WTI Crude Oil (USOIL) Bullish Pullback Setup – Targeting $66.70 Entry Point: Around $62.30 - $62.26
Stop Loss: Set below the entry zone at $61.65, with a potential lower buffer at $60.90
Target Zone (EA TARGET POINT): Between $66.62 and $67.00
A projected gain of 4.22 points (~6.77%)
📈 Price Action & Indicators:
The price had a strong bullish run recently and is now consolidating or pulling back slightly.
The red and blue moving averages (likely short-term and medium-term MAs) show a bullish crossover and trend.
There's a potential bullish setup if the price pulls back to the entry zone and finds support.
The blue curved arrow indicates a projected bounce from the $62.30 support region back up toward the $66.70 target.
🛠️ Strategy Implied:
Wait for pullback to the entry zone (~$62.30).
Enter long at or around that level.
Set Stop Loss at $61.65 to limit downside risk.
Take Profit at $66.70 for a solid risk-reward ratio.
⚠️ Risks:
If support at $62.30 fails, price may head toward $61.65 or lower.
Market volatility (especially with crude oil) can invalidate setups quickly.
Economic events (e.g., U.S. inventory reports, OPEC news) can disrupt technical patterns.
USOUSD trade ideas
Hellena | Oil (4H): SHORT to support area of 56,339.Colleagues, I was watching the price and was expecting a pattern for a reversal downtrend. I still expect a downward movement and believe that the price is in a combined correction.
This means that wave “B” has been formed and I expect wave “C” to reach at least the 56,339 area.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
USOIL Weekly Analysis – Major Breakdown and Retest in PlayAfter several months of holding firm, USOIL has finally broken below its key support zone around $67–$70, which had acted as a floor since mid-2021 . This is a significant technical development, and the current price action is showing a classic bearish retest of that broken structure.
Technical Breakdown:
Support Broken:
The $67–$70 zone was tested multiple times over the past 2 years. Price has now cleanly broken through it and is struggling to reclaim it.
Retest in Progress:
Price is currently hovering around $62.36 and failing to push back above the broken support. This retest is textbook and could confirm further downside.
Market Structure:
Lower highs and lower lows dominate the weekly chart = clear bearish trend.
Bearish Targets:
Target 1: $53.50 – Previous minor demand zone from 2021.
Target 2: $41.50 – Strong historical support and potential major bounce area.
Invalidation Zone:
If price closes above $70 on the weekly chart, the breakdown would be invalidated and we’ll reconsider our bias.
Confluence:
Broken multi-year support
Bearish retest on weekly timeframe
Clear downside liquidity below
Summary:
Bias: Bearish
Setup: Short on confirmation of rejection below $67
Timeframe: Weekly / Daily
This is a high-probability setup if the rejection continues. Look for further bearish price action on the daily or 4H chart for refined entries. As always, manage risk carefully .
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WTI OIL 1H Channel Up make or break Targets.WTI Oil (USOIL) has been trading within a Channel Up on the 1H time-frame that is supported by the 1H MA200 (orange trend-line). As long as this holds, we expect another +2.50% Bullish Leg (at least), which gives a Target of $63.55.
If the price breaks below the 1H MA200 though, we will take this small loss on the long and go short instead, targeting Support 1 at $60.60.
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Bullish bounce off overlap support?WTI Oil (XTI/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance, which is a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 59.97
1st Support: 57.60
1st Resistance: 63.27
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USOILUSOIL is in a correction phase. If the price can stay above 61.5, it is expected that the price will rebound. Consider buying in the red zone.
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WTI Crude Oil Price Targets Fresh GainsWTI Crude Oil Price Targets Fresh Gains
WTI Crude oil prices are gaining bullish momentum and might even test $63.50.
Important Takeaways for WTI Crude Oil Price Analysis Today
- WTI Crude climbed above the $60.90 and $61.50 resistance levels.
- There is a key rising channel forming with support at $61.30 on the hourly chart of XTI/USD at FXOpen.
