USOIL:Go short before you go long
USOIL:Crude oil trend in line with expectations to break 65, hourly level to see adjustment, trading can be done first short and then long. Here are my range trading ideas.
Trading Strategy:
SELL@65.4-65.5
TP:64.5-64.
BUY@64.5-64
TP: 65.3-65.5
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USOIL trade ideas
WTI Crude Oil INTRADAY Bullish breakout supported at 6380Trend Overview:
WTI Crude Oil remains in a bullish trend, characterised by higher highs and higher lows. The recent intraday price action is forming a continuation consolidation pattern, suggesting a potential pause before a renewed move higher.
Key Technical Levels:
Support: 6380 (primary pivot), followed by 6320 and 6250
Resistance: 6650 (initial), then 6740 and 6830
Technical Outlook:
A pullback to the 6380 level, which aligns with the previous consolidation zone, could act as a platform for renewed buying interest. A confirmed bounce from this support may trigger a continuation toward the next resistance levels at 6650, 6740, and ultimately 6830.
Conversely, a daily close below 6380 would suggest weakening bullish momentum. This scenario would shift the bias to bearish in the short term, potentially targeting 6320 and 6250 as downside levels.
Conclusion:
WTI Crude Oil maintains a bullish structure while trading above the 6380 support. A bounce from this level would validate the consolidation as a continuation pattern, with upside potential toward the 6650 area. A breakdown below 6380, however, would invalidate this view and suggest deeper corrective risk.
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WTI on high time frame , price reach 60$?
"Hello friends, focusing on WTI, the price is currently in a bullish trend on the daily time frame. During the last NY session, the price swept liquidity in the $66 zone and faced a strong rejection. Considering both technical analysis and fundamental news, I believe the price is gearing up for a decline, with the initial target likely around $60."
If you need further clarification or have more details to discuss, feel free to share!
Will Oil Prices Face Downward Pressure After EIA's Forecast?Macro approach:
- The EIA’s latest short-term outlook projects weaker oil prices as rising global inventories weigh on the market. Sluggish demand growth and increased production are expected to push output above consumption, building stockpiles and adding pressure on prices.
- Traders are also monitoring the ongoing US-China trade talks in London. Sentiment remains cautiously optimistic after US Commerce Secretary Lutnick described the negotiations as progressing well.
- On the supply side, Saudi Aramco has reduced its Jul oil shipments to China by 1 million barrels compared to Jun, suggesting that the recent OPEC+ production hike may not translate into substantial new supply.
Technical approach:
- USOIL retested both the descending trendline and resistance near 64.50 before pulling back. The price remains above both EMAs, signaling that bullish momentum is still intact.
- A breakout above 64.50 and the descending trendline could open the door to 68.00–70.00.
- However, failure to clear this resistance may lead to a retreat toward the 60.00 support level.
Analysis by: Dat Tong, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
Crude Oil Surges StronglyAs market participants await positive outcomes from negotiations between a major Asian economy and the U.S., crude oil prices edge higher modestly. During Tuesday's Asian session, Brent crude oil futures rose by $0.12 to $67.16 per barrel, while U.S. WTI crude oil gained $0.13 to $65.42, briefly hitting a new high since April 4th intraday. In the previous trading day, Brent surged to $67.19, the highest level since April 28th, primarily driven by market expectations of a potential deal between the U.S. and China.
Current oil prices stand at a crossroads of multiple factors. In the short term, the global trade landscape dictates the main thread of market sentiment. If a mitigation plan is reached, it will boost demand expectations. However, the resumption of Iranian exports and OPEC's production increase strategy may lead to a potential supply glut in the second half of the year, emerging as the primary risk suppressing oil prices.
Technically, the K-line has pierced below the moving average system, indicating a shift in the short-term objective upward trend. The formation of a large-bodied bearish candle in the subsequent session establishes the main rhythm, suggesting that oil prices may further decline to around $63.50 today before seeking new support.
Overall, today's trading strategy for crude oil is recommended to focus on rebound shorting as the primary approach and pullback long positions as a supplement. In the short term, monitor resistance at the $67.5-68.0 range, while support lies at the $65.0-64.5 level.
