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USOIL Today's Trading Strategy Hope this helps youAlthough OPEC+ plans to significantly increase production in July and August, the actual implementation is uncertain. Some member states may struggle to meet production targets due to their own capacity, technical, or financial limitations, which could result in the actual supply increase being lower than expected. For example, in some small and medium oil-producing countries, aging equipment and backward mining technologies make it difficult to truly implement production increase plans even if they exist. The U.S. shale oil industry is facing the dual challenges of rising equipment costs and low oil prices, with many small and medium-sized drilling companies struggling to survive and even possibly shutting down some oil wells due to continuous losses. This means that U.S. shale oil production may not only fail to grow but could also decline, thereby reducing global crude oil supply and supporting oil prices. As the "heartland" of global crude oil supply, the Middle East has always been in a tense situation. The Iranian nuclear issue remains unresolved, relations between the U.S. and Iran are highly strained, and Israel is also eyeing Iran's nuclear facilities. Once a conflict breaks out, Iran's crude oil production and exports will be hindered, and oil transportation channels in the Middle East may also be affected, leading to a significant reduction in global crude oil supply and triggering a sharp rise in oil prices. This potential geopolitical risk could(at any time) become a catalyst for driving oil prices higher. USOIL Today's Trading Strategy Hope this helps you USOIL BUY@60.5~61 SL:59.5 TP:61.5~62
TVC:USOILLong
by AndyHopkins
WTI Crude Oil INTRADAY consolidation capped at 6360Trend: The sentiment remains bearish, in line with the prevailing downward trend. Recent Movement: Price is currently in a sideways consolidation, suggesting indecision near short-term lows. Key Levels Resistance: 6360 – Key resistance and prior consolidation zone. Above that: 6440, then 6530 – Next upside targets if breakout occurs. Support: 6020 – Initial downside target. Below that: 5940, then 5820 – Deeper support levels if bearish momentum resumes. Trading Scenarios Bearish Continuation: A rally to 6360 followed by rejection could lead to a drop toward 6020, 5940, and 5820. Bullish Breakout: A daily close above 6360 would negate the bearish setup and open the path for a recovery toward 6440, then 6530. Conclusion WTI Crude Oil remains under bearish pressure, but is currently range-bound. A rejection at 6360 would confirm downside continuation. A breakout above that level would shift bias to bullish, targeting higher resistance zones. Watch 6360 as the key pivot. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:WTI
by TradeNation
WTI Consolidates and Holds Above 60Crude oil remains locked in a resilient sideways range, with strong support between $55 and $58, and a key resistance zone between $63 and $65. Momentum indicators are mixed: • Daily RSI remains neutral, allowing for both bullish and bearish scenarios. • Weekly RSI shows a clean bounce from 2020 extremes, suggesting underlying bullish potential. Scenarios to Watch Bullish Scenario: A sustained move above $63.80–$65 could pave the way for gains toward $66.90, $69.20, and $71. Bearish Scenario: A decisive break below $58 would expose downside risk toward $56.70 and $55. In the case of extreme market turbulence, further losses toward $49 remain possible—potentially setting up for a new long-term bullish positioning. - Razan Hilal, CMT
FOREXCOM:USOIL
by FOREXcom
Oil Prices Up as Trump Delays EU Tariffs (Temporary Relief?) The global oil market, a sensitive barometer of economic health and geopolitical stability, registered a slight uptick in prices following the news that the Trump administration would extend the deadline for imposing new tariffs on a range of European Union goods. This minor rally, however, comes against a backdrop of a broader downtrend that has characterized the oil markets since mid-January. The persistent downward pressure has been largely attributed to the chilling effect of existing and threatened tariffs, not just between the US and the EU, but on a global scale, which have cast a long shadow over the outlook for global energy demand. To understand the significance of this deadline extension and its nuanced impact on oil prices, it's crucial to first appreciate the environment in which it occurred. For several months, the dominant narrative surrounding oil has been one of demand-side anxiety. President Trump's "America First" trade policy, which has seen the imposition of sweeping tariffs on goods from various countries, most notably China, and the persistent threat of more to come against allies like the European Union, has injected a significant dose of uncertainty into the global economic system. Tariffs, at their core, are taxes on imported goods. Their imposition typically leads to a cascade of negative economic consequences. Businesses that rely on imported components face higher input costs, which can either be absorbed, thereby reducing profit margins, or passed on to consumers in the form of higher prices. Higher consumer prices can dampen spending, a key driver of economic growth. Furthermore, the uncertainty created by an unpredictable trade policy environment often leads businesses to postpone investment decisions and hiring, further stagnating economic activity. This economic slowdown, or even the fear of it, directly translates into weaker