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S&P 500 Wave Analysis 4 December 2024 - S&P 500 broke round resistance level 6000.00 - Likely to rise to resistance level 6130.00 S&P 500 index continues to rise steadily after breaking the round resistance level 6000.00, which stopped the earlier upward impulse wave at the start of November. The breakout of the resistance level 6000.00 accelerated the active minor impulse wave 3 of the intermediate impulse wave (3) from August. Given the strong daily uptrend, S&P 500 index can be expected to rise in the active extended daily Wedge toward the next resistance level 6130.00, target price for the completion of the active impulse wave 3.
CBOE:SPXLong
by FxProGlobal
S&P 500: BEARISH DIVERGENCE ALERT – Is This Time Different? Alright, listen up, my chart-watching warriors! 🎯✨ We’ve got ourselves a spicy situation on the S&P 500 Weekly Chart, and it’s SCREAMING caution right now. 🚨 The big question? “Is this time different?” Spoiler alert: Probably not. Let’s break it down 👇: 🚨 Bearish Divergence 101 First, let’s talk about the elephant in the room: BEARISH RSI DIVERGENCE. 📊 Price is making higher highs. (Woohoo, right? Wrong. 😬) 💔 RSI is making lower highs. (Oof. 🛑) This is like your car’s engine light coming on while you’re flooring it. Yeah, it’s fun for now, but guess what? You’re headed for trouble. 💀 Déjà Vu? History Doesn’t Lie! Let’s roll back the tape: 1️⃣ Feb 2020: Bearish divergence showed up. Result? BOOM – the COVID crash. 💥📉 2️⃣ Jan 2022: Another divergence. What happened? The market went full bear mode for a year. 🐻🔥 And now? Here we are in Dec 2024, and the exact same pattern is rearing its ugly head. Do we really think this time is different? I don’t think so. 👀 The Bearish Setup: 📈 Trendline Resistance: We’re right at the top of a multi-year rising trendline. This is a make-or-break zone. 💔 RSI Downtrend: The RSI is already sloping down, showing weakening momentum. Buyers are running out of gas. ⛽️💨 💡 Translation: This rally’s on borrowed time, folks. 🔥 George’s Hot Take: This is what I call a “SELL THE RIP” scenario. Here’s the plan: 1️⃣ Watch for a rejection near the current highs (6,050–6,100). 2️⃣ If we break below 5,800, it’s GAME OVER – bears take the wheel. 🐻 3️⃣ Targets? 5,400 is in the cards, and if things get ugly, we could be staring at 5,200. BUT WAIT… IS THIS TIME DIFFERENT? 🤔 You’ll hear the permabulls saying, “Oh, the market is resilient, blah blah.” Sure. But guess what? Patterns don’t lie. If this divergence plays out like it has TWICE before, we’re looking at some serious downside. Don’t fight the charts, fam. 📉 Final Thoughts from the Bear Cave: 🐻 The S&P 500 is flashing warning signs loud and clear. This isn’t the time to be a hero. Play it smart: Tighten stops. 🚦 Hedge your longs. 🛡️ Be ready to SHORT if we break support. 🎯 Let’s see how this plays out, but remember: The charts always win. 👑 Trade safe, my legends. ✌️
SP:SPXShort
by EdgeDotForex
6
SP 500 heading into resistance?Hi Guys, The SP 500 is slowly grinding higher and higher with every call for a top being dismissed by bulls as the index continually keeps creating all time high after all time high. Price is currently heading towards an zrea where we may find some selling pressure. The red box on the chart is that area and it contains the 2.0 retracement of the bear market high to low. That zone also coincides with the trendline drawn across the top Daily RSI is showing divergence but not in overbought but 4hr is showing overbought and divergence Lower timeframe entries may provide nice risk to reward trades. Safe Trading all.
PEPPERSTONE:US500
by elyask120
Technical Analysis for S&P 500 IndexChart Structure: Upward Trend Channel: The S&P 500 Index is currently trading within an upward trend channel, indicating a strong bullish trend. Price is trading above the Ichimoku cloud, further supporting the potential for continued upward movement. Fibonacci Extension Levels: The key Fibonacci extension levels are plotted to help identify potential targets for future price action: 1.618 at 6,062.3 (Immediate target) 2.272 at 6,091.9 2.618 at 6,107.7 Indicators Used: Ichimoku: The price is above the cloud, which suggests a strong bullish bias. The cloud is supporting the price action, reinforcing the expectation of continued upward momentum. Alligator: The Alligator lines are aligned in a bullish configuration, indicating a continuation of the upward trend with increasing volatility. Price Action Forecast: The immediate resistance is near the 1.618 Fibonacci extension level at 6,062.3. If the price continues to break through this level, it could reach the 2.272 level at 6,091.9, followed by the 2.618 level at 6,107.7. The trend remains bullish, but if the price starts to drop below 6,062.3, it could signal a pullback toward the lower support levels. Conclusion: Bullish Scenario: The upward trend is likely to continue, with potential targets at 6,062.3, 6,091.9, and 6,107.7. Bearish Scenario: A drop below 6,062.3 could signal a potential reversal or consolidation phase. This analysis is based on technical indicators and should be supplemented with fundamental analysis for a more comprehensive view.