Humans need to breathe, and perfect trading is like breathing—maintaining flexibility without needing to trade every market swing. The secret to profitable trading lies in implementing simple rules: repeating simple tasks consistently and enforcing them strictly over the long term.
The trend after the surge in crude oil prices
💡Message Strategy
Core economic data and event-driven
The US employment report boosted expectations of rate cuts. According to the US Department of Labor, the unemployment rate stabilized at 4.2% in May, and 139,000 new non-farm jobs were added (the previous value was revised down). Phil Flynn, senior analyst at Price Futures Group, pointed out: "The employment data is 'just right', neither too hot nor too cold, but it strengthens the possibility of the Fed's rate cut." The expectation of a rate cut is seen as a potential positive for the crude oil market, as loose policies may stimulate economic recovery and boost oil demand.
OPEC+ moderately increased production to balance market expectations. OPEC+ reached an agreement on Saturday to increase production by 411,000 barrels per day in July, which is lower than Saudi Arabia's proposal, but in line with market expectations. HSBC analysts believe: "Summer oil demand will peak in July-August, matching the increase in OPEC+ supply, and the market supply and demand will tend to balance in the second and third quarters." The decision did not suppress oil prices, but instead eased concerns about oversupply.
📊Technical aspects
WTI crude oil: closed at $64.73 per barrel on Friday, up 2.21% on the day and 6.55% this week. It is about to reach our strategic target of 65.00. When everyone is looking at the decline of crude oil, our strategy is firmly on the rise, and the result is consistent with our direction.
From a technical perspective, the daily chart of US crude oil (WTI) shows that the price is running in a short-term rising channel, with support at around $63, while the upper resistance is concentrated in the $64.50 area. In recent trading days, WTI has received support at the 60-day moving average and successfully broke through the 20-day moving average, indicating that the short-term bullish momentum is gradually increasing.
At the same time, the MACD indicator shows a golden cross signal, and the momentum column continues to expand, indicating that the price is expected to further test the $65 mark. If the resistance level can be effectively broken, the next target may be $67.
💰 Strategy Package
Long Position: 63.50-64.00
USOIL:Wait 63.6-64 to go long
Affected by last week's data, crude oil directly broke through the short-term pressure 64, technical point of view of the daily track upward opening, 64.8 position basically can not hold, and once the break open the space for rise, the rise has just begun;
After breaking from the early continuous shock to a strong unilateral, the market will at least continue a wave of strength, pay attention to 63.6-64 range to do more, or the European market force to rise, the United States is also more, now is to see a strong break.
Trading Strategy:
BUY@63.6-64
TP: 65-65.2
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WTI Oil H1 | Falling toward a pullback supportWTI oil (USOIL) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 63.76 which is a pullback support that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 62.70 which is a level that lies underneath a swing-low support and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 65.44 which is a resistance that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci projection.
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WTICOUSD - BULLISH
Typical Wycoff
Break Re-Test
Slight Tap of FV Gap
Bullish Engulfing Candle
Usually signifies "In a Hurry".
Best Analysis i think was Perplexity Ai
Bullish Case for Oil
US Jobs Data: Stronger-than-expected US jobs numbers have pushed prices higher, with algos covering short bets
Geopolitical Risks: Ongoing tensions in Ukraine and Iran, plus Canadian wildfires, are supporting prices due to potential supply disruptions
OPEC+ Supply Increase Smaller Than Feared: OPEC+ is raising output, but by less than the market expected, which has helped limit downside pressure and even sparked price gains
Recent Price Action: Oil has rebounded to around $64–$65 (Brent) after several weeks of losses, suggesting some stabilization and potential for a technical bounce
Deep Ai
Probability of bullish continuation: 75/100
Technical s indicate a relatively high likelihood that the current bullish trend will continue toward the identified resistance zone above, provided no major fundamental shifts occur. However, caution remains due to potential pullbacks or consolidation near resistance levels.
This is the safest place to enter usually
Cost average in not stops they suck !
imho
Lets See : )
.