demand for oil. Manufacturing activity, a significant consumer of energy, tends to decline. Global shipping and freight, which rely heavily on bunker fuel and diesel, slow down as trade volumes shrink. Consumer demand for gasoline and jet fuel can also wane if economic hardship leads to reduced travel and leisure activities. The retaliatory measures often taken by targeted nations – imposing their own tariffs on US goods – only serve to exacerbate this negative feedback loop, creating a tit-for-tat escalation that further erodes business confidence and global trade flows. It is this overarching concern about a tariff-induced global economic slowdown that has been weighing heavily on oil prices since the middle of January. Market participants, from large institutional investors to commodity traders, have been pricing in the potential for significantly reduced oil consumption in the months and years ahead if these trade disputes were to escalate or become entrenched. Every new tariff announcement or threat has typically sent ripples of concern through the market, often pushing oil prices lower. Against this gloomy backdrop, the news of an extension to the tariff deadline on EU goods, while not a resolution, acts as a momentary pause button on further immediate escalation. It offers a temporary reprieve, a brief window where the worst-case scenario of new, damaging tariffs being instantly applied is averted. This is likely why oil prices "edged higher." The market's reaction can be interpreted in several ways. Firstly, it reflects a slight easing of immediate downside risk to the European economy. The EU is a massive economic bloc and a significant consumer of oil. The imposition of new US tariffs on key European goods, such as automobiles or luxury products, would undoubtedly have a detrimental impact on European industries, potentially tipping already fragile economies closer to recession. An extension of the deadline pushes this immediate threat further down the road, offering a sliver of hope that a negotiated solution might yet be found, or at least that the economic pain is deferred. This deferral, however slight, can lead to a marginal upward revision of short-term oil demand expectations from the region. Secondly, the extension can be seen as a signal, however faint, that dialogue and negotiation are still possible. In the fraught world of international trade diplomacy, any indication that parties are willing to continue talking rather than immediately resorting to punitive measures can be interpreted positively by markets. It reduces, fractionally, the "uncertainty premium" that has been built into asset prices, including oil. However, it is crucial to temper any optimism. The fact that oil only "edged higher" rather than surged indicates the market's deep-seated caution. An extension is not a cancellation. The underlying threat of tariffs remains very much on the table. The fundamental disagreements that led to the tariff threats in the first place have not been resolved. Therefore, while the immediate pressure point has been alleviated, the chronic condition of trade uncertainty persists. The oil market is acutely aware that this extension could simply be a tactical move, buying time for political reasons without altering the fundamental trajectory of trade policy. If, at the end of the extended period, no agreement is reached and tariffs are indeed imposed, the negative impact on oil demand expectations would likely resurface with renewed force. The market is therefore likely to adopt a "wait and see" approach, with traders hesitant to make significant bullish bets based solely on a deadline postponement. Furthermore, the US-EU trade dynamic is just one piece of a larger global puzzle. The ongoing trade tensions with China, for instance, continue to be a major drag on global growth projections and, by extension, oil demand. Progress, or lack thereof, on that front often has a more substantial impact on oil prices than developments in the US-EU relationship, given the sheer scale of US-China trade and China's role as the world's largest oil importer. The slight rise in oil prices also needs to be seen in the context of other market-moving factors. Supply-side dynamics, such as OPEC+ production decisions, geopolitical events in major oil-producing regions like the Middle East, and fluctuations in US shale output, constantly interact with demand-side sentiment. A deadline extension on EU tariffs might provide a small boost, but it can be easily overshadowed by a surprise inventory build, an unexpected increase in OPEC production, or signs of weakening economic data from other major economies. In conclusion, the decision by the Trump administration to extend the tariff deadline on EU goods offered a moment of temporary relief to an oil market that has been under duress from trade war anxieties. This relief manifested as a marginal increase in oil prices, reflecting a slight reduction in immediate perceived risk to global economic activity and oil demand, particularly from Europe. However, this should not be mistaken for a fundamental shift in market sentiment or a resolution to the underlying trade disputes. The threat of tariffs remains, and the broader concerns about a global economic slowdown fueled by protectionist policies continue to loom large. The oil market's cautious reaction underscores the prevailing uncertainty, suggesting that while this extension provides a brief breathing space, the path ahead for oil prices will continue to be heavily influenced by the unpredictable currents of international trade policy.
