Supply and Demand DynamicsIncreases in U.S. crude oil production: The U.S. has been a significant contributor to global oil supply, and continued production growth can put downward pressure on prices.
USOIL trade ideas
USOIL BUY OR SELL READ CAPTIONHi trader what do you think about US/OIL
Current price 69.90
US/OIL Breakout Support zone and complete retest upside and again dropped resistance zone I think US/OIL retest upside and touching resistance zone then mind be possible US/OIL dropped down side
Resistance zone 70.80-71.60
Support area: 68.30
Demand zone 67.20
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Crude oil prices will consolidate near $70Crude oil is under pressure as political narratives drive it lower. The $70 area is a fair price according to the supply/demand estimate from the Energy Administration of the United States.
The sentiment still remains to stay negative and is pressured down by tariff talks and meltdown in other markets. So, we can expect USOIL to hit a new low, but this action probably won’t last long, as the $70 level remains to act as a magnet for the price. Unless new loud political statements are being made and no unexpected surprises from the PCE index are delivered, USOIL would rotate around the $70 area, staying in the consolidation.
USOIL My Opinion! BUY!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for USOIL below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 70.18
Bias -Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 71.58
Recommended Stop Loss -69.44
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
What Happens to Global Markets When the Ukraine-Russia War Ends?What Happens to Global Markets When the Ukraine-Russia War Ends?
The end of the Ukraine-Russia war will undoubtedly impact major global markets,
here’s what we can expect:
Oil Market : With tensions easing, oil prices could drop as supply concerns lessen and sanctions ease. However, global demand could still keep prices stable or even high.
Gold Market : Gold, a safe-haven asset, might face a decrease in demand as geopolitical uncertainty fades, but if the end of the war leads to global economic instability, gold could remain a strong choice for investors.
Forex Market : The end of the conflict could boost the Euro and USD as stability returns to the market. At the same time, the Russian Ruble might face fluctuations as Russia’s economy adjusts to post-war conditions.
Crypto Market : Cryptocurrencies may see mixed reactions—some may retreat as confidence in traditional markets rises, but others could flow in if economic uncertainty continues to prevail globally.
🔮 The war's end could bring hope, but it also presents new challenges for markets worldwide. Stay tuned to see how it all plays out!
US CRUDE OIL(WTI): Classic Day TradeUSOIL was trading in a tight horizontal range on the 4-hour chart for a significant period of time.
The resistance of this range was violated yesterday, followed by a retest and a strong bullish response.
This could signal a potential upward trend continuation towards the 73.32 mark.
USOIL DESSENDING CHANNEL TREND📉 USOIL Analysis – Selling Opportunity Soon! 🚨
🔸 Trend: USOIL has been moving within a descending channel, consistently making lower highs and lower lows. This indicates a strong bearish trend 📉.
🔸 Current Position: Price is now touching the upper boundary of the channel, which acts as resistance, increasing the likelihood of a sell-off.
🔸 Indicator: EMA 50 on 2H timeframe confirms the resistance level, aligning with the descending channel structure.
🔸 Entry Level: $72.30 🔽
🔸 Target Level: $70.30 🎯
📌 Descending Channel Explained:
A descending channel is a bearish pattern where price moves between two downward-sloping trendlines. Each time price touches the upper boundary, it tends to reverse lower, making it an ideal selling opportunity at resistance levels.
⚠️ Trade Wisely! Stick to risk management. 📊🔥
High Volatility in Crude Oil: Geopolitical FactorsVolatility in the oil market has intensified during the week’s close, with crude futures registering significant declines that practically erase the accumulated gains of the week. West Texas Intermediate (WTI), the U.S. benchmark, experienced a near 2.2% drop, driven mainly by geopolitical factors and supply data that have surprised to the downside. In particular, pressure from the U.S. administration on the Iraqi government to restart Kurdish crude exports to Turkey has been one of the most relevant catalysts, creating uncertainty in supply flows.
