0 DTE Iron Condor - SPX-5710 +5810
Wide 0 DTE, Dorian Trader style Iron Condor.
7.15% gain in premium on capital invested.
I made sure that the short leg is below the gap up candle on the 24th
USSP500CFD trade ideas
Bulls and Bears zone for 03-26-2025Futures are trading a little bit lower during ETH session, since there is a lot of uncertainty in the market.
Level to watch: 5829 --- 5827
Vix Alert'VIX Alert' is a simple and accurate trend deviation alert system using the VIX index and S&P 500 index.
SPX Stalls at Resistance - Here's What I’m Watching SPX Stalls at Resistance - Here's What I’m Watching | SPX Analysis 26 Mar 2025
You know that scene in every action movie where someone’s finger hovers over the big red button… and they don’t press it?
That’s me right now.
Because once again, sitting back and waiting for a cleaner entry zone is paying off. SPX tagged the upper Bollinger Band – like a polite tap on the shoulder – but hasn’t turned with any conviction.
No pulse bars. No reversal. Just a stall.
And that, my friend, is where we earn our edge – not by reacting early, but by knowing when not to act at all.
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Deeper Dive Analysis:
Markets don’t always reward the busy. Sometimes, the biggest wins come from doing… nothing.
And today is one of those days.
📍 SPX tagged the upper Bollinger Band
⏸️ But instead of turning sharply, price paused
🚫 No bearish pulse bars yet – which means no confirmed reversal
We’re in “hover mode”.
Which, translated to trader speak, means:
"Don’t be clever. Just wait."
🎯 I’m staying bullish above 5700
🧭 But I’m not placing blind trades just to feel productive.
If price breaks and holds above 5700, I’ll consider scaling in for a bullish continuation.
If we slip back below 5700, I’ll reassess for bearish setups and pulse bar confirmation. But until then? My finger’s off the button.
Why? Because I know this pattern.
The tag-with-no-turn often just means we’re not done yet. The trend might still have gas in the tank, or it’s winding up for a more dramatic move later.
Either way, I’m not front-running it.
And honestly? Watching others flinch and overtrade while I sip tea and wait is one of life’s great pleasures. 😎
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Fun Fact
📢 In 2006, someone accidentally sold 610,000 shares of a stock instead of 1.
💡 This infamous “fat-finger trade” cost Mizuho Securities $225 million in one afternoon — and became one of the most expensive typos in trading history.
Moral of the story?
In trading – as in typing – sometimes doing nothing is smarter than doing something fast.
26/3/25 Bulls Need Follow-through, or Stall at 20-Day EMA?
The market tested the 20-day EMA and the January 13 low in the last 2 trading days.
In our last report, we said the buying pressure is stronger than the selling pressure (bear bars with no follow-through selling) and the odds slightly favor the market to still be in the sideways to up pullback phase.
The bulls want the market to form a 2 legged sideways to up pullback testing the 20-day EMA, 200-day EMA or the January 13 low. They got what they wanted.
The pullback currently has more bull bars vs bear bars with no follow-through selling. The bulls are stronger.
The market has formed 3 pushes up, therefore a wedge (Mar 17, Mar 19, and Mar 15).
If there is a pullback, the bulls want at least a small sideways to up leg to retest the current leg high (Mar 25) after that, forming a larger double top bear flag.
The bulls must continue creating follow-through buying above the 20-day EMA to increase the odds of testing the March 3 high (start of the bear channel).
The bears see any pullback as minor. They expect at least a small second leg sideways to down to retest the Mar 13 low after the pullback phase.
The strong move down slightly favor the first pullback to be minor and not lead to a reversal up.
They must create strong bear bars with follow-through selling to show that they are back in control.
They want the 20-day EMA and the Jan 13 low to act as resistance.
The prior climactic selloff and parabolic wedge increase the odds of a pullback which is underway.
For now, traders will see if the bulls can continue to create follow-through buying above the 20-day EMA, or will the market stall around the current levels instead?
If there is a pullback, traders will see if the bulls can create a retest of the current leg high (now Mar 25) and the strength of the retest.
If it is weak and is a lower high, another sideways to down leg to retest the March 13 low will increase.
