USOIL remains under pressure Technical Perspective
USOIL pared recent gains following a reversal below the descending channel's upper bound and resistance at 6850. If USOIL sustains its bearish momentum, a further drop toward the following support at 6500 may occur. Conversely, a break above the resistance at 6850 could prompt a further rise toward the following resistance at 7000.
Fundamental Perspective
Oil prices declined as the American Petroleum Institute reported a 4.6 million barrel increase in US crude stockpiles, highlighting concerns over growing inventories. This rise in stockpiles pressures oil prices as supply continues to outpace demand. Geopolitical risks also weighed on sentiment, with Russian President Putin rejecting US President Donald Trump's request for a ceasefire in Ukraine, further escalating tensions. Additionally, Trump has ramped up pressure on Iran over regional instability, adding to the volatility in oil markets.
Meanwhile, OPEC and its allies are considering increasing production, which could increase global supply. On the demand side, weak consumption from China and ongoing trade tensions threaten to dampen risk sentiment, potentially weighing further on oil prices in the short term. With these factors combined, oil markets face a challenging outlook, marked by a delicate balance between rising supply and uncertain demand dynamics.
By Li Xing Gan, Financial Markets Strategist Consultant to Exness