TVC:USOIL
by bryandowningqln
USOIL:Long at 61.3-61.5 Last week's long target has been completed, the current decline is mainly due to concerns that global supply growth may exceed demand growth, from the technical trend, the objective trend of the middle line downward, short term long and short frequently alternate, pay attention to the support point of 60.3-60.5 within the day. Considering that it has been around this point of shock and not broken, short - term trading to do more. So the trading strategy :BUY@61.3-61.5 TP@62.5-62.7 ↓↓↓ More detailed strategies and trading will be notified here →→→ ↓↓↓ Keep updated, come to "get" →→→
TVC:USOILLong
by Boooob_
USOIL:Go long first Crude oil short-term trend to maintain weak shock upward rhythm, K line closed long lower shadow line, there are signs of rebound. Short - term moving average system gradually long arrangement, relying on oil prices, short - term objective trend direction to upward. It is expected that the intraday trend of crude oil will continue to extend upward, hitting around 62.8-63 Recommended Trading Strategies: 61-61.2 range to be long, short-term target to see 62, break through the target to see 62.8-63 ↓↓↓ The detailed strategy club will have tips, updated daily, come and get them →→→
TVC:USOILLong
by Boooob_
TRADE ALERT: USOIL SELL SETUP ENTRY: 64.50 (Sell)TRADE ALERT: USOIL SELL SETUP ENTRY: 64.50 (Sell) 🎯 Target 1: 64.00 🎯 Target 2: 63.00 🎯 Target 3: 62.00 🎯 Final Target: 60.00 🛑 STOP LOSS: Always use proper risk management! ⚠️ Risk no more than 1–2% of your capital per trade. 🔍 Setup based on technical analysis and price action. 💡 Breakdown: • Strong resistance near 64.50 • Bearish momentum building • Downtrend continuation likely 📊 Monitor volume and market sentiment 🧠 Stay disciplined, don’t chase entries ⏰ Timing is key — watch for confirmation 📅 Short to mid-term outlook 📌 This is not financial advice, just my trading plan. ✅ Stick to your rules 🔁 Trade the plan, not emotions #USOIL #CrudeOil #TradingSignals #SellSetup #Forex #Commodities #RiskManagement #TradeSmart #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction
TVC:USOILShort
by GoldTradersEdge
The trend after the surge in crude oil prices 💡Message Strategy Core economic data and event-driven The US employment report boosted expectations of rate cuts. According to the US Department of Labor, the unemployment rate stabilized at 4.2% in May, and 139,000 new non-farm jobs were added (the previous value was revised down). Phil Flynn, senior analyst at Price Futures Group, pointed out: "The employment data is 'just right', neither too hot nor too cold, but it strengthens the possibility of the Fed's rate cut." The expectation of a rate cut is seen as a potential positive for the crude oil market, as loose policies may stimulate economic recovery and boost oil demand. OPEC+ moderately increased production to balance market expectations. OPEC+ reached an agreement on Saturday to increase production by 411,000 barrels per day in July, which is lower than Saudi Arabia's proposal, but in line with market expectations. HSBC analysts believe: "Summer oil demand will peak in July-August, matching the increase in OPEC+ supply, and the market supply and demand will tend to balance in the second and third quarters." The decision did not suppress oil prices, but instead eased concerns about oversupply. 📊Technical aspects WTI crude oil: closed at $64.73 per barrel on Friday, up 2.21% on the day and 6.55% this week. It is about to reach our strategic target of 65.00. When everyone is looking at the decline of crude oil, our strategy is firmly on the rise, and the result is consistent with our direction. From a technical perspective, the daily chart of US crude oil (WTI) shows that the price is running in a short-term rising channel, with support at around $63, while the upper resistance is concentrated in the $64.50 area. In recent trading days, WTI has received support at the 60-day moving average and successfully broke through the 20-day moving average, indicating that the short-term bullish momentum is gradually increasing. At the same time, the MACD indicator shows a golden cross signal, and the momentum column continues to expand, indicating that the price is expected to further test the $65 mark. If the resistance level can be effectively broken, the next target may be $67. 💰 Strategy Package Long Position: 63.50-64.00