For now, the market may still be in the sideways to up pullback phase.
But the wedge pattern is increasing the odds of a small pullback.
SPX 5800 Strong resistance200 days HILO EMA central line has always given a strong support resistance in the past and I would expect that to be so this time as well. Since the market structure broke when prices crossed the lower outer ema band, even if the price goes above the middle line I would not consider it to be bullish.Only when the prices hit the upper or lower band a new trend can be confirmed.
For now I am just going to be short term trader and a cautious long term investor accumulator
of fundamentally good stocks. Not Tesla :)
Notice how the inner lines align with the the other lines before the breakdown! A kind of step formation, indicating the period selection of 200 ema is sound
Retest SPX 200 SMA Patience The S&P 500 (SPX) is at a pivotal moment this week as it tests its 200-day simple moving average (SMA), a key technical level that often dictates market sentiment. With volatility creeping higher and investors weighing economic data, interest rate expectations, and earnings forecasts, the index's ability to hold this level could determine the next directional move.
I am staying patient, watching and waiting. A successful defense of the 200-SMA could signal a bottoming process, inviting dip buyers back into the market and potentially setting up a rebound toward key resistance zones. Conversely, a confirmed breakdown below this level could trigger a wave of technical selling, accelerating downside momentum as traders reassess risk exposure.
For now, I remain on the sidelines. I go long when Kenjen is above price, ensuring I trade with momentum and confirmation rather than speculation. All eyes are on how price action develops around this crucial support.
Where Next for the S&P 500?
With the S&P 500 tumbling 10% from its mid-February highs, we take a look at whether this correction is running out of steam—or just getting started. A weak bounce and a looming resistance zone suggest the index has work to do before the bulls can regain control.
Tariffs, Turmoil, and the End of ‘American Exceptionalism’?
For much of the past two years, U.S. stocks have outpaced global peers, fuelled by strong economic growth and corporate earnings. But that narrative is being rapidly unwound. Trump’s sweeping tariffs on imports from Mexico, Canada, and China have triggered fears of a slowdown, prompting Wall Street to question how long U.S. assets can maintain their edge.
The fallout has been brutal. The Federal Reserve has already downgraded its growth forecasts, citing tariffs as a key headwind. Meanwhile, a rare twin sell-off in both the U.S. dollar and equities suggests global investors are losing confidence in the ‘American exceptionalism’ trade. Add to that a sharp decline in major tech and healthcare stocks, and it’s no surprise the S&P 500 has struggled to find its footing.
A Weak Bounce, a Tough Road Ahead
After a sharp sell-off, the S&P 500 has started to consolidate, but there’s little sign of momentum shifting in favour of the bulls just yet. While the index has bounced from its March lows, price action remains sluggish, and a key resistance zone is emerging.
The 200-day simple moving average, the broken January swing lows, and the volume-weighted average price (VWAP) anchored to the trend highs all align to form a confluent resistance zone to keep a close eye on. Even if buyers can push prices higher, this confluence suggests they’ll need to overcome strong overhead pressure before any sustained recovery can take hold.
S&P500 Daily Candle Chart
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results
Short-Term Traders Eye the Range
On the hourly chart, last week’s price action has carved out a well-defined range, setting up a key battleground for short-term traders:
• A break above the range could see the S&P 500 challenge the resistance zone outlined on the daily chart.
• A break below would likely put the March lows back in play, potentially triggering another leg lower.
S&P 500 Hourly Candle Chart
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results
Disclaimer: This is for information and learning purposes only. The information provided does not constitute investment advice nor take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of any investor. Any information that may be provided relating to past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or performance. Social media channels are not relevant for UK residents.
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Bear Slippers Off. Bull Boots Laced.Bear Slippers Off. Bull Boots Laced. | SPX Analysis 25 Mar 2025
The tide turned Monday, and for once, the charts didn’t just mutter vaguely in Morse code – they actually gave us something to work with.
After weeks of grindy, gummy-bear movement, SPX finally flashed a bullish signal. The classic breakout-pullback has shown itself on the 30-minute timeframe, and the daily chart has joined the party with a sharp reversal, flipping us right back into the prior range.
