SPX WEEKLY 27 JAN 2025Welcome to SPX Weekly. I have clearly explained the levels here. If you have any questions, please leave a comment below.
NOTE: ALWAYS TRADE WITH SL
USSP500CFD trade ideas
Hellena | SPX500 (4H): SHORT to the area of 50% Fibo lvl (5972).Colleagues, I believe that price is completing wave “1” and I believe that a correction in wave “2” is inevitable.
I expect the price to reach the area of 38.2% - 50% Fibonacci levels (5972.9). I believe that a small update of the maximum of wave “1” is possible.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Red Alert! Major Bearish Signal for U.S. Stocks. Attention – this is a Red Alert! This is a Red alert!
The main three U.S. stock indices, S&P 500 (SPX), Nasdaq Composite (IXIC), and Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) have recorded a major bearish momentum divergence.
In December 2024 all three indices recorded new all-time highs. Last week for several days only SPX reached a new all-time high. This phenomenon occurred in 2007 just prior to the last major U.S. stock bear market.
As of this writing on Sunday 01/26/25 at 8:30 PM – PT the S&P 500 – E- Mini futures are down almost .90% it appears the SPX could be trading down more than 1% on 01/27/25.
There could be a decline greater than 10% coming soon. This could be the best time to sell or short U.S. stocks in 2025.
It looks like the bear is back!
This is a Red Alert!
Bullish bounce?S&P500 (US500) is falling towards the pivot and c ould bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 5,981.20
1st Support: 5,822.54
1st Resistance: 6,174.50
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
SPX500 looks to uptrend on hour chart and will make its way headSPX500 looks to uptrend on hour chart and will make its way heading to daily resistant level.
Hello mates, please feel free to share your trading ideas, and please give a Boost if you agree with my trading plan. My trading strategy is Price Action, which is the simplest strategy of trading on the price movement. A key part of my discipline is always setting a Stop Loss when opening a trading position, which ensures every trading is risk managed. Our 1 to 1 trading training is available, please message. Trade well and good luck!
Nightly SPX/SPX/SPY Predictions for 1.27.2024🔮
📅 Mon Jan 27
No major U.S. data
🌍 Global Watch: ECB signals 2025 rate cuts (25–50 bps expected).
📅 Tue Jan 28
⏰ 10:00am ET
📊 CB Consumer Confidence: 105.9 (prev: 104.7)
🌍 Global Watch: Eurozone inflation rises to 2.4% (stagflation risks).
📅 Wed Jan 29
⏰ 2:00pm ET
📊 Federal Funds Rate: 4.50% (prev: 4.50%)
📜 FOMC Statement
⏰ 2:30pm ET
🎙️ FOMC Press Conference
🌍 Global Watch: ECB downgrades 2025 GDP to 1.1% (Germany recession).
📅 Thu Jan 30
⏰ 8:30am ET
📊 Advance GDP q/q: 2.7% (prev: 3.1%)
📊 Unemployment Claims: 221K (prev: 223K)
🌍 Global Watch: ECB rate decision (25–50 bps cut expected).
📅 Fri Jan 31
⏰ 8:30am ET
📊 Core PCE Price Index m/m: 0.2% (prev: 0.1%)
📊 Employment Cost Index q/q: 0.9% (prev: 0.8%)
🌍 Global Watch: Eurozone Q4 GDP forecast: 0.3–0.4% (spillover risk).
💡 Market Insights:
📈 GAP ABOVE HPZ:
A further gap up would lead to it holding for a little, then dropping back down into the EEZ.
📊 OPEN WITHIN EEZ:
Hard to move up higher, so will slowly chop down to the Cushion levels.
📉 GAP BELOW HCZ:
Due to the ongoing momentum, we will get a slight recovery but still drop and chop back down into the lower range.
#trading #stock #stockmarket #today #daytrading #charting #trendtao
SPX: yep, ATH againThe inauguration of the new-old US President was in the spotlight of markets during the previous week. As there were no changes with respect to the pre-election promises, the markets continued to react positively for the rest of the week, bringing the S&P 500 to a new historically highest level. The level of 6.122 is a new historical point. Friday's trading session brought some profit-taking moments, where the index ended the week at the level of 6.101. The short reversal was mostly driven by tech companies, where Nvidia slipped by 3% to the downside. Tesla followed by 1% dip.
Regardless of positive sentiment in an after-inauguration period, the fear of tariffs still holds on the market. Investors do not perceive such a move, especially with China, in a fear that increased import prices might bring back inflation in the US. Depending on the level of tariffs, this further might imply that the Fed could be in position to hold interest rates at current levels for a longer period of time, which in the end, might impact the US growth for this year. This is why mentioning tariffs in public by the new US administration will always imply some contraction of markets in the coming period, which means increased volatility.