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by arongroups
S&P 500 Analysis: Bullish Momentum and Key Levels S&P 500 Technical Analysis The S&P 500 reached another All-Time High (ATH) in December, signaling a continuation of its bullish trend and the potential for further historical gains. Currently, the price is consolidating within the range of 6068 and 6022, awaiting a breakout. Overall, the bullish trend remains strong, with the next key target at 6143. However, a break below 6022 could signal a correction, with the price potentially dropping toward 5971. Key Levels: Pivot Point: 6068 Resistance Levels: 6100, 6143, 6185 Support Levels: 6022, 5971, 5932 Trend Outlook The overall trend remains bullish, supported by strong momentum and the recent achievement of new highs.
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by SroshMayi
S&P500: No corrections possibly for the whole 2025.S&P500 is on excellent bullish levels on the 1D timeframe (RSI = 64.149, MACD = 44.390, ADX = 33.789) as it is extending the strong rise since the U.S. elections. Going back even more, this uptrend has been nothing but sustainable ever since the August 5th bottom that almost hit the 1W MA50. In fact that MA level is intact since October 2023. The index has been following a similar path with the December 2018 - December 2021 Bull Cycle that topped after a +105% rise. You can see that following the COVID correction recovery after leg (6), the index crossed over the 1W MA50 and never broke it up until after the January 2022 High in 574 days. Consequently, we expect a continuation of the current uptrend for as long as the 1W MA50 stays intact. We are targeting a +105% rise yet again (TP = 7,150) near the end of 2025. See how our prior idea has worked out: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
TVC:SPXLong
by InvestingScope
6
S&P 500 – Solid Foundation Amid Positive Economic DataS&P 500 – Solid Foundation Amid Positive Economic Data The S&P 500 index continues to find support from favorable economic data and a stable macroeconomic outlook for the United States. Despite ongoing challenges, the market reflects optimism fueled by a mix of improving manufacturing indicators, resilient consumer spending, and a potential softening in Federal Reserve policy. Additionally, seasonal trends strongly favor the S&P 500, as December is historically one of the best months for equities. --- Key Economic Drivers Supporting the S&P 500 1. ISM Manufacturing PMI – Signs of Stabilization - The **ISM Manufacturing PMI** for November rose to 48.4, beating expectations, although still indicating contraction. This suggests the U.S. manufacturing sector is moving closer to stabilization. - Input costs showed the slowest inflation in a year, and renewed job creation added to the optimism. Challenges such as weaker international demand and reduced production remain, but improved business confidence is a positive signal. 2. Construction Spending Growth - Construction spending increased by 0.4% in October, highlighting resilience in the housing and infrastructure sectors. This reflects ongoing consumer and government investment, contributing to economic stability. 3. ISM Manufacturing Prices Paid – Easing Inflationary Pressures - The ISM Manufacturing Prices Paid index dropped to 50.3, well below forecasts of 55.2. This is a significant development for inflation control, signaling moderating cost pressures within the manufacturing sector. - Implications: - Positive for equities: Lower inflation reduces the risk of aggressive Federal Reserve rate hikes. - Stable monetary outlook: This supports expectations of a gradual shift toward easing monetary policy. 4. Fed Officials’ Support for Gradual Easing - Recent comments from Fed officials indicate a balanced approach toward monetary policy: - Christopher Waller highlighted the likelihood of a rate cut in December, citing a balanced labor market and gradual progress on inflation. - John Williams reaffirmed that inflation is expected to decline toward the 2% target while projecting GDP growth of 2.5% in 2024. - A potential rate cut could provide a further boost to equities as borrowing costs decrease, encouraging corporate investment. 5. Consumer and Business Optimism - The S&P Global U.S. Manufacturing PMI pointed to renewed job creation and improving confidence, though challenges such as weaker international demand persist. This mix of cautious optimism and moderating inflation supports steady market sentiment. --- Seasonality and Market Sentiment Seasonality is a key supporting factor for the S&P 500 at this time. December has historically been a strong month for equity markets due to holiday-driven consumer spending, portfolio rebalancing, and end-of-year tax considerations. This seasonal strength aligns with the Fear & Greed Index, which currently stands at 64, indicating a **greed-driven sentiment** that tends to favor further market upside. --- S&P 500 Outlook The S&P 500 is well-positioned to benefit from these positive economic indicators: - Lower inflationary pressures reduce the likelihood of aggressive Federal Reserve action, which is supportive of equity markets. - Steady GDP growth and a resilient labor market provide a strong foundation for corporate earnings. - Improved manufacturing confidence and spending on infrastructure create additional momentum for sectors like industrials and materials. - Strong seasonality and a favorable market sentiment further reinforce the potential for continued gains. While global uncertainties and weaker international demand could weigh on certain sectors, the overall outlook for the S&P 500 remains bullish, with near-term support from seasonal trends, improving economic data, and the potential for a more accommodative Fed policy stance.
