USOIL trade ideas
USOIL BULLS ARE STRONG HERE|LONG
USOIL SIGNAL
Trade Direction: long
Entry Level: 69.37
Target Level: 70.64
Stop Loss: 68.53
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 2h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WTI CRUDE OIL TRADE SETUP : BREAKOUT OR BREAKDOWN ?📊 Key Observations:
🔹 Trend:
🚀 Strong bullish move followed by a correction 📉
🔻 Price is testing a support zone
🔹 Pattern Formation:
📏 Descending channel or flag-like structure
📍 Price is near a breakout point
🔹 Trade Setup:
✅ Entry Zone: Around 70.77
🛑 Stop Loss: 70.44 - 70.49 (Risk limit ❌)
🎯 Target Point: 71.80 (Profit zone ✅)
🔹 Indicators & Confirmation:
📊 DEMA (9) at 70.92 → Price is slightly below short-term momentum
🔥 A breakout above resistance could confirm a bullish move 🚀
📌 Conclusion:
✅ If price breaks the trendline upwards → Buy 📈 aiming for 71.80 🎯
❌ If support at 70.44-70.49 fails → More downside possible ⚠️
🚀 Watch for volume & candlestick confirmation before entering!
Crude Oil Dipped, Testing Critical Support Level FenzoFx—Crude oil dropped from $72.20 and is now testing the $68.8 support. The decline was expected as the Stochastic oscillator signaled overbought conditions.
If $68.8 breaks, the downtrend could extend to $67.6.
Bullish Scenario : However, a higher low above $70.15 would invalidate the bearish outlook, potentially pushing prices back to $72.20.
WTI Crude Oil (XTIUSD) – H4 SELL SetupWTI Crude Oil (XTIUSD) – H4 SELL Setup
Price has reacted from a key H4 supply zone after taking out previous highs. A clean bearish shift suggests continuation to the downside.
🔹 Entry: At supply zone
🔹 SL: Above mitigation zone
🔹 TPs:
First support
Equal lows
Extended swing low
Bias: Bearish
Reasoning: Liquidity sweep + market structure shift + imbalance
Crude oil meets resistance at high levels, it is time to go shorAlthough we have used the daily line to re-count the waves, and explained that the current rising market is in the 2nd wave rebound of the daily line, which is the sub-wave c of wave 2, the market is still in a bearish trend in the daily line. After the market has completed this wave of 2nd wave rebound and adjustment, it will continue to fall by 3 waves. In the 4-hour market, the current market has not risen above 72.90 US dollars. We can still regard it as a rebound of 3-2 waves, or a rebound of the main wave 4. The main decline wave 1 of 4 hours fell from 76.57 US dollars to 69.80 US dollars, a drop of 6.77 US dollars, and the current 4-hour main decline wave 3 fell from 72.90 US dollars to 64. .85 dollars fell to 8.05 dollars. Why can it be either 3-2 waves or 4 waves? Because the current 8.05 dollars is larger than the decline of the main decline wave 1, it can be regarded as 3 waves, and the current rebound is very strong, so it can be regarded as 4 waves, but I think from the perspective of the main decline wave 3 in 4 hours, the decline should be more than that, it should be greater than 10 US dollars, so it can also be regarded as a rebound of 3-2 waves. The key is whether this wave of rise will break 72.90 US dollars. If it breaks, it will be a sub-wave of the main decline wave 1 in 4 hours. Therefore, our trading ideas today do not have a main direction. The market will make orders when the strategy reaches that first.
Today's crude oil recommendations: 1. Short at 72.65 US dollars, stop loss 30 points, and take profit 70.60 US dollars.
USOIL:Give priority to go long positions on the retracementU.S. heating oil futures gave back their gains. EIA (Energy Information Administration) data showed that U.S. distillate fuel oil inventories unexpectedly increased. U.S. gasoline futures' upward momentum expanded slightly, and the EIA data indicated that the inventory was basically in line with expectations.
The commercial crude oil imports in the United States excluding the strategic petroleum reserve for the week ended March 28 reached the highest level since the week ended January 31, 2025. The EIA strategic petroleum reserve inventory in the United States for the week ended March 28 was at its highest level since the week ended October 28, 2022. The increase in EIA crude oil inventories in the United States for the week ended March 28 recorded the largest gain since the week ended January 31, 2025. The domestic crude oil production in the United States for the week ended March 28 was at its highest level since the week ended December 20, 2024. The commercial crude oil inventory in the United States excluding the strategic petroleum reserve for the week ended March 28 was at its highest level since the week ended July 12, 2024.
Crude oil showed a trend of bottoming out and rebounding on Wednesday. It stabilized and rose near 70.7. After breaking through the $71.2 mark, there might have been a bullish reversal in crude oil. The oil price is expected to test the resistance level above 72.0. Once it further breaks through, it is expected to open up the upside space. In terms of future trading operations, it is advisable to consider laying out long positions on the retracement first.