TVC:USOILLong
by TheodoreSilas
WTICOUSD - BULLISH Typical Wycoff Break Re-Test Slight Tap of FV Gap Bullish Engulfing Candle Usually signifies "In a Hurry". Best Analysis i think was Perplexity Ai Bullish Case for Oil US Jobs Data: Stronger-than-expected US jobs numbers have pushed prices higher, with algos covering short bets Geopolitical Risks: Ongoing tensions in Ukraine and Iran, plus Canadian wildfires, are supporting prices due to potential supply disruptions OPEC+ Supply Increase Smaller Than Feared: OPEC+ is raising output, but by less than the market expected, which has helped limit downside pressure and even sparked price gains Recent Price Action: Oil has rebounded to around $64–$65 (Brent) after several weeks of losses, suggesting some stabilization and potential for a technical bounce Deep Ai Probability of bullish continuation: 75/100 Technical s indicate a relatively high likelihood that the current bullish trend will continue toward the identified resistance zone above, provided no major fundamental shifts occur. However, caution remains due to potential pullbacks or consolidation near resistance levels. This is the safest place to enter usually Cost average in not stops they suck ! imho Lets See : ) .
OANDA:WTICOUSDLong
by NZ_Shareman
Crude Oil (WTI) Daily Chart AnalysisCrude Oil (WTI) Daily Chart Analysis Pattern Formed: A Symmetrical Triangle formation is clearly visible. Context: The prior trend leading into the triangle was bearish. Typically, in technical analysis, a triangle after a downtrend is considered a continuation pattern — meaning there is a higher probability that the price will break downward. The triangle appears to have completed its 5-wave internal structure (ABCDE), a classical behavior of contracting triangles. Breakout Expectation: After a completed 5-wave triangle, a breakout is imminent. Directional Bias: Since this triangle is forming after a strong downtrend, the higher probability is for a bearish breakout. However, triangles can break either way, and when they do, the move is often impulsive. Potential Scenarios: Bearish Breakdown (High Probability): A downside break would likely trigger a sharp fall. Immediate support levels to watch post-breakout: $60.00 $56.50 $46.75 (measured move — target derived from the height of the triangle projected downward) Bullish Breakout (Low Probability but Possible): In case of an upside breakout, resistance zones are: $72.00 (supply zone + previous highs) $78.00 Upside could see sharp momentum but is less likely unless there is strong fundamental support (e.g., geopolitical tensions, production cuts). Volume Confirmation: Volume typically contracts during triangle formation. Post-breakout, volume expansion is essential to confirm the breakout direction. Indicators (Suggested Additional Confirmations): Watch for RSI — if divergence forms, could signal weakness. Monitor MACD for crossovers at breakout zones. Summary Triangle Completed: 5-wave structure inside the triangle — ready for breakout. Bias: Bearish continuation pattern — higher probability of a downward move. Trigger: Breakout of the triangle boundary with volume expansion will confirm the next move. Targets (Post-Breakout): Downside: $60 ➔ $56.5 ➔ $46.75 Upside (less probable): $72 ➔ $78 ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is based purely on technical chart patterns and historical price action. Trading and investing involve substantial risk. Always perform your own due diligence or consult a financial advisor.
