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USOILSPOT trade ideas

WTI Crude under pressure ahead of the weekly InventoriesBearish Scenario: WTI Crude remains in a bearish trend, with price action aligned with the prevailing longer-term downtrend. The key resistance level to watch is 68.71. If an oversold rally occurs but faces rejection at this level, the downtrend is likely to continue, targeting 66.50, followed by 66.08 and 65.75 as the next downside support zones over a longer timeframe. Bullish Scenario: A confirmed breakout above 68.71 and a daily close above this level would invalidate the bearish outlook. This could trigger further upside movement, with resistance targets at 69.34, followed by the psychological 70.00 level. Conclusion: The broader outlook remains bearish, but 68.71 is the key pivot level. Rejection from this zone reinforces the downside bias, while a sustained breakout above it could shift momentum toward further gains. Traders should watch price action around this level to determine the next move. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:WTI
by TradeNation
UOIL ANALYZE # 1. Is this the right time to take a short positioI missed the first opportunity(marked in a chart with an arrow) last Friday, but this chart is going on my watchlist to find another chance to take a short position. As you can see in the chart, the price fluctuates between 70.36 and 72.88 within the green rectangle range box.The last downtrend wave that broke the support level at 70.433 is very strong, and it began from the top of the range box. The target area marked on the chart is a key level and a very strong support for WTI. Actually, when the price broke the 70.40 support level, I could have taken a short position, but considering the stop-loss size, it was not easy to make a good gain. I'm going to wait for a price correction. If I find a sell setup, I'm going to take a short position.A lower low and lower high are going to be the next short trigger. Trading futures is always risky. Always do your own research and analysis. Do not forget the most important part: risk management. No one can predict how financial markets will behave with certainty.
FX:USOILShort
by ESsmaeel
USOIL WTI The price was in a downward trend, moving within a descending channel. A breakout from this channel indicates potential trend reversal or correction. Consolidation Zone Identified: The price is currently in a consolidation phase (marked in orange). A breakout above this zone could confirm bullish momentum, while rejection could push it lower. Key Resistance Levels for Upside Targets: If the price breaks above the consolidation zone, it could rally toward 71.246 and 72.103 as potential resistance levels. Green arrows indicate bullish breakout targets. Key Support Levels for Bearish Move: If the price fails to break above the consolidation zone, A further breakdown below this support level could push the price toward 68.400 and 66.888, the next major support. Conclusion: The next major move will depend on how price reacts to the consolidation zone. A breakout above could lead to bullish targets, while failure could send prices lower toward the next major support. Traders should watch for confirmation before entering trades. 🚀📉
FX:USOIL
by Pipsview_Analysis
Oil Under Pressure Amid Tariff Tensions and OPEC+ UncertaintyMacro: - Oil prices stabilised after hitting multi-month lows as the market weighed potential output increases in Apr and escalating tariff tensions among Canada, Mexico, China, and the EU. - Meanwhile, the halted US military aid to the Eastern Europe conflict, and OPEC+ production decisions continue to pressure oil. Technical: - USOIL remains in a downtrend, consistently making lower lows while trading below both EMAs, signalling persistent bearish momentum. However, the price is nearing the oversold zone, supported by multiple key levels. - If USOIL continues declining, it may retest 66.90 and 65.80, aligning with the 78.6% Fibonacci Extension. - Conversely, holding above 66.90 could lead to a short-term sideways movement, with a potential retest at 70.20, confluence with EMA21, and the descending channel’s upper bound. Analysis by: Dat Tong, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
FX:USOILSPOT
by DatTong
WTI Oil H1 | Strong overhead pressuresWTI oil (USOIL) is rising towards an overlap resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower. Sell entry is at 68.46 which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level. Stop loss is at 69.40 which is a level that sits above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and an overlap resistance. Take profit is at 66.82 which is a swing-low support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
FX:USOILShort
by FXCM
Hellena | Oil (4H): SHORT to the area of 67,037 (Wave C).The price is still in a downtrend and I believe that before the price starts an upward movement it needs to complete a big “ABC” correction and a small five-wave formation. I think the price will reach the level of 67,037. This level is quite important, because in its area we need to look carefully for reversal patterns. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
PEPPERSTONE:SPOTCRUDEShort
by Hellena_Trade
14
US oil consolidation breakdown alert trend Sell continue channel📉 USOIL Price Forecast – Channel Downtrend & Breakout Alert! 🚨 🔹 Market Overview: USOIL remains in a channel downtrend, with a bullish retest at $70.00 - $70.60 before continuing its downward move. After a sideways consolidation, the market broke down with a strong bearish candle, signaling further downside potential. 🔹 Key Levels to Watch: ✅ Retest Zone: $70.00 - $70.60 ✅ Sell Entry: $68.80 ✅ Target: $68.00 → $67.00 📌 Trading Strategy & Risk Management: ✔ Follow the trend – momentum favors sellers ✔ Protect your capital – control stop loss ✔ Stick to the trading plan 📢 Stay updated with real-time market insights, VIP trade setups & profitable strategies! 💬 Like, Comment & Follow for more expert analysis! Let’s win together! 🚀
TVC:USOILShort
by Jack-Mastermind
Crude Oil / WTI short cheap and good time to bounceVolatility on WTI has been very strong on past years but is narrowing. Especially in past months we can see a seemingly tightening volatility in prices. And we all know what that means right ?! Correct, a breakout will follow. The questions is only in which direction. A good risk ration is achievable since we are very close to a bounce level / support (green line) and far away from the next resistance (red line). Commodity markets tend to be mean reverting and whenever commodities are cheap it makes sense to but them. Boom and bust cycles. But this is rather a long term strategy. In any case, breakdown as below: Entry: Ideally we would average down the long position down to 67.28 and potentially below, in case price tests areas below. Exit: Ideally we would exit at TP slightly before 80 USD to avoid the resistance and the magical strength of full numbers. Something like 79.4 USD should work. If price moves against us close at SL or once daily candle break below the support and closes. In such case we could even consider a short position but with tight TP as fundamental dont point towards much lower prices. Conclusion: An easy trade can be entered with good risk reward ratio if executed correctly. Disclaimer: This is non financial advice let me know if any question.