Data released by the Energy Information Administration reinforce the bearish movements. The increase of 4.6 million barrels in crude inventories suggests a weaker-than-expected domestic demand, which further pressures prices downward. However, not all is pessimism: gasoline stocks fell by 0.2 million barrels and distillates declined by 2.1 million barrels, which could temporarily support the value of these refined products.
On the geopolitical front, the pressure exerted by Washington to reactivate the pipeline connecting Kurdish fields with Turkey and curb smuggling into Iran marks a new chapter in the U.S. “maximum pressure” policy against Tehran. Although the Iraqi Oil Minister announced the resumption of Kurdish exports in the coming days, there is still uncertainty regarding technical and financial hurdles that could delay its implementation. An immediate rebound in supply from these blocked barrels would pressure prices downward; however, any political setback or stalled peace negotiations in other key regions could trigger a bounce.
In summary, the oil outlook continues to be characterized by high volatility, reflecting the constant interplay of supply and demand data as well as geopolitical tensions.
Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
WTI OIL potential rejection leading to the Channel's bottom.WTI Oil (USOIL) has been trading within a Channel Up pattern on the 1D time-frame with the price on a Bearish Leg since its January 15 Higher High.
The price is right now being rejected on its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and based on the last two main bearish sequences since July 2024, a 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) max rejection is quite possible here to continue the Bearish Leg.
Our Target is the bottom of the Channel Up at $69.
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SELL OIL (WTI) - entry criteria explained!!!!Trader Tom, a technical analyst with over 16 years’ experience, explains his trade idea using price action and a top down approach. This is one of many trades so if you would like to see more then please follow us and hit the boost button.
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USOIL LOOKING BULLISH Check my USOIL analysis according to my personal analysis USOIL Looking Bullish Till my Given targets Which Are 75.00 this is also my Resistance zone for further bullish and 79.65, is my confirm target and Support zone is identified at 70.00 lets see how its works.
US Oil Market Outlook: Bearish Momentum Indicate Further DeclineThe 4-hour chart of WTI Crude Oil (TVC: USOIL) reveals a well-defined market structure transition from bullish to bearish. Initially, the price action exhibited a strong uptrend, characterized by the formation of higher highs (HH) and higher lows (HL). However, a break of structure (BOS) marked the onset of a reversal, leading to the emergence of lower highs (LH) and lower lows (LL), confirming the shift to a downtrend.
A key technical observation is the presence of a price gap near the highest point, which often signifies inefficiency in the market and the potential for price retracements in the future. Furthermore, the highlighted resistance zone around the $72.49–$73.50 range has proven to be a strong supply area, repeatedly rejecting bullish attempts to break above it. This resistance, coupled with price trading below the 50-period and 200-period moving averages, reinforces the bearish bias.
The price has now breached the $71.78 level, accelerating downward momentum. The next significant area of interest lies at the identified support level around $69.36, which serves as the primary target area. If selling pressure remains dominant, further declines may be anticipated.
Volume analysis further substantiates the bearish outlook, as recent price drops have been accompanied by increased selling activity. The combination of structural shifts, resistance validation, and moving average positioning strongly suggests that the downward trajectory is likely to persist unless the price reclaims and sustains above the resistance zone.
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USOIL: Long Trade with Entry/SL/TP
USOIL
- Classic bullish formation
- Our team expects pullback
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Long USOIL
Entry - 70.18
Sl - 69.54
Tp - 71.51
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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Happy new week Dear Traders. My Buy analysis on FX:USOIL , Breaking down from MonthlyTF till H2. you just need to watch.
LONG ON USOILOil is currently rising from a major demand zone.
It has broken out of a nice double/triple bottom and a downtrend line.
I expect price to tap into the demand zone as a pullback from its recent break of a high and then continue to rise.
I am buying oil and expecting it to rise to the next supply level for just about 200 pips or a $2 move on.
