it will continue to happen because as I mention above, the USD$ is continuing its breakout over 106 soon.
Cheers,
Chris
Daily chart below: