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WTI Wave Analysis 26 December 2024 - WTI broke daily Triangle - Likely to rise to resistance level 70.90 WTI crude oil today broke the resistance trendline of the daily Triangle from the end of October, inside which the price has been moving from October. The breakout of this Triangle continues the active short-term impulse wave (iii) of the higher order impulse wave 3 from the middle of November. WTI crude oil can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 70.90, the breakout of which can lead to further gains toward 71.40.
FX_IDC:USDWTILong
by FxProGlobal
WTI - the fate of oil next year!WTI oil is above the EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4-hour timeframe and is moving in its ascending channel. In case of a downward correction towards the zone, the next purchase of oil will be offered with a reward suitable for us. Analysts believe that the global oil market will be well-supplied in the coming year due to increased oil production from non-OPEC+ countries and limited growth in global oil demand. Despite uncertainties surrounding 2025, experts maintain a cautious outlook on crude oil prices. By the end of 2024, investment banks projected that oil prices in 2025 would remain around $70 per barrel of Brent. However, the potential escalation of trade tensions poses a downside risk to prices. Market observers are aware that oil price forecasts are often inaccurate. Yet, considering current fundamentals and geopolitical developments, experts generally hold a more negative than positive view on oil prices for the next year. Most analysts and investment banks anticipate a supply surplus in the oil market for 2025, even if OPEC+ adheres to its current plan to reduce production starting in April 2025. In December, OPEC+ announced a delay in its planned 2.2 million barrels per day production cut from January to April 2025. Additionally, the group extended the timeline for fully reversing these cuts to September 2026. According to investment banks, while OPEC+’s decision may reduce the anticipated surplus, the market will still experience oversupply. ING commodity strategists Warren Patterson and Ewa Manthey noted in a recent report: “For now, we forecast the oil market to face a surplus next year, although much will depend on OPEC+’s production policies.” The International Energy Agency (IEA) has long predicted a significant supply surplus in 2025. In its monthly report, the IEA stated that even if OPEC+ maintains its current production levels throughout 2025, there would still be a daily surplus of 950,000 barrels. If OPEC+ halts voluntary production cuts at the end of March 2025, this surplus could rise to 1.4 million barrels per day. The IEA also forecasts that global oil demand will increase by 1.1 million barrels per day next year. However, this growth will not be sufficient to absorb the additional supply from non-OPEC+ producers, primarily the U.S., Brazil, and Guyana. Additionally, weak consumption data from China indicates that demand this year has been below initial projections. OPEC has also reduced its oil demand growth forecasts for 2024 for five consecutive months. In its December Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO), the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) reported that if OPEC+ implements its recent production cut decisions, global oil inventories would rise by an average of 100,000 barrels per day starting in the second quarter of next year. The EIA further predicted that this inventory increase would exert downward pressure on crude oil prices by late 2025, with Brent prices declining from an average of $74 per barrel in Q1 2025 to $72 per barrel in Q4 2025. The agency estimates that the average annual Brent oil price in 2025 will be $74 per barrel, down from this year’s average of $80 per barrel. Recent surveys also reflect this trend, as analysts have lowered their oil price forecasts due to weak demand and robust supply growth. Some experts argue that stricter U.S. sanctions on Iran and heightened geopolitical tensions might support prices early next year. However, overall weak demand forecasts are expected to exert significant downward pressure on oil prices. China’s accommodative monetary policy could boost its economy and oil demand, but President-elect Trump’s promise to increase tariffs on China poses risks to economic growth, trade, and oil demand. Saxo Bank recently stated that China’s latest economic stimulus measures and the likelihood of further monetary easing could offset the impact of U.S. tariffs in 2025, signaling Beijing’s determination to prevent a severe economic downturn.
TVC:USOILLong
by Ali_PSND
US OIL PARRALEL CHANNEL ON SUPPORT AREAA parallel channel on US OIL on the 30-minute chart, and the price is currently testing the support area! Here are some key points to consider: # Key Points 1. Support Area: The current price is hovering around the support area, which could provide a bounce or a breakdown. 2. Parallel Channel: The 30-minute chart shows a parallel channel, indicating a potential trading range. 3. Bullish/Bearish Scenario: A bounce off the support area could indicate a bullish reversal, while a breakdown below the support area might suggest a bearish continuation. 4. Volume and Momentum: Monitor trading volume and momentum indicators to confirm the trend. # Trading Strategies 1. Long Position: Consider entering a long position if US OIL bounces off the support area, with a target at the upper line of the channel. 2. Short Position: Consider entering a short position if US OIL breaks below the support area, with a target at the next support level. 3. Set Stop-Loss: Place a stop-loss order below the support area (for long positions) or above the upper line of the channel (for short positions). # Additional Tips 1. Combine with Other Analysis: Use the parallel channel analysis in conjunction with other technical and fundamental analysis tools. 2. Monitor Market Sentiment: Keep an eye on market sentiment and adjust your strategy accordingly. 3. Risk Management: Always prioritize risk management by setting stop-loss orders and limiting position sizes.
