USOIL POSSIBLE BUY OPPORTUNITY TO $68Price might likely trade back to $68 or $69 level after we had price plummet . A buy opportunity is envisaged this coming week. We anticipate price to trade bullish all the way to $68 or $69
USOIL trade ideas
USOIL: Local Bearish Bias! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse USOIL together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding below a key level of 61.501 So a bearish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next low. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
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Stop Loss 🛑:
Thief SL placed at the Nearest / Swing low level Using the 30mins timeframe (58.000) Day trade basis.
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🏴☠️Target 🎯: 66.000 (or) Escape Before the Target
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XTIUSD Buy Setup – 15M Entry with 4H Confluence (April 11, 2025🔍 Multi-Timeframe Confluence Strategy
This trade is a bullish entry on the 15-minute chart of Crude Oil (XTIUSD), based on a confirmed bullish structure shift on the 4H timeframe. The 15M entry aligns perfectly with HTF (higher timeframe) momentum, making this a high-probability setup.
⏰ 4H Timeframe Breakdown:
Price has broken previous 4H lower highs, confirming a structure shift from bearish to bullish.
Strong bullish engulfing candles have cleared resistance levels, turning them into new support.
Market is likely to start forming higher highs and higher lows going forward.
🧠 15-Minute Entry Logic:
Entry taken after retracement into minor 15M demand zone.
Trade executed at the point of short-term liquidity sweep, followed by bullish confirmation candle.
This creates a perfect LTF entry within HTF trend direction.
📌 Trade Setup Details:
Entry Price: Around 60.40 – 60.50
Stop Loss: Below intraday structure at 58.50
Take Profit: Targeting previous resistance at 63.40
✅ Why This Setup Works:
✅ 4H Structure Shift → Higher timeframe bias is now bullish
✅ 15M Pullback Entry → Clean risk-defined entry
✅ Liquidity Sweep → Market hunted stops before reversing (classic smart money move)
✅ Clear RR Setup → High reward for controlled risk
📢 Pro Tip:
Keep monitoring oil-related fundamentals and U.S. economic data (like inventories, geopolitical tension, etc.)—they often trigger momentum in XTIUSD.
RRR (Risk-Reward): Approx. 1:3, ideal for intra-swing or scalping objectives
Crude oil is under pressure, as recession fears reviveCrude oil had initiated a classical short coverage rally: despite a big bullish day, around 2% (42699 contracts on Nymex) of total open interest for Crude oil futures was liquidated, which means that a massive pullback was not associated with the new business coming in, but rather an old business getting out.
Despite the local optimism, market fear still dominates with VIX getting back to 46: a quite notable level. With that we can expect USOIL to continue sliding down in the near future and reaching the area below $57, at least temporarily. The fair price according to expected supply and demand had shifted to $60 (previously $75), as published in the short-term energy outlook from eia.gov
Don't forget - this is just the idea, always do your own research and never forget to manage your risk!
USOIL Short Trade Idea – Targeting $55.05 from $61.00Entry Point: ~61.00 USD
Stop Loss (SL): 64.77 USD
Target (TP): 55.05 USD
Risk/Reward Ratio: Favorable
Risk: ~3.77 USD
Reward: ~5.95 USD
Approximate R/R ratio: 1:1.58
🧠 Strategy Insight
Trend Context:
Prior to the entry zone, price shows a strong downtrend.
The price retraced upward into a resistance zone (highlighted in purple).
The setup suggests a short position anticipating rejection from this zone.
Indicators:
Moving Averages (red & blue):
Likely 50 EMA and 200 EMA showing bearish alignment (price mostly under both).
Resistance Zone:
The purple shaded region represents a supply zone, where price previously reversed.
Entry Zone Analysis:
Entry just below a recent rejection candle.
It's a conservative spot to catch a move back in the direction of the dominant trend.
Target Zone (55.05):
Likely based on a recent support level or demand zone from earlier price action.
Matches previous lows.
🔁 Possible Scenarios
✅ Bearish Scenario (Ideal Outcome):
Price gets rejected from the resistance zone and continues the downtrend toward the target at 55.05.