FX:USOIL
by shiva560060
2
Crude Oil is Building Momentum for a BreakoutDuring the U.S. trading session on Thursday, international oil prices fluctuated higher, with U.S. crude oil currently trading near $63.55 per barrel. Despite the intraday volatility, international oil prices remain under downward pressure, primarily influenced by two key factors. First, data from the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) showed that as of last week, U.S. gasoline and distillate inventories increased more than expected, signaling weakening refined product demand in the world’s largest economy. This development has sparked investor concerns about whether the U.S. summer driving season can sustain demand growth, leading to a ~1% decline in oil prices on Wednesday. The current crude oil market is caught between supply and demand headwinds: Supply-side pressures: OPEC+’s production increase plan and Saudi Arabia’s strategic price cuts have created short-term bearish sentiment. Demand-side uncertainties: The unexpected rise in U.S. refined product inventories has amplified market doubts about the vigor of global consumption recovery. Additionally, the escalation of international trade frictions has further dampened risk appetite, exacerbating downward pressure on prices. In the short term, oil prices are likely to continue oscillating within the $60–$65 per barrel range. Market participants should closely monitor U.S. macroeconomic data and OPEC+’s compliance with its production policies for directional cues. Humans need to breathe, and perfect trading is like breathing—maintaining flexibility without needing to trade every market swing. The secret to profitable trading lies in implementing simple rules: repeating simple tasks consistently and enforcing them strictly over the long term. Trading Strategy: buy@61.5-62.0 TP:63.0-63.5
TVC:USOILLong
by Ashbur
USOIL Will Grow! Buy! Take a look at our analysis for USOIL. Time Frame: 1D Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is testing a major horizontal structure 62.890. Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 68.865 level soon. P.S The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce. Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
FX:USOILLong
by SignalProvider
1
USOIL:tay long USOIL: The short-term objective trend is oscillating. In terms of momentum, the MACD indicator is above the zero axis, showing a top divergence, indicating that the upward momentum is weakening. In the first two trading days, the overall rhythm trend was alternating between primary and secondary, and it is expected that the intraday crude oil trend will still maintain the probability of shock upward, so maintain the long idea. Trading can wait for the retracement after the long. Trading Strategy: BUY@62.8-63 TP: 63.8-64 ↓↓↓ More detailed strategies and trading will be notified here ↗↗↗ ↓↓↓ Keep updated, come to "get" ↗↗↗
TVC:USOILLong
by Boooob_
Maintain high-level volatility.In early trading on Wednesday in the Asian market, international oil prices fell slightly, mainly affected by the easing of supply-demand balance and the drag on the global economic outlook from trade concerns. Brent crude oil futures fell 0.1% to $65.58 per barrel, while U.S. WTI crude oil fell 0.1% to $63.32. This decline came after both rose about 2% in the previous trading day, hitting two-week highs. Tuesday's rally was driven by two main factors: first, large-scale wildfires in Canada since early May, which caused thousands of people to evacuate and disrupted part of crude oil production; second, markets expected Asian countries to reject the nuclear agreement draft proposed by the United States, thereby maintaining sanctions on the major oil-producing country and reducing crude oil supply. The current international oil market is in a game of multiple forces. On the one hand, geopolitical factors and natural disasters have increased short-term supply risks; on the other hand, OPEC+ production expansion and trade concerns have constrained the sustainability of price rebounds. In the absence of clear policy directions and confirmation from inventory data, oil prices may remain volatile at high levels. Humans need to breathe, and perfect trading is like breathing—maintaining flexibility without needing to trade every market swing. The secret to profitable trading lies in implementing simple rules: epeating simple tasks consistently and enforcing them strictly over the long term. Trading Strategy: buy@62.0-62.5 TP:63.5-64.0
TVC:USOILLong
by Ashbur