Let’s just say this… not rolling those final bear swings? Smartest decision I didn’t overthink. I just wanted to stop the bleeding. Turns out, it also kept me out of harm’s way.
Now, with the bear slippers safely tucked back into the winter cupboard, I’m eyeing the bull setups. But as always – I’m not jumping just yet…
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Deeper Dive Analysis:
Monday brought a much-needed shakeup – not the kind that rattles your coffee mug off the desk, but the kind that whispers: “Something’s changed…”
And it has.
The 30-minute chart formed a clean breakout-pullback, the kind you could frame on the wall and call “textbook.”
The daily chart? We’ve got a bullish reversal pattern that’s pushing price back into the old range.
That means my bearish bias has officially flipped.
Goodbye bear slippers. Hello, Bull Boots.
Let’s talk about those bears for a moment…
Last week’s trades didn’t go to plan. Friday’s rally chewed them up, and instead of rolling endlessly like a gambler doubling down, I did what needed to be done: closed them. Cleared the head. Took the "L".
And now, I’m glad I did.
Sometimes, the best trade is no trade. Or at least, no new pain.
During my Fast Forward mentorship call, we did our usual morning deep dive.
We looked at:
The GEX flip (Gamma Exposure momentum line)
Intraday call wall pressure
And the speculative cap at 5765 for the high of day
With that info, I made the call to delay my bull swing entry. Why chase a top when the market’s whispering “pullback pending”? I’d rather find a smarter entry… with more meat on the bone.
So what now?
Bias is bullish
5765 & 5805 = overhead friction
Waiting for a deeper pullback before entering long - Ideally 5720
My trigger’s locked. My chart’s marked. Now I wait.
And if that pullback doesn’t come?
Fine. I’ll let it go and re-evaluate. No FOMO. No flinching.
The plan is simple: Trade with the setup, not the hype.
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Fun Fact
Benjamin Graham once said, “In the short run, the market is a voting machine. In the long run, it is a weighing machine.”
But he never accounted for meme stocks, social media panic, and Reddit-fuelled rocket ships.
Today, it often feels like the market's a slot machine with a Twitter feed.
Still – patterns like breakout-pullbacks?
They’re timeless, regardless of the noise.
SPX buy to 5,867Quick Buy to 5,867 , possible rejection at 5,867 may be a sell down to 5,680-5,700 to create higher low then continue the uptrend we are in.
$SPX key level test for a medium-term direction SP:SPX is reaching the 5780 level which was previously strong downside resistance and now is a strong upside resistance.
Bullish S&P500 I am going to be looking for longs this new quarter.
Seasonal Tendacies are looking bullish as well
#SPX - 25 MarHuge run up in #SPX after a gap up. Strongly bullish for further upside.
Any dips is a buying opportunity. Looking at PZ to hold for another leg higher, or if it breaks, look at 5700 for a long up to 5880 then 6000.
Caution on Crypto, Tech, SPXI know its a mess, this is just for me anyway.
I tend to overcomplicate things so now then, lets over simplify for my monkey brain:
Trend line broken = Warning, thing are likely to change ( even though you didnt get the bull market you wanted)
Watch said trend retest, look for weakness, struggling price action
selling on the retest of the top lows last time would offer you 5% off the peako top, (Thats really good!! stop being a perfectionist)
I am very much frustrated with this market, never got the crazy part I was waiting for. But the lack of euphoria is really not that unreasonable when you think about what has been goin on the past 5 years. Everyone is poorer liquidity has been super tight to curb inflation and we still got NASDAQ:NDX up 150% Coinbase NASDAQ:COIN did a 10x and I still am not happy(likely due to the max pain trade of my life COINBASE:ETHUSD ). I have realized that I have been hoping for another 2018 bull run. It may or may not happen, but I can't expect any market to reflect that in any significant way. Markets are much more dynamic than I give them credit for sometimes. They will rhyme but often in ways you do not expect and will not be made clear until that little bastard hindsight kicks in, showing you how obvious it was.
SPX500 24/3/2025 Sideways to up pullback phase
Last Friday's candlestick closed as a bull bar near its high. The market opened lower but lacked follow-through selling and traded sideways to up for the rest of the day.