❌ Bullish Scenario (Risk):
Price breaks above 61.00 and continues toward 64.77, invalidating the short setup.
WTI Oil H4 | Approaching a swing-high resistanceWTI oil (USOIL) is rising towards a swing-high resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 62.71 which is a swing-high resistance.
Stop loss is at 66.00 which is a level that sits above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and a pullback resistance.
Take profit is at 57.01 which is a swing-low support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
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CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
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Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
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WTI - Will Iran return to the group of oil producers?!WTI oil is below the EMA200 and EMA50 on the 4-hour timeframe and is moving in its medium-term descending channel. If the correction towards the supply zone continues, the next oil selling opportunity with a suitable reward for risk will be provided for us. In this direction, with confirmation, we can look for oil buying transactions.
The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA), in its latest report, has downgraded its forecasts for oil and natural gas production, consumption, and prices for 2025 and 2026, while warning about the uncertain outlook of the energy market amidst economic volatility and escalating trade tensions.
According to the updated estimates, U.S. crude oil production in 2025 is expected to reach 13.51 million barrels per day, down from the previous forecast of 13.61 million barrels. For 2026, the figure has been revised to 13.56 million barrels per day, a reduction from the earlier 13.76 million forecast. Monthly data shows average U.S. oil output stood at 13.44 million barrels per day in April and 13.55 million in March, with similar levels expected in May.
Globally, EIA projects oil production in 2025 to be around 104.1 million barrels per day, slightly down from the earlier estimate of 104.2 million. For 2026, the revised figure stands at 105.3 million barrels per day compared to the previous 105.8 million.
On the demand side, global oil consumption forecasts have also been reduced. In 2025, demand is now estimated at 103.6 million barrels per day instead of 104.1 million, and for 2026 it is projected at 104.7 million barrels per day, down from the prior estimate of 105.3 million.
Regarding natural gas, the EIA reports that average U.S. gas production in April will be around 115 billion cubic feet per day, slightly lower than the 115.3 billion cubic feet reported in March. May’s forecast stands at 115.4 billion cubic feet. Demand has also dipped, with estimates for 2025 now at 91.2 billion cubic feet per day (down from 92), and for 2026 at 90.5 billion (previously 91.1).
In terms of pricing, EIA has made significant downward revisions. The average price of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil is now forecast to be $63.88 per barrel in 2025, compared to the earlier $70.68. For 2026, this drops further to $57.48. Brent crude is now estimated at $67.87 for 2025 and $61.48 for 2026, both notably lower than prior projections.
One key highlight from the report is EIA’s warning about high volatility in major commodity prices, especially crude oil. The agency underlined that reciprocal tariffs between China and the U.S. could heavily impact markets, particularly the propane sector.
EIA noted that U.S. liquefied natural gas (LNG) exports are likely to remain resilient despite trade disputes. This is attributed to strong global demand and the flexible nature of U.S. export contracts, which allow unrestricted shipments to multiple destinations.
However, when it comes to oil and petroleum products, the agency maintained a more cautious tone, emphasizing that recent shifts in global trade policies and oil production patterns may slow the growth of demand for petroleum-based products through 2026.
Altogether, the downward revisions by the EIA carry a clear message: the energy market outlook over the coming years is fraught with uncertainty. From supply and demand to pricing, political and economic forces such as trade wars and potential global recessions are expected to play decisive roles.
Meanwhile, according to Reuters, after U.S. President Donald Trump once again threatened military action if Tehran refuses to agree to a nuclear deal, a senior Iranian official responded by warning that Iran may halt its cooperation with the U.N.’s nuclear watchdog.
Reports indicate that American and Iranian diplomats will meet in Oman on Saturday to begin talks on Tehran’s nuclear program. Trump stated that he would have the final say on whether the negotiations are failing, which could place Iran in a highly dangerous position.