USOIL: Strong Bullish Sentiment! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse USOIL together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break above the current local range around 64.706 will confirm the new direction upwards with the target being the next key level of 65.295. and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
USOIL:The strategy of going short
USOIL: Same thinking, still maintain the short strategy. Friends with short orders at 63.3-63.5 continue to wait, can increase short orders near 63.8, the target is 62.5-62.3 unchanged
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Crude Oil (WTI) Daily Chart AnalysisCrude Oil (WTI) Daily Chart Analysis
Pattern Formed:
A Symmetrical Triangle formation is clearly visible.
Context:
The prior trend leading into the triangle was bearish.
Typically, in technical analysis, a triangle after a downtrend is considered a continuation pattern — meaning there is a higher probability that the price will break downward.
The triangle appears to have completed its 5-wave internal structure (ABCDE), a classical behavior of contracting triangles.
Breakout Expectation:
After a completed 5-wave triangle, a breakout is imminent.
Directional Bias: Since this triangle is forming after a strong downtrend, the higher probability is for a bearish breakout.
However, triangles can break either way, and when they do, the move is often impulsive.
Potential Scenarios:
Bearish Breakdown (High Probability):
A downside break would likely trigger a sharp fall.
Immediate support levels to watch post-breakout:
$60.00
$56.50
$46.75 (measured move — target derived from the height of the triangle projected downward)
Bullish Breakout (Low Probability but Possible):
In case of an upside breakout, resistance zones are:
$72.00 (supply zone + previous highs)
$78.00
Upside could see sharp momentum but is less likely unless there is strong fundamental support (e.g., geopolitical tensions, production cuts).
Volume Confirmation:
Volume typically contracts during triangle formation. Post-breakout, volume expansion is essential to confirm the breakout direction.
Indicators (Suggested Additional Confirmations):
Watch for RSI — if divergence forms, could signal weakness.
Monitor MACD for crossovers at breakout zones.
Summary
Triangle Completed: 5-wave structure inside the triangle — ready for breakout.
Bias: Bearish continuation pattern — higher probability of a downward move.
Trigger: Breakout of the triangle boundary with volume expansion will confirm the next move.
Targets (Post-Breakout):
Downside: $60 ➔ $56.5 ➔ $46.75
Upside (less probable): $72 ➔ $78
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This analysis is based purely on technical chart patterns and historical price action. Trading and investing involve substantial risk. Always perform your own due diligence or consult a financial advisor.
Crude Oil is Building Momentum for a BreakoutDuring the U.S. trading session on Thursday, international oil prices fluctuated higher, with U.S. crude oil currently trading near $63.55 per barrel. Despite the intraday volatility, international oil prices remain under downward pressure, primarily influenced by two key factors.
First, data from the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) showed that as of last week, U.S. gasoline and distillate inventories increased more than expected, signaling weakening refined product demand in the world’s largest economy. This development has sparked investor concerns about whether the U.S. summer driving season can sustain demand growth, leading to a ~1% decline in oil prices on Wednesday.
The current crude oil market is caught between supply and demand headwinds:
Supply-side pressures: OPEC+’s production increase plan and Saudi Arabia’s strategic price cuts have created short-term bearish sentiment.
Demand-side uncertainties: The unexpected rise in U.S. refined product inventories has amplified market doubts about the vigor of global consumption recovery.
Additionally, the escalation of international trade frictions has further dampened risk appetite, exacerbating downward pressure on prices.
In the short term, oil prices are likely to continue oscillating within the $60–$65 per barrel range. Market participants should closely monitor U.S. macroeconomic data and OPEC+’s compliance with its production policies for directional cues.
Humans need to breathe, and perfect trading is like breathing—maintaining flexibility without needing to trade every market swing. The secret to profitable trading lies in implementing simple rules: repeating simple tasks consistently and enforcing them strictly over the long term.
Trading Strategy:
buy@61.5-62.0
TP:63.0-63.5
US OIL LONG POSITION RESULT Oil had now formed a triple bottom pattern, and also holding the minor Support Trendline indicating signs for bullisd potential.
Price action did move in our direction, just couldn't break above the orange resistance zone, and then reversed and went straight down to our Sl (my bad though, Should've moved sl to entry price to make it safe).
