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WTI CRUDE OIL: Rebound to 75.50 very probable.WTI Crude Oil is bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 40.837, MACD = 0.030, ADX = 37.618) which is natural as it's trading inside a Channel Down. The pattern formed a 4H Death Cross yesterday and even though it's technically bearish, the last time it was formed (October 24th 2024), it marked a bottom 4 days later. The bottom was formed on a HL trendline and if it gets repeated, we should see a HL rebound soon. As with November's rebound, we will be targeting the 0.5 Fibonacci level (TP = 75.50). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
TVC:USOILLong
by InvestingScope
1
Crude oil remains on a bearish pathOil prices have fallen noticeably since Trump’s last minute deal to delay tariffs. Yesterday’s rebound on Trump's "maximum pressure" plan for Iran has proven to be short-lived. The negative effect of a US-China trade war on demand, as well as rising global supplies, is what is holding back prices. Even if Trump hadn’t delayed tariffs on Mexico and Canada, when considering both supply and demand factors, the overall impact on crude oil prices may well have been limited anyway. In any event, oil prices extended their losses after the OPEC+ agreed to stick to its policy and raise output gradually from April. Prices have fallen further today on the back of the latest inventories report from the US. A big 8.7 million barrel build was reported, which surprised the market given only a 2.4m build was expected. Against a backdrop of rising OPEC+ supply and the potential for increased non-OPEC supply growth, mainly in the US, the crude oil forecast remains modestly bearish. From a technical perspective, crude oil remains in a modest downtrend, with WTI consistently forming lower highs since September 2023. A brief breakout above this trend in January met strong resistance just below $80, pushing prices back under the trend line by month-end. With the bearish bias reaffirmed and WTI slipping below the 200-day moving average again, downside risks remain dominant. In terms of support, the area between $70.00 to $70.70 marks a key battle ground. This is where the price of oil last staged a rally from at the back end of last year. If we see a bounce here, I will then look for that bounce to fade as prices come up to test some key resistance levels… Key resistance levels to watch include the recently broken support at $72.50, the 200-day average at $74.30 and the psychologically significant $75.00 mark. The bearish trend line hovers around $76.00. By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
FOREXCOM:USOILShort
by FOREXcom
Oil - Trade Tariff and Global Growth ProblemsThe week started with a gap higher on the Monday open to 75.99 in response to President Trump’s weekend announcement of trade tariffs on Canada and Mexico. This included import tariffs of 10% on energy from the two countries, impacting around 4.5 million barrels per day of oil supplies into the US. The rally quickly reversed in the afternoon, as headlines surfaced that the start date for the trade tariffs, which was to be Tuesday February 4th, had been delayed by a month. This came after last minute calls between the leaders of Canada and Mexico with President Trump, led to concessions on border controls. China was also the subject of weekend US trade tariffs on all goods of 10%, and as these went into effect on Tuesday, they retaliated with tariffs of their own on exports of commodities into the US. While their response was measured, the mere potential of a tit-for-tat trade war between the world’s two biggest economies was enough to send oil traders rushing to cut weak long positions, sending oil to fresh 2025 lows at 71.50. The fear is a protracted trade war between the US and China could negatively impact global growth, which in turn could have severe implications for oil demand moving forward. That said, the situation between the two countries is fluid and prices will be sensitive to any headlines suggesting a pause for discussions between the US and China, or deeper escalation of the trade war. Traders also need to be prepared for updates on potential US tariffs on the EU and any retaliatory response. All of which could influence oil prices. The technical outlook is also critical. Oil has seen a sharp sell-off since the 81.01 January 15th high, a move that that was only briefly interrupted at Monday’s opening, as threats of Trumps tariffs were digested by the market. However, the early price strength proved short lived, and resistance offered by the Bollinger mid-average currently at 76.24 held, prompting fresh weakness, as tariffs were postponed, easing concerns. The latest downside move pushed below potential 72.22 support, which is the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of November 18th to January 15th strength. Much will depend on future price trends, but if this break is confirmed on a closing basis, it may lead to a more prolonged phase of price weakness. Next Possible Support: A previous correction low, where price weakness has been held and reversed to resume strength, can sometimes suggest the next support level during an extended price decline. If this is to be the case again, the next possible support could be 68.84, the December 20th session low, or, if this level was broken even possibly towards 67.06, which is the December 6th low. What About Potential Resistance Levels? Just because closing breaks of support offered by a 61.8% retracement have in the past prompted extended price declines, doesn’t mean it will do so again. As such, we must be aware of possible resistance levels. If price strength is seen, closing defence of 74.26 resistance, which is equal to 61.8% of this week’s decline, may be watched. Successful closing breaks above this level while not an outright positive, could see a more extended phase of price strength towards resistance at 76.23, the declining Bollinger mid-average. The material provided here has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Whilst it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research, we will not seek to take any advantage before providing it to our clients. Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
