USOIL Trade Log - CPI Session
USOIL Short Trade Setup – CPI Session Incoming 🚨
- Instrument: West Texas Oil (USOIL)
- Timeframe: 4-Hour
- Risk: 1% max due to CPI volatility
- Risk-Reward Ratio: Minimum 1:2
Key Technical Analysis:
1. Price has reached a strong resistance zone within the 4H Fair Value Gap (FVG) and is showing signs of rejection.
2. The Kijun Weekly and 4H levels align with this area, increasing the probability of a reversal.
3. Market structure has been bearish overall, with a clear Break of Structure (BOS) and internal liquidity grabs.
CPI Session Volatility Warning:
- With the CPI release incoming, expect aggressive moves and potential liquidity sweeps before directional commitment.
- If price runs liquidity above the FVG and shows strong bearish confirmations, this becomes a high-probability short.
- Manage risk carefully – no need to overexpose with CPI in play.
Trade Plan:
- Entry: Within the 4H FVG upon bearish confirmation.
- Stop Loss: Above the FVG high to avoid CPI wicks.
- Take Profit: At least 1:2 RRR, ideally targeting recent lows.
Stay sharp, play the reaction, and don’t force the trade if the setup invalidates. CPI is where weak hands get rinsed! 💀
USOIL trade ideas
11-2 Oil: 11-2 Oil: the down trend seems to be turning. Our signal system still shows a neutral score of 1 which consists of Retail sentiment 1, Seasonality 1, Trend reading 1, GDP -1, Manufacturing PMI 1, Services PMI -1, Retail Sales -1, Inflation 1, Employment Change -1, Unemployment Rate 1, Interest Rates -1. This data gives us a buy option at 74.445
#005 Obvious Trend WTICOUSD Buy 2344SGT 11022025Buy. Not paper trading neither am I using real money. Just for recording purposes. Cant trade real cos account not enough money. only have about 26cents sgd in it.
Not about to open a paper account cos too troublesome.
Going for 1R SL to 0.8R TP.
TP set at the next swing high as seen.
Will come back tomorrow at 9pm to see what happens.
I would like to take trades in the afternoon but now I am working. Hopefully tomorrow I am also going to work. I need to make some plans for tomorrow cos order has been slow recently.
2346SGT 11022025
USOIL Set To Grow! BUY!
My dear followers,
This is my opinion on the USOIL next move:
The asset is approaching an important pivot point 70.97
Bias - Bullish
Safe Stop Loss - 69.61
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market.
Goal - 73.22
About Used Indicators:
For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
WTI CRUDE OIL: Aiming at 82.00 long term.WTI Crude Oil is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 48.507, MACD = -0.150, ADX = 34.872) as only today it crossed above the 1D MA50, following a correction since Jan 15th. The prevailing pattern is a Channel Up and we are very close to its bottom. The two bullish waves it had already, peaked after at least a +20% rise. As the 1D RSI is already on the S1 Zone, we anticipate a new bullish wave to start gradually and aim at the top of the Channel Up (TP = 82.00).
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Crude Oil Price Trends: Market Drivers and Further OutlookWTI and Brent Crude: Recent Price Movements
Oil prices faced renewed volatility last week as West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude settled at $72.84 per barrel, down $2.13 from the previous week, while Brent crude ( TVC:UKOIL ) closed at $77.11 per barrel, reflecting a $1.03 decline over the same period. The price drop follows a mix of macroeconomic concerns, shifts in global supply, and changes in refinery demand, raising questions about the short-term direction of the oil market.
Geopolitical Risks and Supply Disruptions
Oil markets remain highly sensitive to geopolitical events. Rising tensions in the Middle East and uncertainty surrounding Russia’s oil exports continue to shape price expectations. In particular, shipping disruptions in the Red Sea due to recent attacks on vessels have increased transport costs and contributed to supply chain volatility. Additionally, ongoing sanctions on Russian crude are prompting shifts in global trade flows, with some Asian countries increasing purchases while Europe diversifies its energy imports.
Macroeconomic Factors and Demand Outlook
On the macroeconomic front, concerns over U.S. Federal Reserve policy and potential interest rate hikes have weighed on oil prices. A stronger U.S. dollar typically exerts downward pressure on crude oil, making it more expensive for foreign buyers. However, resilient U.S. employment data and steady industrial activity have supported fuel demand, mitigating some of the downward pressure. China's economic recovery also plays a crucial role, with stronger-than-expected factory output and increased crude imports providing support for oil prices.
New York Petroleum Product Prices: Gasoline and Diesel Trends
The New York Harbor spot price ( NYMEX:HO1! ) for conventional gasoline fell to $2.382 per gallon, marking a $0.023 decrease from last week. Meanwhile, No. 2 heating oil prices dropped by $0.083, settling at $2.371 per gallon, which is $0.213 lower than a year ago. Despite these declines, demand for diesel and heating oil remains strong, particularly in colder regions, supporting refined product prices.
Market Outlook: Where Are Oil Prices Headed?
Looking ahead, oil price trends will depend on several factors, including OPEC+ production policy, U.S. refinery utilization rates, and global economic growth. If U.S. crude inventories continue to rise, prices could face further downward pressure. However, if geopolitical risks escalate or demand in Asia strengthens, oil prices may find support in the coming weeks. Investors and traders should closely monitor supply chain developments and central bank policies, as these will be key drivers of price movements in the near term.