Bullish bias on USOILAfter several rejection from the current level we might see price reverse from there. so im very bullish.
USOIL BEST PLACE TO SELL FROM|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
USOIL is making a bullish rebound on the 6H TF and is nearing the resistance line above while we are generally bearish biased on the pair due to our previous 1W candle analysis, thus making a trend-following short a good option for us with the target being the 69.95 level.
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USOIL WTI Crude OilWTI Crude Oil (USOIL) has successfully broken above the descending trend-line, signalling a potential trend reversal. After the breakout, the price has retraced back to retest the trend-line support, confirming its strength as a new support level.
Key Technical Observations:
✅ Trend-line Breakout & Retest – The price has broken the downward trend-line and is now finding support around $70.800, indicating a shift in momentum.
The price is currently trading above the 21-period and 50-period Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs), which further confirms the bullish momentum and potential for an upward move.
✅ Targets for the Upside:
Target 2: $71.900 (First resistance level)
Target 2: $72.600 (second resistance level)
Target 2: $73.500 (Major resistance level)
✅ Support Level: $70.800 – Holding above this level strengthens the bullish outlook.
USOIL Reversal in Motion? Key Levels You Can’t Ignore!Market Structure Breakdown:
🔸 Daily Timeframe:
• We initially identified a double-bottom formation, signaling a bullish push to grab liquidity above previous highs.
• However, buyers failed to sustain momentum, leading to a structural shift.
🔸 H4 Timeframe:
• Strong impulse move downward, breaking key structure.
• Formed a lower high, indicating seller control.
🔸 H1 Timeframe:
• Entry confirmation: Lower high + structure break + retest.
• Current Position: Short trade floating +142 pips in profit.
• Stops secured in profit = No risk on the trade.
🎯 Next Targets & Key Levels:
✅ Target 1: Sweep 7040 low.
✅ Target 2: Potential drop to 7026 if momentum continues.
⏳ Crucial Confirmation Needed:
• If today’s bearish candle closes above average, it will confirm a true lower high and increase chances of breaking consolidation to move lower.
🛠 Trade Management:
• Profits taken at: +30 pips, +60 pips, +100 pips.
• Current floating: +142 pips.
• Overall target: +212 pips (1:5 / 1:6 RR).
• If we break consolidation, we’ll trail TP and maximize gains.
This trade is a textbook example of a failed bullish push leading to a structural breakdown. With stops locked in profit, we’re letting the trade play out risk-free, while looking for further downside expansion.
If you’re tracking USOIL, keep an eye on these key levels and watch how price reacts! 🚀📊
USOIL POSSIBLE SELL?The market is currently testing the current Daily area. Based on 4HR TF, the market seems to be forming a possible reversal pattern which could lead to a possible reversal.
We could see SELLERS coming in strong should the current level hold.
Disclaimer:
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is solely intended for educational and informational purposes only.The analysis provided is based on my own view of the market. Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account.
High-Risk Warning
Trading in foreign exchange on margin entails high risk and is not suitable for all investors. Past performance does not guarantee future results. In this case, the high degree of leverage can act both against you and in your favor
Bearish drop?WTI Oil (XTI/USD) has rejected off the pivot and could drop to the pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci projection.
Pivot: 72.97
1st Support: 70.37
1st Resistance: 74.21
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Oil on the rise!?Recent COT data shows a decrease in short interest from commercial money, potentially signaling a shift in sentiment.
Seasonal trends also support a bullish outlook for oil, with historical data indicating a strong price rise between February 7 and March 5. Over the past 34 years, oil has gained 69.7% of the time, with an average increase of 4.79%.
From a technical standpoint, the price has broken higher from a corrective channel, suggesting further upside potential. A move toward the early 2025 highs of 80.44 could be on the cards. A breakout above this level would confirm a large bottom formation, paving the way for further gains in the months ahead.
Trade setup: Buy on dips to 72.26, with a stop loss at 69.90, targeting a move to 80.44.