WTI Crude Oil Price Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of WTI Crude Oil at FXOpen, the price started a fresh upward move from $60.10 against the US Dollar. The price gained bullish momentum after it broke the $60.90 resistance.
The bulls pushed the price above the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $63.45 swing high to the $60.08 low. The price even climbed above the 50-hour simple moving average.
It tested the $62.15 resistance zone and the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $63.45 swing high to the $60.08 low. There is now a key rising channel forming with support at $61.30.
The RSI is now near the 50 level and the price could aim for more gains. If the price climbs higher again, it could face resistance near $62.15. The next major resistance is near the $62.65 level. Any more gains might send the price toward the $63.45 level or even $65.00.
Conversely, the price might correct gains and test the $61.30 support level. The next major support on the WTI crude oil chart is near the $60.90 zone, below which the price could test the $60.10 zone.
If there is a downside break, the price might decline toward $58.50. Any more losses may perhaps open the doors for a move toward the $55.50 support zone.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
WTI CRUDE OIL: Mirror pattern calls for a sell.WTI Crude Oil is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 50.222, MACD = -0.370, ADX = 25.154) as the price is just under the 1D MA50, where it got rejected last Tuesday. In the meantime, it has the support of the 4H MA50, hence stuck inside a neutral range. This pattern is however identical to April, after which the price declined aggressively to the S1 level. Sell, TP = 56.00.
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WTI OIL Buy and sell levels within its Channel Down.WTI Oil (USOIL) has been trading within a Channel Down pattern on the 1D time-frame. The price is now rising having priced its most recent technical Lower Low. Every Lower High rejection happened either on or above the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line).
With the current rebound looking similar to September - October 2024, we expect a 0.786 Fib and 1D MA200 test at $68.50 (buy) and then reversal to a minimum -17.30% decline to $57.00 (sell).
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Bullish bounce?WTI Oil (XTI/USD) has bounced off the pivot, which acts as an overlap support that is slightly above the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could rise to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 60.07
1st Support: 57.67
1st Resistance: 64.55
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Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Potential bullish bounce?USO/USD has bounced off the support level which is an overlap support that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could potentially rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 60.39
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 57.93
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 71% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 64.14
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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WTI Crude Returns to the $60 ZoneWTI crude oil has posted a drop of more than 4% in recent sessions as the market digests new announcements from OPEC+. The organization stated that current economic conditions could support growth in oil demand throughout 2025 and 2026. However, it remains firm in its decision to increase production starting in May and June, with monthly increments of 411,000 barrels per day, and has also announced another increase in July.
This stance has sparked concerns in the market about a potential short-term oversupply. If this strategy persists, selling pressure could return to WTI price action in the coming sessions.
Bearish Trend
Since January 20, a clear bearish trend has been forming, pushing the barrel’s price below the $60 mark. While a notable upward move is currently underway, it remains insufficient to break the prevailing bearish formation, which continues to be the dominant technical structure in the short term.
ADX
The ADX line was previously hovering around the 40 level, reflecting high volatility in price movements. However, it has begun to flatten, and if this continues, it could suggest a loss of directional strength, paving the way for a more neutral price behavior.
RSI
The behavior of the RSI mirrors that of the ADX. It is currently oscillating around the 50 level, indicating a balance between buying and selling pressure, and reinforcing the potential for a neutral phase in the short term.
Key Levels:
$65 – Current Resistance: Aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and acts as a key psychological level. A breakout above this level could extend the current bullish bias over the coming sessions.
$67 – Distant Resistance: Matches the 50% Fibonacci retracement and a sideways zone observed in March. Sustained moves above this area could challenge the existing bearish structure on the chart.
$60 – Crucial Support: Represents a consistent area of indecision in recent months. If the price returns to this level, the previous bearish structure could regain strength in the short term.