TVC:USOILLong
by FXBELLA001
WTI Oil H1 | Rising into multi-swing-high resistanceWTI oil (USOIL) is rising towards a multi-swing-high resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower. Sell entry is at 70.37 which is a multi-swing-high resistance. Stop loss is at 70.70 which is a level that sits above a swing-high resistance. Take profit is at 69.48 which is an overlap support that aligns with the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
FX:USOILShort
by FXCM
WTI OILTrading WTI oil on monthly time frame gives a clue to price action, oil after a dramatic drop in price to 0.24 in 2020 due to demand and supply, oil rally saw it upswing to 128.70k in march 2022 before a sharp rejection by buyers . OPEC maintains control of price through demand and supply and inventories data print. US dollar affects oil price ,as a stronger dollar makes oil more expensive for buyers using other currencies, which can reduce demand and lower prices. the presidency of trump will strengthens the green back which will likely break oil demand floor in coming months. oil bench mark has been 65k-63k based on demand floor if broken oil could return to 23-30k zone as illustrated on the chart. OPEC timely price intervention can set up bullish rally for oil as well ,where it will likely break monthly descending trendline to challenge 100k zone
TVC:USOIL
by Shavyfxhub
USOIL Is Very Bearish! Short! Please, check our technical outlook for USOIL. Time Frame: 9h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is testing a major horizontal structure 70.339. Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 69.359 level soon. P.S The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce. Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
VANTAGE:USOUSDShort
by SignalProvider
1
Bearish drop?USO/USD is reacting off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension and could drop from this level to our take profit. Entry: 70.64 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension. Stop loss: 71.66 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance which lines up with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension. Take profit: 69.35 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
VANTAGE:USOUSDShort
by VantageMarkets
1
WTI Oil H4 | Swing-high resistance at 50% Fibonacci retracementWTI oil (USOIL) is rising towards a swing-high resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower. Sell entry is at 69.85 which is a swing-high resistance that aligns with a 50% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss is at 70.66 which is a level that sits above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and a swing-high resistance. Take profit is at 68.52 which is a swing-low support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
FX:USOILShort
by FXCM
USOIL Set To Fall! SELL! My dear subscribers, This is my opinion on the USOIL next move: The instrument tests an important psychological level 69.50 Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market. Target - 69.04 About Used Indicators: On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
TVC:USOILShort
by AnabelSignals
1
WTI Crude Oil: Mastering Price Action for Profitable Trades!TVC:USOIL ALEXGOLDDHUNTER Chart Analysis: WTI Crude Oil 1-Hour Timeframe Key Levels and Zones Support Levels: Around $68.70 - $68.80 $69.50 (Break of Structure - BOS) Resistance Levels: Around $70.00 $70.16 (Short 2022 Model) Fair Value Gap (FVG): Between $69.80 - $70.00 Indicators: RSI: 61.59 (neutral to slightly bullish) MACD: Shows bullish momentum with the MACD line above the signal line Volume: High trading activity around key levels Buy Strategy Entry Point: Look for bullish candlestick patterns (e.g., hammer, bullish engulfing) near the support level around $68.70 - $68.80. Confirm the trend continuation with a Break of Structure (BOS) above $69.50. Stop Loss: Place a stop loss below the recent support level at around $68.50 to minimize risk. Take Profit: First target at the 0.5 Fibonacci level around $69.80. Second target at the Fair Value Gap (FVG) between $69.80 - $70.00. Sell Strategy Entry Point: Look for bearish candlestick patterns (e.g., shooting star, bearish engulfing) near the resistance level around $70.16. Confirm the trend continuation with a Change of Character (CHoCH) below $69.50. Stop Loss: Place a stop loss above the recent resistance level at around $70.30 to minimize risk. Take Profit: First target at the Break of Structure (BOS) level around $69.50. Second target at the support level around $68.70 - $68.80. VIP Signal Format (lowercase) entry: $68.70 - $68.80 (buy) tp1: $69.80 tp2: $70.00 sl: $68.50 entry: $70.16 (sell) tp1: $69.50 tp2: $68.70 - $68.80 sl: $70.30 Disclaimer This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Trading financial instruments involves significant risk, and you should consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Follow @Alexgoldhunter for more strategic ideas and minds
TVC:USOIL
by Alexgoldhunter