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USSP500CFD trade ideas

SPX Danger ZoneLog chart of SPX with a trendline connecting 1929 top to 2000 dot com top and up to 2024-25 top. We already touched this trendline multiple times at the end of 2024 and the beggining of 2025, after which we saw a 20ish percent pullback. If history rhymes, then we can expect a top at 6250-6350 area in the next few months and we might even stay around there for some time trapping retail investors and other foverever bulls. However, the crash ranging beteween 50 percent (2000 dot com bubble burst) and 86 percent (1929 Wall Street crash) might unravel over the next few years. With the amount of leverage in the market this house of cards can tumble down even quicker. Take care.
SP:SPXShort
by Hodlbozone
1
S&P 500 Index (SPX) Weekly TF – 2025 Chart Context: Tools Used: 3 Fibonacci Tools: 1. One **Fibonacci retracement** (from ATH to bottom) 2. Two **Trend-Based Fibonacci Extensions** * Key Levels and Zones: * **Support Zone** (Fib Confluence): \~4,820–5,100 * **Support Area (shallow pullback)**: \~5,500–5,600 * **Resistance & TP Zones:** * TP1: **6,450** (Fib confluence & -61.8%) * TP2: **6,840** (-27%) * TP3: **7,450–7,760** (Major Confluence) Technical Observations: * SPX is approaching a **critical resistance** near previous ATH (\~6,128) with projected upward trajectory. * The **green dashed path** suggests a rally continuation from current \~6,000 levels to TP1 (\~6,450), TP2 (\~6,840), and eventually TP3 (\~7,450–7,760), IF no major macro shock hits. * The **purple dotted path** suggests a potential retracement first to \~5,600 (shallow correction) or deeper into \~5,120 or even 4,820 zone before continuing the bullish rally. * The major support zone around **4,820–5,120** includes key Fib retracement levels (38.2% and 61.8%) from both extensions and historical breakout levels. Fundamental Context: * US economy shows **resilience** amid soft-landing narrative, though inflation remains sticky. * The **Federal Reserve** is expected to cut rates in **Q3–Q4 2025**, boosting equity valuations. * Liquidity expansion and dovish outlook support risk assets, including **equities and crypto**. * However, **AI-driven tech rally** may be overstretched; a correction could follow earnings disappointments or macro surprises (e.g., jobs or CPI shocks). Narrative Bias & Scenarios: **Scenario 1 – Correction Before Rally (Purple Path)** * If SPX faces macro pushback (e.g., high CPI, hawkish Fed), expect retracement to: * 5,600 = Fib -23.6% zone * 5,120–4,820 = Major Fib Confluence Zone * These would act as **accumulation zones**, setting up next leg up toward TP1 and beyond. * **Effect on Gold**: May rise temporarily due to risk-off move. * **Effect on Crypto**: Could stall or correct, especially altcoins. **Scenario 2 – Straight Rally (Green Path)** * If Fed confirms cuts and macro remains soft: * SPX breaks ATH (\~6,128) * Hits TP1 (\~6,450), TP2 (\~6,840) * Eventually reaches confluence at **TP3 (7,450–7,760)** * **Effect on Gold**: May struggle; investor preference for equities. * **Effect on Crypto**: Strong risk-on appetite, altseason continuation. Indicators Used: * 3 Fibonacci levels (retracement + 2 extensions) * Trendlines (macro and local) * Confluence mapping Philosophical/Narrative Layer: This phase of the market resembles a test of collective confidence. Equity markets nearing ATHs while monetary easing begins reflect a fragile optimism. The Fibonacci levels act as narrative checkpoints — psychological as much as mathematical. Will we rally on faith or fall for rebalancing? Bias & Strategy Implication: Bias: Bullish with caution * Strategy: * Await **confirmation breakout >6,128** for fresh long entries * Accumulate on dips in the **5,100–5,500** zone if correction unfolds * Use **TP1, TP2, TP3** as staged exits Related Reference Charts: * BTC.D Analysis – Bearish Bias: * TOTAL:Bullish Bias *TOTAL3 – Bullish Bias: * US10Y Yield – Falling Bias Impact:https://www.tradingview.com/chart/US10Y/45w6qkWl-US10Y-10-Year-Treasury-Yield-Weekly-TF-2025/
TVC:SPXLong
by BitonGroup
SPX500 – Volatile Week Ahead as Trade Talks and CPI LoomSPX500 | Overview Fundamental Insight: S&P 500 futures edged lower early Monday as traders brace for a high-impact week. Key events include: - US-China trade talks in London (Monday) - U.S. inflation data (CPI) expected midweek (Wednesday) Markets are cautious, awaiting clarity from both geopolitical developments and macroeconomic indicators, which could trigger strong directional moves. Technical Outlook: The price appears to be entering a correction phase, with the potential to drop toward 5966. A confirmed break below 5966 may extend the bearish trend toward 5938 and 5902. However, a break above 6030 would invalidate the bearish scenario and could trigger a bullish continuation toward 6098 and potentially a new all-time high (ATH). Pivot Line: 6010 Support Levels: 5966, 5938, 5902 Resistance Levels: 6030, 6098