Written by Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
USOIL BEARS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|SHORT
USOIL SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 63.61
Target Level: 55.26
Stop Loss: 69.15
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1D
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Crude Oil Monday Opening Trend Analysis & Trading TipsThe real-time trading signals we provided have been profitable every day. If you don't know how to get started, you can refer to my strategies. 👉🏼👉🏼👉🏼
During the US trading session on Friday, oil prices fluctuated narrowly higher, with USOIL trading near $61.98 per barrel. After a sharp decline in the previous session, prices rebounded slightly on Friday, forming a weekly pattern of rallying followed by a pullback. The easing of global trade tensions has alleviated market concerns about the global economy and oil demand, supporting prices; however, oversupply sentiment remains a headwind.
On the daily chart, the medium-term trend is downward, with moving averages suppressing rallies. After hitting a low of 55.20, prices have oscillated between bullish and bearish sentiment, forming a bearish flag continuation pattern in its infancy. Attention should focus on whether prices can break above the flag's upper trendline—medium-term consolidation is likely to be followed by a decline to the 50 level.
In the short term (1H chart), the consolidative decline continued to test the 60 support level, where prices rebounded modestly. Moving averages still cap upside potential, keeping the short-term trend downward. While the MACD indicator has formed a bullish cross below the zero line, indicating slightly strengthened bullish momentum, prices are expected to rise briefly before encountering resistance near 63.50 and reversing lower.
Overall, next week’s trading strategy for crude oil should prioritize shorting on rallies, with a secondary focus on buying on pullbacks. Short-term resistance lies at 63.5–64.0, while support is at 60.5–60.0.
USOIL
buy@61.50-62.00
tp:63.00-63.50
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USOIL A Fall Expected! SELL!
My dear followers,
This is my opinion on the USOIL next move:
The asset is approaching an important pivot point 61.87
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market.
Goal - 61.38
About Used Indicators:
For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
USOIL BEST PLACE TO SELL FROM|SHORT
USOIL SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 61.86
Target Level: 55.95
Stop Loss: 65.80
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1D
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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USOILUSOIL (WTI Crude) Fundamentals – May 2025
1. Supply and Demand Dynamics
Global Oil Demand:
The International Energy Agency (IEA) projects global oil demand growth will slow from 990,000 barrels per day (bpd) in Q1 to around 650,000 bpd for the rest of 2025, reflecting economic headwinds and record-high efficiency gains.
The IEA’s latest report (May 2025) estimates total demand will rise by 741,000 bpd in 2025, reaching 103.9 million bpd, with emerging markets (China, India, Africa, Latin America, Middle East) driving most of the growth.
OECD demand is expected to decline, while non-OECD demand remains geographically diversified.
Global Oil Supply:
Global crude oil and liquids supply is forecast to average 104.4 million bpd in 2025, up 1.8 million bpd (+1.7%) from 2024.
Non-OPEC+ countries (U.S., Brazil, Guyana, Canada) are expected to contribute most of the supply growth, potentially resulting in a supply surplus.
OPEC+ extended its 3.7 million bpd supply cuts to the end of 2026, but voluntary cuts will be gradually phased out starting April 2025.
Supply-Demand Balance:
The EIA expects a supply surplus in 2025 as non-OPEC+ supply growth outpaces demand increases, especially with OPEC+ phasing out some cuts.
2. Inventory and Refinery Data
U.S. Inventories:
U.S. commercial crude oil inventories fell by 2.7 million barrels at the end of April, now about 6% below the five-year seasonal average.
Gasoline and distillate inventories remain below average, suggesting tightness in refined product markets.
U.S. refineries are operating at 88.6% capacity, with robust input and flat-to-lower gasoline production.
3. Geopolitical and Macro Factors
Trade Policy and Geopolitics:
Recent easing of U.S.-China trade tensions and progress in U.S.-Iran nuclear talks have improved risk sentiment and supported oil prices.
Hopes for a Russia-Ukraine ceasefire and de-escalation in the Middle East have reduced risk premiums, but the market remains sensitive to any setback in negotiations.
