USSP500CFD trade ideas
SPX500 RallyThe SPX500 price will drastically grow in the coming days. Price has broken out a bullish flag pattern. We may anticipate and enter on the retest around 6230
SPX500SPX500: Bullish Momentum Builds – 6500 in Sight?
📍 Current Price: 5977.00
📈 Bias: Strongly Bullish
🎯 Target: 6500+
📉 Invalidation Level: 5850 (Short-term support)
📊 Technical Outlook:
The SPX500 continues to show strong bullish momentum as it trades at all-time highs near 5977.00. With persistent buying pressure and supportive macro tailwinds, the index looks poised for further upside.
Key observations:
✅ Price Action: Clean breakout and consolidation above recent highs. No signs of exhaustion yet.
📈 Trend: Clearly up across all major timeframes (Daily, 4H, 1H).
🧠 Psychological Level: 6000 is within reach, and a break above could open the path toward 6500 as the next major round number and Fibonacci extension level.
💡 Market Sentiment: Risk-on tone prevails; tech and mega caps continue to lead.
🔍 Support & Resistance Levels:
Resistance: 6000 → 6150 → 6500
Support: 5900 → 5850 → 5735
⚠️ Risk Management:
While the setup remains bullish, traders should watch for:
Surprise macro headlines (Fed speeches, inflation data, geopolitical risks)
Pullbacks toward support for potential re-entries
📝 Conclusion:
SPX500 remains in a powerful uptrend. As long as price holds above key short-term support at 5850, bulls retain full control. A breakout above 6000 could trigger a fresh wave of institutional buying, driving price toward 6500 in the coming weeks.
📢 Let me know your thoughts — are we heading for 6500 next?
👍 Like & follow for more real-time market insights!
S&P 500 H1 | Falling toward an overlap supportThe S&P 500 (SPX500) is falling towards an overlap support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 6,186.42 which is an overlap support that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 6,130.00 which is a level that lies underneath a swing-low support and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 6,268.39 which is a swing-high resistance.
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BuyHigher Time Frame Reject Level
Bullish Previous Week
Market Structure Shift Bullish
Asian Session
Trade
Manage
Smile
Logarithmic channelsThe price has reached a support area at the bottom of the long-term logarithmic channel. If this area will not hold the price I see a possible spike to 5330 level which is 1.618 retracement of March 13 bottom - March 25 top. The price did the same retracement in October 2023. Pay attention that we have 1d positive divergence forming on RSI. We are bottoming, a crash is unlikely right now. The reversal will most likely happen this week.
SPX to 7450?Looking at the long term chart starting from the covid crash we can see 2 impulse of average 2650 pts and two retracement, so from the trump crash to 4800 we could see one last bullish impulse of around 2650 pts to target 7450 in autumn.
Now I expect a retracement to 5965-5970 area before last bullish impule
Nonfarm Payroll and some other news 03.07.2025Nonfarm Payrolls surprisingly turned out to be moderate. These are excellent arguments for the Fed not to touch the rate, since labor market is their main mandate along with inflation.
At the same time, stock market is showing steady growth and overheating in some places.
What should the US economy be saved from by lowering the Fed rate?
From Trump's future decisions, or create an influx of liquidity for a good picture so that Trump can further report on GDP growth?
These questions should be asked by engaged Fed chairman.
At 5:00 PM, an interesting ISM services report was released: the growth of new orders against background of falling employment immediately makes us wonder why then such a level of applications to Nonfarm.
The answer is simple, Elon Musk fired a lot of employees during his short career in the White House.
#SPX500 Buy 6205.8#SPX500 Buy 6205.8
SL 6145.8
TP 6225.8
TP 6305.8
TP 6445.8
Trade at your own risk
Protect your capital
The Wizard 🧙♂️ SWFX
Bulls and Bears Zone for 07-02-2025S&P keeps going higher after new ATH high earlier this week. Markets could go higher for a while if we see any pullback.
Level to watch: 6232 ---6234
S&P 500 - Confirmed New All Time HighPlease refer to our last post:
The S&P could now be gearing up for the run towards our 1.618 extension around $7k.
We just had a confirmed daily candle breakout above our white box which we have been eyeing for so long. This is the first signal of a major ATH breakout rally for the S&P.
However there is only one thing that could potentially hinder this rally. That would be the orange trendline I have drawn. If price gets rejected somewhere along this orange trendline and price falls back below the white box that would signal a few warning signs. The first would be a failed breakout and the second would be a massive bearish divergence forming on the HTF. With higher highs in price but strength continuing to get weaker keep an eye out for that.
So far things just look great, but just wanted to point that out as a potential scenario.
S&P 500 Sets New All-Time High, Surges Above 6200S&P 500 Sets New All-Time High, Surges Above 6200
The S&P 500 index (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen) started the week by reaching a fresh all-time high. As shown on the chart, the index hit 6,210 points earlier this morning.