In our last report, we said that traders would see if the bears could create a strong bear bar, or if the market would open lower but lack follow-through selling, like Thursday.
The bulls want the market to form a 2 legged sideways to up pullback.
The pullback currently has more bull bars vs bear bars with no follow-through selling. The bulls are stronger.
The next targets for the bulls are the 20-day EMA, 200-day EMA or the January 13 low.
The market has formed 3 pushes up (including today's gap up) with the first two legs being the Mar 17 and Mar 19 high.
If there is a pullback, the bulls want at least a small sideways to up leg to retest the current leg high (Mar 24).
The bears see any pullback as minor. They expect at least a small second leg sideways to down to retest the Mar 13 low after the pullback phase.
The strong move down slightly favor the first pullback to be minor and not lead to a reversal up.
They were not able to create follow-through selling on Mar 18 and Mar 21.
They must create strong bear bars with follow-through selling to increase the odds of another leg down.
The prior climactic selloff and parabolic wedge increase the odds of a pullback which is underway.
Traders will see the strength of the pullback. If it is strong (consecutive bull bars closing near their highs), they may look for a retest of the 20-day and the breakout point - Jan 13 low.
If the pullback lacks follow-through buying (overlapping candlesticks, doji bars, bear bars, long tails above bars), the odds of another leg down AFTER the pullback phase increase.
For now, the buying pressure is stronger than the selling pressure (bear bars with no follow-through selling).
Odds slightly favor the market to still be in the sideways to up pullback phase.
S&P500 INTRADAY oversold bounce back capped at 5777S&P500 INTRADAY oversold bounce back capped at 5777
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 5777
Resistance Level 2: 5844
Resistance Level 3: 5872-5920
Support Level 1: 5604
Support Level 2: 5539
Support Level 3: 5500
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Considering Long Positions for S&P 500 Amid Market Uncertainty
- Key Insights: Though the S&P 500 is in a corrective phase, signs of potential
bullish reversals present opportunities for long positions. Monitor economic
reports and geopolitical events closely, as these are likely to influence
market movements.
- Price Targets: Next week, we suggest the following targets:
- T1: 5700
- T2: 5750
- Stop Levels:
- S1: 5600
- S2: 5582
- Recent Performance: The S&P 500 concluded the week marginally above its
starting point, revealing market volatility and potential for both upward
and downward adjustments. Indicators show both consolidation and
opportunities for a rebound.
- Expert Analysis: Despite feeling overvalued, analysts are observing mixed
signals with both bearish and bullish possibilities. There's a heightened
focus on inflation indicators and central bank policies, crucial for future
market direction, alongside a performance gap favoring value stocks.
- News Impact: Recent tech sector sell-offs, especially in semiconductors and
Tesla, suggest challenges face growth sectors. Geopolitical factors,
including recently announced tariffs by President Trump, could further
heighten volatility. Upcoming consumer confidence and GDP revisions are key
reports to watch, possibly influencing next week's market tone.
S&P 500 Analysis: Markets Start the Week on a Positive NoteS&P 500 Analysis: Markets Start the Week on a Positive Note
A week ago, while analysing the S&P 500 index chart (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen), we noted that the market had officially entered a correction phase, as the price had declined more than 10% from its February 19 peak. This drop was driven by mounting uncertainty over the potential economic damage caused by the Trump administration’s tariff policies in international trade.
However, this morning, markets are showing signs of optimism following reassuring statements from officials over the weekend.
According to Reuters:
→ Trump announced plans to hold talks with Chinese President Xi Jinping, while the U.S. Trade Representative is set to meet his Chinese counterpart this week.
→ The European Union has taken a conciliatory stance, delaying its initial countermeasures against the U.S. until mid-April.
As a result, sentiment appears to have shifted towards optimism, with the S&P 500 index (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen) trading approximately 4% above this month’s low.
Technical Analysis of the S&P 500 Index (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen)
As noted on 17 March:
→ The price is forming an ascending channel (marked in blue).
→ The fact that the price has reached the lower boundary of the channel suggests that bearish momentum may be fading.