OPEC+ Compliance:
OPEC+ compliance with production cuts was high (112%) in March 2025, tightening supply and helping prices rebound from recent lows.
4. Price Trends and Outlook
Current Prices:
WTI crude is trading around $62.80–$63.50, rebounding from recent lows but still well below early 2025 peaks.
Price volatility remains high (Brent’s 30-day realized volatility peaked at 35%), reflecting sensitivity to geopolitical headlines and inventory data.
Forecasts:
J.P. Morgan maintains a Brent forecast of $66/bbl for 2025, with expectations for prices to remain under pressure due to supply surplus, but potential for mid-$70s if trade optimism and OPEC+ discipline persist.
Futures markets price WTI at an average of $75/bbl for 2025, though this is above current spot prices.
Summary Table
Factor Current Status/Impact (May 2025)
Global Demand Growth Slowing, driven by emerging markets
Global Supply Rising, led by non-OPEC+ (US, Brazil, Guyana)
OPEC+ Policy Extended cuts, gradual phase-out
US Inventories Below 5-year average, supporting prices
Geopolitical Risk Lower, but market remains headline-sensitive
WTI Price Range $62.80–$63.50 (recent), futures avg $75/bbl
Volatility High, driven by macro and geopolitical uncertainty
Conclusion
USOIL fundamentals for May 2025 reflect a market balancing slower demand growth, robust non-OPEC+ supply, and cautious optimism on geopolitics. Ongoing OPEC+ discipline and below-average inventories provide some support, but the risk of a supply surplus and persistent volatility keep prices capped. Watch for trade policy shifts, OPEC+ compliance, and inventory trends as key catalysts for the month.
Crude Oil Analysis 16-May-2025Crude oil analysis and what are the possible scenarios we could see.
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Crude oil: 63.00 resistance & 60.00 support keyPrices are currently testing the upper resistance at $63.00 📈. These levels are suppressing the price 🔻. A decisive breakthrough above this level may trigger a more intense upward rally 🔥. Meanwhile, recent selling pressure has pushed the price down to $60.60 📉. Watch the pivot support at $60.00, the real downward target 🎯
Crude oil surplus expanded in April, and imports increased, reaching multi - month highs from some countries 🌍. If global benchmark oil prices rise in the future, purchases may be reduced 📉.
Crude oil fell first and then rose today 📊. After a deep dive to $60.9, it stabilized and started to rise 🔼. After the previous price increase and adjustment, it remains to be seen if the upward momentum will continue and break through upwards 🔍.
Overall, on the delivery day, oil prices are volatile 🔼🔽. Watch the resistance at $63.0 on the upside and the support at $60.60 - $60.0 on the downside 👀.
⚡️⚡️⚡️ USOil ⚡️⚡️⚡️
🚀 Sell@ 62.50 - 62.30
🚀 TP 61.50 - 60.60
Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇
WTI Oil H4 | Falling toward an overlap supportWTI oil (USOIL) is falling towards an overlap support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 60.44 which is an overlap support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 57.60 which is a level that lies underneath a swing-low support and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 63.68 which is a multi-swing-high resistance.
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OIL Looks Poised to Rise to $63 OIL Looks Poised to Rise to $63
According to a prestigious news agency, oil prices rose slightly, after rising by about 3% in the previous session, while trade tensions between major oil consumers, the US and China, showed signs of easing and Britain announced an “exceptional” trade deal with the United States.
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The truth is that this is a huge misinformation because no one mentioned the growing conflict in the Middle East this week. On the one hand, we have Israel, which has struck Yemen and is claiming to resume its operation in Gaza.
On the other, India and Pakistan are engaged in their worst conflict in two decades, with reports of warplanes being shot down.
The growing conflicts could push oil prices even higher, driven by fear of uncertainty.
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From a technical point of view oil just broke out from a strong structure zone today. If the price holds above the zone I labeled on the chart near $60 we should see OIL price rising near to the next zone $61.8 and 63 - 63.20
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
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