In addition to a reduced risk of US involvement in a large-scale war in the Middle East, market optimism has been fuelled by:
→ Tariff-related news. Last week, the US President announced the signing of a trade deal with China, while Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent expressed hope that the US would conclude trade negotiations with over a dozen countries by early September.
→ Strong corporate performance. On Friday, Nike (NKE) shares led the stock market, rising by more than 15% following an earnings report that exceeded analysts’ expectations. This could be boosting investor sentiment ahead of the upcoming earnings season.
Technical Analysis of the S&P 500 Chart
Evaluating the 4-hour chart of the S&P 500 index (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen) in the context of June’s price movements reveals key reference points (marked on the chart) that outline an ascending channel. A consolidation zone, marked with an arrow, highlights a temporary equilibrium between supply and demand—after which buyers gained the upper hand, pushing the price upward.
It is possible that the ongoing bullish momentum could carry the price toward the upper boundary of the channel. However, attention should be paid to the RSI indicator, which suggests the market is heavily overbought; in fact, Friday’s reading marked the highest level of the year. In such conditions, a price correction cannot be ruled out—potentially back toward the local ascending trendline (shown in orange).
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
US500/SPX500 Heist Plan: Grab the Index CFD Loot!Greetings, Profit Pirates! 🌟
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Entry 📈
The vault’s cracked open! 🏦 Snatch the bullish loot at the current price—the heist is on! For precision, place Buy Limit orders on a 15 or 30-minute timeframe for pullback entries, targeting a retest of the nearest high or low.
Stop Loss 🛑
📍 Set your Thief SL at the recent swing low (5640) on a 4H timeframe for day trades.📍 Adjust SL based on your risk appetite, lot size, and number of orders.
Target 🎯
Aim for 6160 or slip out early to secure your gains! 💰
Scalpers, Eyes Sharp! 👀
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US500/SPX500 Market Intel 📊
The Index CFD is riding a bullish surge, 🐂 fueled by key drivers. Dive into fundamentals, macroeconomics, COT reports, geopolitical news, sentiment, intermarket analysis, index-specific insights, positioning, and future trend targets for the full picture. 🔗check
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News can jolt the market! To safeguard your haul:
Avoid new trades during news releases.
Use trailing stops to lock in profits and limit losses. 🚫
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US500 Will Go Up! Long!
Take a look at our analysis for US500.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 6,165.52.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 6,451.04 level soon.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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V2. US S&P Zones - PMI Manuf, USINTR, Inflation, DXY & QEV2. US S&P Zones - PMI Manuf, USINTR, Inflation, DXY & QE
US S&P Zone Analysis -- Correlation with
1. Leading Economic Indicators (PMI Manufacturing Index, PMI Services Index, Building Permits)
2. US Interest Rates (MEAN 1.97 from Jan 2003)
3. US Inflation Rate YoY
4. Dollar Index (DXY)
5. Quantitative Easing Episodes
WHY CHANGE IN APPROACH?
As per Ammar Bhai, Red and other Zones for US and developed markets shall not follow only Interest Rates after 2000. Traditional single impact of Interest Rate is not Enough.
NOTE ABOUT INFLATION ABOVE 5%
It was also noticed that if inflation was about 5% that coincided with Red and Yellow zone and it must be avoided for stock trading.
NEW APPROACH
NEW GREEN ZONE
1. PMI Manuf Index is RISING or ABOVE 50
2. Interest Rates are FALLING or LEVELED or BELOW MEAN (Expansionary Policy in Effect)
3. Inflation is FALLING or AROUND TARGET
4. DXY is FALLING or SIDEWAYS
5. Stock Market RISING
NEW APPROACH for RED ZONE
1. PMI Manuf Index is FALLING or BELOW 50
2. Interest Rates are RISING or LEVELED or ABOVE MEAN (Contractionary Policy in Effect)
3. Inflation is RISING or SIDEWAYS. (Also Check if Inflation rate is above 5%)
4. DXY is RISING
5. Stock Market FALLING or SIDEWAYS
NEW YELLOW ZONE
1. PMI Manuf Index is RISING or ABOVE 50
2. Interest Rates are RISING or LEVELED
3. Inflation is RISING or SIDEWAYS (Also Check if Inflation rate is above 5%)
4. DXY is RISING or SIDEWAYS
5. Stock Market RISING or SIDEWAYS
NEW ORANGE ZONE
1. PMI Manuf Index is SIDEWAYS or BELOW 50
2. Interest Rates are FALLING or LEVELED or BELOW MEAN (Expansionary Policy in Effect)
3. Inflation is FALLING or SIDEWAYS (Also Check if Inflation rate is above 5%)
4. DXY is FALLING or SIDEWAYS
5. Stock Market RISING or SIDEWAYS
Historically whenever Interest Rates are dropping, US market goes down for some months:
US somehow try to control Inflation before bringing the interest rates down.