Currently, we are witnessing an attempt at a bullish reversal from the channel’s lower boundary.
From a bearish perspective, resistance may emerge around the 5750 level, where the price has previously reacted (as indicated by the arrows).
From a bullish perspective:
→ Bears have lost control of the 5600 level.
→ A bullish gap at the start of the week indicates a significant shift in market sentiment. If positive news continues to emerge throughout the week, the S&P 500 index (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen) could attempt a rise towards the median of the identified channel.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
$US500 Intraday PaydayI don't do Intraday chart posts for various reasons however this chart is the most important watch of the year.
Right now we are testing a very important triple top where heavy resistance is being printed in the pre-market. Several times bull have tried to break through with large one minute candles and being stiffly rejected.
This is of extreme importance because the current formation on all indexes in a bear flag looking for continuation to the 5400 level.
If rejection sets in, short to the 5400 and then go neutral for a week and re-asses.
BUY SPX500SPX500 Trade Idea: Bullish Continuation Setup
Market Overview
The SPX500 has shown strong bullish momentum, and a continuation of this trend is likely if price holds above the 5,772-support area. A confirmed breakout from this level could provide an ideal buying opportunity.
Trade Setup
Entry: Buy at 5,733 (waiting for confirmation at key support)
Stop Loss (SL): 5,525 (below strong support zone)
Take Profit (TP): 6,154 (next key resistance level)
Analysis & Rationale
✅ Bullish Trend Continuation – Price action suggests strong momentum, favoring further upside.
✅ Key Support at 5,772 – A breakout above this level will confirm bullish strength.
✅ Favorable Risk-to-Reward Ratio – Well-defined SL and TP provide a balanced strategy.
Trading Plan & Execution
Wait for confirmation at 5,772 before entering.
If price holds, execute a buy order at 5,733.
Set SL at 5,525 to limit downside risk.
Take profit at 6,154, adjusting the stop-loss accordingly if price gains momentum.
This trade setup follows the bullish market structure, providing an opportunity to capitalize on SPX500’s continued upside potential. However, monitor economic data and global market sentiment for any shifts in trend.
📌 Risk Disclaimer: Always implement proper risk management and adjust your strategy as market conditions evolve.
SP500 and Global M2The sp500 market is in real trouble right now has there has been a massive global M2 liquidity injection (starting Jan. 2025) but the market has been down overall.
Money has been leaving the US back to the home countries as we can see in Hang Seng and Dax charts have been up in 2025 which matches global M2 exactly.
US500 - Bullish Reversal Setup Overview:
The US500 (S&P 500) is showing signs of a potential bullish reversal after a significant pullback. We have reached a key support level where buyers are stepping in, suggesting a possible move higher.
Technical Analysis:
Support Zone: Price has tested a strong demand zone and is rejecting lower levels.
Bullish Structure: A higher low formation is developing, which is a sign of trend reversal.
Moving Average Confluence: Price is looking to reclaim the 50-day moving average, adding further confirmation for a bullish push.
Risk-Reward Setup: A favorable risk-to-reward ratio is in play with a stop below the recent lows and a target back towards recent resistance levels.
Trade Plan:
🔹 Entry: On confirmation of bullish momentum near the current zone.
🔹 Stop Loss: Below the recent swing low.
🔹 Take Profit: Targeting the previous high near resistance.
💬 Let me know your thoughts! Will US500 bounce from here? 🚀
#RSTRADING #SPX500 #Trading #Forex #TechnicalAnalysis
SPX Forecast - Further Consolidation with Slightly Bullish TrendVix fell slightly as SPX closed the week relatively flat. FMOC made it clear the Fed expects economic harm from current plans despite unwillingness to update guidance on rate cuts. Forthcoming April 2nd tariff war milestone will likely cause the market to simmer further in anticipation of the execution. Major tech earnings have concluded and the market enjoyed it's first week of relative stability since the historic 14 consecutive days of sell-off. All these indicate there may be little buyer interest at new levels prior to resolving looming uncertainty and could lead to further consolidation within prior ranges while maintaining the slightly bullish local structure.
Break below 5,615 would invalidate the structure and confirm continuation to the downside.