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by SroshMayi
3
SPX500 Holds Steady as Markets Eye US-China Trade Developments SPX500 Overview U.S. stock futures were little changed on Tuesday as investors awaited key developments from the U.S.-China trade talks underway in London. Technical Outlook (4H Chart): The index is experiencing cautious movement amid ongoing tariff tensions and geopolitical uncertainties. Bullish Scenario: A sustained 4H close above 6030 could confirm bullish momentum, with upside targets at 6066 and 6098, potentially extending toward a new all-time high (ATH). Bearish Scenario: As long as the price remains below 6010, bearish momentum may persist, targeting the support levels at 5966, followed by 5938 and 5902. Support: 5966 • 5938 • 5902 Resistance: 6066 • 6098
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by SroshMayi
SPX 500 to 17,000 in 7 years.This chart represents the S&P 500, showcasing its performance over time, including quarterly data. It captures everything. Every recession. Every war. Every president. Every variation of the monetary base as superpowers rise and fall. Whenever I hear a bear in the stock market declare that THE TOP has been reached, and we are about to CRASH -50% to -90% I find myself drawn to these comprehensive long term charts. If the bulls are genuinely in control and we have merely undergone an intermediate-term correction, then the long-term bull market that commenced at the 2009 low remains robust, with many more years ahead. The chart also illustrates that the three significant bull market phases typically last around 18-20 years following a major breakout. And they yield a comparable number of X's. It's all quite fascinating, if you ask me. See you in the future!
SP:SPX
by BallaJi
Remaining bullish on SPX and how I think through my chartsVideo Recap: The Zoomed Out View Weekly moving averages are reordering and turning up The weekly chart shows that the 10EMA and 20EMA have now crossed the 50SMA and are turning up. That reordering adds strength to the broader trend. This past week, the index reclaimed 6,000, which is a key psychological level. And we also saw price bounce off the uptrend line drawn from the April low, showing buyers are still defending key areas of support. Daily pullback found support The daily chart gave us a pullback the Friday before last, but it held right at a confluence of support (the 20EMA and 200SMA), along with a horizontal level drawn from the weekly timeframe. Digestion periods can shake you out if you’re too zoomed in The last few weeks have been a reminder that chop can test your patience and your plan. We didn’t break trend, we just pulled back to support. But if you’re too zoomed in, it can feel like everything is shifting. That’s when stops get hit early, trades get closed prematurely, and new positions get put on for the wrong reasons. In reality, this was just a normal digestion after a strong move. And when in doubt, zooming out brings the clarity back. Trendlines and levels are guides, not absolutes There were a few moments in my chart review this week where I caught myself trying to make lines matter more than they do. But these tools (trendlines, moving averages, support and resistance) only matter in the context of what price is doing around them. Structure tells the real story. One line getting hit or crossed doesn’t mean the whole thesis breaks down. What matters is whether buyers step in, whether trend resumes, and whether your trade idea still fits your system. So what now? Here’s what I’ll be watching this week: We’re holding above all major MAs. If we push through the February all-time high, that can shift sentiment, especially for retail traders who may see that as a signal that “we’re in the clear.” If we stall below the ATH, that wouldn’t be a problem by itself, but I’d watch how price behaves...ie are we pulling back constructively or losing key levels? I’m not leaning bearish and won't be unless we start closing below 5,800 (200SMA) and definitely if we can't hold the rising 50SMA. (My second scenario after my bullish one is sideways, so bearish for me is out for now.) When the market starts moving, the best thing you can do is trust your prep, lean into your plan, and zoom out when things get noisy. The bigger picture hasn’t changed.