Trading Strategy:
buy@70-70.5
TP:71.5-72
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Oil - Short Term Buy Idea Update!!!Hi Traders, on March 25th I shared this "Oil - Expecting Retraces and Further Continuation Higher"
I expected to see retraces and further continuation higher. You can read the full post using the link above.
The bullish move delivered as expected!!!
If you enjoy this idea, don’t forget to LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌, and COMMENT ✍! Drop your thoughts and charts below to keep the discussion going. Your support helps keep this content free and reach more people! 🚀
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WTI Crude Oil INTRADAY breakout level retest at 7045WTI Crude Oil maintains a bullish sentiment, supported by the prevailing uptrend. The recent intraday movement suggests a corrective pullback toward a key support zone.
Key Level: 70.45
This level represents the previous consolidation zone and now acts as a critical support area.
Bullish Scenario: If the price bounces from 70.45, it could resume its upward trend, targeting 72.27, followed by 72.71 and 73.46 over a longer timeframe.
Bearish Scenario: A confirmed break below 70.45 with a daily close under this level would weaken the bullish outlook, potentially leading to further declines toward 69.30 and 68.23.
Conclusion:
WTI Crude Oil remains bullish unless it loses support at 70.45. Traders should watch for either a bounce or a breakdown at this level to determine the next move.
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WTI Oil H4 | Pullback support at 61.8% Fibonacci retracementWTI oil (USOIL) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 69.99 which is a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 68.40 which is a level that lies underneath an overlap support and the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 72.94 which is a multi-swing-high resistance.
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Oil will soon be $200Technical and Fundamental Analysis of Crude Oil (WTI)
Technical Analysis:
1. Key Support and Resistance Levels:
The $80 level acts as a strong resistance, where the price has reversed in the past.
Major support levels are at $66 and $68.
2. Overall Trend:
The price has bounced from $66 and is currently trading around $70.94.
If the price breaks above the $72 resistance, it could move towards $74-$76.
A break below $68 may push the price down to $66 and potentially $64.
3. Price Action:
A recent strong bullish move indicates buying interest in this zone.
The price is attempting to stabilize above $70.
Fundamental Analysis:
1. Key Influencing Factors:
OPEC+ Decisions: Any production cuts could support oil prices.
U.S. Economic Data: Inflation, interest rates, and Federal Reserve policies impact oil demand.
Geopolitical Tensions: Conflicts in the Middle East or Russia can drive prices higher.
U.S. Crude Oil Inventory: Declining inventories signal higher demand, boosting prices.
2. Overall Outlook:
If global demand continues to rise and OPEC+ cuts production, oil could reach $74-$76.
Weak economic data and slowing global growth may push prices down to $66.
Conclusion: The price is at a critical level. A breakout above $72 confirms a bullish trend, while dropping below $68 could indicate weakness.
Bullish momentum to extend?WTI Oil (XTI/USD) is falling towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance which is a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 69.86
1st Support: 68.71
1st Resistance: 71.83
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CRUDE OIL LONG SIGNAL|
✅CRUDE OIL is trading in a
Strong uptrend and was making
A local bearish correction but
A horizontal support level was
Hit at 71.00$ so we can go
Long on with the TP of 71.72$
And the SL of 70.59$
LONG🚀
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Crude Oil: WTI Recovers Slightly Above the $70 ZoneSince touching the key support level at $67 , WTI crude oil has posted a notable recovery of more than 7% in recent weeks, and is now hovering slightly above the $70 per barrel mark. For now, the bullish bias remains intact as comments from the White House suggest potential tariffs ranging from 25% to 50% on countries that choose to trade Russian oil. According to President Trump, Russia has failed to implement a ceasefire in the short term and this could lead to additional tarrifs. Although this new tariff strategy has no official date, if enacted, it could significantly disrupt global oil supply, reinforcing short-term bullish expectations for crude.
Wide Sideways Range:
For several months now, oil has been moving within a stable sideways range between $81 (resistance) and $67 (support) per barrel. So far, there hasn't been any significant breakout from this channel, making it the dominant structure on the chart in the short term.
MACD:
The MACD histogram continues to oscillate just above the zero line, but recent sessions have shown slight bearish momentum, possibly signaling a pause in the upward movement as the dominance of the moving averages appears to be neutralizing.
TRIX:
A similar situation is developing in the TRIX indicator, with the line hovering just below the neutral 0 level. This suggests that the strength of the 18-period moving average has entered a zone of balance, lacking a clear directional force.
The behavior of both indicators implies that momentum is gradually weakening as the price approaches resistance levels.
Key Levels:
$73: A key resistance level located near the midpoint of the sideways range, also aligning with the 200-period moving average. A breakout above this level could trigger a solid short-term bullish trend.
$81: A distant resistance level marking the top of the current range. Price action reaching this level could be decisive in confirming a long-term bullish breakout.
$67: A significant support level , marking the lower boundary of the range. A return to this level could revive previously dormant bearish pressure and potentially resume a longer-term downtrend that began several weeks ago.
By Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
USOIL Daily Analysis: Bullish Reversal from Key Support USOIL (WTI Crude Oil) daily chart showing price action analysis.
Key Observations:
Support Zone:
A strong demand zone is marked around $65-$66, which has acted as a reversal area in the past.
The price has recently bounced off this zone, indicating potential buyer interest.
Current Price Action:
Price is currently trading at $68.25.
A bullish move started from the support region, with a higher low formation suggesting potential upside momentum.
Potential Scenario:
The chart suggests a pullback before continuation to the upside.
If the support holds, $70-$72 could be the next target.
If price fails to hold above $66, further downside towards $64 may be possible.
Outlook:
Bullish Bias 📈 as long as the price remains above the demand zone.
Watch for a higher low confirmation before entering a long trade.
Breakout above $70 could signal a stronger rally.
USOIL-Sell in the 71.6-72 rangeUSOIL has also experienced a strong uptrend recently, driven by news events. However, as we all know, "what goes up must come down"—even in a one-sided market, technical corrections are inevitable. Right now, we are seeing a perfect opportunity for a pullback-based short trade after the sharp rally.
Trading Recommendation:
📉 Sell in the 71.6-72 range
USOIL:The bullish momentum demonstrates strong performanceRecently, the United States has stepped up its sanctions against Iran. It also made threatening remarks indicating that if the peace talks between Russia and Ukraine fail to reach an agreement, it will further intensify sanctions against Russia. Such actions have heightened the market's concerns about the future supply side.
Meanwhile, the short-term and phased decline in the United States' domestic oil production, combined with its temporary abstention from taking additional measures to suppress oil prices, has led to a certain increase in the supporting strength of the oil market recently. Yesterday, the upward trend of oil prices continued.
Take a long position at $71.05 for the oil price. Set a stop-loss of 30 basis points and a take-profit at $72.70.
Trading Strategy:
buy@70.8-71.05
TP:72.20-72.50
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Oil and Gas Markets: Price Pressures and Future OutlookPYTH:WTI3! ICEEUR:BRN1! NYMEX:RB1! FXOPEN:XNGUSD
Market Overview: Supply, Demand, and Geopolitical Factors
The oil and gas markets continue to experience significant volatility, driven by a combination of seasonal trends, production adjustments, and geopolitical developments. U.S. natural gas storage has decreased due to seasonal withdrawals, though inventories remain above the five-year average. Meanwhile, crude oil prices have struggled to find momentum, weighed down by concerns over demand growth and economic uncertainty.
Global oil production has remained relatively stable, but market participants are closely monitoring potential disruptions. OPEC+ has maintained its commitment to output restrictions, aiming to support prices amid fluctuating demand. However, recent indications from major producers suggest potential shifts in supply strategies, particularly in response to changes in global consumption patterns.
Price Trends and Market Pressures
Oil prices have faced downward pressure, with West Texas Intermediate (WTI) recently trading below $70 per barrel. Concerns over slowing demand, particularly in key economies like China and the Eurozone, have contributed to this decline. Additionally, rising interest rates in the United States have dampened economic activity, potentially reducing fuel consumption in the long term.
Natural gas prices have also been volatile, reflecting shifts in supply and demand dynamics. While storage levels remain elevated compared to historical averages, colder-than-expected weather in certain regions has led to temporary price spikes. However, recent price movements indicate a broader downward trend, as fundamental supply-demand balances exert pressure on valuations. The price of the F26, which reached $5.9 two weeks ago, has since declined to $5.3, with further movement toward approximately $4.8 anticipated based on current market conditions. These dynamics reflect the ongoing adjustments in global gas markets amid changing consumption patterns and seasonal fluctuations.
Corporate Performance
The impact of these price movements has been felt unevenly across the oil and gas sector. Major integrated energy companies have managed to maintain profitability due to diversified revenue streams, while smaller, more vulnerable producers have faced greater challenges. Refining margins have fluctuated, with some refiners benefiting from lower crude prices while others struggle with narrowing spreads.
Companies with strong exposure to liquefied natural gas (LNG) exports have seen continued demand, particularly in Europe and Asia, where energy security remains a priority. However, firms heavily reliant on upstream oil production have encountered profit pressures as crude prices remain subdued. The resilience of oilfield service providers has also been tested, with cost-cutting measures and efficiency improvements becoming necessary for a sustainable existence.
Risks and Future Outlook
The outlook for oil and gas markets remains uncertain, with multiple risk factors at play. Potential production policy changes by OPEC+, geopolitical tensions in key producing regions, and ongoing economic uncertainties all contribute to an unpredictable pricing environment. Additionally, regulatory shifts and climate policies could further impact the long-term trajectory of fossil fuel demand.
While short-term volatility may deter some, long-term structural changes in energy consumption and supply dynamics will shape future investment strategies. As global economies navigate inflationary pressures and evolving energy policies, oil and gas markets will continue to adjust, presenting both risks and rewards for market participants.