When Inflation is under control and Growth has not gone down much, then they decrease the interest rates
Because in past whenever Interest rates were decreased, growth also fell for some months and then improved.
Then FED does QE, which bring surplus cash in the market, Which drops Dollar rate, that helps the Stock Market grow.
Generally bullish sentiment heading into next weekWednesday's AUD CHF trade finally stopped out. I've been a little surprised by CHF resilience considering the 'risk on' environment. I have read an interesting article suggesting CHF and EUR strength can be attributed to holding relatively high amounts of gold reserves. I'm not sure how much long term credence I'd give that theory but it does make sense.
Meanwhile, the USD turned out to be the currency to short this week as the market starts to price in more rate cuts than thought a few weeks ago. It could be a tricky road ahead for the FED, as softening data, and now today's higher than forecast PCE data means the dreaded 'stagflation' word will be mentioned. But with the VIX well below 20 and the S&P touching all time highs, in the absence of Middle East re-escalation or fresh tariff concerns, I'll begin next week with a mind to continue looking for 'risk on' trades.
For today, I will let Friday's price action do what it's going to do and start fresh next week.
The S&P did it!The S&P 500 has reached a new ATH. The monthly RSI looks strong as well. This could trigger an explosion into the target area.
LONG SPX TILL 6300+Hi,
I am publishing this idea for educational purpose. I beleive break out has done and spx should touch 6300 t0 6400 zone in future soon.
S&P 500 hits fresh records: Levels to watchBreaking its February peak, the S&P 500 has joined the Nasdaq 100 in hitting a new record high this week. The latest gains came on the back of a sharp de-escalation in the Middle East and mounting pressure on the Fed to cut rates.
They question is whether it will kick on from here or we go back lower given that trade uncertainty is still unresolved. Indeed, there’s the upcoming 9 July deadline, when the current reciprocal tariff truce is due to expire. Unless it’s extended—or replaced by something more concrete—we could be in for another wave of trade tensions.
It is also worth remembering the ever-looming US fiscal showdown. Trump’s much-touted spending bill—nicknamed the “One Big Beautiful Bill”—is targeting a Senate vote by the 4th of July. If passed, it could reignite concerns about ballooning deficits and inflationary pressure.
Anyway, from a purely technical analysis point of view, the path of least resistance continues to remain to the upside. Thus, we will concentrate on dip buying strategy than looking for a potential top - until markets make lower lows and lower highs again.
With that in mind, some of the key support levels to watch include the following:
6069 - the mid-June high, which may now turn into support on a potential re-test from above
6000 - this marks the launch pad of the latest rally and marks the 21-day exponential average
5908 - this week's low, now the line in the sand. It wouldn’t make sense for the market to go below this level if the trend is still bullish.
Meanwhile, on the upside:
6169 is the first target, marking the 161.8% Fib extension of the most recent downswing
6200 is the next logical upside target given that this is the next round handle above February’s peak of 6148
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
It seems very simple.Based on the market volume chart, as well as its similarity to previous declines, it seems like we are approaching a reliable bottom. This bottom is not far away and could happen right around 5000. We just have to wait for the daily reversal candle.
SPX going to all time highsThe quarterly on the SPX is a powerful bullish signal. Nothing stops this train, we are going to all time highs.
July 9th EU-US tariff deal, what will happen to S&P500?Timeline & Context
-The U.S. initially implemented a 10% baseline tariff on most imports (April 5), with potential spike to 50% for EU goods on July 9 unless a deal is struck.
-On June 26, Macron warned that if U.S. keeps a 10% tariff, the EU will impose equivalent retaliatory levies.
-EU offer of “zero-for-zero” (Macron, von der Leyen) remains on the table, though Washington reportedly resists.
How Markets May React
If a 10%–10% deal is struck (U.S. keeps 10%, EU matches):
-Markets will likely breathe a sigh of relief—clearing headline risk.
-Expect a moderate rally, perhaps +1–3% in the S\&P 500, as tariff uncertainty diminishes.
-Economists note past discussion: when the EU delay hit May, S\&P futures jumped ~2%.
If they agree to Macron’s “zero-for-zero” proposal:
-That would be a bullish surprise—tariffs completely lifted.
-Market response could range +3–5%, though EU has indicated U.S. pushback on full zerozero .
-Analysts warn clarity isn’t always calm: the S\&P is already priced above fundamentals—choppy reactions still possible .
If the pause lapses with no EU agreement:
-U.S. could enforce 50% tariffs; EU likely retaliates.
-Risks: recession fears in EU, U.S. inflation spike so stocks will likely fall.
-Bank strategists forecast flat S\&P (5,900), but warn of volatility range 5,600–6,000 based on trade policy surprises.
-Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any securities. Stock prices, valuations, and performance metrics are subject to change and may be outdated. Always conduct your own due diligence and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions. The information presented may contain inaccuracies and should not be solely relied upon for financial decisions. I am not personally liable for your own losses, this is not financial advise.