SP:SPXLong
by emanuelaelias
up or down...Hello friends🙌 🔊As you can see, the US500 index has been identified with several resistance encounters and the good support that the price has been able to break the resistance and turn it into support. Now, according to today's news, it seems that the price is targeting higher targets that we have identified for you. In case of correction, it has strong support ahead of it, which we have identified with a white line, but don't forget that buyers have entered...📈 🔥Join us for more signals🔥 Trade safely with us.
CAPITALCOM:US500
by TheHunters_Company
Smart Money Levels Spotted on SPX500USD – Massive Sell Zone Major Supply Zone (Resistance): 🔵 6,000 – 6,050 Price is currently sitting right inside a well-defined supply zone, where smart money previously sold off heavily back in December. Intermediate Support: 🔵 5,436 A clear structural level where price previously broke down from and retested in April. Major Demand Zone (Support): 🟠 4,900 – 5,000 Price reacted aggressively from this zone during the massive April sell-off, suggesting strong institutional interest. --- 🧭 Current Price Action: SPX500USD is currently trading at 6,004, right at the supply zone marked by the blue shaded area. Price has aggressively rallied from the 4,900 demand zone in April and is now testing this critical resistance level for the first time since the major drop. 📌 Notice the tight consolidation and rejection wicks from this area in the past. This could signal a potential reversal or a breakout trap! --- ⚠️ Bearish Signals to Consider: 🔻 Risk of Rejection: With price inside a supply zone and momentum slowing, there’s a high probability of a rejection. 🔻 Double Top Structure: Previous highs around 6,050 could form a double top, making this a textbook reversal opportunity. 🔻 Downside Targets: 📍 First target: 5,436 (previous support & breakout level) 📍 Second target: 4,900–4,950 (major demand zone & value area) --- 🧠 Smart Money Perspective: This setup aligns perfectly with institutional trading logic: Sell high in supply zones Buy low in demand zones Volume Profile and LuxAlgo’s visible range confirm these key levels where institutions are most likely to act. --- 🧨 Trading Plan: 🚫 No buying in the supply zone 📉 Short entries if rejection confirms (look for bearish engulfing / lower high on lower timeframes) 🎯 Target 1: 5,436 🎯 Target 2: 4,900–4,950 🛡️ Stop Loss: Above 6,050 (fake breakout zone) --- 📊 Bonus Tip: Watch how price behaves around FOMC and CPI news – liquidity grabs often happen right before key macro data, especially near supply zones. Be patient! --- 💬 Let’s Discuss: Do you see a breakout or a rejection from here? Comment below if you're bullish or bearish on SPX500USD! 👇 Don't forget to like & follow if you find this breakdown helpful 💡 #SP500 #SPX500USD #SmartMoney #SupplyAndDemand #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #LuxAlgo #TradingSetup #SwingTrade #BearishReversal
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by FrankFx14
A little more upside for SPX500USDHi traders, And again my previous outlook of SPX500USD played out as I've said. After a small correction we saw the continuation of the upmove to the Daily FVG. Next week we could see price come into the Daily FVG and reject from there for a correction down. Let's see what the market does and react. Trade idea: Wait for a small correction down on a lower timeframe to trade short term longs into the Daily FVG. If you want to learn more about trading FVG's & liquidity sweeps with Wave analysis, then please make sure to follow me. This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my technical analysis. Don't be emotional, just trade your plan! Eduwave
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by EduwaveTrading