Ali Shamkhani, a senior adviser to Iran’s Supreme Leader, posted on X (formerly Twitter) that ongoing foreign threats and the looming threat of military confrontation could lead to deterrent actions such as expelling International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) inspectors and cutting ties with the agency.He also mentioned that relocating enriched uranium to secure, undisclosed locations within Iran may be under consideration
WTI Crude OilWTI Crude Oil
bullish divergence ,inverse head and shoulder pattern ,ChoC and retracement to FVG, Price in Premium Discount Zone ,
Entry at Current price
stop loss 58.20
TP 65.21 with 2.4 RRR
Crude Oil Found Support: What's Next?FenzoFx—Crude oil tested the $58.9 level as support and bounced back from it. The primary trend is bearish; therefore, it will likely resume if the price closes and stabilizes below this support.
If this scenario unfolds, the next bearish target could be the $55.15 support level.
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Remove Impulsiveness by planning your trade!! BUY OIL All the information you need to find a high probability trade are in front of you on the charts so build your trading decisions on 'the facts' of the chart NOT what you think or what you want to happen or even what you heard will happen. If you have enough facts telling you to trade in a certain direction and therefore enough confluence to take a trade, then this is how you will gain consistency in you trading and build confidence. Check out my trade idea!!
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What Happens to Global Markets When the Ukraine-Russia War Ends?What Happens to Global Markets When the Ukraine-Russia War Ends?
The end of the Ukraine-Russia war will undoubtedly impact major global markets,
here’s what we can expect:
Oil Market : With tensions easing, oil prices could drop as supply concerns lessen and sanctions ease. However, global demand could still keep prices stable or even high.
Gold Market : Gold, a safe-haven asset, might face a decrease in demand as geopolitical uncertainty fades, but if the end of the war leads to global economic instability, gold could remain a strong choice for investors.
Forex Market : The end of the conflict could boost the Euro and USD as stability returns to the market. At the same time, the Russian Ruble might face fluctuations as Russia’s economy adjusts to post-war conditions.
Crypto Market : Cryptocurrencies may see mixed reactions—some may retreat as confidence in traditional markets rises, but others could flow in if economic uncertainty continues to prevail globally.
🔮 The war's end could bring hope, but it also presents new challenges for markets worldwide. Stay tuned to see how it all plays out!
Bullish bounce?USO/USD has bounced off the support level which is a pullback support that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could potentially rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 58.96
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 56.81
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 63.23
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Analysis of Crude Oil StrategiesCrude oil bottomed out and rebounded sharply on Wednesday. This was also due to the impact of the tariff war, which is currently dominating the trend of the financial market. However, on Thursday, it didn't continue to rise. Instead, it fell successively and retraced. Pay attention to going long at the support level of 58.20 below, and consider going short at the resistance level of 61.90 above.
Oil trading strategy：
sell @ 61.90-62.10
sl 62.80
tp 60.95-61.10
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Oil Bounces from Demand LONG📈 WTI Crude Oil – 15M Long Setup | Demand Zone + Macro Confluence
This long setup on WTI was taken after price tapped into a key 15-minute demand zone, following a sharp NY session selloff. The entry aligns with both technical and macroeconomic confluences, suggesting a potential intraday reversal.
⸻
🔍 Macro Context
• Recent volatility triggered by geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and a larger-than-expected U.S. crude inventory build.
• Early DXY strength pressured oil prices, but a pullback around the New York Open created ideal conditions for a bounce.
• Market participants are repositioning ahead of U.S. CPI data and Fed speakers, creating liquidity sweeps and short-term inefficiencies.
• OPEC+ supply discipline and long-term underinvestment in energy infrastructure continue to support a bullish medium-term narrative.
⸻
📊 Technical Setup
• Entry: Rejection from 15M demand zone after liquidity sweep
• Stop Loss: Below demand zone and intraday low
• Take Profit: Imbalance fill near NYO and previous intraday structure (Target 60.55)
• R:R: 5.25
• Session: New York – increased volume and volatility
This setup is a great example of combining Smart Money Concepts (SMC) with macro catalysts, aiming to capture a high-probability reaction from an institutional zone during peak liquidity hours.