TVC:USOILLong
by RobbybubbleX
1
Bullish rebound off pullback support?USO/USD is reacting off the support level which is a pullback support that aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension and could rise from this level to our take profit. Entry: 67.16 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension. Stop loss: 65.80 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 100% Fibonacci projection. Take profit: 69.33 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
VANTAGE:USOUSDLong
by VantageMarkets
MY VISION THE US OIL FOR NEXT WEEKSRecent data indicates that U.S. crude oil prices are projected to average around $70.66 per barrel in 2025, with ample supply expected to stabilize prices despite ongoing political uncertainties. Additionally, Goldman Sachs anticipates a modest short-term boost in U.S. energy production due to current tariff policies, which could influence oil prices. iven these factors, U.S. oil prices are expected to remain relatively stable in the coming weeks, with potential fluctuations influenced by geopolitical developments and trade policies.
TVC:USOILLong
by mrbenacci
Had this planned out for weeks, Finally time Been watching this since about $73 and drew this up and had a lot more fair value gaps ut the 68.68 was a number that lined up in a FVG and on the trendline.. Could have went to the lower one but felt safe here with a SL at $67 possibly losing the trendline. 4hr or 1 day chart. Data seemed consistent. Now we wait and see. First TP $75 possible $100 if we break out. if not we bounce in the range take some swing shorts as a hedge.
TVC:USOILLong
by Lunchable69
8
Oil Tariff Problems – Breaking Lower From a Sideways Range?In a previous post on Oil from December 9th (please take a look at our timeline for details) we highlighted that prices were back to an interesting level on the chart. Tests of an uptrend, which had been forming since the September 10th low at 65.63, were being seen as a sideways range in price developed. It was suggested at the time that traders may be watching this support level, as closing breaks below it might expose a more extended phase of price weakness, or if the support held, upside pressures might emerge once more. As we now know, the support level remained intact and a strong price rally was seen up to 81.01, the January 15th session high. However, as impressive as the December/January Oil price strength proved to be, after trading to the 81.01 January 15th highs, there was an equally significant failure of upside momentum, as sellers materialised again. This saw a sharp decline in Oil prices, all the way down to 67.11 the latest correction low posted on March 4th. Now, this last move lower has been in response to concerns about the demand outlook for Oil across the rest of 2025 as President Trump’s tariffs on key trading partners Canada, Mexico and China took effect and were met by retaliatory tariffs back on US goods. The fear is that an escalation of trade wars will negatively impact the global economy, and the ensuring slowdown will see the demand for Oil reduce. Whether it does or not remains to be seen, but Oil prices may remain volatile across the rest of this week as traders receive more tariff updates and start to focus on key US economic data in the form of the US ISM Services PMI, released tomorrow at 1500 GMT, and then the all important US Non-farm Payrolls, which is released at 1330 GMT on Friday. Technical Focus: What is now interesting with the chart above, is that Tuesday is seeing breaks under the support offered by the uptrend, which if confirmed on a closing basis, may in turn suggest the possibility of a more extended phase of Oil price weakness. This type of break lower in price is no guarantee of further declines and much will depend on future price sentiment and trends, but if it does happen, being aware of possible support levels, can be helpful. Technical Update: Potential Oil Price Downside Focus Previous correction lows are often a good place to start, as they have held declines before and seen prices rally, so are potentially areas where buyers maybe found again. With this in mind, 66.75, the November 18th low, or even 65.63, which was the September 10th low, may well be worth watching as possible support levels. Now, if these lower supports do give way on a closing basis, it’s not out of the question from a longer term perspective that there could be potential for an even deeper decline. If this is the case, as highlighted on the chart above, it might prove to be 63.68, which was the May 2023 low, or even 61.91, which was the November 2021 low that could in time come into focus. What if the Support Holds? Now, with so much uncertainty, it is possible that these support levels hold, so having some potential resistance levels to consider if there is a bounce can also be useful. Half of this week’s sell-off stands at 68.84, which if broken to the upside may suggest greater risks for continued Oil price strength. However, as recently proved to be the case when the market recovered into the 68.47 February 20th price high, it was the declining Bollinger mid-average that limited and then reversed the rally back to the downside. So, it could be this mid-average, which currently stands at 70.95, that traders might feel is a more challenging resistance area to overcome. Certainly, it would need to be broken on an upside closing basis, before evidence might turn towards a more extended retracement of January/March price declines. The material provided here has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Whilst it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research, we will not seek to take any advantage before providing it to our clients. Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
PEPPERSTONE:SPOTCRUDE
by Pepperstone
1