**** Market Trading Strategy Idea SP500 ***Key Chart & Economic Insights: - Current Market Position - The S&P 500 is around $6000, showing positive momentum (+1.03%). - Upward trend visible, indicating strong buying interest. - Economic tailwinds support continued growth. - Projected Price Movements - 6800 USD: Key resistance level where selling pressure could emerge. - Market pullback: A correction after 6800 may create a buyback opportunity. - Recovery phase: Expected rebound toward 7000-7500 USD, another selling position. - Economic Context: U.S. Manufacturing Boom & GDP Growth - The United States is ramping up domestic production, boosting industrial output and reshoring manufacturing. - This shift is fueling GDP growth, strengthening economic fundamentals and potentially sustaining bullish market momentum. - Strong consumer spending & investment could drive stocks higher, aligning with the planned trade strategy. Risk Management & Optimization: - Entry & Exit Precision: Define stop-loss and take-profit levels. - Momentum Confirmation: Ensure price action validates expected moves. - Economic Indicators: Watch manufacturing & GDP data for trend validation. If you want to refine this analysis or explore other scenarios, I'm here to dive deeper into key points! 🚀 Subscribe! TSXGanG I hold a CCVM and MNC (Certificate of Competence to become a securities broker anywhere in Canada) and have been working as a trader for five years. It’s a pleasure for me to help people optimize their trading strategies and make informed financial market decisions.
FRED:SP500Long
by TSXGanG
1
SPX: chasing the 6KThe jobs data were in the spotlight of markets during the previous week. The Non-farm payrolls in May with 139K new jobs came as better than market anticipated, which supported the optimistic mood of investors. The S&P 500 managed to return to the levels modestly above the 6K level. Tech companies were again in the spotlight of investors. In this sense, the magnificent 7 drove the market to the higher grounds. In the Friday trading session, NVDA gained 1,2%, AMZN was up by 2,7%, while Tesla gained 3,7%. It should be noted that Tesla had quite a turbulent week. Its shares first dropped by 14% at the beginning of the week, after its CEO commented negatively on a current policy of the US President Trump. Certainly, this came as a surprise for markets, considering Musk's strong support for President Trump, both during the electoral campaign and his presidency. Current optimism might be slowed down with forthcoming inflation data. Namely, a large number of economists are pointing to potential for the economic slowdown and higher inflation induced by implemented trade tariffs by the US Administration. In this sense, there is a probability that higher volatility of the index might continue in the coming period, as markets will try to understand what impact future growth and earnings will have on any new news on trade tariffs. It has been announced that further talks between China and US officials on trade tariffs will be held next week in London. This event will be closely monitored by investors.
SP:SPX
by XBTFX
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of June 20, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook: The S&P 500 Index has primarily exhibited downward trends during this week’s abbreviated trading session, narrowly failing to reach the targeted Mean Support level of 5940, as outlined in the previous Daily Chart Analysis. Currently, the index exhibits a bearish trend, suggesting a potential direction toward the Mean Support level of 5940, with an additional critical support level identified at 5888. Contrariwise, there exists a substantial likelihood that following the accomplishment of hitting the Mean Support of 5940, the index may experience recovery and ascend toward the Mean Resistance level of 6046. This upward movement could facilitate a resilient rally, ultimately topping in the completion of the Outer Index Rally at 6073, thereby enabling the index to address the Key Resistance level situated at 6150.
SP:SPX
by TradeSelecter