CAPITALCOM:US500Long
by InvestMate
1
Grinding higherAll four major US stock indices inched into positive territory in early trade this morning. Yesterday, tech stocks led an advance which saw the NASDAQ add around 1% on the day, and the S&P gain 0.2%. The Russell 2000 was effectively unchanged, while the Dow slipped 0.3%. Overall, the recent price action has slowed to a steady grind higher. This follows the explosive rally across all the majors in November, triggered by Trump’s election victory, and led by the domestically-focused, mid-cap Russell 2000. Last month’s rally has seen if not a change in leadership, at least a broadening in the stock market rally. Financials and industrials have benefitted, while sectors viewed as defensive, such as healthcare and consumer staples, have been largely ignored. This gives ammunition to the bullish perspective. It indicates that investors have the confidence to extend their exposure outside of the market-leading tech sector. At the same time, the prevailing bullishness means that investors are currently spurning ‘safe haven’ defensive stocks. The probability of a 25 basis point rate cut from the Fed this month jumped to 72%, up from 60% on Friday. This followed a speech from the Fed’s Christopher Waller who says he favours a rate cut this month. But he also said he was concerned about the recent uptick in inflation. His colleague, John Williams, said that more work has to be done to get inflation back on track towards the Fed’s 2% target. Today there are speeches from Federal Reserve members Adriana Kugler and Austan Goolsbee. There’s also JOLTS Job Openings, the first major labour market data release this week which culminates with Friday’s Non-Farm Payrolls.
TRADENATIONSB:US500
by TradeNation
Elliott Wave View S&P 500 (SPX) Wave 5 in ProgressShort Term Elliott Wave view on SP500 (SPX) suggests rally from 8.5.2024 low is in progress as a 5 waves impulse. Up from 8.5.2024 low, wave 1 ended at 5627.56 high and pullback in wave 2 ended at 5402.62 low. The Index then extends higher in wave 3 ending at 5878.46 high. The next pullback built a zigzag Elliott Wave structure to finish wave 4 at 5696.51 low like the 1 hour chart below shows. Actually, the SPX is trading higher in wave 5 developing an impulse or ending diagonal structure. Wave 5 rally is in progress with internal subdivision as another impulse. Up from wave 4, wave ((i)) ended at 6017.31 high and wave ((ii)) retracement ended at 5853.01 low. Wave ((iii)) has started and it is trading in wave v of (iii) of ((iii)). Up from wave ((ii)), wave (i) ended at 5908.12 and wave (ii) correction ended at 5855.29. Then the SPX built a nest ending wave i at 5923.51 and wave ii at 5860.56. Wave iii of (iii) finished at 6025.42 and wave iv pullback at 5984.87 low. From here, we are expecting that wave v of (iii) completes soon and the index should see a pullback in 3 swings as wave (iv) before resuming higher in wave (v) of ((iii)). Near term, as far as pivot at 5850.8 low stays intact, expect pullback to find support in 3, 7, or 11 swing for more upside
SP:SPX
by Elliottwave-Forecast
Spx500 1. Understand how the Forex market works, including currency pairs, pips, and leverage. 2. Develop a clear trading plan with specific entry, exit, and risk management rules. 3. Always use stop-loss orders to protect your capital and limit losses. 4. Risk only 1-2% of your account per trade to avoid significant losses. 5. Trade with the trend, as it’s often safer than going against the market. 6. Avoid overtrading; quality trades are better than a high quantity of trades. 7. Use technical and fundamental analysis to make informed trading decisions. 8. Stay updated on global news that can affect currency values, like interest rates and geopolitical events. 9. Keep emotions in check—fear and greed can lead to poor decisions. 10. Continuously learn and adapt your strategy based on market behavior and personal experience.
SKILLING:SPX500Short
by HavalMamar
1