Another moment which is important is the US President's address at the business forum in Davos, Switzerland, where he noted that he will request a drop in interest rates, immediately. It is unclear how Fed Chair Powell and FOMC members will perceive such rhetoric, and intrusion of the US President into US monetary policy. Certainly, this will be one of the questions which will be addressed in an after-the meeting speech of the Fed Chair Powell, in the week ahead.
Overall, the week ahead will bring PCE data, Fed's interest rate decision, overview of macroeconomic data, and address of Fed Chair Powell. At the same time, big tech earnings are expected to be posted, so this could be a promise of another challenging and volatile week on financial markets.
Not just the stocks crashing.. everythingSince i've been looking at the monthly timeframe it's been difficult to pinpoint the crash but i'm 99% confident NFP is going to do the trick. this should be interesting
Why to short SPX HEAVYAs you have seen my previous analysis. As per my analysis this is a double top pattern on SPX . I believe that we will see spx 5860 soon to fill those gaps. Earning season will be the catalyst
testthis is only a test. we are testing our lack of technical skills on the transfer of power from tv to yt
Correction down for SPX500USDHi traders,
Last week SPX500USD came into the 4H FVG's and rejected from there to the upside making a new ATH.
Next week we could see a corrective move down and after that more upside.
Let's see what the market does and react.
Trade idea: Wait for a bigger correction down to finish. After that you could trade longs.
If you want to see more from my analysis, please make sure to follow me, give a boost and respectful comment.
This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my analysis.
If you don't agree, that's fine but I don't need to know it. I do not provide signals.
Don't be emotional, just trade!
Eduwave
time to rotate back to valuepff
too many gaps anyways
and
we have a 4 hourly rsi bear div
and
declining volume
and a swing fail pattern on our latest ATH
along with an RTH (regular trading hours) CVD ( cumulative volume delta) bearish divergence
and all of you are way too bullish anyways
its bear time
Prediction for Recession once SPX hits 6666Prediction for Recession once SPX hits 6666 and a large world event to around the 4500 below area sharply in May 2025
Similar to the drop February 2006, we hit 666
Lets see if my prediction plays out
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Jan 24, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook:
During this week's trading session, the S&P 500 successfully achieved our predefined target of Outer Index Rally, 6123, corresponding to the Key Resistance established at 6090. The market is currently exhibiting a phase of consolidation, as the bullish trend appears to be transiently suspended following the conclusion of the outer index rally. It is, however, essential to acknowledge that the absence of a significant corrective pullback may facilitate the re-initiation of a bullish trajectory toward additional rally targets. Such a development would position the market advantageously for the forthcoming phase of the bullish trend.
The gap was closed Some colleagues say that based on the 4H chart, we will have a correction to the 5970 area. Based on the support from the accumulated volume, which is more important, this is the 6070 area. But I ask what is the basis/fundamental of this correction and why now?
I do not see any reason for this. Moreover, at the close of the session yesterday there were strong purchases, probably an entry, as well as even at the close of the market. 1H support was not broken, and at the end we even returned above 5 and 15 min ones. The gap was closed and I do not see signals for such a correction. Please share your opinion?
SP500 key zones SP500 liquidated all-time high and is now expected to return into the range. On the 4H timeframe I've identified a potential bullish zone for a possible pullback while the 30-minute chart highlights a bearish zones where sellers might step in. These levels will guide the next move depending on how price reacts.
US500 will continue go upIt just begin the up trend in W1 chart, and continue go up for a couple of weeks
The Golden Age 7000 EOY SPXThe Golden Age (year) is here!
Have cash ready for May in April. Be heavy hedges going in to 26.
We're going to juice earnings with all the investments pouring in for just about every single industry. Once the injection is complete, we will reset while all the invested money completes projects.
GL!
Better Buy Bitcoin
Global Liquidity Index Overlaid on S&P 500 Tracking the Global Liquidity Index with the S&P 500 helps understand liquidity's impact on market performance and predict future moves. The GLI offers a unified view of central bank balance sheets, converted to USD, excluding currency-pegged banks, with reliable data since 2007.
Rising liquidity often leads to market growth, while declining liquidity could signal pullbacks or increased volatility.
Liquidity Spikes: Sudden rises in the GLI may boost the S&P 500.
Liquidity Dips: Falling liquidity may signal market decline due to higher volatility and trading difficulties.
Divergence between the GLI & S&P 500:
If stocks rise while liquidity falls, a correction might be coming. If liquidity rises while stocks fall, the market might catch up to the liquidity increase.
The GLI indicates that risk appetite is starting to decline. High liquidity encourages risk-taking; low liquidity leads to safer investments, increasing volatility and potential market declines.
Thanks for Liking and Sharing! 🥕🐇
