PC trade ideas
PUT CALL BUY SIGNAL is been given The chart posted is the 5 ,10 and 20 day p/c model The green flag is up this should lead to the final rally of 2023 to peak on or about sept 10 th target is 4666 ideal but from 4631 to 4731 will be there I will exit ALL LONGS THIS IS THE LAST WAVE UP . I then see the break down which should be rather steep and prolonged in a very deep recession as the deflationary cycle is and will be clear based on my work in money velocity . The consumer will be contracting and spending habits will drop very fast due to the paying back of student debt and housing deflation in the rent markets .
Put Call Ratio Up, Stocks Down?In 2023 the relationship between the Put Call Ratio and Indices has been clear. Put Call Ratio Up, Stocks Down. And vis-a-versa. Why? Significantly fewer Puts relative to Calls is not often sustained for too long and it reverts to mean. As more Puts are added, dealers hedge, forcing them to short in the outright market. Furthermore, if money managers are heavily exposed to long stocks and indices (as they are now) AND they have low levels of Put options to hedge those positions, then if aggressive selling begins, panic selling can follow. So no news, down slowly? Bad news, down quickly?
I now have a PUT/CALL SELLThe chart posted is that of the p/c model last week I said I had a BUY signal and to which I was given so much grief from traders It was spot on and all alt targets met and the 17 day shift from 2018 called for the peak on or about july 17 .I now have moved to a net short looking for a very sharp drop or worst into aug 25th I am net long march and feb in the money puts in QQQ and SMH . best of trades WAVETIMER
PUT/CALL BUY is been given it is going to 70 on a 10 n 20 dayThe chart posted is the put call on a 10 and 20 day avg one my my best tools it should bottome at or near the same low point as it did on 4/4/2022 the qqq were ate 370 area at that time we are now at 77 on it .Conclusion the QQQ will now rally above fib relationship at the 371.6 wave a or 1 x 1.618 to 378/383 . based on this alone . Have taken a net long calls in GOOG
PUT CALL 10 DAY SELL SIGNAL IS NOW BEING GIVEN MOVE TO LONG PUTSThe put call model as well as high level of Bullish put call model is now giving a great signal as well as fib cycles and golden ratio price projection! I am now moving to net short ALL INDEXES AND LONG 75 TO 80 % IN THE MONEY PUTS IN SPY QQQ AND SOON NVDA
A Crowded Bear TradeOn 09/16/22 soon after the SPX made a new correction low, the Put/Call ratio hit its highest level in over a year.
This indicates a huge amount of money buying puts - a bet on more downside action.
Today on the open the SPX bottomed just above the 09/16/22 low.
This is a cowded downside bet - frequently this situation is the prelude to a change in market direction.
Mark
strategy for TOTAL PUT/CALL RATIO COMPOSITE FRIDAY 04/08/2022put/call ratio composite: it is a periodic meter that helps us to enter the market. which works the opposite, at this moment it is showing more bearish opportunity. I do not know if you can notice that the market opens bullish and then falls sharply.
one or another actions rise either by positive economic news or technical movement. when the put/call ratio is above zero, it is not showing any more upside opportunities. this is valid for swing trader, day trader..............! I hope this can help you in something especially to the newbies
I HAVE MOVED BACK TO 100 CASH TODAY 11.55 AM T10 yr is near my 1.75 target . and really no move in the put/call the vxn hit a target but no puts buying so i thing vxn could see a 41 handle . minor gain in calls ndva a 2 point gain and broke even on msft . I HAVE covid and this is so hard even to type this back to bed .
SPY to 500We received a bullish signal on SPY on 28 Dec. Looking at the structure of the SPY trend and the historical performance of the signal over the past 2 year AND considering the seasonality of where we are we believe that SPY will more than likely take out the 500 level over the next few weeks.
Key to this will be how the PC ratio plays at the 10 Day MA. With the PC ratio rising to meet the declining average – should it fail here – we will see SPY break above the 487.78 level over the next few days and this could trigger a rally potentially pushing SPY to the 500 level.
Like anything you have to trade what is in front of you and with a long squeeze signal on the 15 min chart with a history of performance with this signal one has to side with a bullish view over the next few days.