WTI Crude Oil | Potential Cup Formation with Volume Support.I’m spotting a potential Cup formation on the 30-min chart of WTI Crude Oil (USOILSPC), backed by strong volume profile zones. The price has recently pulled back to a low-volume area and is now consolidating with higher lows forming the right side of the cup.
A break above the $60.60–$60.80 zone could trigger bullish continuation toward $64+, with strong support seen around the $59–$59.30 range (volume shelf).
Setup Details:
• Pattern: Cup (early stage)
• Entry idea: Break & retest above $60.60
• TP: $64.00
• SL: Below $58.90
• Volume profile confirms accumulation near the lows
Watching closely for confirmation before adding more size. This is part of a low-risk entry using a funded account model.
#CrudeOil #WTI #VolumeProfile #CupFormation #BreakoutTrade #SmartMoneyConcepts
USOIL Oil – April 10, 2025
Price Action & Trend Analysis:
- Current Market Position:
- WTI Crude Oil is showing a bearish trend within a falling wedge pattern, a technical formation that often signals a potential breakout after consolidation. This pattern is visible with converging trendlines (blue), which suggest a potential move to the downside.
- The resistance zone is marked at 61.50, and the price is struggling to break above this level. If it does not break out of this level, further downside momentum may be expected.
Key Levels:
1. Resistance Zone:
- The resistance level is clearly marked near 61.50, and price action has repeatedly struggled to move above this level, showing signs of rejection. A failure to break this l…
ChatGPT: 4. FVG (Fair Value Gap):
- There is a Fair Value Gap (FVG) near 58.12, which indicates a possible area of imbalance where price could potentially retrace to fill the gap before moving in its next direction.
Volume Analysis:
- The volume profile indicates decreasing volume as the price approaches the resistance zone at 61.50, which may suggest a weakening of bullish momentum.
- The increasing volume near the support level at 58.00 suggests that buyers are looking to step in at these levels, but this remains to be seen as the price moves toward this region.
Key Observations:
- The bearish divergence observed between price and momentum suggests that bearish pressure is mounting, especially with the price failing to breach resistance and forming lower highs.
- T
"WTI Crude Oil – Bullish Bounce from Demand Zone? "🔵 . Demand Zone:
⬇️ 60.53 – 59.71
This is the buy zone where bulls are likely to step in!
Price is currently testing this area. Watch closely!
🛑 . Stop Loss (Risk Zone):
📉 Below 59.66
If price falls below here, exit the trade – demand has failed.
🎯 . Target Point:
🚀 63.85
This is the take profit zone. A successful bounce could reach this level!
🟠 . EMA (9-period DEMA):
📉 Currently around 60.86
Price is slightly below EMA, showing short-term bearish pressure.
🟢 . Trade Idea Summary:
• Enter near the blue demand zone
• SL below 🔴 59.66
• TP at 🎯 63.85
• R:R ratio looks favorable (low risk, high reward)
Outlook:
As long as price holds above the demand zone, this setup remains bullish 📈
Let’s see if the bulls can push it to that 63.85 target! 🚀💰
Crude 1 hr - ST trade - Long at trendlineCrude has pulled back after the furious bounce yday
Buy close to trendline - narrow SL as per risk appetite
58 .5 can be a deep stop. target c 65
US500, XAUUSD & XTIUSD Daily Trade SetupsIn this update, we review the recent price action in the US500, XAUUSD & XTIUSD and identify the next high probability trading opportunity and price objectives to target. To review today's video analysis, click here.
OIL PULLBACK 58-59 Then go up to 75-80OIL PULLBACK 58-59 Then go up to 75-80. Buy limit 58-59 sl 56.5 tp75-80
US OilCrude Oil
- Falling Wedge as an corrective pattern in Short Time Frame
- Break of Structure
- S / R Level
- Completed " 12345 " Impulsive Waves and " A " Corrective Waves
- Demand Zone
Long WTIUS10Y yield (white) and WTI typically trade in lockstep, but have recently diverged with US10Y rebounding while WTI has continued to observe selling pressure.
Expecting divergence to narrow, with WTI moving higher off recent lows. Entering long positions on WTI contracts.