Better Luck and TA next time.
USOIL Will Grow! Buy!
Take a look at our analysis for USOIL.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 62.890.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 68.865 level soon.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
US OIL LONG RESULT Oil price broke out of the falling expanding wedge, with some good volume in Confluence woth the double pattern (as at entry) and also holding the minor support Trendline I decided to open a long trade to the next supply zone.
Price did move in our direction, just dumped down to grab liquidity at the support again hitting our SL.
Was a B" setup so we'll move on.
USOIL:tay long
USOIL: The short-term objective trend is oscillating. In terms of momentum, the MACD indicator is above the zero axis, showing a top divergence, indicating that the upward momentum is weakening. In the first two trading days, the overall rhythm trend was alternating between primary and secondary, and it is expected that the intraday crude oil trend will still maintain the probability of shock upward, so maintain the long idea.
Trading can wait for the retracement after the long.
Trading Strategy:
BUY@62.8-63
TP: 63.8-64
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Maintain high-level volatility.In early trading on Wednesday in the Asian market, international oil prices fell slightly, mainly affected by the easing of supply-demand balance and the drag on the global economic outlook from trade concerns. Brent crude oil futures fell 0.1% to $65.58 per barrel, while U.S. WTI crude oil fell 0.1% to $63.32. This decline came after both rose about 2% in the previous trading day, hitting two-week highs. Tuesday's rally was driven by two main factors: first, large-scale wildfires in Canada since early May, which caused thousands of people to evacuate and disrupted part of crude oil production; second, markets expected Asian countries to reject the nuclear agreement draft proposed by the United States, thereby maintaining sanctions on the major oil-producing country and reducing crude oil supply. The current international oil market is in a game of multiple forces. On the one hand, geopolitical factors and natural disasters have increased short-term supply risks; on the other hand, OPEC+ production expansion and trade concerns have constrained the sustainability of price rebounds. In the absence of clear policy directions and confirmation from inventory data, oil prices may remain volatile at high levels.
Humans need to breathe, and perfect trading is like breathing—maintaining flexibility without needing to trade every market swing. The secret to profitable trading lies in implementing simple rules: epeating simple tasks consistently and enforcing them strictly over the long term.
Trading Strategy:
buy@62.0-62.5
TP:63.5-64.0
Crude oil is about to end its shock outbreak
💡Message Strategy
International oil prices rose in early Asian trading on Tuesday, mainly due to rising risks of supply disruptions. Iran is expected to reject a nuclear deal proposal from the United States, which would have paved the way for easing sanctions on Iranian oil exports.
In addition, wildfires in Alberta, Canada, also caused some oil and gas production to be suspended, exacerbating market concerns about supply.
Brent crude rose 0.86% to $65.20 a barrel; U.S. West Texas Intermediate rose 0.75% to $63.00. This continued the previous trading day's nearly 3% increase.
Geopolitical tensions also added to market concerns. The ongoing conflict between Russia and Ukraine has increased uncertainty in the global supply chain and geopolitical risk premiums.
Oil prices were also supported by OPEC+'s slowing production increase. The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies (OPEC+) decided at a meeting last week to increase production by only a small 411,000 barrels per day in July, the same as in the previous two months and lower than the large increase some market participants had expected.
International market conditions have a great impact on crude oil trends. Currently, various reasons have indicated an upward trend in crude oil, paving the way for the upcoming rising market.
📊Technical aspects
Technical analysis shows that the daily chart of US crude oil (WTI) is strong and still has room for upward movement in the short term. After the current WTI crude oil price stabilized at the integer mark of $61, it closed positively for several consecutive days, showing an obvious upward channel pattern.
In terms of technical indicators, the MACD fast and slow lines have formed a golden cross, and the kinetic energy column continues to expand, indicating that the bulls are strengthening; the RSI is near 65, not entering the overbought range, but showing good upward momentum.
In addition, the 5-day and 10-day moving averages continue to diverge upward after the golden cross, supporting the oil price trend. If the oil price can effectively break through the resistance level of $63.50, it is expected to challenge the previous high of $65.80;
💰 Strategy Package
Long Position: 62.00-62.50