PEPPERSTONE:SPOTCRUDE
by Pepperstone
Crude whipsawsCrude oil suffered a deep sell-off yesterday, but rallied off its lows soon after the US open. In little over an hour, front-month WTI jumped from the day’s low of $70.50 to break briefly above $73.00. Prices have drifted lower ever since. The initial sell-off came after China announced retaliatory tariffs on imports from the US. The bounce came after President Trump turned his focus back on Iran, renewing pressure to curb the theocracy’s nuclear ambitions. This led to a severe drop in Iranian oil exports during Mr Trump’s last presidential term. China’s tariffs are set to come in next week, giving an opportunity for resolution. Presidents Trump and Xi are expected to have a conversation before these tariffs are implemented. China’s levies are focused on energy products including crude oil, liquified natural gas and coal. But China is also considering restrictions on the export of rare earth metals, and has said it will launch an antitrust probe into Google. Technically, oil is trading around the 61.8% Fibonacci Retracement of the six week rally since early December. If it can hold around here, then it increases the probability of a rebound.
TRADENATION:WTI
by TradeNation
WTI Crude Oil: Navigating Current Dynamics Near $72.00As I write this, West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil is hovering around $71.90. Despite ongoing concerns about a US-China trade war, the market is largely dismissing this risk, focusing instead on supply worries stemming from Iran. President Trump's administration has reinstated its "maximum pressure" campaign, aiming to cut Iran’s oil exports to zero, which heightens global supply concerns. This geopolitical landscape has significant implications, suggesting a potential tightening of global oil supply that could lead to price increases. From a technical standpoint, retail sentiment is bearish. However, examining historical data reveals a pattern of price recovery following downturns. Given current market dynamics, there’s a strong case for a bullish reversal. A pullback to around $78 seems feasible, as demand may soon outstrip supply due to lingering geopolitical tensions and economic recovery. In summary, while bearish thoughts prevail, the foundations are in place for an upward shift in WTI prices. As developments in Iran and broader economic indicators unfold, traders and investors should remain alert to the potential for a rebound. ✅ Please share your thoughts about WTI in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
BLACKBULL:WTILong
by FOREXN1
5
OIL Ready To Go Down Hard,Don`t Miss This Chance To Get 500 PipsHere is 4h time frame and we have a very good daily closure below our support and now it`s working as a good res to force the price to go down for 500 pips , so i`m waiting the price to go up a little to retest the broken support and then give us a good bearish price action and then we can enter a sell trade with 500 pips target. This Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
FX:USOILShort
by FX_Elite_Club
Crude ProspectI personally see crude in 2 different ways. 1. - fall a little more to have a power to rebound up to the previous high easy. - then, it will be completely bullish until the 80-90 dollars zone 2. - take some time with sideways channel and digest the volume thats done until now.. - then the crude will gain its momentum to soar up to the same 80-90 dollars price line. - However, ultimately it will go up until ATH and it will be the sign to sell your house and place your position with those money. This applies to the first scenario as well.
CAPITALCOM:OIL_CRUDELong
by minwoolim
1
USOil updateHow are you my friends? I talked about this chart before at 80 and that the decline does not mean a collapse This is the result of my words and as I saw it I was with you in the rise before to 80 approximately then with you in the decline then the rise again in the coming days Today we saw the level of 70.380 And we notice that it will touch the blue diagonal line Then the line will be broken, we will see more decline And we will soon see areas below 70 We will update the markets soon
MARKETSCOM:USOIL
by SMART1MG
OIL Special Crab PatternSpecial harmonic pattern of oil prices and the rise in oil prices from $70.4 per barrel have been observed in the market. By understanding and utilizing harmonic patterns in the oil market, investors can potentially identify trading opportunities and manage risks effectively. The increase in oil prices from $70.4 per barrel signifies a shift in market dynamics, influenced by various factors such as supply and demand, geopolitical events, and economic indicators. SEYED.
CAPITALCOM:OIL_CRUDE
by SEYED98
1